Mystery Handicapper, thank you for your breakdown of each horse. This is one of the best analytical breakdowns I have ever listened to! Thank you sir and good luck!

Thank you for this!! It was fun and informative!! As a little kid I used to watch horse races with my father and could read these without a problem! Out of the blues I just recently watched the BlueGrass & Florida Derby , and became interested in the 150th KD! And it seems like such an interesting 20horses race!! So your breakdown, makes it more interesting for me to watch!!!! Different than anything else I've seen on KZfaq so THanks again!!

"Nobody in his right mind bets the 4 horse! The 4 horse is a joke, Trotter!" Seriously, it's a great pick and I'm glad to see your channel finally getting the growth it deserves. 🍻⚜🏇

I'll route for another 'animal kingdom-like' synthetic to derby win with Endlessly. Love it when racing gods throw a wrench into the power structure's gears. I still remember when he came back from injury, BC Mile, traffic jam all race, and still grinding for second to Wise Dan. AK was a unique racehorse.

$1 tri box 2,4, 11, 12, 19 Forever Young top pick with the Risen Star horses

I love your videos, sir. Ive been betting the ponies since 1987, when I was a kid, betting two bucks to show and having my dad go place my bets for me lol. You know your stuff about handicapping, and I think you do a GREAT job dissecting races. Im not sure ill have the cash to bet the Derby this year, but I did want to wish you well on your bets. I hope you hit a monster triple, and keep up the great work on these vids.

Nicely done. Good luck.

Good luck everybody

Thx for your analysis ✍🏾📈

Another great video Mystery Handicapper You are the real deal❤

Great video. Thanks

Nice review. Thanks, Mystery. I had Mage in 2023 because of his strong stretch run in the Florida Derby prep race. I feel the same about Sierra Leone based on his highly determined Bluegrass stretch drive. His breeding is very strong, and Tyler Gaffalione knows the Churchill track, having won as meet leader there and having ridden over a 1,000 races there.. And last year was his best purse earning year yet, hitting $30 million, so he's at the top of his game. I singled Justify in 2018 with a pal, & we hit the Super for 19K. This time I'm singling Sierra Leone on a Super ticket & trusting he'll work his way through traffic to have a chance to prove he's the best in the stretch.

AWESOME VIDEO!!!!! GOOD LUCK TO YOU SIR, I LIKE YOUR PICK. NEED SOME TRI AND SUPER COMBINATIONS. PLAYING 2, 4, 7, 8, 11,15, &17. #'s 4& 15 AS MY KEY.

Was prepared to join the MH and the rest of the free world aboard the CF bandwagon. Did not expect to see the second-best last-race speed fig belonging to Resilience. Blinkers moved him way, WAY up and his stalking style ensures first run on all the speed/pressers. Betting the #19 horse WPS.

As always, M. H. has presented some very valuable info. I have won quite a bit off of W. L. ~ J. S. has raced wide in his major preps, coming back in 21 days only to come in 7th behind Timberlake, tells me that the 88 year old Trainer is on target for the 150th KY Derby. Keith is named after his Grandfather, who was a quarter horse jockey, and as such, W L started as a Q H trainer. Steve will be training much longer then his son will ride, clearly, name sake means a lot in a family who lives for the game. Let me tell you how clever W L is; he once ran a colt in a $62,000 claimer who went on to win the KY Derby. Some yrs. ago W L puts together a $500.00 Churchill Downs _D/D with Gary Stevens in the last year of his riding career. In order to play well in the game of basketball you must hustle, The Coach can hustle...lol

Great job

Catching Freedom had a terrible trip... Mystic Dan had a perfect trip... Only two lengths different at the line... Give me catching freedom as the better horses !!!!!!

Catching Freedom.

Yes! Catching Freedom🙂

First time betting , thanks for the great brake down, who do you pick place and show I think? Does that pay out good?

Another awesome job, Mr. Mystery... I concur with you, sir... I like Catching Freedom... The same connections as last year's KY Derby beaten fave Angel of Empire have a real good chance to make amends, I am definitely going to play him in the exacta and trifecta. The horse who I really like is right next door, Catalytic... Upside personified on this guy... Yeah, he was beaten big time by Fierceness but still a respectable runner-up nonetheless considering it was his first two-turner and graded stake, plus the prolific AP Indy is prominent on the top and bottom of his pedigree... above all, his trainer Saffie Joseph was banned last year and he's got a chip on his shoulder and that goes beyond stats, pedigree, speed figures, etc. One more for this year's Derby, Track Phantom: Steve Asmussen is waaaaaaaaaay overdue. Period. Thanks"May the horse be with you" - Harvey Pack

Fierceness wins easily, I’m using Endlessly and Resilience underneath. Haven’t figured out the others I’m using with them underneath. 😉 Great breakdown of the Derby, but I would expect nothing less from you sir !!!

Well, I was born on May 4th. Honor Marie was foaled on May 4th. The Kentucky Derby is on May 4th. Honor Marie is number seven, which is supposed to be a "lucky" number. So, I'm going to go with Honor Marie. In 1991, the Derby was on May 4th, and I was turning thirty-six. There was a horse that year named Thirty-Six Red, one of the favorites, so I bet on Thirty-Six Red. That didn't turn out so good. I figure my chances are fifty/fifty this year. Either I'll win or I won't. Yuk yuk. Love the program.

Man you should be doing voiceovers and narrating. I listened to this early, early in am in bed and have never been more relaxed! My picks are very similar, good luck.

I bet Mystic Dan only because McPeek won the Kentucky Filly race on Friday! Lucky !

7,17,4,6 for me. Fierceness is the one to beat but Honor Marie is my pick. He's improved every race. his speed figs are getting better. the race is looking like the early fractions could be fast which would benefit him. his recent bullet and post position make me think he might be a little closer up than usual. is bred to get the 10F. my only concern for this horse is if it rains. in the slop watch out for Mystic Dan. good luck y'all. appreciate the analysis

I think Catching Freedom peaked in the LA Derby and is trailing off form. Honor Marie is peaking from out of the 2nd in the LA Derby. Question: Where do you see the Beyer #'s on the past performances??? Where are they located.?

I have always liked Fierceness. I was disappointed in his performance in Fountain of Youth but quickly put $25 to win in future @ 16/1. Hope he has a clear trip.

First to comment! Good luck! And big money coming!

Sierra Leone will need a perfect trip to win and it's a lot traffic to get through. No one has won out of 17 but you know he's going to break and cutover near the quarter pole. Can he get there with this mess? If he gets to the front by half mile, Fierceness Forever Young is just to hard to judge against this level of competition. Tough not to look right at the 4 slot and Encino.

What do the last 2 derby winners have in common? They had the highest late pace on time form usa /

forgot to mention the #s for the wood @ aq. seems off look @ top3 finishers #s before the wood anyways it just a speed # much more factors to look @ good luck to all.

Hey MH. I didnt get a chance to comment on the Oaks race. But i had #Thropedo Anna and #11 Ways and Means. So i have the double back to #2 Sierra Leone #4 Catching Freedom, #7 Honor Marie and #8 Just a Touch. I favor Honor Marie not just bc he pays the most on the double but also Marie is my girlfriend's middle name. Goid luck to you on your bets

What is astounding, concerns the fact that Just A Touch, who ran 2nd in the Grade 1 'Blue Grass' was stalking the leader throughout a good part of the race and finished a very credible 2nd. This was due to the fact that the pace had to be moderate, for if it wasn't he would have been far up the track at the end. Noting these track conditions for the race, Sierra Leone was far back throughout the race and was still able to easily power past the 2nd place finisher which is a remarkable display of overcoming moderate fractions from far behind the field and getting up to win the 1-1/8 Mile race. Now with an additional 1/8 mile in 'The Derby', tells me that Sierra Madre should win this race with ease if he isn't interfered with by other horses.

Catching Freedom's future is so bright he has to wear shades... Bet 4 & bet more !!!!!

Great work as always champ ❤I'm going the opposite I going track phantom to win i don't think we've see the best of him either,,,I'm going 12,4,7,8,17 ex tri super

Thanks for the your insights. I am surprised at the ML on some of these horses, especially Fierceness. I thing gate bias is everything when it comes to the Kentucky Derby.

I am looking for a price, hoping the #17 doesn’t break, gets bumped around and finishes out of the money. Then it’s anybody’s race. I am wheeling 2-4-7 both ways in exactas. Three closers. 19 x $6 = $114. Hope to catch a goodie.

Fierceness to win my exacta horses are sierra leona catching freedom strong hold and my long shot catalytic

Track phantom. Cuz he not gone be in the back phantom. Just like richie strike ,he gone find himself a little crack phantom,and then lead the pack phantom. Cutting them horses behind his kick up, absolutely no,,(what?) slack phantom. Somebody might say im crazy, only proving they don't no jack phantom,, Track phantom to win,then ima go crazy, making people say" he don't know how to act phantom. Track phantom!!!!!!! The 12 horse!!!😊

Bet on the gray one

Going with favorite in 1st. Then catching freedom, just a touch, and forever young in 2nd, all in 3rd. Beating 2nd favorite out of money

I like Just Steel.

Timing is race horse.... And fierceness has that... My pick

There will be a long shot in the super. Now we have to play a lot of tickets to hopefully hit it. Hopefully the favorites finish 3rd, and 4th with the longshot second, and a 8 to 1 to win it. That would pay about $700 on a .10 cents box ticket. Spend $24 for the super box ticket for $1. That would pay about $7000. We don't want favorites 1st, or 2nd. So the super would pay big. If both favorites finish 5th, and 6th this will be a super superfector. Get a super with the 4 favorites. Good Luck 🤞 Lukas, and the father, son. What a story it would be

Let's go Fierceness!

I like dornoch,if saez can send him I think he makes the superfecta

Sierra Leone is bred 2 win! Gun Runner on 1 side and A p Indy on the other, goes for a romp. 3 or 4 to one is a gift.

If forever young get's acclimated to the CD surface I think he will be the victorious. Endlessly is my surprise horse with Sierra Leone, catching freedom and Honor Marie for the exactas and trifecta. fierceness will not hit the board at all. Prices will be awesome.

i threw out Fierceness right away i hit the exactor with Mystik Dan and Sierra Leone i didnt have Forever young ...the best horses to me are Muth Sierra Leone. ....Forever Young you HANDICAPPED him terrific .....i wish i had seen this....Fierceness is a farce

I'll enjoy watching Forever Young running remembering his grandpa ( on his dad's side) Sunday Silence. Of course, his pedigree on his Dam's side is OK----A.P. INDY, SEATTLE SLEW.

You are on the same horse I will bet on Derby day. Number 4 , Prat is on Catching Freedom. Also I will bet Society Man , Frankie on big long shot?

My pick # 20 Society Man W/ S / P 🎉

MAGE won last year with the same mama and papa. Can the proud parents do it again with Doroch? Very rare that the same mama and papa have more than one starter in the Derby let alone winning it.

#17 post in the derby not only 0-42 but only 3 horses ever finished in the money!!

My $10 Steely Dan exacta: Just Steel Mystic Dan

With rain in the forecast I am using Mystic Dan underneath....Will blow a 200 buck bankroll betting exactas and tri boxes s 4 - 5 wide, with a super 3 across and 4 on bottom...am looking to beat the favorite

Fiercesnes by a mile! lol seriously exacta box 17-6, 17-7, 17-8 trifectas 17-7-15 17-7-18 17-8-18, 17-8-15 good luck everybody!

They put Kids on the #4 to get their picture taken.........

$20.00 exacta Fierceness/ Sierra Leone $1.00 trifecta Fierceness / All / Sierra Leone Total cost $38.00

Dont forget Animal Kingdom was thought to be only a turf horse.

I HAVE TO GET THE DAILY RACING FORM AND GO OVER IT. RIGHT NOW I LIKE THE #3 HORSE BECAUSE HE'S STYLE OF USING THE RAIL LIKE THAT JOCKEY NICKNAMED "BORAIL" MAKES ME THINK JOCKEY HERNANDEZ WILL IMMITATE "BORAIL" AND SNEAK THRU THE RAIL. I WON'T USE ANY JUSTIFY OFF SPRINGS... I'LL ALSO PUT A TICKET ON THE JAPANESE HORSE RIDDEN BY KAMURA WHO I FOLLOW FROM THE WOODBINE DAYS AND HE WON A BUNCH OF RACES THERE.

you can't go wrong with PRAT he hits tri in the derby often & should hit the tri again. ENCINO been working lites out don't leave him off ur ticket. like i said before fierceness wins or doesn't hit the board give me sierra leone top pick.

My choice at 20-1 is Dornoch, throw away his last race . Post #1 good break and to the lead.

0/19, from what I heard only one of those had a legit chance, the rest were long shots at 25/1 or more. Forever Young is for real, but some don’t like his coming into the race though. And bred big time for the mud with storm cat on the mare side.

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all do read comments on this non audio video.

Fierceness has never been put to the test, always had every thing his own way,if he wins and he won't he s a Seattle Slew.More likely will be looking for a place to hide before they get to the stretch

Just a touch progresses

No encino ?

JJCastellano had been forgotten at this run but he go again with other horse with too much opportunity West Saratoga!!

I also like Just Steel to win

As some one who doesnt bet horses your data pointed towards Just a touch

it might rain imma stick with sierra leone. don,t sleep on strong hold either on your tickets

Use some long shot MH😂

Forever Young has beaten who?

#9 Encino is Scratch

You’re on the wrong page sir

Domestic Product has the final fastest 3/8 of any horse in the race

getting no volume on 2 sets of my headphones. no.volume at all vide W. T. F.

Great analysis of the race. Always nice to hear various thoughts about horse racing, it helps to create better opinions and bets on the races. Info and picks for the Kentucky Derby and Oaks this weekend on my channel. Take a look www.youtube.com/@FastHorsesToday

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