Typhoon Ewiniar is expected to deliver strong winds to southeast Honshu on Thursday and Friday as it gradually turns post-tropical, along with heavy rain over the area. Whilst the storm is weakening, the windfield is expected to grow in size during its extratropical transition which could begin soon as the storm is now tracking over cooler waters. A landfall on mainland Japan is not expected.
Elsewhere, a new area of interest (Invest 94W) is quickly gathering momentum and computer model support, and is now up to a 30% chance of development in the South China Sea. Over very warm waters, the storm is likely to produce torrential rainfall and drift towards the coast of China, west of Hong Kong and Macau. If the storm develops, weakening is likely before landfall as sea surface temperatures fall.
An area of interest in the South Indian Ocean still has a low chance of developing, and models are starting to rule out a strong tropical storm. A depression or weak tropical storm is possible as it continues to move westwards at a low latitude, gradually towards the Seychelles.
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