The disposal sheets arnt working

Disposal market for the hawks are yumm

What do you feel now adelaide are slight underdogs

Good morning. I have enjoyed your analysis. Well done. Keep up the great work. Also I'm not a person for horses, with your research has changed that perception. I have watched your Videos on utube the Nrl and have loved it..For now how can I get more info on the horses.. Thank you.

Port Adelaide are fruads lol

Great video, ive been blocked by a few companies for having some wins and withdrawing.... Ive got no doubt your a profitable punter how do you get around these companies not allowing you to place bets?

Keith 15 🔒

Loving the vids, whats your feeling now the lineups are out for the cowboys game no olam = over? I'm struggling a little

I got sydney -3.5 second half line 1.9. Been freakishly good in second halves this year I think it’s a better bet than just the normal line.

You a Hawthorn fan?

Alex keith is the greatest generational talent to ever grace an oval

Great content. Do you compile your stats yourself. Or do you pick them up from websites?

Thankyou!

What app or website are you using to get the player stats?

Thanks for the advise.

im in terested in betting

I'll give you a clue..."Form" between sides is simply taking one result into another which effects 1,2,3, & 4 game form. Playing harder games in fixtures in both afl & nrl (over 1 month's worth of footy) covers about 40-50% of roughie's getting up...The 2 game form (2) is simply taking out the last game played for both sides and the last game played for both sides. 100 point wins at this time of the year for afl games will work as punters of roughie's should be aware of beating the predicted 2 game (2) form of the favourite. Just backed Warriors HTH in a >+39.5 TP SGM for $9.50. Magic Round has roughie's cover 75% of all line bets 2020-2023. No HGA!!!

History says Roughie's cover more Line Bets than favorites about 3 to 1 in Magic Round 2020-2023...

As a follow up though for "Magic Round" in the NRL, from the past 3 seasons. NRL 2023, 5 Games I have had as 4 Game Under the TP, 2 favourite's won, 1 line bet roughie won, 2 roughie's won. NRL 2022, 3 games all under 4 game "form", I had as under the TP and 3 roughies saluted from 3 games. Season 2021, 3 more games I had as Under the Tp and 3 line bet roughies won. 2024 Says Raiders-Bulldogs, Rabbitoh's Cowboys & West Tigers Dolphins Games are all potential wins for roughies or line bet chances +15.5, etc...

I'm interested in your theories...I like to have a bet as well on mainly afl/vfl, but also the nrl occasionally. If you want to understand what happens in both afl/vfl/nrl, I can tell you that the value of games is mainly in margins. When I do form for both afl & nrl always based on each sides last 4 games, there is 1 game form, 2 game form, 2 game form (2), 3 game form & 4 game form. 2 game form (2) is when I take out each sides last game just played and the 4th game played 3-4 weeks ago. That is where the value of sides winning and losing is actually at. I also do a qtr x qtr form-line for both afl & nrl and as results come in, it will suggest that certain sides can or should win by a certain margin. I also take the average of what each side has done from the previous season's ladder in the "Points For Only" and match it against their opponents. This week we have the first game of the NRL and it is suggesting that the Raiders are a "Lock" to win by by 2 Points. Problem is, if they are no better than the Bulldogs, it is a bad bet. 7 wins, 4 line bets (roughies), 12 losses agst the odds have happened with this method since round 1 2024.4 wins, 2 line bet wins & 4 losses were recorded with this method by Round 4 2024 of the NRL Season. That leaves 3,2 & 8 wins agst the odds with that method since round 4 until this round. 2 Rounds ago you mentioned that the Port Adelaide FC were clearly a better side than Adelaide in all the "KEY STATS". Qtr x Qtr said that Port should be winning by 3 goals from the full season until that game. The roughie's form, based on 1-4 game form said Crows would win easily. Last year it was a bet to win almost in a high scoring game. To beat sports-bet in both afl & nrl, look at what they suggest for each game and the Total Points is ALWAYS the most common part of what they suggest is wrong. Occasionally they will nut it. Last Round in summary, this is what they suggested. Dees HTH & <TP, Cats HTH & <TP, Swans LB & >TP, Saints HTH & <TP, Dons HTH & <TP, Dogs HTH & <TP, GC Suns HTH & >TP, Pies HTH & >TP, Lions LB & <TP. 15 wins, 42 losses for favourite's to win exactly as they suggest, 2 wins, 21 losses for roughie's exactly as they have said.…Click the following link to understand afl as i know it...kzfaq.info/get/bejne/hN2kedWn08fTYmg.html & kzfaq.info/get/bejne/jLmkpJOK2t_akp8.html Peter

Long time Afl punter here...just stumbled upon your channel mate..love it..keep up the good work!

Whats your feeling for first game now lineups are out and in darwin.

Lucky you held off on geelong! i was of the same opionion before lineups but considering the 4 point headstart for gc now!

Regarding, over/under bets, Whats your opinion of dew? Sometimes in night games there is some dew which makes the ball and the ground slippery. Perhaps this is why the night games are trending to the unders?? Especially if there is no cloud cover and not much wind, the temperature will drop faster and might see some dew. Tend to see some Brisbane games get dew because of the higher humidity The weather report gives you a dew point as a guide but ive noticed its not always that accurate. Would be very interesting to see a history of over/under results matched with the temperatures and dew point.

GC v Cats is in Darwin, not GC.

Err you are aware that the first match of the round IS NOT on the Gold Coast🤷🤷

You missed the Bulldogs on the underdogs that covered for the previous round, I think it should have been a 4-4 split between favourites and underdogs.

Love your content..looking forward for round 11❤

taking the points for port tn. Very even team on paper and i think the books have priced the Rozee out too far as Dangerfield is also out. Also Allir is a huge in. Very even stoppage teams and across the board. I feel like when there are a lot of changes for a match there always is a good angle. Bruhn and Tuohy also out. 12 Point margin at GMHBA last time they met only in rd 21. If they can be somewhat accurate i think they cover. Cats failed to cover the spread in 4/6 at home v top 8 sides also.

The Knights are specials

I really like your content man, easily one of the most succinct and measured NRL punting channels on the internet.

What's your email address? I'd like to share some thoughts with you on how I bet and use betfair's suggestions and blog sites so called best bets to bet against Sports-bet Picks 1,2 & 3 to my advantage...Peter Haves some excel files that summarise each game to make it easier...

Whats your 2024 record on AFL and NRL bets so far?

where can i find the betfinder? cheers

What would you say are your 2 favourite bets for this weekend? :) cowboys and sea eagles to win for me H2H - lmaooo after knowing the result

Hi, great content, really great BUT how does the average punter get hold of the sort of data that you're showing here for NRL punting?

Thank you 👍

Love your tips every week

The Lions are officially cooked! The players aren't playing for each other anymore and when Fagan asked for a big 4th quarter effort to make the score look respectable, the players responded with nothing. Time to go Fagan. Your message is now stale. Take Hipwood and Daniher with you please. I feel sorry for players like Harris, Dane and Lachie who will retire without a premiership.

Appreciate it heaps!

Your spreadsheets are great

We have been HOODwinked. President must be removed.

Always look forward to every update. Thank you.

who do you got for Anzac Medal?

Super!

Thats decent odds for GWS

Anyone really familiar w afl markets know which book is taking the largest bets on AFL? I’m an American trying to gauge the market , Like a shop that doesn’t limit sharp action / takes large afl bets

The 3-4 leg multis at coin flip odds don't seem good to me. It's a lot of moving parts for a weak reward.

Hopefully the sharks don't fuck up tonight 😅

You should keep track of all your picks and keep a record to see how you do every week