Are we risking nuclear war by supporting Ukraine?

  Рет қаралды 120,819

Dwarkesh Patel

Dwarkesh Patel

8 ай бұрын

With Naval War College Historian Sarah C.M. Paine
Full video: • Sarah C. M. Paine - WW...
Apple Podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/073V...
Transcript: www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/sarah...

Пікірлер: 881
@bradjohnson4787
@bradjohnson4787 Ай бұрын
You can't appease a bully intent on grabbing stuff when they think someone's weak!
@5353Jumper
@5353Jumper Ай бұрын
We gave Hitler half of Czechoslovakia, and that did not "appease" the Nazi's very long.
@r.lewisblake7793
@r.lewisblake7793 Ай бұрын
@@5353Jumper We?
@isn0t42
@isn0t42 Ай бұрын
You push someone against the wall and call "appeasement" allowing them to breath. And when they punch you in the face, you call them a "bully". GTFO.
@Leto2ndAtreides
@Leto2ndAtreides Ай бұрын
You may not want to appease one, but you also don't want to actively provoke one. One needs some awareness of how the other side is processing the world. You could hardly say that the US was being delusional during the Cuban Missile Crisis... It's not worth it to let your enemies gain that kind of position.
@bradjohnson4787
@bradjohnson4787 Ай бұрын
Russian?
@AlessandroMarcolin
@AlessandroMarcolin 27 күн бұрын
This lady is fantastic, I didn't know anything about her 'till a couple of days ago. I would want her as my advisor of foreign policy if I was the President of the US
@alfredzig2035
@alfredzig2035 27 күн бұрын
This woman absolutely understands her stuff.
@chrismiller5198
@chrismiller5198 16 күн бұрын
I agree that we shouldn't tiptoe around Putin's personal hangups about the West and America.
@jku72
@jku72 Ай бұрын
One can argue that appeasement is more likely to cause a war than showing strength. Ask Neveile Chamberlain about what a signed peace agreement by letting an authoritarian government have its way was worth.
@rossicourvosi218
@rossicourvosi218 Ай бұрын
Chamberlain knew a war was happening he just brought Britain more time to ready up
@madarah8533
@madarah8533 Ай бұрын
@@rossicourvosi218 lol thats not at all what happend
@rossicourvosi218
@rossicourvosi218 Ай бұрын
@@madarah8533 read his biography
@stevechance150
@stevechance150 Ай бұрын
If Russia takes Ukraine, Putin will move on Poland. Poland has bombers that can reach Moscow. How will Poland respond to Russian troops crossing into Poland?
@andrewbachman698
@andrewbachman698 Ай бұрын
Chamberlain was in a much more severe bind than people realize. 1. Britain wasn’t ready for all out war(Germany wasn’t either but they were ahead of Britain) and more importantly the Dominions would not support War. Canada was lukewarm at best, so they may not join, and S. Africa and Australia were completely opposed(see Gallipoli if you want to know why). So Chamberlain went to the peace talks with his hands tied behind his back he could be the PM that appeased Hitler or the PM that shattered the British Empire. He chose the former.
@kevinharrigan2727
@kevinharrigan2727 Ай бұрын
My girlfriends dad is from Belarus. He fled as soon as the Soviet Union fell, and he has given me a much greater appreciation for the tenacity and sheer grit of our Eastern European brothers, a grit I haven’t seen in very many demographics of traditional Western peoples and a grit I think we should absolutely appreciate here in America and the rest of the West. I would happily, happily fight alongside them if war were to break out. I hope Ukraine wins this war, they’ve proven themselves to be incredibly opposed to Russian aggression and have shown their willingness to fight and figure out creative solutions to adapt to the modern battlefield, and I hope we can continue to support them.
@TDH_1962
@TDH_1962 Ай бұрын
War has broken out... And I hear Ukraine is desperate for recruits. Do it. Or are you just a blowhard coward?
@marcob.7801
@marcob.7801 Ай бұрын
Right on brother! Slava Ukraine!
@zivaradlovacki2666
@zivaradlovacki2666 29 күн бұрын
​@@marcob.7801bandera salute suits ya. Keep it up.
@zivaradlovacki2666
@zivaradlovacki2666 29 күн бұрын
You should go and fight now. Why wait? Quick wile your life is still worth 1 dollar and Ukrainian 1 penny. Does it feel good your life is worth that much more?
@marcob.7801
@marcob.7801 29 күн бұрын
@@zivaradlovacki2666 It's a turn of phrase! Anyone with a sane mind, an understanding of greedy human nature and even a remote knowledge of pre and post WW2 era history does not want Ukraine to founder. When she says "pennies on the dollar"...she is referring to the MOST pragmatic and logical solution to Ukraine's ( and, IMHO, the world's)....immediate need! Don't take everything so literally! Think realistically, not ideologically. In essence, grow up!
@mr.bisley2748
@mr.bisley2748 Ай бұрын
2 reasons why Putin will not use nukes 1. The few allies he has will run for the hills, self preservation kicks in 2. Everyone in the chain of command will become a threat. They all have family.
@milosmarinkovic422
@milosmarinkovic422 Ай бұрын
This is wishful thinking. If they are forced they will use it and they will lose 0 support.
@graemesydney38
@graemesydney38 Ай бұрын
The question is not 'will Putin use nukes' (he probably would rather than lose), the question is 'will the officers of the nuke force follows such an order' (knowing the meaning of M.A.D. for them, their families and Russia).
@dannycorsaro546
@dannycorsaro546 17 күн бұрын
Really 😂😂😂
@ericjorgensen6425
@ericjorgensen6425 5 күн бұрын
3. He has no nukes. His weapons are many decades old, maintained by an absolutely corrupt military. Image you are a corrupt general.. how much of the maintenance money goes into maintenance on weapons that are never supposed to be fired?
@jonserrander3735
@jonserrander3735 7 ай бұрын
Spot on. Supporting Ukraine is the most sensible thing to do both strategically, economically and morally. Pennies on the dollar and much better effect than any campaign during the war on terror.
@JohnDoe-ix4kx
@JohnDoe-ix4kx 7 ай бұрын
Estimated deaths of 500000+, 115 Billion dollars spent so far and you say pennies on the dollar? Holy fuck man nothing about this is sensible, and that's assuming that just like the war on terror which was a massive failure that this campaign won't be one too.
@atishayritulpatwa
@atishayritulpatwa Ай бұрын
Better? Current every missle that is send to Ukraine is a missle that cannot be used in Taiwan. And Ukraine is a country that will never in future recover even if they somehow take Donbas back. Their demographics will never work, and too many have left Ukraine already.
@mattgriewahn8554
@mattgriewahn8554 Ай бұрын
⁠​⁠@@atishayritulpatwawe can build more missiles and frankly, there’s no way for china to really have a successful invasion to get a toe hold on the island in the next 10 years. And Taiwan has a vested interest in repelling a Chinese invasion.
@atishayritulpatwa
@atishayritulpatwa Ай бұрын
@@mattgriewahn8554 missiles are not 1939 tanks, they can’t be build within a day. Russian took two years to ramp up their production, and Americans would take the same. And Americans have not started to ramp up their production.
@hereLiesThisTroper
@hereLiesThisTroper Ай бұрын
Pennies on the dollar. The most entitled statement an American could ever say. In your smugness, you just implied that the lives of Ukrainian soldiers are worth pennies to you.
@lagoonlane
@lagoonlane Ай бұрын
We lived with nuclear weapons for decades.
@antonoko
@antonoko Ай бұрын
There has never been a nuclear power involved in an existential war until now.
@infrared337
@infrared337 Ай бұрын
@@antonoko Cold War era proxy wars ring any bell to you? Korean War? Vietnam? No?
@TDH_1962
@TDH_1962 Ай бұрын
@@infrared337 No. None of those conflicts were existential for either nuclear power
@infrared337
@infrared337 Ай бұрын
@@TDH_1962 ah you meant to the nuclear power? Ok, Cuba maybe? I don't think Ukraine being Independent from Russia poses existential threat to Russia. And if it does, that is their own internal problem.
@infrared337
@infrared337 Ай бұрын
@@TDH_1962 yes another one believing groups of Russian speaking Ukrainians magically pulled out army worth of tanks and assault rifles to start a rebellion against Ukraine with no help from Russian army direct involvement. You are a lost cause.
@RanknFileX.192
@RanknFileX.192 26 күн бұрын
I love how Professor Paine dismisses "stupid," because, "you write off their understanding." WOW, great comment!!! Most people have a logic for their behaviour. It need not make sense to most, but there is a logic/reason/understanding in their mind, disorganized as it may be. It is "logical" from their half-assed perspective! It may be twisted, short sighted or just plain hubris, but it is a reasonable position from their POV. We can disagree, think they're, "nuts," but it is logical from their perspective. Thanks for the insight, Prof. Paine and Darkwesh! 😊
@swift_learn
@swift_learn Ай бұрын
Go ask the people in eastern Europe if their families enjoyed the gulags.
@faizanrana2998
@faizanrana2998 10 күн бұрын
Poolags
@Hexanitrobenzene
@Hexanitrobenzene 7 ай бұрын
Great guest, great question. However, I have some criticism about form. I understand the wish to shorten video, but having cuts mid-sentence just breaks the flow and makes the content more difficult to understand. Please don't cater to the mainstream mentality of social media.
@forbeginnersandbeyond6089
@forbeginnersandbeyond6089 Ай бұрын
This interview is over 1 hour long without interruptions nor obvious edits. Search for it in KZfaq. This clip is a snippet of that interview.
@user-ie1tz5rm8x
@user-ie1tz5rm8x Ай бұрын
Yup and shes a loaded pistol...its pretty sharp a-z
@__scottvg
@__scottvg Ай бұрын
“Starvation in the 21st century? How DID you do it?” 😂
@zivaradlovacki2666
@zivaradlovacki2666 29 күн бұрын
Well, how did western countries bring global south to starvation going in to 21 century, for hundreds of years now?
@rayray0313
@rayray0313 21 күн бұрын
The way she said it lol😂
@zivaradlovacki2666
@zivaradlovacki2666 21 күн бұрын
@@rayray0313 you mean how did global west put great chunk of global south into powerty for centuries to this day?
@zivaradlovacki2666
@zivaradlovacki2666 21 күн бұрын
@@rayray0313 how did 20% of global population (west) put 80% of global population( south) in poverty for hundreds of years to this day?
@shitsmells
@shitsmells 20 күн бұрын
@@zivaradlovacki2666 we found you in poverty, developed the industrial revolution which enriched us, then shared those technologies with the rest of the world who are struggling to catch up due to endemic corruption, bad civics and bad ethics.
@squireson
@squireson Ай бұрын
No, no, what Russia has *_described_* as provocation doesn't mean that they see it that way. They react to actions by the West *as deterrence* _that they don't want._
@carlanderson7618
@carlanderson7618 Ай бұрын
The Ukraine is this centuries Sudetenland. Surrendering the Ukraine will only lead to more conflict not less. Just as the Munich Betrayal of 1938/39 did not lead to peace but war.
@cedricvogt2576
@cedricvogt2576 Ай бұрын
wroong...Putin is not Hitler...
@carlanderson7618
@carlanderson7618 Ай бұрын
@@cedricvogt2576 Enough similarities to make the comparison. Hitler made the excuse for taking Sudetenland to protect ethnic Germans , Putin claims to want to protect ethnic Russians in Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia. Hitler had political opponents killed or put into concentration camps, Putin has political opponents killed or put into Gulags, Hitler wanted and empire, Putin wants to re-establish one. Hitler was diagnosed as a psychopath, so is Putin. Only difference is the political ideology they use to commit their crimes, like Hitler and Stalin were more similar than different. In reality NAZI fascism and communism are two sides of the same coin.
@cedricvogt2576
@cedricvogt2576 Ай бұрын
@@carlanderson7618 dont be so intellectually lazy. Hitler was a mad man who did not last longer than a decade to launch a huge world war. Putin on the other hand is widely regarded to be one of the best politicians (by Ray Dalio etc.)… he is in charge for decades and did not have any plans to launch a war, he wanted the same kind of military operation that worked in Georgia in 2008. He doesnt even have the ressources to conquer Ukraine, how should he attack more countries? Just fear mongering out of nonsense.
@Notascousebird
@Notascousebird Ай бұрын
It’s just Ukraine !
@elibecker8848
@elibecker8848 Ай бұрын
​@@carlanderson7618 one major difference is that Nazi Germany was a superpower, who were able to defeat Poland and France in a matter of weeks, while Putin hasn't been able to defeat Ukraine in over two years and counting.
@johnwalsh4857
@johnwalsh4857 Ай бұрын
I love Sarah Paine's books . BIG FAN
@hudooguru2
@hudooguru2 Ай бұрын
Great exchange. Sarah is the real deal.
@jackpaperhands
@jackpaperhands Ай бұрын
this lady is a legend
@jjhoughton2812
@jjhoughton2812 Ай бұрын
To ?
@moiseshuerta3984
@moiseshuerta3984 Ай бұрын
She's a a hack.
@victorgalloway9770
@victorgalloway9770 Ай бұрын
Facts she is 💯
@cl5619
@cl5619 29 күн бұрын
She seems to be a neo con supplying the rationale for US interventions
@nephalynzit
@nephalynzit Күн бұрын
She is 100% propagandist
@konstantingruenwald185
@konstantingruenwald185 28 күн бұрын
This lady is incredibly brilliant. I could listen to her talk for hours and hours.
@traitretrudeau2367
@traitretrudeau2367 13 күн бұрын
that the problem, people talking alone without getting counter by anyone, watch debates, not monologues
@konstantingruenwald185
@konstantingruenwald185 12 күн бұрын
​@@traitretrudeau2367 You’re right, no one should ever watch anything other than debates. I apologize. Next time I’ll be sure to check with you and get your approval before I watch anything else.
@300gjw
@300gjw 4 күн бұрын
I can listen to her talk all day. She is incredibly bright and well spoken.
@MikMoen
@MikMoen Ай бұрын
American Professor: "Oh, no one's marching on Moscow." Poland: "Why not?"
@ajez597
@ajez597 28 күн бұрын
I've heard a Polish military brass say in a interview that their doctrine against Russia is not only defend poland but attack Russia.
@Komradenter
@Komradenter 24 күн бұрын
@@ajez597 yeah after repelling Russian invasion, that makes sense.
@V45194
@V45194 Күн бұрын
Despite Putin's hysterical squealing about "the collective West," no one really wants Russia to cease to exist. That absolutely is not what this war is about, despite %ucker Carslon and the other paid propagandists' untiring efforts to present it as such to their semi-literate totalitarian-minded audiences: retirees in rural Russia, a few fringe neonazi parties across Europe and of course the MAGA "I love the poorly educated" cult in America. No, this war is simply about the civilized world finally putting a stop to a deranged tyrant's brutal 19th-century imperialism. Nothing more and nothing less. Russia already is *quite literally the biggest empire on Earth!* Well, let them have it and do soul searching... I hear the Russian soul is great - the question is, will the Russians themselves someday find it?
@markbanash921
@markbanash921 Ай бұрын
"It's a big galaxy and it's full of people who don't like the Klingons" - Capt. Kirk, "Errand of Mercy"
@keithrowell653
@keithrowell653 17 күн бұрын
When would Hitler have stopped asking for more if he had always been given what he wanted?
@101wormwood
@101wormwood Ай бұрын
youve got starving in the 21st century..., how did you do it? (n.korea) This woman is my hero. 5:00
@grantsapain
@grantsapain Ай бұрын
That's what Russia wants us to think.
@Lurreable
@Lurreable 23 күн бұрын
"You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour, and you will have war." - Winston Churchill on Chamberlain appeasing Hitler, before WW2
@joedavis1404
@joedavis1404 23 күн бұрын
Sarah C. M. Paine, thank you for your clear insight.
@rustywater3219
@rustywater3219 Ай бұрын
Are russian nukes even still able to go off? Have they been keeping up with maintenance or are they like the rest of their military?
@SkywalkerPaul
@SkywalkerPaul Ай бұрын
Didn't you watch the last nuclear triad test Russia conducted?
@Victor-ov7hw
@Victor-ov7hw Ай бұрын
You really want to find out?
@sH-ed5yf
@sH-ed5yf Ай бұрын
Most of them yes. Are the russian ones cspable
@damonedrington3453
@damonedrington3453 Ай бұрын
To be fair, I’d assume that’s one of the few things they genuinely try to maintain
@jamesw1659
@jamesw1659 Ай бұрын
@@SkywalkerPaulthat just means they could make a new bomb…it doesn’t really say anything about the thousands of old ones in inventory.
@drewyoung2102
@drewyoung2102 11 күн бұрын
I worked with various engineers and technical people from former East Germany. Some were fully indoctrinated and could not change and some left. No one every had anything good to say about soviets.
@nunterz
@nunterz Ай бұрын
Thank you for not wanting to sell us out (again). An Eastern European.
@parkerhanson4009
@parkerhanson4009 Ай бұрын
Brilliant! Will be watching more S.C.P.
@sammiekay08
@sammiekay08 11 күн бұрын
Fascinating interview. I appreciate her expertise and knowledge on these topics. Thanks for all of your hard work putting this together!
@robb7733
@robb7733 15 күн бұрын
She's fabulous. Very knowledgeable
@traitretrudeau2367
@traitretrudeau2367 13 күн бұрын
can you tell me a single way putin is doubling down? it'S the US doubling down with no back down plan lol, this woman would get destroye din an actual debate
@robb7733
@robb7733 12 күн бұрын
@@traitretrudeau2367 It's hard to tell anything about this conflict due to the dishonest media. Do you remember how "sick and dying" Putin was?? Where the hell did that come from? Media lies.
@pplr1
@pplr1 12 күн бұрын
"tell me a single way putin is doubling down?" Putin is doubling down by repeatedly sending in more troops after the initial invasion attempt stalled.
@prefadom
@prefadom 7 күн бұрын
Mrs, You are amazing.
@peterkratoska4524
@peterkratoska4524 28 күн бұрын
Whenever someone states that the West provoked Russia by expanding Nato I ask them how they would like living in a buffer state. I did, I still recall Operation Danube when I was a kid in 68 when Russia and the rest of the Warsaw Pact marched into my country with 800,000 troops because the Kremlin didn't like the shift towards a bit of freedom from the Czech govt. Hungary in 56, Poland, the Baltic countries everyone joined as soon as they possibly could. I must say Sarah Paine is really well informed on the topic and the biggest takeway is that while the West has learned that this kind of war is completely unproductive and everyone ends up worse off (this was shown in 1918, and 45) it is so much better for everyone to grow and trade and work together. Its not like the medieval wars where you take over land and end up with serfs who will give you the wealth. So much of the wealth nowadays is not in land but in the people. If Russia were to invade California and take Cupertino and Apple hq they would not gain much because the people would just leave, if Apple is worth some 2.8trillion it is in the people that work in it - not the land. So Russia gaining mostly destroyed and largely de-populated parts of eastern Ukraine- their land bridge to Crimea but at what cost. It has become an international pariah, it's lost its largest customer the EU for much of its natural gas (China will never pay as much and it would take a long time to build pipelines to ship to China. It's also lost a lot of young talented people with money who fled during the first year, not to mention a lot of young men who are dying or getting disabled - for a country with a demographic disaster. Also a GDP of 1.5trillion, less than Italy or Canada. As Sarah points out the business laws in Russia not only make it hard to run a business - it is intentionally set up that way so that at any given time the klepto state could control or seize the business. There is an issue with one man dictator ship with no real succession - and as anyone has seen the Death of Stalin - there is often chaos and a major turnaround when the leader dies. And there is no comfortable retirement for Putin. (Or for that matter Xi Jinping).
@lightforce4604
@lightforce4604 27 күн бұрын
Yeah no one would like to stay in a buffer state perhaps, you may not even like Putin or Russia; but NATO have always been provacateur supreme. Just ask the entire Eastern Hermisphere. There is a reason why most people in the Eastern hemsiphere are more sympathetic towards Russia.
@dannycorsaro546
@dannycorsaro546 17 күн бұрын
Really? We have the biggest war mongering criminals in the world.
@vitorlopes2064
@vitorlopes2064 5 күн бұрын
Imagine russian nukes in Mexico. How would US react?? Nato should have been dissolved alongside the soviet union. US withdraw from 2 major missile agreements unilateraly. The Russians are freaking out
@peterkratoska4524
@peterkratoska4524 5 күн бұрын
@@vitorlopes2064 hey the guy who gave Nato its purpose is Putin himself. Even made Sweden and Finland join. See its nothing to do with US expansionism, every one who wanted to join Nato did so willingly the first chance they could. Everyone of those countries including mine had been invaded or occupied by Russia in the past.
@vitorlopes2064
@vitorlopes2064 4 күн бұрын
@@peterkratoska4524 after the fall of the soviet union NATo became just a big US weapons sale plattform and instrument of control. Lets not forget what nato did in the middle east and yogoslavia… was it ” defensive”?
@krakhedd
@krakhedd Ай бұрын
I disagree w/ Sarah that "calling somebody stupid is writing off their reasoning" as why Putin won't use nukes. I think he will and I agree w/ Dwarkesh that we cannot simply believe he won't because *WE* fail to conceive a strategic return if *WE* were in his shoes. THIS IS ALSO NOT WARRANT TO LET HIM HAVE WHAT HE WANTS, but to clarify and illustrate a serious mistake we often make in the West: We try to put others into our own understanding, rather than vice-versa
@lightforce4604
@lightforce4604 27 күн бұрын
The most stupid implication she made is that Russia is going towards North Korea. Which is just sheer decietful propaganda with someone from her qualification.
@Uller1967
@Uller1967 18 күн бұрын
@@lightforce4604 Is Russia more or less authoritarian now than they were 15 years ago? Is Russia more or less isolated now than they were 15 years ago? I think that's what she is referring to when she said Russia is going towards N Korea.
@V45194
@V45194 Күн бұрын
​@@lightforce4604 I mean, who is supplying the Kremlin gnome with arms these days, aside from the Ayatollah? Why, Fat Kim, of course!
@ZS-bg7jo
@ZS-bg7jo 17 күн бұрын
As the 'special military operation' has dragged on and the world has gotten a look at the true status of Russia's military infrastructure, it is a real question what the status, viability, and even existence of their nuclear stockpile. Weapons have a halflife... the fuel and launch facilities deteriorate. Maintenance is costly and extensive in scope. How much has been looted?
@michaeldonnelly6747
@michaeldonnelly6747 Ай бұрын
I like this woman!
@jacobasselta2419
@jacobasselta2419 Ай бұрын
Really, ask this question is it in Americas best interest to defend one dictatorship the size of Texas (Ukraine) if it means destabilizing a continent sized power (Russia) into civil war. Look how much the Syrian civil war and infighting in Iraq after our intervention in those countries, or us meddling in Iran before the revolution has upset the middle east. Do we really want an unstable Russia? Is another Russian revolution/or civil war in our interest? How radical will they become after another round of revolution/civil war, look how the treaty of Versailles (no one marched into Berlin) which was in modern day terms just sanctions and guilt led to Nazi Germany and the evils they unleashed upon humanity. In a post communist Russian age with an ever present threat of communist China, is it really smart to push Russia into Chinas arms and into their camp. Or, is it wiser to set clear boundaries with but treat Russia as an equal to work together in the future in surrounding China and North Korea with Western states. Or should we risk a destabilized Russia which will inevitably cause more destabilizing in surrounding areas due to their size and influence over Ukraine which is not a real democracy and poses no benefit to the American order. Just a thought.
@r.lewisblake7793
@r.lewisblake7793 Ай бұрын
@@jacobasselta2419 Think harder. You first attempt (ever?) Is sorely lacking in intelligence. Hopefully, (for all concerned) if you keep trying, you may get it one day. Can’t debunk each and every one of your Phuhuqed up beyond belief assumptions, because,…….they are without basis in reality. But your valiant effort to make them seem correct,……yeah, that failed too. Your caretaker must be so……🤦🏾‍♂️
@aryzen2781
@aryzen2781 Ай бұрын
@@jacobasselta2419 yes
@yeetman4953
@yeetman4953 Ай бұрын
​@@jacobasselta2419i stopped readi g when you said china was communist, get your shit together.
@yeetman4953
@yeetman4953 Ай бұрын
​@@jacobasselta2419ukraine is still a democracy.
@esteemedyams
@esteemedyams Ай бұрын
Thank you, this is 100% spot on and needs to be said and heard over and over until we don't have any more 'Marjorie Traitor Green' type characters in the world.
@jamesw1659
@jamesw1659 Ай бұрын
Because Marjorie Taylor Green disagrees with you doesn’t make her a traitor. A lot of people are asking the same questions she is, and I don’t see why that isn’t legit. The word “traitor” is being overused a lot today, sort of like “racist”. Eventually, if it keeps up, it will become meaningless…
@marcob.7801
@marcob.7801 Ай бұрын
t is
@docbradleydc
@docbradleydc Ай бұрын
​@@jamesw1659 It goes a bit beyond simple disagreement. She called for the execution of Democrat politicians and a national divorce.
@mackiej
@mackiej 7 ай бұрын
The impact of using a nuke on global nuclear arms proliferation is a very important point.
@micskovbon5738
@micskovbon5738 Ай бұрын
No its not, only in propaganda use.
@stevenroberts5893
@stevenroberts5893 Ай бұрын
Wow love to hear her !!!!!
@aSSGoblin1488
@aSSGoblin1488 Ай бұрын
we may be risking nuke war but its russia who started this risk
@pomka24
@pomka24 Ай бұрын
in general, the West has always been the cause of wars, and the United States used nuclear weapons in Japan, and also planned to use them in Korea and Vietnam, but pressure from the Soviets stopped them 🤫
@moiseshuerta3984
@moiseshuerta3984 Ай бұрын
Who cares who started it? Ukraine definitely aint worth a nuclear holocaust.
@antonoko
@antonoko Ай бұрын
Right, moral victories like this will surely matter when everything's turned to dust.
@ABanRocks
@ABanRocks Ай бұрын
US started this by trying to.get Ukraine to join NATO
@seanbrennan5192
@seanbrennan5192 25 күн бұрын
Protect this woman at all costs!
@stuka97
@stuka97 26 күн бұрын
So What! You can not appease the aggressor they only respect one thing and that's the possibility of there own destruction.
@placebo5466
@placebo5466 Ай бұрын
"Well, let's look at N. Korea. A country that has starvation in the 21st century. How did, you do it?" That made me chuckle.
@frankfowlkes7872
@frankfowlkes7872 Ай бұрын
I find it interesting that many of the same people that hate Putin and the Russian model seem to be willing to give China a pass. I do believe Ms. Paine is correct about using the Ukrainians as proxies for our troops but I am perplexed by the fact we seem afraid to offer the same assistance to Taiwan.
@cht2162
@cht2162 20 күн бұрын
She's brilliant!!!!
@Oldsmobile69
@Oldsmobile69 17 күн бұрын
People have to understand, Nato's new members not only wanted to join, but in the case of Finland, the government was _pressured in to it_ by the people. This wasn't the elite choosing to join, this was a popular cause by a huge majority of Finns.
@edytapanasiuk6059
@edytapanasiuk6059 21 күн бұрын
I am glad to know that there are people in the West who think like this lady.
@marcob.7801
@marcob.7801 Ай бұрын
What is the title of her book????
@joestrat2723
@joestrat2723 Ай бұрын
What a great speaker this woman is. I agree with her on the nuke threat. Putin has all the power, money, women, and palaces he could ever want. 30 minutes after he launched a nuke he'd either be a grease stain on Red Square, or Tsar of his nuclear bunker in Siberia....and not much else.
@Marchand848
@Marchand848 4 күн бұрын
A lot of important stuff being said here, but one question that keeps coming up as I listen to this person chat. She is really focused on how business and entrepreneurs are her main focus.....
@XerxesDotiwalla
@XerxesDotiwalla 7 ай бұрын
Wait, where is the answer to the question about nuclear war?
@DSan-kl2yc
@DSan-kl2yc Ай бұрын
That we don't decide how Russians interpret things. And it wouldn't be right to deem eastern Europeans worthless, and sacrifice them for it. Also that it's unlikely.
@pcopeland15
@pcopeland15 Ай бұрын
Listen to the people affected. Thank you. Not doing so is by definition imperialism. Lines on maps drawn by outsiders.
@cl5619
@cl5619 29 күн бұрын
😅 It’s always the 1930s before World War Two for you global intervenionalists. We are always at risk of being next Neveile Chamberlain if we don’t intervene. The adversary is always the next Evil Super Villain. (20 years ago it was Saddam Husain; today it’s Putin) The Evil Super Villain is always harboring super evil plans to take over the world or something. And we American citizens are always on the hook to pay for it.
@rformetoknow479
@rformetoknow479 29 күн бұрын
If we ignored Hitler and Japan at the time what would the world look like today?
@AtriadGamasekav
@AtriadGamasekav 28 күн бұрын
But you would have ignored both hitler and Japan if they hadn’t attacked you directly. I don’t have illusions in western democracy. They will sacrifice us here in Ukraine if they believe that Russia will stop here and won’t go any further.
@jhwheuer
@jhwheuer 11 күн бұрын
That old wall was unfortunately built a few thousand kilometers too far West.
@darrencorrigan8505
@darrencorrigan8505 18 күн бұрын
Thanks, Dwarkesh Patel.
@jimispoto8438
@jimispoto8438 Ай бұрын
Not trying to defend North Korea But we do have active sanctions and trade embargo with them which may have something to do with their starvation problem.
@peterg5383
@peterg5383 13 сағат бұрын
Yeah but the sanctions and embargoes are a consequence of *THEIR* decisions - *THEY* chose that path.
@silentblackhole
@silentblackhole Ай бұрын
This should be required viewing for anyone taking part in the future of ukraine, yes this includes leaders in the USA
@jamesivie5717
@jamesivie5717 2 күн бұрын
I agree with AssandroMarcoln, this woman is fantastic.
@Tyler-wl8kq
@Tyler-wl8kq Ай бұрын
Great fantastic analysis
@jackr2287
@jackr2287 9 күн бұрын
7:16 This only works so long as the American empire is strong. With the formation of BRICs and competing systems against the Dollar, those sanctions might not mean as much anymore.
@sriharshacv7760
@sriharshacv7760 27 күн бұрын
She meant North Korea, we Desi's thought Pakistan. We are all clouded by our own biases.
@anthonymontgomery2727
@anthonymontgomery2727 Сағат бұрын
Who is this lady. Is she a history major. She really knows her stuff as far as the things i know
@user-sg6bt3hx4p
@user-sg6bt3hx4p 28 күн бұрын
Love her attitude.
@slp1078
@slp1078 6 күн бұрын
In 2004, Romania and 5 other Countires I believe, might be 4 don't quote me on that. Anyways all four joined at once and I believe it was called the "Treaty of Peace". Everyone is sick of war
@alpardo4124
@alpardo4124 25 күн бұрын
Well l'm glad she understands that Putin never has, and never will "negotiate" , even if he may claim to want to.
@eckhardt76
@eckhardt76 Ай бұрын
Protect this woman at all costs ! God bless her.
@ReasonableHuman1
@ReasonableHuman1 25 күн бұрын
Putin always wants to get more. He sees 'collective' West is weak and bureaucratic. Therefore we, in my mind, need to keep helping Ukraine. Otherwise, he will conclude that he was right all alone.
@victorbarbeau3130
@victorbarbeau3130 Ай бұрын
You don't avoid war by turning your back
@Leto2ndAtreides
@Leto2ndAtreides Ай бұрын
Something does need to be done about countries having primitive systems. But the nuclear escalation risk is a legit problem. Mostly, there was inadequate effort to "actively" work with the Russians in moving them in a positive direction. When primitive systems are the status quo, the leaders aren't going to know how to improve them... Just as US politicians don't get obvious things about improving US systems. Politicians are rarely suited to designing and improving systems.
@supernovaaust
@supernovaaust Ай бұрын
Many people fought and died for our freedom, took lot greater risks...
@mv11000
@mv11000 Ай бұрын
GREAT HOST
@glennmcc64
@glennmcc64 29 күн бұрын
Excellent insights
@user-im2hz4ki2o
@user-im2hz4ki2o Ай бұрын
I doubt we’ll ever really have the chance, but I would really like to hear a long-form discussion about Ukraine between Sarah Paine, John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs. I could be wrong but it seems that Sarah Paine comes from a school of thought more rooted in conventional thinking based on historical analogs - but expense a great deal of effort to understand foreign perspectives. John Mearheimer seems to come from a perspective of great power politics and Jeffrey Sachs personally had a great deal of hands on first person experience working with the Russians during and after the collapse of the Soviet Union (and the Chinese for that matter). I think they all have valid and very valuable insights and I would be interested to hear them navigate their disagreements. Of particular interest, I would like to hear Sarah Paine’s thoughts regarding American activities in Ukraine before the start of the war, etc. One of the ultimate questions is, was the US/West justified to meddle in Ukraine. There are lots of lazy emotional opinions about it floating around and so I’d be interested to hear true scholars discuss the matter - not so much as a debate - but as an exploration of the strengths and weaknesses of their different perspectives. The reason I would like to hear these three, is that I have a great deal of respect for John Mearsheimer not infrequently attesting that he does his best but could be wrong in his theories. I have a great deal of respect for Sarah Paine showing no hesitation about saying ‘I don’t know’ or citing that a topic simply falls outside of her expertise. And Jeffrey Sachs has always been modest, cited his first person experience and has always exhaustively fought, while working with the US as well as other governments - for diplomatic solutions which preserve human life. And I think all three demonstrate exceptionally good faith when engaging with those with whom they disagree. Barring that and in the meantime, I’m definitely going to watch more of Sarah Paine’s interviews and lectures.
@blindside4076
@blindside4076 29 күн бұрын
Very well said! I too would relish such a discussion. Much respect to all the scholars you’ve mentioned… a real “marketplace of ideas” with respect, honesty and humility… to build understanding… this is so needed in the world.
@lightforce4604
@lightforce4604 27 күн бұрын
Sarah Paine is the exact opposite of John Mearsheimer regarding these issues lol.
@user-im2hz4ki2o
@user-im2hz4ki2o 27 күн бұрын
@@lightforce4604 Right. That’s why I would like to hear them have a discussion.
@michaelk5825
@michaelk5825 21 күн бұрын
Love that line - "I'm not making that up!"
@avinabaenator
@avinabaenator 11 күн бұрын
She kinda ignores the fact that Russia was invaded twice by countries which now fly the flag of EU
@kevine.lemaster8473
@kevine.lemaster8473 23 күн бұрын
She really doesn't like the Russian road system lol
@pedroforonda
@pedroforonda Ай бұрын
How will Sarah define Portugal and Spain in their “golden years”? Where they a continental empires or maritime empires?
@sentryion3106
@sentryion3106 Ай бұрын
I mean Spain is in Europe and Mexico is in the americas. There’s an ocean between the two
@pedroforonda
@pedroforonda Ай бұрын
@@sentryion3106 true that. But they were a maritime nation, but also a continental land grabber continental empire, perhaps?
@querlimfranco8466
@querlimfranco8466 Ай бұрын
i love this woman's insights
@angelaparente4470
@angelaparente4470 28 күн бұрын
We need to support peace and freedom, and Goodwill
@Fluster666
@Fluster666 Ай бұрын
Who cut this?
@cl5619
@cl5619 29 күн бұрын
No
@DJ_Force
@DJ_Force Ай бұрын
Isolating Putin won't work, USSR was isolated and persisted for decades. Stalin was ruthless and no one put something extra in his breakfast.
@sergiyrospysdiyenko6224
@sergiyrospysdiyenko6224 Ай бұрын
When US was at war with Vietnam, Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, no one asked this question?!
@thebadstation8416
@thebadstation8416 Ай бұрын
America did no go to war with afghanistan. They were fighting terrorists im the country of afghanist which the country supported. Same thing in syria. America did go to war with iraq which is true and i will admit did not so good things.
@puraLusa
@puraLusa Ай бұрын
False equivalence. 1. American war in vietnam is equivalent to russian assitance to syrian regime. 2. American war in afghanistan - 9/11 was a response to an attack. 3. American war with iraq- sadam started it with war on neighbours who were american allies. This narrative is the "muah murica bad" which removes agency on other parties in the world stage (racism of low espectations).
@philognosis6409
@philognosis6409 Ай бұрын
​@@puraLusaKuwait did actually steal 50 Billion in oil from sovereign territory of Iraq and the United States gave the green light before Saddam attacked. But later the invasion in the new millennium was on knowingly false pretenses and they prevented Antibiotics for reaching Iraq. Lately United States has pretended that just crazy people in Yemen are attacking US shipping. When you deliberately create a famine by preventing imports of grain properly paid for to feed civilians people tend to hate you. Oh and preventing insecticide for the purpose of not having a plague of locusts was a nice touch.
@cathulionetharn5139
@cathulionetharn5139 Ай бұрын
​@@puraLusa 1.not really, it was more like supporting british in the american war for independence Vietnam was a colony of France, imperialist France, we-consider-your-culture-and-religion-inferior-and-will-civilize-you-by-force France, your-resources-are-ours France, it was also really badly done, the guy americans put in charge of southern vietnam was a catholic monk who had no desire or drive for leadership, and was a symbol of the forced conversion of the people to christianity. Nothern Vietnam became communist because capitalists were fighting them and communists were willing to support them, not the other way around. 2.taliban had nothing to do with 9/11, in fact similarly to the vietnamese, the taliban formed to oppose soviet occupation of afghanistan, and to them (and many afghani) americans were just another foreign empire invading their homeland and forcing their values and culture on them, also: here we built your village a well, surely that makes up for a third of it being destroyed by our bombing runs? Also the war in Syria? it is one thing to fight terrorists, it is another to have an entire military base sit there and watch as an ancient city full of history and culture dating back well before Christ, is being bombed by the terrorist you are supposed to fight until eventually the Syrian military is forced to abandon it, to those very terrorists you are supposed to fight, all the while a conversation leaks, where one the generals in charge of the war says something along the lines of: let's see if this forces the syrian government to the negotiating table. Which by the way, pick a side, is the Syrian government a brutal regime with no care for it's people and supposedly commits genocide on them, or are they going to accept american terms (because that is what negotiation means let's be frank) to save their people Let's not forget that Isis is destroyed, Trump ordered the pentagon generals to withdraw from Syria (which they PRETENDED to do, but not really, to keep the troops there until Biden came in) where a third of the country is occupied, oh look, 100% of the oil fields in Syria are in that occupied region, and an American company is drilling the oil I have this sinking feeling if I read more into the Iraq war I would find out it was nowhere near as black and white either
@puraLusa
@puraLusa Ай бұрын
@@cathulionetharn5139 have no pacience for a long essay based on a false permisse. Vietnam - france had left - had a democratic gov in the south and a commie one in the north - south asked usa for help. Syria - france had left - socialist gov in southwest - several factions all over (civil war) - asked russia for help. So, my example fits perfectly and doesn't need false permisse and mental ginmastics.
@TheBuzzard1209
@TheBuzzard1209 23 күн бұрын
Money is nothing compared to FREEDOM!
@coffeebreakcigarette7517
@coffeebreakcigarette7517 Күн бұрын
Yes.
@Btdenn123
@Btdenn123 Ай бұрын
This really ignores 2014 to the day Russia invaded. She was probably shocked Russia invaded based on how she's reasoning. Choosing standard of living over culture is how Americans think..... it's not necessarily the priorities of other countries/cultures/people.
@rbarnes4076
@rbarnes4076 Ай бұрын
Seriously? She described Russian power dynamics VERY accurately.. she does it EVERY time she talks about how Eastern Europe has essentially been driven into the arms of Nato because of past Russian aggression. Russian behavior both recently and in the past is proof they are not to be trusted. Don't confuse Russian maskirova with reality. I can absolutely guarantee that Ms. Paine doesn't confuse those two. How you missed this is well beyond me.
@2639theboss
@2639theboss Ай бұрын
It wasn't an American strategy? It was a German one? It even has a name, Wandel durch Handel. I love how stupid people think it's a uniquely American thing to be domestically selfish, or oblivious to differences in cultural attitudes or priorities.
@5353Jumper
@5353Jumper Ай бұрын
Well, not necessarily the priority for LEADERS of other counties.
@mikedeck8381
@mikedeck8381 Ай бұрын
Truth be told people in Eastern Europe have despised the Russians for centuries, they've fought loads of wars over the centuries. It really doesn't have anything to do with the US and we need to be careful about getting involved but that ship has sailed. What this war is really about is the Russian oil, natural gas as well as the resources of Central Asia. From what I see Russia is winning the economic war and the US position isn't really feasible in the long run. Keeping Eastern European countries as vassal states has no economy to it for the US or them. It makes sense for Western Europe but they don't have the resources to support them.
@Kevin-vx8qe
@Kevin-vx8qe Ай бұрын
Do you really think ordinary russians or Chinese to choose the priorities of their governments?
@jeffhsu7027
@jeffhsu7027 7 күн бұрын
Brilliant
@martinkeith5543
@martinkeith5543 Күн бұрын
As Niccolò Machiavelli said in his banned book "The Prince" remove the ruling class leave everything else alone culture language religion and there will be an easy transition of power. Fight with the people not mercenaries who chase money and are not loyal and who have no ties to the land
@ruslanagadzhanyan2753
@ruslanagadzhanyan2753 29 күн бұрын
If you don't stop bully now, he will think that can do bully you again!
@marcob.7801
@marcob.7801 Ай бұрын
I'll bet this sharp lady has a good, realistic idea about who was responsible for "Nordsteam!?
@wiellie6718
@wiellie6718 13 күн бұрын
Probably Ukraine (call me a russian troll please).
@Scarecrow367
@Scarecrow367 24 күн бұрын
I'd be curious to see Putin's reaction if the Democrat's take the House and keep the Senate and Presidency as he will have no one in his corner.
@dlee732ad
@dlee732ad Ай бұрын
Kicking the can down the road, Russia will continue to be an aggressor
@kq2799
@kq2799 Ай бұрын
2:57 Ivana T says hi...
@huuters
@huuters 21 күн бұрын
I hope the Blue Jacket was simply playing devils advocate here..the only way how to deter a nuclear power from a strike is to have your own. Other solutions is a naive fantasy just like that blue hue. Love that lady though - nailed it.
@eddarby469
@eddarby469 Ай бұрын
That was a very informative discussion. Thanks for sharing. Putin must be stopped so his heir pauses to consider other options and the probability and cost of success. Putin won't back down because he knows nobody will attack him when he's depleted his warfighting capabilities.
@JohnNoZ35
@JohnNoZ35 20 сағат бұрын
Sarah has stated that we should listen to Xi regarding Taiwan, because dictators tell you what they will do. What does Putin say he will do?
@mazs1123
@mazs1123 25 күн бұрын
There are some insane comments belpw.
@HrabiaVulpes
@HrabiaVulpes 11 күн бұрын
"I'm not making it up" says woman claiming france, spain or italy were bullied by Russia.
@Martin-qm2lg
@Martin-qm2lg 25 күн бұрын
How could the US not support Ukraine when it’s the locals doing all the fighting! Think how many Americans fought for Afghanistan. Where were the locals? Iraq? Ukraine is a just war fought by Ukrainians, who have paid a huge price.
@pplr1
@pplr1 13 күн бұрын
Most in the US do support Ukrainian, there are a few Putin sympathizers that were trying to sabotage things.
@ruslanustiuhov5510
@ruslanustiuhov5510 Ай бұрын
I like this phrase “Pennies on the dollar”. That is how human lives cost right now.
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