This gentleman has the most integrity of any youtuber
@Marnild2 ай бұрын
I agree.. I trust people who don't mind giving unpopular opinions, instead of just pandering to peoples greed.
@userdhss-hsjs2 ай бұрын
Too bad he's a total fraud as well as being clueless.
@jbjergh2 ай бұрын
Yes, but if you have followed his guide to the stock market, you have been left behind. But your time will come.
@jeremynewell99032 ай бұрын
The profits will be passed on to the customer. Exactly! This is like telecom companies switching from cable networks to fiber networks.
@_mklein2 ай бұрын
The amount of Indian Bots in the comments is unbelievable!!
@TheScaryGermanGuy2 ай бұрын
Yeah. One would thinks that Google's awesome AI tools could filter them out. But no.
@danguee12 ай бұрын
The number of Indian Bots in the comments is unbelievable!!
@yashkumar67012 ай бұрын
for what?
@RafitoMembroza2 ай бұрын
Yes, I am constantly reporting them as spam, to help Sven clear the comments section
@Global-Netizen2 ай бұрын
They aren't indian. Most of them talk about dollars, and have western names.
@bendimiero380Ай бұрын
You're my favorite financial youtuber by a mile, thanks Sven for the great nuanced video
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
Happy to hear that!
@rocking13132 ай бұрын
Delta in Nvdia’s market cap is last 50 days is more than BRK’s market cap of 6 decades - Jensanity as per Jesse Felder. So Sven is right in sounding the alarm bells …Thanks for calling it out!
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@scottprice48132 ай бұрын
“Geometric progressions forge their own anchors” - Warren Buffett.
@afonsodeportugal2 ай бұрын
Fascinating quote.
@rocking13132 ай бұрын
And hence you one would short one of these GPs, you could lose a lot of sleep! Human nature never changes!!!🎉
@RADIDOUS2 ай бұрын
The ones who is calling you idiot, they’re the idiots. Appreciate your hard working.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks!
@Alexander-Bunyip2 ай бұрын
Love ❤️ you, Sven. Nothing silly about the warning ⚠️. Another great cautionary discussion. You remind me of Cassandra...😅 some nay sayers will always be so, it is their nature.
@chrisapplebach47562 ай бұрын
Best Channel on KZfaq
@thailandistheshitman2 ай бұрын
Why?
@simba16082 ай бұрын
If the objective is to massively underperform the index, yes it is the best.
@chrisnigro80102 ай бұрын
@value-investing I understand the charts of Cisco and Nvidia look similiar. But after seeing NVDA's Q1 earnings go from 7B to 25B y/y, doesn't that acceleration make you think this bubble could last a while? ~350% y/y growth in revenue is mind boggling no?
@asdfasd952 ай бұрын
I'm reading Mastering the Market Cycle right now and so much of what you say resonates with Howards Marks' way of thinking, too. The higher the prices go up, the more optimistic people get, the lower their risk premium becomes when valuing stocks (because how can this stock go down?), the more risk they take on so they don't mias out... until eventually something pops and things turn out bad. The only question mark is when will this happen? Given the latest ECB rate change, probably sooner than later.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@davidkoba2 ай бұрын
What I find interesting is that with the amount of bubbles we have seen pop people are still unable to recognize them. What is even more interesting is the analysts at BOA are also unable to recognize bubbles.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
it is all about looking smart at the moment for BOA
@aaron68062 ай бұрын
It's different this time, bro. Y'know, same as all the other times it was "different this time".
@keepitsimple0032 ай бұрын
It was nice buying NVDA during the lows of October 2022 and selling them once NVDA crossed over a thousand. The return was wonderful for me, but I will be cautious about investing into NVDA (even if I invest a small amount into NVDA or other semiconductor companies). I do agree with Sven. Better to invest wisely and miss out than lose your shirt.
@kdcowboy94782 ай бұрын
YOur videos always put me on the rational path and away from the cliff even though I'm tempted to invest in these AI stocks at times. I guess I'm a value investor black sheep like you Sven. All the best!
@mrhulls2 ай бұрын
I 100% agree with you. Whatching nvidia gross profit margin skyrocketing makes me think that whenever the competition makes a good product, they will have to lower the prices and nvidia rev will take a big hit. Gpu at 40k is insane. I will be buying puts in 2025
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
:-))
@aman1011122 ай бұрын
Its craziness as far as the eye can see. It is as obvious as the nose on my face. But human nature never changes. People will watch your video, some may agree and then eventually buy NVDIA :)
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
That is how it is! Stocks that go up are in demand!
@filipspasevski45932 ай бұрын
Thanks to the Super Micro Computer Bubble i got around 135 shares at 90$ and sold most at 350-400$ and 850-950$. Now im waiting for a bigger leg down to buy more :)
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
good for you
@IronCondorSimulations2 ай бұрын
Value stocks that pay great dividends have worked great for me over 25 years. I am glad the hype does not get to me.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
that is how we work!
@marianSEO5632 ай бұрын
Ai bubble may or may not burst. Anyone buying Nasdaq ETF 5 years ago would have made more money than investing in value stocks.
@aaron68062 ай бұрын
When everybody is expecting huge efficiencies, and hence an edge and massive profits, but it's......everybody.....then nobody has any advantage, and it is all very, very much priced in at this point. The many discussions I've had with cheerleaders on a stock AFTER it has tripled never cease to amaze me.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
the higher the stock, the more exuberant the projections... :-))
@guillemodred39382 ай бұрын
Great assessment. The universe may be infinite but the earth is finite and the law of big numbers has not been repealed. Icarus will not fly to the sun this time or ever.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
:-)
@pongop2 ай бұрын
Thanks for the very interesting lesson! I appreciate your information and perspective. Great charts. I always learn so much from every video you produce! I love the Charles Mackay quote! I hadn't heard it before.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
great to hear!!! thanks!
@mrd25002 ай бұрын
I kind of agree with you on some things. Nvidia is on pace for 60B in Net income a year. It’s not Cisco. I don’t own any Nvidia stock either fwiw. Many bubbles probably will pop for companies being given AI valuations without earnings to back it. I think Tesla is set up to run being on the cusp of solving autonomy and having earnings to back AI investments.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@pdfg1652 ай бұрын
Thank you for this rational analysis. When investing it is important to remain grounded to a bedrock of rationality and remember, - those whom the gods would destroy, they first make mad.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
:-)
@TemperanceMinistry-ri2nz2 ай бұрын
Could still go up a few more percent. Maybe 10. NVDA is leading the bubble. It will lead the burst too.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
time will tell!
@aliasname6022 ай бұрын
i don’t buy Nividia for price appreciation, i buy it for the yield.
@aaron68062 ай бұрын
Is that sarcasm?
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
hahaha
@erikm97682 ай бұрын
Great video Sven! Nvidia margins will probably be crushed at some point, who knows when. Btw I dont own bitcoin and I agree that it has no value, but I also cant think of a reason bitcoin would go to $0
@b.79442 ай бұрын
it has an exponential up curve, that is not sustainable by any means. I think it will drop then stabilize at some price. But I think the stock will grove linearly after that.
@gmo7092 ай бұрын
Time in the market beats timing the mkt most of the time. * diversified portfolio.low cost .index fund. You remind me slightly of that actor... Christopher Walken.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
:-))
@Slickpete832 ай бұрын
*great point about AI bubble ,you think people would be wise to sell S&P 500 at a profit and buy value stocks that currently have a margin of safety to outperform in the next 10 years* ?
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
'outperform' is the key word of destruction here - perform should be the focus, not outperform!
@afonsodeportugal2 ай бұрын
As far as I'm concerned, this is 2000 all over again... the parallels are remarkable! Only this time, I will (try to) go short! 😜
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
:-)))
@piroshmiro2 ай бұрын
I fully agree we are in the craze right now... but the more important question for me is, when will it burst? Nobody knows
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
correct, nobody knows! But while bubbles grow big and burst, we just keep on compounding!
@Storgaaard2 ай бұрын
Honest questions: If the market truly crashes, how are you certain the valuestocks doesnt crash with them? Isnt there a risk that the good metrics in themselves are a result of the good times in the market/economy?
@RafitoMembroza2 ай бұрын
They crash as well. Meanwhile, bubble stocks crash 80% easily (e.g. Beyond Meat), those with reasonable valuations return to their fair value afterward. If the company is making profits and they have a good capital allocation, they help by buying back shares.
@austinluepkes54842 ай бұрын
Speaking of AI is possible that AI itself could essentially make value investing completely obsolete much like the modernization of how we get our information has made value investing much harder than in the past? If AI can essentially be an infinite set of eyes of every stock in the world and AI has all of the information there is to have, could that not make markets 100% efficient?
@fabianstoll2 ай бұрын
Interesting idea, but at the moment AI are not at the level of a human and AI has the problem that it just looks at previous data. In the past, a value investor had to invest in companies with a high book value. Now these companies most certainly have a big problem and underperform the market. At the end, if something works, it will be used at the stock market.
@AW-ws1ll2 ай бұрын
Do you release your YTD or annual performance on your portfolio? No hate towards you, just that I practise scepticism on ALL youtubers.
@duramajin31182 ай бұрын
Yeah he underperforms the market on a consistent basis lol. Also charges people for 'research' to underperform alongside him.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
I will always underperform stocks like NVIDIA :-)
@AW-ws1ll2 ай бұрын
@@Value-Investing don't worry i don't judge someone based on 1 stock pick. Do you publish your portfolio returns YTD or per annum basis?
@jeffjones1142 ай бұрын
even if he did, would u believe... but this certainly would be interesting...
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
kzfaq.info/get/bejne/j9pggK6rldrbmHk.html
@gordo35822 ай бұрын
Agree its a bubble and every bubble has one stock that is the poster child of the bubble. This time its NVDA. Even though the bubble poster child is usually a great profitable company with huge growth that doesn't prevent shareholders from losing more than 50% of their money in the inevitable popping of the bubble. History repeats.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@oleonard73192 ай бұрын
you are already starting to see it . Ai pricing is collapsing in china as Baba has started a price war, and they are about a yr or so ahead of us in the cycle
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@guy70182 ай бұрын
I'll gamble on BTC at 15K, NVDA is a nice short at this price and higher. I'm buying deep value stocks many that pay a well covered dividend.
@brianrachmat34922 ай бұрын
You give a lot of data that support your opinion, I agree with it,Thanks for the lesson.
@calgaryrockies85372 ай бұрын
Let me know whether you have any short position or put options to profit from the price drop of Nvidia. Prove to the world by showing your position if you believe that it is going to drop in the stock price?
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
I am a value investor, thus I only invest if there is NO RISK and all what is left is upside. So, in the NVIDIA case I just make videos :-))) I make money :-)) For charity, but ok!!!!
@JackDespero2 ай бұрын
I constnatly have the urge to invest in Nvidia, and I feel like I have missed out because when I did the calculations and I saw the numbers, I felt like it was overpriced, but then it has increased so much after that. It is also hard because Nvidia does not have much competition, so the moat is massive, because AMD is even more expensive than Nvidia. How do I combat the urge? I keep reminding me of Buffet's wisdom: You do not need to catch all the waves. If you catch a couple of them in your life, you are set for life. Would have been amazing to invest in Nvidia before the boom and sell it now? Yeah, absolutely. But we are not 6 months ago, so the decision is different. And at the end of the day, I can invest in "slower" stocks which I see as much safer, even when the eventual bubble bursts, instead of gambling all or nothing in a single stock. At the end of the day, I am not aiming to become the richest man on Earth, nor my life style depends on being the best in the market. I just want enough wealth to stop worrying about money, and I think I can achieve that with slower, safer stocks.
@wread19822 ай бұрын
Just buy QQQ, good luck trying to outperform it over a 20 year period
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
getting rich slowly, as would buffett say!
@viktorweinberg2 ай бұрын
You cannot judge if a stock is "overpriced" from just looking at its price, you need to look at the earnings. If the price rises together with the earnings than there is no overpricing there, but a proportional representation of the company's business situation. That is the case for Nvidia right now. Their earnings are literally exploding because Nvidia is ahead of any other competitor at the moment. Which has not to stay like that, of course.
@jiripesinaifyАй бұрын
Perfect 👌
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
Thanks 😄
@sandokan_gg2 ай бұрын
AI to the moon ... you have already missed it. Its time to take epic profits now :)
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
great for you!
@-jovoc2 ай бұрын
NVDA price action is similar to TSLA a few years ago
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
:-)
@jeffjones1142 ай бұрын
except NVDA's price is following fundamentals closer, and they dont have maniac ceo
@-jovoc2 ай бұрын
@@jeffjones114 70% margins are not sustainable, competition and or any lack of demand will cut those margins in half and the stock will correct similar to Tesla
@jeffjones1142 ай бұрын
@@-jovoc it is possible companies can actually not afford not to invest in these chips, since they drastically reduce power consumption costs (especially the coming blackwell chip). AMD isnt close
@jacqdanieles2 ай бұрын
@@-jovocnow if you could only supply the 'WHEN', we'll be golden 😊
@mbojilov12 ай бұрын
I don’t know about AI but I remember you saying at the end of last year that gold was overvalued.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
gold doesn't produce anything, so yes, at any price is overvalued :-)))
@kayrealist97932 ай бұрын
With about 25 years of investing experience, I often took the contrarian view and done well. However, never be contrarian for the sake of being contrarian. AI development is real and you will want to weed out the noise and stay invested in the few that will make real profits over the next 4-6 years.
@incyphe2 ай бұрын
I don't think you're wrong on the bubble, but I'm afraid it will be awhile before it pops. We're still at the early stage.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
could be, could be!!!
@wread19822 ай бұрын
Sven I think your bearish ego is what keeps you from missing out from getting wealthy from these Ai stocks, just set stops if you’re so worried about stocks going down
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
I missed on the cannabis, I missed on Tesla, I missed on Zillow, - adding things up, it is ok I miss those
@RetroPlus2 ай бұрын
Underrated advice, this has swayed my opinion and i will be very cautious investing in Ai
@eh75992 ай бұрын
Great video! You are 100% correct IMHO
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
I know I am not correct, but it fits me and you likely - we will definitely be wrong most of the time :-))
@albertinsinger74432 ай бұрын
Sounds like this guy missed out and missed the boat on everything and is happy to be poor and missable. Of course stocks can hit exuberance and then tumble. The big question is has Nvidia, QCOM, Avgo, or even Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Google. Reached that stage. With 6.4 trillion on the sidelines and the next step the FED will take is cutting rates. I do not think we have hit exuberance yet in AI. Eventually this guy will be right and then he will put an other feather in his hat.
@Khaiphos2 ай бұрын
Great analysis of the problem, I was very much looking forward to suggestions for solutions.
@a_anonymous_m2 ай бұрын
Always keeping us in reality 👍
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
:-)
@ALEXFVHS2 ай бұрын
Every one gonna say he's a genius when Nvidia crashes. In reality we all know it will just don't know when. And neither does Carlin. One thing is for certain tho. He will say he predicted it
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing - it is not the point when
@jeanpaulcandau2 ай бұрын
You are right. we are about to live the internet crash from septembre 2000 to october 2002 again. I would not touch technos with a pole. Gold mining looks undervalued. Bear in mind that it will fall should the market severrely falls
@jeanpaulcandau2 ай бұрын
Prediction made on the 15th of june 2024. The Nasdaq stands at 17 688, an all time high
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@Skaahn2 ай бұрын
Charles Mackay was himself one of the proponents and involved in the biggest bubble of his time - Railroad Bubble
@hydranth2 ай бұрын
Even Stanley Druckenmiller said, that "AI might be a little overhyped now"...
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
He is a smart one…
@peonchot2 ай бұрын
The same was said for FB which ipo’d at 32 but fell to 16 because it seemed a bubble and over optimistic… two years later crushed all FCF expectations and was at 200… now 500…
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@donpaps7232 ай бұрын
You are not an idiot. Thank you very much. Regards from Denmark 🙂
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks!
@rohitchouhan67802 ай бұрын
AMS25K is probably the most promising coin on this bull market..
@johnaashmore2 ай бұрын
Is it as good as scamcoin?
@gabrielavila28842 ай бұрын
Another scam crypto coin?
@tsonez2 ай бұрын
Great statistics and data snippets. Thanks Sven. Nvidia is a great company and has always been too pricey. It's a hype stock. Nvidia's growth is an anomaly -- really something. It's leadership has been forward-looking, hard-working, cutthroat and run an exceptional playbook. But the real game changer has actually been their exceptional luck. And one shouldn't depend on luck.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@pandoorapirat86442 ай бұрын
When i invested in NVIDIA last year. I felt like a contrarian. EVERYBODY i know said it is a bubble. It raised too much. Now we are here :)
@lareau62 ай бұрын
My only questions are: how much of it is hype? how long is it gonna go?
@pandoorapirat86442 ай бұрын
@@lareau6 early 2023 it hat eps of about 0.5 or lower now it has over 6. I was AI enthusiast since i was about 10. I believed like many scifi authors and scientists now that AI will be the biggest catalyst in the human history ever. Because AI is self improving recursevly faster. It can solve every problem that human can but exponentialy faster. Every company and ChatGPT user is paying now the NVIDIA tax. soooo
@pandoorapirat86442 ай бұрын
@@lareau6 millions of new antibiotics were found recently. Also microsoft and google found millions of new elements.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@pandoorapirat86442 ай бұрын
@@lareau6 I think with the stock split price increase is a short therm hype which it could be liquidated, but it can run higher. Short therm i don't know in the long therm it will rise. But i don't know how much...
@OneAndOnlyMe2 ай бұрын
There is one big difference between comparing internet bandwidth cost and AI cost: business typically pays flat fee for internet connection, but with AI businesses will be paying by volume - th e more AI they use, the more it will cost them.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
Thanks for sharing!
@Marcelo579392 ай бұрын
I agree with you 120% !!!
@harikrishnanchandramohan42092 ай бұрын
Sven, when your investment is overvalued, would a value investor sell a portion of it or sell everything and wait for the next opportunity.
@cirodirosa675228 күн бұрын
What is the trigger? Earnings won't justify the currnt multiples. But what will trigger the sheep to turn direction.
@chrigicat2 ай бұрын
Of course, if you miss out something like that you have to explain it to your follower and subscriber. Just watch adam khoo`s thought about AI and Nvidia.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
Thanks for sharing
@cooper15072 ай бұрын
If so confident post your PUTS Sven 🥰
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
you can't be confident, impossible to know the timing!
@tomliu63582 ай бұрын
Use PE as final yardstick to conclude your view on all stocks. Gold stocks with PE 7 like 1929, ultra cheap
@albertgammon1182 ай бұрын
It seems you have pretty much missed out on everything
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
I have been compounding since 2002, thus missed on all the risks out there!!!
@paolo4178Ай бұрын
Bubbles are bubbles, nothing to miss out if you are rational, they go irrationally up and then down. Bitcoin final price is Infinite because fiat will go to zero.
@AnyangU2 ай бұрын
See you at the next video, Professor.
@TechPeeves2 ай бұрын
If not AI, where do you recommend investing in Sven? Where is your money at now during this high peak?
@CeleronS12 ай бұрын
Thank you Sven, You are Awesome!
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
Thank you too!
@KraziJoker2 ай бұрын
You can make money off it but it's not worth the risk. Appreciate your thoughts brodie.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@pellahar2 ай бұрын
Since I started investing in 2003 or thereabouts, there has been a number of really big selloffs or crashes. I think you are doing the job of mentoring the younger generations who have only read about them. Experiencing them will change most investors from barging ahead like lions to carefully tiptoing into the markets. But I fear that the younger generations, like my younger self, will ignore the advice of boring oldies and figure it out themselves the hard way. Which is, perhaps, the way it should be.
@MrFrescocotone2 ай бұрын
Apple is a compounder, same as Gougle and Amazon. Nvidia, on top of being grossly overvalued, operates in a very a cyclical industry
@VanillaAttila2 ай бұрын
I agree with AI bubble due to prices coming down, but NVIA is infrastructure with physical goods and at the front of the IP curve.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
for the next 10 years?
@VanillaAttila2 ай бұрын
@@Value-Investing don't know. I just think some other AI companies will run and pop harder during the bubble. AI is a bit different than many bubbles as there aren't that many technology revolutions in our history and AI is one.
@thetjt2 ай бұрын
@@VanillaAttila Well, is it really? It's basically just bots, which have been around for a while... Chinese are using it with robotics etc which is definitely useful... but at least today you simply can not TRUST LLMs to be correct on anything, so that seems to be a problem. I feel A.I. is more of a marketing term than reality. But yes, it will probably replace search engines in the long run, it's just so much easier to use AI to search the data/web.
@davidm14362 ай бұрын
Eventually you'll be right but (fwiw) I have a feeling that this bubble is just beginning; because as opposite to the other bubbles you mentioned, so far the nvidia pop was supported by an equal explosion of profits and free cash flow, not just stories and fantasies on the future. Of course it'll be impossibile to sustain a 35/40% growth on such scale for an extended period of time but in the meantime the fomo and the mania might last for a while.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
could be! I'll watch it from the sidelines!
@mohamadsaleh7792 ай бұрын
We should invest in companies that will benefit from AI, not in AI companies. So, which are these companies you think we should invest in? Thank you
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
hm, or find companies that will not be affected at all
@agz43702 ай бұрын
Lets me guess at no point have you bought into nvidia on the rise? It was always too expensive right ? 🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
for what, the dividend, long-term moat?/
@Repeal2092 ай бұрын
Glad to see even after years of insane growth, complete market dominance, unbelievable margin, and no competition in sight, some are still calling it a bubble
@stex832 ай бұрын
that's true for the past. Here we are trying to see the future trajectory though.
@steventaylor60272 ай бұрын
And it’s cheaper at 1200 than it was at 300
@-jovoc2 ай бұрын
People were saying the same about Tesla a few years ago, now the biggest loser in the S&P 500... Tesla got competition and their margins dropped, the same will happen to NVDA eventually.
@JoelDavis132 ай бұрын
Selling$7,200 AI chips to Tesla and others at $35-40,000 a pop is indeed a bubble! It won't last I promise you!
@Lombardi542 ай бұрын
Sir, you are right about some items being hyped, but AI is real and we are just in the beginning, so not quite a bubble yet. You will eventually be right about a crash, but that won’t come anytime soon.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@williamc42212 ай бұрын
Fama and French identified 5 factors plus momentum as accounting for essentially all of the returns on any investment approach. That includes Warren Buffet's returns. Picking individual stocks is always a fool's errand, even when it works out.
@960john2 ай бұрын
In order to include those factors into an index, you are indeed picking stocks. And factor ETFs are more expensive in terms of fees than do it yourself.
@roberttaylor35942 ай бұрын
I'd say LUCK can be confused with intelligence....
@lorenzoquartaroli7722 ай бұрын
You are talking the truth language 👍 good sven
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks!
@albertgammon1182 ай бұрын
Seeing someone comparing internet bubble to the current AI rally makes me angry. Internet companies those days had terrible balance sheets with little to no profit whereas Nvidias of today have great balance sheets and they are very profitable. Are AI companies overpriced? Yes. Can they go down? Absolutely. But you should get your facts straight
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
the top 10 companies of the S&P 500 in 2000 were GE, Pfizer, Citigroup, Exxon, Cisco, Walmart etc... I didn't know they had bad balance sheets and no profitability
@albertgammon1182 ай бұрын
@@Value-Investing none of the above are internet related stocks. Are you serious?
@NasdaqSlayer2 ай бұрын
Its somewhat true, I can code AI language model basics and i learnt in 4 hours 🤣 but economies of scale and using AI to increase productivity is very powerful
@dma1911.2 ай бұрын
Greetings from Radovljica :)
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
Pozdrav, prinesem ti knjigo en dan :-)))
@dma1911.2 ай бұрын
@@Value-Investing najlepsa hvala 🙏🏼
@vitorvitor43512 ай бұрын
Nvidia is selling way overvalued, with future earnings already in the stock price...it's not for me at this level. My entery price is way lower. Fomo is not for me. Value always.
@guru47pi2 ай бұрын
I always enjoy listening to Sven when I am exasperated by the stock market; when I think 'this makes no fucking Sense. Can everyone see this value isn't justified?' then that stock doubles or triples. I wish I'd listened when he said copper companies were undervalued!
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
Don't worry, opportunities always arrive!
@joostonline51462 ай бұрын
2:15 exactly like bitcoin
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@peterplus20012 ай бұрын
Analysts and traders have always been saying NVDA is way overpriced, then sell and buy back in at a higher price.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
:-)
@iDrive1232 ай бұрын
Long term it will be ok but the correction will definitely be ugly.
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
time will tell!
@iDrive1232 ай бұрын
@@Value-Investing Yes, will be interesting times for those that are reasonably new to investing and haven’t seen a real decline. Such as myself 🤣
@ThanhNguyen-rz4tf2 ай бұрын
The problem with "competition" is Nvidia is defacto monopoly in their backend environment for AI. If you work as an engineer or medium size company, there are virtually no alternative at all. Intel, AMD provide no such smooth, performant development environment at all in comparison with Nvidia. Even big name who tried to develop their own chip (Tesla, Google, Amazon,..) still have to buy Nvidia for their eco system. I don't think Nvidia will go up 3 or 5 times, but it definitely will take advantage of their defacto monopoly.
@inigo25312 ай бұрын
Guys, NVIDIA is growing 75% CAGR during the last 3 years and in this moment, they have no competitor expected to reach them in the next 2-3 years. What valuation would you expect in that situation? The market is not so stupid.
@rodbot55642 ай бұрын
buying and holding bitcoin IS the contrarian move...
@baigani02 ай бұрын
i made 5x with NVIDIA , and didnt listen guys like you that told me that it is bubble, get and ride the train, until it goes. Not financial advice thought
@TheBooban2 ай бұрын
If you follow the herd, you have to do it EARLY! Now its risky. DCA carefully.
@harsharao35552 ай бұрын
Now sell it. It's any day now that this bubble will burst.
@JayKay91120002 ай бұрын
You don’t make any money until you sell. That’s the conundrum.
@PonderDuke2 ай бұрын
Just because you got lucky on price, doesn't mean you know what you are doing. Just like a lottery ticket winner saying you should buy tickets. This channel is about fundamentals, low risk high reward. Not following the hype because the price goes up. I am happy for your gain. But when do you sell? Or don't you sell and why? What's the plan?
@TheBooban2 ай бұрын
@@JayKay9112000 Best thing is that NVIDIA pays a dividend! Thats amazing!
@user-hx1sp2zu6p2 ай бұрын
Lets see in 2 years. Im buying Nvidia. If you lose out then its your headache. Im chasing the money. After split its 120. I will sell and leave @ 200. Easy 80 dollars profit. It cant drop from 120 to 50 but it can go up from 120 to 200
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@kokica0072 ай бұрын
Can you talk more about valuations of these bubble companies? Are they comparable to Tesla of 2021 and all those canabis stocks you are mentioning? Also, at what price would you consider NVIDIA for your portfolio?
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
What are we talking about 30 times sales! For a value portfolio you need a long-term durable moat - within the semis industry, things change fast.
@kokica0072 ай бұрын
@@Value-Investing What price?
@kokica0072 ай бұрын
You did not even analyse the business
@blackdragon3252 ай бұрын
Even if there's a 50% crash, if you call it right once per 10 year or per 20 years, you still lose money over flowing the trends and making money with growth investing during 10-20 years then crash. Howard Marks also spoke about that: you stay so far being not being invested, trying to avoid the crash. You say invest in value stock instead. Wouldn't it be better to make more money following the trends? Certainly more than investing in emerging markets. What do you say?
@Vassarras2 ай бұрын
It's about FUD so you buy his course instead.
@extramild12 ай бұрын
In fairness to Sven, I don't think he is saying don't invest I think he is saying don't overpay. He is saying if you are buying Nvadia for example now you are overpaying for what returns that business will return. Another point is that if a stock crashes 50% most people don't have the stomach or belief to hold that stock. I put myself in that group.
@pnbmpnbm11552 ай бұрын
It does not make any sense to invest now if you're a new investor. At least not the US markets. Wait for reversion to mean.
@laurent772 ай бұрын
some truth to it.. also explains why its so hard to beat the "index" .. over long time !
@Amwatson8012 ай бұрын
I say take the Nvidia chart and tell me explicitly how do you define trend and how do you get in and out effectively to capture that. Then take that same strategy and backtest it on every other trend: how did it work on Bitcoin? how did it work on every other cryptocurrency that no longer exists? how did it work on EV's? how did it work on pot? How many folks get to the Forbes list by playing these games? By "following trends" there is no conviction, so you just end up throwing meaningless amounts of wealth into everything, hoping that prices will go up: for every Nvidia that worked, how many plays did not? And the ones that did work, they likely earned you a return on a meaningless portion of wealth anyway, so you likely didn't get very far. If you put 1% of your wealth in Nvidia or crypto and you 11x that, you obtain the same result as if you get a 2x on 10% of your wealth. Value investing consists in focusing on risk so that you can concentrate meaningful portions of wealth into quality businesses and compound in any environment, regardless of market trends. Catching tops and bottoms only works in hindsight.