We need more of this, like "Free rocket science lesson for NASA from Vladimir Kramnik" "Free football lesson for Messi from Vladimir Kramnik" "Free Hip-Hop lesson for Eminem from Vladimir Kramnik" so much potential

Words do not help: Keeping saying that is not an accusation does not make your statements less accusing. Public resonance caused by a free interpretation of cherry picked data expressed in vague statements by an ignorant person (in his own words), perceived as an accusation by the chess community, can have negative impact on Hikaru’s public image and chess career. So it does not differ from a “direct” accusation in any way.

Could you make a video showing the statistical analysis that you and your mathematician friends made and that lead you to consider the events suspicious?

He clearly said, "My next post will knock him out". Lol. How else can this be perceived? Any court throws out the suit and make him pay all the court costs.

One never has to use the word "accusation," to make an accusation. And, merely denying you made an accusation does not erase your accusation.

This has got nothing to do with a "math lesson". This is simply Valdimir Kramnik impersonating an expert in the field of math and probabilities like a bad actor.

Free english lesson. Cherry picking is a standard phrase standing for a practice of selecting only certain pieces of statistics while ignoring the rest to "prove" a point. Thus there is nothing strange that many people use the phrase to describe Kramnik's method.

For me as an actual data scientist, this is comedy gold

You seem to think if don't say "Hikaru Nakamura is cheating", you wont be regarded as accusing him of cheating, and that you can sue anyone who claims you are accusing him of cheating. Clearly all your current actions, including all this persistent obsession with showing HIkaru's statistics as anomalous, will be considered as a concealed attempt to state he's cheating. Hope you won't end up getting counter-sued if you go the legal way, or having to pay costly legal fees from all your legal actions when you lose them.

Kramnik is the living, breathing embodiment of the Dunning-Kruger effect in real time

"Free math lesson" from a guy without higher education... Interesting.

Kramnik still digging, it does start to be really deep now !

A high school dropout turned out to be not just a chess genius, but also a mathematician, statistician and now an expert of the law. Get off your high horse.

After this "lesson", somewhere in the world, one mathematician sobbed.

Dear Mr. Kramnik, could you do a video about the allegations that you cheated during the WC match against GM Topalov? I find this very interesting and would like to hear your opinion about the matter. Is it possible that Hikaru and Hans are simply copying you without acknowledging as much? I think the chess world deserves to know.

Intelligent people who make mistakes just admit they were wrong and move on. Clinging to a narrative that has been disproven is sad and leads to loss of respect over time. A lesson in human psychology for Kramnik

Kramnik’s free lesson: “when you research you need to know what you want to research” Wow, can’t believe I didn’t even have to pay for that!

Still waiting for his deep statistical report. None shown yet but he claims to have one.Drip feeding info And threatening a platform with nothing concrete is bizarre.

Kramnik is prime example that Chess Genius does not necessary mean Genius in general.

Fischer - Larsen 6- 0.... Fischer - Taimanov 6 -0 Explain that! Maths has nothing to do wit it sometimes.

You see guys..playing chess requires no intelligence, here is a prime example

My main problem with GM Kramnik is his procrastination by drip-feeding his data/analysis. If you are going to accuse someone of cheating in a roundabout manner, you should present all your data in one post. Spit it out & stop grandstanding - it's frankly wearing thin & making a mockery of yourself & the fight against cheating in chess.

No sane judge would even acknowledge that you have a case, based on publications referring to your demand for an investigation of nakamura, and your (false) claims that his performances are highly unlikely based on a lack of understanding of statistics, as an accusation of cheating. Because in defamation you have to claim malice, and everybody and their dog thought you accused him, whether directly or indirectly. And that is just one of a plethora of insurmountable legal hurdles with this 'case' you this k you have. You have absolutely no hope in hell legally. Will just waste everyone's time and resources. But please go ahead with it, sue the sh't out of everyone and end up paying their attorney fees. You are irredeemably stubborn with this nonsense so you have to learn the hard way I guess

This video was EXTREMELY interesting…

Man, you could have went out with respect. Quietly and at your own pace. Rather than accept that time destroys all you accuse others for beating you like a child.

Kramnik vs Math is a battle hard to see. Great chess player tough.

It's puzzling to me how often people (of all sorts) say that science/math/statistics prove that what they are saying is correct without providing the actual science/math/statistics. It's an epidemic.

Bro, you have no idea about math and data analysis. Your elo in math is 500. The section from 8:23 to 12:42 proves why education is important. Stay in school, guys

Besides, the worst and most direspectful thing you're doing is pretending that probability is "easy to understand". You're doing it for your own sake, but it's the most telling thing that you're just ready to say anything to defend your weak position. Every mathematician realizes that probability is the most counterintuitive discipline of mathematics. It's the first thing you usually hear about when you begin studying it.

Even if you did not directly accuse Hikaru, you did place a huge amount of attention on trying to get the world to investigate his streaks and games. This act is damaging to his reputation and not to mention, yours. This is in fact, a legal argument to say you did accuse Hikaru. Whether or not you directly have done so is completely irrelevant. No jury in the United States will believe what you did was right.

Interesting.

You disprove the statistics without showing statistics?

Vlad is a South Park character and i love it.

You're Kramnik. You optimized your entire life around becoming world champion in classical. Then, you optimized having the highest Elo second and the most money third. (Or perhaps you optimized these three differently, depending on the type of person you are.) People who stream themselves playing chess all day are optimizing creating situations that bring the viewers. Events that make people click their KZfaq videos. Imagine if your only concern was to achieve wins on chessc against opponents of a certain rating and nothing more. You don't pick opponents that will challenge you, because the viewers don't like to see their hero lose 50% of their matches. You play no increment as it's easier to win lost positions, especially if you're quick like Hikaru is + you create interesting complications that burn clock time like he does. Getting a winning streak means a cool video with lots of clicks. You might do many different things with a mindset like this that you aren't considering, because this type of stuff isn't your current goal and has never been your goal. Perhaps, Hikaru tries to play people from timezones that are late since tired people are easier to beat. Perhaps, he does preparation against no name players specifically in blitz, because he knows he encounters them a lot. Off stream, maybe he's going over the openings of all sorts of random people that a "pure" chess player would have no interest in playing and beating repeatedly since they are not in the top 20 worldwide. Maybe, Hikaru doesn't do a rematch to someone who drew him, beat him, or to someone who seems to be playing drawish chess rather than fighting, risky chess. So he's intentionally picking weaker players that are in the mood to lose (with a small chance to win) rather than in the mood to tell other people that they drew Hikaru. I believe your #1 error in your argument is the assumption that Elo perfectly predicts the outcome of matches. In reality, if you pick any two chess players with their particular current mood, their play styles, their opening repertoire, the tricks in blitz they see/do not see, their gaps in chess knowledge, etc. and have them play each other, the results might deviate from what their Elo difference would predict by a large margin. I'm sure you know well that Shirov never beat Kasparov in a match. Doesn't knowing something like that tell you that Elo isn't a perfect model, and the actual results of a pair of specific players going at it for 1,000 games might differ than predicted? Elo is there to approximate something, not to tell a person exactly how the future will play out. There are other variables too like a player could be drunk, playing worse than their Elo would predict. Maybe, an opponent is having a bad day for a million possible reasons like drama in their personal life, having had a bad night of sleep, or anything else. Perhaps, when Hikaru is feeling off, he plays people even lower than normal, taking precautions not to put up a bad show for his fans. A person might play nonserious openings just for the fun of it, but Hikaru knows exactly how to win against it. Or maybe Hikaru knows an offbeat line that he correctly predicts this and that player will falter to with high probability. Perhaps, Hikaru has an internal model for how good each player is at blitz, and he plays it like the stock market. He plays when a person is overrated and does not play when a player is underrated. The list of real variables someone like Hikaru might be observing and optimizing around to farm players is vast. It's an actual business, he has a good mind, and he has undoubtedly invested a good deal of time into how to farm efficiently so that his viewers keep coming back. Put yourself in Hikaru's shoes and try for a second to consider what you would do to farm. I'm sure you could do it too if that were a concern of yours. (Although blitz is a young man's game, so you likely can't match how well Hikaru or Alireza does it. You still could improve the number and size of your own streaks.) It's just never been on your radar, because you find it to be a waste of time. While you see it as a waste of time, he sees it as a way to earn money as a job. I caught wind of all of this drama recently and watched your videos, read your blog posts, watched a few chess content creator videos about it, etc. I think people took your original concern that maybe a proper statistical analysis can prove some cheating in TT. The issues really started when you assumed Elo is perfect to predict matches between any pair of players, using it to calculate stuff and then set your sights on Hikaru with that assumption. Does classical Elo predict well? Probably, because everyone showing up to tournaments have prepared to the max and are there with their game face to win. It probably predicts pretty well who will win a classical chess tournament for that reason. Now, casual blitz that has so many different variables like I discussed up above? You're treating chessc Elo with as much respect as you treat FIDE classical Elo. For so many reasons, a top 5 Blitz player in the entire world can farm people quite well if they put their minds to it, doing stuff you just haven't ever thought of or considered as you've never had as a goal to get as many streaks as possible. That's basically his job, so he has optimized for it. He likes to win a bunch against people with a big enough chessc Elo that his crowd thinks, "Wow, this is amazing." That's it. If you put yourself in his shoes, I think you will start to understand why his feats are quite possible when a person of his talent that has worked as much as he has puts his mind to it. PS I hear you don't premove when you play blitz. This is an essential skill as you burn a lot of valuable time not doing that. Hikaru, Magnus, Naroditsky, etc. all premove. If you apply your mind to the theory of premoving, you might also discover some new techniques that matter only in chessc blitz matches that will boost your performance. You've got to look at all the variables and optimize against them. Also, cheating in online games has been a thing ever since there was an online game and people playing it. Everyone wants the cheaters to be caught, but since it's a game of cat and mouse, it's an impossible goal. You have to accept this if you are going to play games online. Even in your videos, you detail how easy it is for a real chess player to cheat in a way difficult to detect. They're not just doing top Stockfish moves at depth 28 every single move, and as they are a chess player, they can choose not to play an engine line if it looks weird. It's an unsolvable problem. Every company that deals in providing an online game tries to minimize discussion of how many people are cheating. They just give it their best, and they might even do a little PR thing here and there saying fabricated stuff about the percent of cheaters and whatnot. It's a business after all, and they make the most money when people choose to play. A game being overran by cheaters is a reason many would not play. It is what it is. I think focus on cheating by titled players in money tournaments is an honorable discussion, but I wouldn't push for chessc to be honest about how many people cheat overall. It's not a realistic thing for them to discuss in an honest fashion. That's just the way it works. Part of the efficiency of how their systems work is simply the illusion that their system works. A titled player who would cheat might not just out of fear of getting caught. That's likely the most effective impact of their system to be honest. And the parts of their system that do actually catch people, it must stay secret. I was surprised they even published a report for Hans. They can't publish 100-page reports about 10 players a month or something. It would just show how rackety their system is and how it doesn't work as well as people would like. Their best defense against cheating is 1.) active detection with camera requirements and stuff like that and 2.) People fearing their magical system detecting them. I think your suspicion about Hikaru is misguided though. Perhaps, your suspicion about others is as well, because Elo isn't a perfect model. There are many variables to consider when one particular person plays another particular person in a game of online blitz. As a simple example, an OK player might play a bit better against a legendary player simply because they have studied their blitz games while the better player hasn't studied the other person's games. Very many variables to consider. I think chessc having camera requirements likely eliminates almost all titled players cheating in tournaments. The statistics you're bringing up are devoid of all the tiny details that statistics ignore that are important in a situation like this e.g. worse players studying the games of better players but the reverse not happening.

I'll give you a free math lesson too. Given how you had 80+ games that you were unbeaten in, using the SAME way you calculated, it's logical to assume you cheated too. In fact you cheated more than hikaru calculating it the same way. Its very clear to me that you don't have an "expert" mathematician there and you're posing as an expert cause you think stats is basic maths. It's genuinely embarrassing.

Can't wait for Kramnik to hear about a null hypothesis

Agree with Vladimir Kramnik

Who are these "some people, your mathematicians" etc? How can you say so much without saying anything substantial at all? Of course you acused Hikaru of cheating even if you did rephrase that. Cant wait to see the lawsuit. Remember that everything that comes your way is consequances of your actions. I would say good luck but truth be told I want you get what you deserve.

This is getting more embarrassing by the day for Kramnik.

you want a proof that players plays fair, thing it, it should be other way around... you should prove that someone is not acting fair. So far, you didn't at all, even if you think so. And as many other have mentioned, you probably need to read a bit about statistics .

The least likely explanation for going to the bathroom over 100 times in 4 world chess championship games is that the player in question is clean. I will be posting something to knock this player out soon. I am not accusing this player.

The problem is Kramnik never considered to look at the times that Hikaru loses twice in a row. With his own calculations, if Hikaru has 95% chance to beat someone and a 45 game winstreaks is suspicious you should also look at the times he loses 2 times in a row, when he should be winning 95% of the games. In fact 0.95^45 = 0.099 is roughly 10%(edited from 1% to 10% cause I made a rounding error), then he loses to that person 2 times in a row which is 0.05^2 = 0.0025 or 0.25% so his chances of winning 45 games in a row against someone like that is higher than losing twice and if you look at his match history, he has many streaks of like 30-40 games or something and then loses once or twice. If you calculate the whole scenario it actually comes out to Hikaru underperforming, but you just see 45 game winstreak and a 2 game losing streak doesn't look that shocking, which in reality it actually really is. Henceforth it makes no sense to cherry pick his win streaks and disregarding whenever he loses games completely. Unfortunately you are lacking knowledge in data science and just for your information, the math I did here is also not the proper way to calculate these scenarios, I just wanted to use your own logic to show you that your own logic contradicts itself and it just doesn't work the way you want to... cherry picking wins would make anyone seem suspicious. I am a physics student btw so nothing special but I'd say I know a bit more about maths than you.

Kramnik shadow-boxing with a false reality.

I hope someone knows a good chiropractor, because the amount of reaching Kramnik is doing must be murder on his back.

Kramnik is a deluded egomaniac

Please Mr Kramnik: Show your numbers, write a paper or shut up. You are make insinuations, you share the burden of proof.

Just stop the BS ....you were a legend, maintain your dignity. You cant even accept that you are accusing of cheating than why would you want any investigation. Without accusations there can't be an investigation..if you want it accuse properly and openly.

This man is even questioning why everybody is using "cherry picking"? LoL what a joke!

With all respect mr. Kramnik, 1) where are the statistics?? 2) if there are 'so many other players' with 'interesting' steaks, why single out hikaru publically but not the others? 3) it is very surprising that one so obsessed with calling out the logic and basic intelligence of others would be miffed that his veiled statements would be interpreted as an accusation. 4) what is your response to Fabi regarding farming, and time control differences in rapid online blitz? Your blog post in response does not address these points (or illustrates a failure to grasp the points)

didn't he call nakamura streak 'interesting'? Why mention that streak with what implication, if not for cheating? Happy to get an answer

Always happy to watch a free lesson from Kramnik!

Kramnik’s SHerry picking the whole video, ye?

We need a lesson in allowing self expression from Kramnik, and an explanation of why he deletes dissenting opinions from his social media platforms.

If you find yourself in a hole, stop digging

No, Hikaru is not cheating. But yes, online cheating is a very big problem. Now what? It seems to me that there is too much ego and too much money in online chess and it shouldn't be taken so seriously.

22:20 you said "he's having an incredible streak" how do YOU still not understand that it's not about streaks but the overall performance? really disappointing.

With every video you are digging your hole deeper. 😂

Will all due respect, your initiative to look out for cheaters is interesting, but your understanding of online chess (especially blitz and bullet with no increment) is deceptively poor and this is stunning to everyone who practices and also watch it on a regular basis. Clearly you've pretty much never followed online blitz and don't get much of it's specificities, you're heading in the wrong way pretty badly right now and this is just just a casual player who does follow online blitz talking, no fan of Hikaru or whatever you'd rather like me to be.

Even if you guys disagree with Volodya, his intention of eliminating online cheating is a noble cause. We can disagree and be kind to all.

Lol wow this shit just keeps going. Everyone give it up for Krazy Kramnik and the Kooks! 👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾

I don’t accuse anyone. I’m just saying that it’s strange that you play so well and you have so many wins in a row, a heart earlier that people had asked if you were cheating but I don’t accuse you. Lol 😂

Kramnik, you're turning into a great comedian, keep amuse us!

Oh! it's gonna be such a delight to see his "legal case"... I'm just waiting for this man to fugg up, hope that trial goes live so we can all watch and laugh together. Also... i'm not talking about hikaru, that's a lie. But lets make sure the results show that he cheated... oh sory sorry, he or she,,, Edit: Holy cow!, all this nonsense gave me a real headache... someone give this man his pills ....

This video is slightly incoherent, but he did mention some hypothesis in a previous interviews and tweets. 1) Some players have higher "accuracy" in the last 4 games of Titles Tuesday, compared to the first 7 games. 2) Some young players have higher accuracy online than when they had when they played live in Samarkand. 3) I don't think that Kramnik fully believes that farming is possible, and that explains his comments on winning streaks. 4) The oponents of Magnus and Hikaru have higher lower accuracy than the opponents of Kramnik in Titled Tuesday (tweet jan 3) I don't agree with all of these points, but I would love to see more blog posts with data analysis on cheating in chess.

Владимир Борисович, вы недавно английский изучаете? Говорите очень не уверенно, постоянные паузы каждые 3-4 слова. При всём уважении, но это сильно отталкивает людей, эти постоянные "эээ", "ааа". Если пока не можете обойтись без этих пауз, может стоит заготавливать текст для выступления перед съёмкой видео?

I fully support Kramnik, many people try to make him out to be a madman, an embittered man, but I see him as a courageous person who is trying to lift the curtain on the scourge of chess cheating.

Kramnik is liable for counter lawsuit, with his manipulation of forum comments while also attempting legal action. Since he is deleting comments & deleting his responses to comments, while simultaneously threatening to sue Chesscom, he's able to frabricate evidence or the lack of it. Kramnik must apologize to Chesscom & Hikaru, & never bring this issue up again.

He is really crazy...

Kramnik is a legend one of the greatest players of the modern era. I support him always. Thank you sir, for your videos.

Watching this on a saturday afteenoon, cause I have no plans... God, I really need friends Edit: why is everybody using the same words when speaking the same language?! 😮

Could you please pay a course of lessons of English language for Vladimir Kramnik?

Vladimir keeps circulating same points again and again. And keeps proving that he lacks not only basic math stats education, but also lacks humility and politeness. Spewing smart words and keeping pushing a theory with "obviously" and "common sense" doesn't necessarily make a person smart... So, first of all, Kramnik appears to use a lot of euphemisms, but actually he strongly implied that Hikaru was cheating. Indirect blame is still a blame. Then, on making actual research, one should be cautious about confirmation bias. So if you made a-priori hypothesis and cherry-picked data and investigate only to prove your initial theory, your investigation could not be objective and thus can be dismissed. Don't fall to "Texas sniper fallacy". Then, probabilities of streaks mathematically don't make any sense cause university dropout Kramnik was not taught about independent events. Finally, performance is quite inflated value itself, so using it to actually prove something is at least questionable. And throughout all his crusade Kramnik didn't mention at all about actual chess factors talking about chess events... To conclude, it's Kramnik who actually needs to get lesson on math, instead of making fool of himself and destroy his own reputation. Don't you get some other duties, mr. Kramnik? Could you please consider chess coaching/consulting/organizing/advertisement? Could you write some chess book? Your area of expertise is actual chess knowledge, and you still have some credibility. Please, turn back, make an apology before you gone too far.

why not instead of wasting valuable time find someone talented and train do something good for chess world

27:00 in terms of transperancy I think we completely understand your point I mean why are they hiding all these case of top players it should be transparent especially whk have cheated in a tournament who its unfair to their peers and to us spectator specially

Why you damaging yourself like this? Relax, go to the beach, have a coconut or something.. you are embarrassing yourself so bad. It's sad to see

Halfway thru this and I've never heard someone talk so much and say so little in my life.

Me, as a concrete person, i feel really offended.

Translation: Meni meni cheatink

Also, if you keep talking all this crap about legal action, Hikaru is liable to lose patience with you and take you to court himself. You're lucky so far that he's been tolerant of your behavior but if you keep pushing it you're going to regret it for sure.

Why would you make half hour rant, instead of showing "correct" calculation. Barking on the wrong tree buddy. Bro went 3,5/12 in his last session vs 25-year old Zizo and has gone mad xD By his logic we should check if he didnt gone crazy cuz hes losing more than normaly.

Sad to see how you have lost it. 😥 Take a break from the Internet for some time.. It's super sad with the various treaths agaisnt you.. But the entire.. Laywer and court business.. Afraid you will júst end up losing face again. You cant sue like a "Karen" people you dont agreee with áll over the world.. You will júst end up ás a joke.

Great. Dont give up. We are following.

You are bravely doing what no one else is daring to do: Vladimir, keep up the great work!

30mins with no math lesson and no actual data. Thanks?

This is getting sad. It was funny/entertaining to begin with. Now it’s just pathetic.

Kramnik cause of eliminating cheating is a good one ..But chances of Hikaru cheating are very Low

He might be right or not, but my cousin 12 years old, who has being showing to me how he cheats all the way to GM level wherever he wants, still remains unbanned 2 years later, in spite of me reporting his account a huge amount of times. So... kramnik deserves the right to doubt about anticheating efficiency.

Did he studied the probability that he is just not good enough at this game to compete among the best online ? I wasted 30 minutes listening to something very far from a mathematic demonstration.

Half an hour just talking stupidly about a false accusation. Kramnik use your time better and one day you can be tenth of Hikaru.

What a ramble

Your probabilities are quite meaningless. The probability of someone going WLWLWLWL against Magnus Carlsen is the exact same as them scoring LLLLWWWW. Highly unlikely results occur fairly often if you just take a large enough sample of players, events and games. Therefore even if the likelihood of a specific result occurring without cheating was 1%, this probability in no way reflects the likelihood of cheating. Looking for outlier performances can be a good starting point but nothing more than that because unless a certain chain of events is effectively impossible, it will eventually to someone eventually.

Greek philosophers used to call this "Amathia".

Bro 100% accused Nakamura.

I question if this guy even knows how the knight moves...

Best comedy. Thank you!

Agree with you all the way. Thanks for your efforts.

you got to calculate 2 moves ahead

Kramnik is there anyone you listen to more than yourself?

High school dropout giving lessons to PhD mathematicians and Statsicians Give me a break

Yes, definitely not about winning "streaks" Kramnik is absolutely right about what he's saying