I Simulated EURO 2024 10,000 Times.

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James Lawrence Allcott

James Lawrence Allcott

2 ай бұрын

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Many thanks to Craig Edwards from @UnderthePitch!
Here's how the simulation works: • EURO 2024 Simulations:...
In this video, James Allcott simulates EURO 2024 10,000 times and looks at every group, how the knockout stage could look, likely routes to the final and who could win.
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James Allcott content focuses on Premier League, Champions League, EFL Championship talking about Manchester United, Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham, Barcelona, England, Chelsea, Jurgen Klopp, Erik Ten Hag, Mikel Arteta, transfer news, tactical analysis and much more. James has made content with Mark Goldbridge from the United Stand, Rory Jennings, Ben Foster, Spencer FC, The Club, Thogden, JaackMaate, ESPN and many more.
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Пікірлер: 486
@twenty-two8651
@twenty-two8651 2 ай бұрын
Well I simulated it 10 001 times and still have no girlfriend.
@omorodionblessing8608
@omorodionblessing8608 Ай бұрын
Related comment
@bettercalIsaul
@bettercalIsaul Ай бұрын
A bit like England
@mihaistoichescu9745
@mihaistoichescu9745 Ай бұрын
Ok
@Amine_meddah
@Amine_meddah Ай бұрын
Dam same
@PLAsshole
@PLAsshole Ай бұрын
same😢
@Flewisjr
@Flewisjr 2 ай бұрын
After the tournament is finished, can you show what simulation was the closest?
@ramon7473
@ramon7473 Ай бұрын
Very good idea!
@HarryFernandes15
@HarryFernandes15 Ай бұрын
that be very interesting
@sandrobarreto7002
@sandrobarreto7002 Ай бұрын
That would be insane, imagine if one of the 10'000 simulations was actually spot on!
@PLAsshole
@PLAsshole Ай бұрын
yes
@fafaello
@fafaello Ай бұрын
​@@sandrobarreto7002It will be more amazing if somehow the 10 000 simulations won't get it right
@ShaunLevett
@ShaunLevett 2 ай бұрын
That's so like Switzerland to draw every game. Nice and neutral.
@xxx-jw4ur
@xxx-jw4ur Ай бұрын
Fr 😂😂😂
@MrTartancam
@MrTartancam 20 күн бұрын
Hey, it's a plus for us Scots! 😂
@sergeyou2328
@sergeyou2328 18 күн бұрын
Yes swiss is neutral :)
@josephaviles5556
@josephaviles5556 13 күн бұрын
I think they’d call it a positive result 😉
@Stolz_statt_Scholz
@Stolz_statt_Scholz 2 ай бұрын
I mean you need to simulate Bundesliga 18000 times, to get the unbeaten Leverkusen
@awieaffe4278
@awieaffe4278 Ай бұрын
we just good buddy
@gabrielpatrick2051
@gabrielpatrick2051 Ай бұрын
Bro I don't believe 18000 simulations would give us unbeaten Leverkusen Maybe Bayern in some moments, but not Leverkusen
@sallagjanos7288
@sallagjanos7288 Ай бұрын
​@@gabrielpatrick2051 Bayern would get one in like 50, or even less
@PLAsshole
@PLAsshole Ай бұрын
They are unbeaten outside of BuLi too
@PLAsshole
@PLAsshole Ай бұрын
@@sallagjanos7288when was the last time BM had 50 unbeaten games? LK has 49 so far iirc.
@MichaelJones-wh9cy
@MichaelJones-wh9cy 2 ай бұрын
Makes sense if Portugal have a very high likelihood of getting out of their group, means they're less likely to trip up earlier on
@brgracio
@brgracio Ай бұрын
Yeah, in this sim we (Portugal) have more tries than anyone else, so it can make the difference in the number of tournament wins. It would be interesting to see a metric like #tournament wins / # knockout qualifications. That would help remove the bias from having an easier group.
@stephano2996
@stephano2996 Ай бұрын
To be fair its almost harder not to advance to the final 16 😂
@bonglesnodkins329
@bonglesnodkins329 22 күн бұрын
Correct.
@otto_jk
@otto_jk 2 ай бұрын
I think the simulation heavily underestimates how big a difference Germany having the home advantage gives them. There's no way Belgium are bigger favourites than Germany.
@UnderThePitch
@UnderThePitch 2 ай бұрын
Hi, I made the simulations and Germany’s home advantage was taken into account. I think the model favours Belgium as over the past couple years they’ve been a bit more consistent than Germany, who have dropped to 16th in the World Rankings compared to Belgium being 3rd. That paired with Belgium having a much more generous group than Germany (Belgium get out the group 90% of the time compared to Germany’s 84%), I can see why the model has Belgium ahead of Germany. (However, personally I agree with you and think Germany have a good chance)
@otto_jk
@otto_jk 2 ай бұрын
@@UnderThePitch With Belgium and Germany specifically, the simulation also hasn't taken into account how heavily the squads have changed recently. Nagelsmann+Kroos basically makes the Flick era data irrelevant and similarly Belgium have recently lost key players like Hazard and Alderweireld. Also Belgiums consistent dominance against weak teams even though they aren't that good against big teams makes them stronger in the rankings than they actually are.
@antoniobento2105
@antoniobento2105 2 ай бұрын
​You are absolutely right Belgium is very underrated. Also Portugal being favourites doesn't surprise me considering that after the round of 16 they get in the oposite side (meaning they will likely only face France, ​England or Belgium in the finals and not before) and that gives them a huge probabilistic advantage. I had calculated arround 16% chance of them winning but that's with a little bit of bias and hope because I am portuguese. Nice work! :)@@UnderThePitch
@bugchallin
@bugchallin 2 ай бұрын
It’s because Germany is bad
@otto_jk
@otto_jk Ай бұрын
@@bugchallin Germany just beat France
@Aemond2024
@Aemond2024 Ай бұрын
A 1/8 final Netherlands - Portugal, the rematch of the Battle of Nürnberg 2006 would be amazing
@xxx-jw4ur
@xxx-jw4ur Ай бұрын
A rematch of battle of nuremberg will happen and it’ll be absolutely epic
@ruiviegas9879
@ruiviegas9879 28 күн бұрын
according to statistics the outcome will be the same
@roodborstkalf9664
@roodborstkalf9664 28 күн бұрын
Netherlands record against Portugal is abysmal.
@Aemond2024
@Aemond2024 27 күн бұрын
time for revenge
@xxx-jw4ur
@xxx-jw4ur 27 күн бұрын
@@roodborstkalf9664Exactly Portugal dominates them
@tfc91420
@tfc91420 2 ай бұрын
Portugal probably has a top 3 squad in Europe right now, the easiest group and the easiest side of the bracket if they win their group. It makes a lot of sense that they finished top of this tbh.
@joao_monteiro22
@joao_monteiro22 Ай бұрын
you on drugs
@xxx-jw4ur
@xxx-jw4ur Ай бұрын
They have the easiest path
@tfc91420
@tfc91420 Ай бұрын
@@xxx-jw4ur They do yeah. But also you never know how things can play out in a tournament. They could face Scotland/Slovenia/Hungary in the first knockout or they could even face Spain/Italy/Croatia, etc if any of them shit the bed. Or if Portugal messes up in the groups and finish 2nd they could face Netherland/France in the first knockout. They have the easiest side of the bracket but ONLY if they win their group, which they should but you never know.
@xxx-jw4ur
@xxx-jw4ur Ай бұрын
@@tfc91420agree, will be an epic choke if they don’t win group easily and then at least make it to quarter finals
@tfc91420
@tfc91420 Ай бұрын
@@xxx-jw4ur I’m Portuguese and I wouldn’t be that surprised. We seem to always play to the level of the opponent in tournaments. 2016 Euro we finished 3rd in a group of Hungary, Iceland and Austria lol still won the tournament but still was really worrying after that showing. This Portugal squad has much more quality then the team that won the euros though
@josepirate7
@josepirate7 Ай бұрын
Portugal definitely has a squad to win the euros amazing players all around and a mix of youth and experience. Fingers crossed🇵🇹❤️
@rosariorusso7777
@rosariorusso7777 22 күн бұрын
I agree as italian
@nba6124
@nba6124 11 күн бұрын
Até os comemos caralho.
@aninhabitantofcarcosa9345
@aninhabitantofcarcosa9345 6 күн бұрын
If they put in the bench to Felix and Ronaldo they'll have a chance
@sirdoesstuff950
@sirdoesstuff950 Ай бұрын
keeper: clean sheet the entire tournament, even on pens ballon d'or: and the winner of the ballon d'or 2024 is.... MESSI!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@ADK_7
@ADK_7 Ай бұрын
​@SpectreShadow13 no one knows 😂
@brucemccrorie3751
@brucemccrorie3751 Ай бұрын
Vamos Portugal!! 🇵🇹
@sasch_xd6323
@sasch_xd6323 Ай бұрын
🫶🇵🇹🤝​🇷🇴@@dariussalepetru6770
@JoseMiguel-zc2jq
@JoseMiguel-zc2jq 19 күн бұрын
Vamos caralho!
@flytrap1376
@flytrap1376 19 күн бұрын
Pra cima deles
@cristian2994
@cristian2994 Ай бұрын
For Romania would be an Avengers Endgame situation, where we lose in every situation but one 😂
@codiesmith9425
@codiesmith9425 2 ай бұрын
Please can you make an analysis of Arne Slot's tactics and how Liverpool would play with them?
@bigted6351
@bigted6351 2 ай бұрын
I've been waiting for this too. Complete the trilogy after Alonso and Amorim
@ProducerCai
@ProducerCai 2 ай бұрын
👀
@thew5262
@thew5262 2 ай бұрын
Bald n vibes
@JamesLawrenceAllcott
@JamesLawrenceAllcott 2 ай бұрын
Keep an eye on the channel tomorrow! 👀
@Saka_is_overrated
@Saka_is_overrated 2 ай бұрын
Yes PLS!
@kd5973
@kd5973 2 ай бұрын
I would say Portugal are by far the faves. Their form is insane right now. They’re scoring a ton of goals.
@jamesg9468
@jamesg9468 2 ай бұрын
Portugal are up there, but "by far" is a bit fruity. England and France are the joint favourites, followed by Portugal and Spain.
@henriquecaldas835
@henriquecaldas835 Ай бұрын
@@jamesg9468England???? Did you saw they playing football on the last national games?
@Briareos1712
@Briareos1712 Ай бұрын
Well... Germany just beat France, so... Consider putting them up there as well
@craggerrs
@craggerrs Ай бұрын
@@henriquecaldas835 portugal last their last game to slovenia
@adwaitkale315
@adwaitkale315 Ай бұрын
I am a portugal fan but let me tell you they have not faced great teams and i think their first demo test will be against croatia on 8th June. If they play poor then trust me they will be knocked out in the quarters
@TheGreatKerro
@TheGreatKerro 2 ай бұрын
As a Scot, in this moment in time I feel we are going home with no points and no goals.
@tbow6719
@tbow6719 2 ай бұрын
This explains a lot about why Scot’s celebrate other nations beating England as much as their own team winning
@jamesg9468
@jamesg9468 2 ай бұрын
And yet, most English wouldn't mind seeing the Scots do alright. Who is the bigger man here?
@OleAndreasMessi
@OleAndreasMessi 2 ай бұрын
As a Norwegian, atleast you're going...
@TheGreatKerro
@TheGreatKerro 2 ай бұрын
@@tbow6719 being winless in 7 is a killer for the belief machine
@finlaygodfrey8222
@finlaygodfrey8222 Ай бұрын
@@TheGreatKerroinjuries galore as well😢
@hatsoffsam24
@hatsoffsam24 Ай бұрын
The numbers don't lie. I personally feel like Portugal & France are the 2 favs
@telux450
@telux450 17 күн бұрын
Portugal just lost to croatia
@CarlosSilva-cx6oh
@CarlosSilva-cx6oh 16 күн бұрын
​@@telux450England lost to Iceland the day before and France drew with Canada, so the 3 main favourites all slipped a little, it's only friendlies
@10ondra
@10ondra 2 ай бұрын
Love the 8150, where Czech Republic makes the semis.
@BohemianRaichu
@BohemianRaichu 2 ай бұрын
I've been saying that people are sleeping on Portugal. I deserve a cookie.
@bhvillaman4401
@bhvillaman4401 2 ай бұрын
People been saying that since the dawn of time and what have they won? 1 euros?
@BohemianRaichu
@BohemianRaichu 2 ай бұрын
@@bhvillaman4401 more Euros than a fair few countries, including England.
@wesley5900
@wesley5900 2 ай бұрын
@@bhvillaman4401 dos incoming
@user-dt4sb1dw5t
@user-dt4sb1dw5t 2 ай бұрын
Surely that just makes you a bot
@jamesg9468
@jamesg9468 2 ай бұрын
Lol imagine thinking Portugal are a dark horse. Most predictions have England, France and Portugal as the top contenders.
@NotApplicableF1
@NotApplicableF1 2 ай бұрын
These videos are so so so good. Thank you so much again James.
@Argenswiss
@Argenswiss Ай бұрын
That would be the perfect Swiss run. A perfectly neutral run leading to victory
@Ameisenigelytk
@Ameisenigelytk 29 күн бұрын
Austria is so underrated!
@mabusestestament
@mabusestestament 15 күн бұрын
Yes, but many countries are underrated 👍
@LetsTalkFPL
@LetsTalkFPL 2 ай бұрын
Not watched yet but I imagine England win 9,999 times.
@Dwayndibb
@Dwayndibb Ай бұрын
He must be using Pep or Klopp as the manager.
@LeoDragon34
@LeoDragon34 Ай бұрын
Only in an alternate universe
@rosariorusso7777
@rosariorusso7777 22 күн бұрын
Is not about manager but about players and caracter.. when things get heavy english disappear... is about mind and mentality.. thoose guy are not able to overcome out the pressure.. the importance of the game make them shaking and this is about mentality culture trust me guys is this the problem of english🇮🇹🇮🇹
@hudsonrolfe9633
@hudsonrolfe9633 2 ай бұрын
The "more like stimulation" line killed me, something straight out of a skit show didn't know you had it in you James 🤣
@sheilaburrowes9081
@sheilaburrowes9081 Ай бұрын
I adore the retro look on the knockout brackets. It looks like a mid '00s Euros.
@evanmurphy122
@evanmurphy122 2 ай бұрын
I love the thought that someone would want to watch Amerifan commentary for the Euros
@alplop
@alplop Ай бұрын
Enjoying the content and production quality James. Kudos.
@reecevanwyk2579
@reecevanwyk2579 2 ай бұрын
I've been waiting for this video😏❤
@MaksimeUgrekhelidze
@MaksimeUgrekhelidze 14 күн бұрын
who's hear after euros ( come on England )
@paulmshepherd
@paulmshepherd 10 күн бұрын
Switzerland 3 - Hungary 1, would be interesting to run it again with the information from the first games 😂
@BSandman
@BSandman 2 ай бұрын
So there’s going to be a lot of draws and pens in the knockouts and maybe a upset here and there, also a dark horse run as well. Going to be an exciting tournament!
@lewistrundell9466
@lewistrundell9466 2 ай бұрын
Bloody love a JLA video
@xxx-jw4ur
@xxx-jw4ur Ай бұрын
Portugal 🇵🇹 will win insane form atm
@CallumStephens2705
@CallumStephens2705 2 ай бұрын
I did some data crunching and decided that Slovakia are the most likely dark horses outside the obvious teams so put £1 on them to win the whole thing 😂
@joelschittenhelm5571
@joelschittenhelm5571 Ай бұрын
If you put 1 on every Team its not that big of a loss if a favourite team wins but probably a massiv win if an underdog wins
@gartensocke747
@gartensocke747 Ай бұрын
oh yeahh, gamblin!​@@joelschittenhelm5571
@matejsebechlebsky12
@matejsebechlebsky12 Ай бұрын
no, we are weak af
@mabusestestament
@mabusestestament 15 күн бұрын
@@matejsebechlebsky12 Hence “dark horse” 🍻
@mike727272
@mike727272 Ай бұрын
Portugal 🇵🇹🇵🇹🇵🇹❤🎉🎉 Força Portugal 🇵🇹 🍻❤️👏💪💪💪
@Young-fy9jj
@Young-fy9jj 2 ай бұрын
do a vid after euros reflecting to see how accurate it was
@HellowCraft
@HellowCraft 9 күн бұрын
7:44 Yes.
@jakelfc3472
@jakelfc3472 2 ай бұрын
It's teams from group B other than Albania and the winners of group A, C, D and F that will win the overall tournament. It all depends on whether Spain win group B and won't/don't lose all their knockout matches other than the final, or England beat the third placed team in that group (probably not Croatia) and have a shot at facing France (winner of group D) in the semi-final. England are hoping that Portugal (winner of group F) face Germany (winner of group A) in the other side of the draw in a semi-final, so we have a chance of playing the game of our lives to beat France (who I believe only Germany have the beating of). It's possible that the semi final is a repeat of the nations league final Spain vs Croatia, or the World cup final of 2018 being a final between France vs Croatia. That's what the simulator should have told us.
@JosephTaroni
@JosephTaroni Ай бұрын
Wonder if by the end of the tournament any of the simulation got the entire thing spot on
@user-xm1vl6gv8s
@user-xm1vl6gv8s Ай бұрын
I hope Belgium wil win, they are still one of the most undertated teams. In the lost euro they where knocked out by Italy, who won the whole thing, in the world cup they where in a group with Morocco and Croatia, who ended very high in the tournament, and they do won against Canada, they just had hard groups, now they have an easyer one, I think they will surprise us... 🇧🇪🥇👑🔥💯💪🌟
@SinoLegionaire
@SinoLegionaire 2 ай бұрын
It’s official, a Scotsman made this simulation
@jamesg9468
@jamesg9468 2 ай бұрын
Jimbo is part Scotch.
@DiogoSantos-ix5sl
@DiogoSantos-ix5sl Ай бұрын
It feels crazier having England as second favorites than Portugal as favorites… 50 years no titles anyone?
@Voyager.2
@Voyager.2 21 күн бұрын
58 years you mean.
@mabusestestament
@mabusestestament 15 күн бұрын
Because it is 🍻
@Alex-yv4vr
@Alex-yv4vr 2 ай бұрын
10,000 is obviously a lot of sims. But with such variance, it’s probably not a large enough sample size
@Alaiksandr
@Alaiksandr 2 ай бұрын
It would be amazing for England to play Portugal at some point in the knockouts. We have some revenge to dish out.
@Thomas-xi3yd
@Thomas-xi3yd Ай бұрын
Lol it is portugal that have some revenge to dish out
@ADK_7
@ADK_7 Ай бұрын
You'll regret after the game tho Portugal would win if they meet England
@mabusestestament
@mabusestestament 15 күн бұрын
Yes, people may seem to forget that England got so far last time because they (tried to get and actually) got the easiest path *and* at home. Imagine they’re up against a path with the (on paper) biggest countries. I’m not saying they can’t get through, but it gets a lot more unlikely England will make it to the finals. Personally I think semi finals max, quarter finals quite a real possibility.
@froodlenoodle
@froodlenoodle 2 ай бұрын
gotta love the three "first" videos, excited to watch england win 4 times and norway manage to win it 5 times somehow
@Duval-In-The-Wall
@Duval-In-The-Wall 20 күн бұрын
Simulation 5916 is the greatest thing ever 😂
@miken56
@miken56 2 ай бұрын
That simulation noise transition noise sounds like a tech bug in my ear
@kyelldegolla6504
@kyelldegolla6504 Ай бұрын
Honestly with the belgium team rn im not able to say where well end up, but one things for sure if we dont win our group with ease they better just pack up and leave
@empty420
@empty420 2 ай бұрын
It makes senses that portugal is above france taken in consideration the strenght of the groups in the first round due to the group of france being way stronger than the one of portugal the chance of maken it out of the group of portugal is way higher and if they make it out to be first because then you have to face weaker opisition wich means that it less likely for portugal to face an oponent like england or france in the first round of knock-outs this means its more likely to get further in the tournament and win the entire thing -
@roberw1912
@roberw1912 Ай бұрын
I have a dark horse in Germany Florian Wirtz is going to make the difference in his ability to score and give assists.
@adanaliz01
@adanaliz01 Ай бұрын
is there a place where you can see all the simulations?
@Audiostyleable
@Audiostyleable 2 ай бұрын
Love the outro
@deepxgamer2313
@deepxgamer2313 Ай бұрын
portugal we have a soild team this year soild in every position I bewe can reach the final semifinalists euro 2000 finalists euro 2004 2012 semifinalists 2016 winner's
@raphael571
@raphael571 14 күн бұрын
Imagine Portugal wins and ronaldo gets the ballon dor once again after all the memes because of messi last year 😭😭
@abuzerdag
@abuzerdag 28 күн бұрын
I'm actually hopefull for this one as a Turk. Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, Arda Güler... Many big names we have this year. I hope we at least see quarter finals.
21 күн бұрын
Hopefully you got it right and Portugal wins. Would love a Portugal vs England final. Two attacking teams.
@wijnandfens2259
@wijnandfens2259 Ай бұрын
You are the first one who use the right schedule (Best #3 rule) the best numbers 3 are distributed differently over the 1st knock out round, because it is determined from which groups the numbers 3 come from, based on that 'code' it is determined where the country is placed in the next round. Poules vs 1B vs 1C vs 1E vs 1F ABCD 3A 3D 3B 3C ABCE 3A 3E 3B 3C ABCF 3A 3F 3B 3C ABDE 3D 3E 3A 3B ABDF 3D 3F 3A 3B ABEF 3E 3F 3B 3A ACDE 3E 3D 3C 3A ACDF 3F 3D 3C 3A ACEF 3E 3F 3C 3A ADEF 3E 3F 3D 3A BCDE 3E 3D 3B 3C BCDF 3F 3D 3C 3B BCEF 3F 3E 3C 3B BDEF 3F 3E 3D 3B CDEF 3F 3E 3D 3C Great!!! Al the youtubers who made a prediction with 'the Telegraph' schedule are wrong, cause that schedule isn't right. So keep up the good work!
@Cimmi1221
@Cimmi1221 29 күн бұрын
9:15 one of the greatest moments in football was the Aguero goal for Man City to win the Prem. Two goals behind in stoppage time and they ended up winning. THAT is what a fan wants to see. Winning 1:0 is fine. Winning 5:0 is better. But having a full 90 minutes (or more) of your heart in your hands, only to win in the final minutes - THAT is what makes sport great. The most memorable games of football, or tennis, or rugby, have all been those games that played with my emotions, only to hand me a victory at the end. So. For me. Although it would probably give me a heart attack in the moment: having England win on pens three games in a row to win the cup would be SO much better than a comfy 1:0, 1:0, 1:0.
@cindella204
@cindella204 Ай бұрын
I’m based in Washington DC where the embassies like to host watch events, and I’m trying to imagine the British Embassy’s joint watch event for an England v Scotland final, and then what happens when Scotland declares independence the next day 😂
@Burnerlug
@Burnerlug 22 күн бұрын
Lol I love this comment
@edavis6077
@edavis6077 2 ай бұрын
PORTUGAAALLLLLL
@danfowler2810
@danfowler2810 29 күн бұрын
I would love to see your Euro fantasy team. would be a good video
@janice506
@janice506 18 күн бұрын
Everyone has written Scotland off . Who doesn’t love an underdog. Cmon Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
@McLysne
@McLysne 27 күн бұрын
Please learn the different between percentage and percentage points.😊
@ysbrandd
@ysbrandd 15 күн бұрын
I dont know if this aged well, look at the form of the dutch squad! can see them as 1 of the 3 most likely winners right now!
@littlelucy100x8
@littlelucy100x8 2 ай бұрын
Big up Craig
@JonMcglynn
@JonMcglynn 2 ай бұрын
Where’s the SLOT video his stile of playing the man and how he would line out ?
@paulhiggins105
@paulhiggins105 Ай бұрын
I can’t express how funny it would be if Scotland beat England in the final, bring on simulation #5916
@jerichoa
@jerichoa 13 күн бұрын
Round of 16 results: Spain, Germany, Italy, holland, Belgium, France England Croatia
@aloysiusthefish7076
@aloysiusthefish7076 Ай бұрын
The transition sound effect sounds like erupting splooge
@Kbdvlogsfan
@Kbdvlogsfan 2 ай бұрын
The biggest takeaway from this video for me is that Scotland are winning the final against England 😍
@Andy-w33to
@Andy-w33to 2 ай бұрын
Portugal with some mad easy group tax
@levai_84
@levai_84 20 күн бұрын
I would love to see a list of chances
@nestpasunepipe1173
@nestpasunepipe1173 Ай бұрын
can you simulate 10000 more for recent euro so that we can be sure that the simulation works pls
@thomashart3473
@thomashart3473 2 ай бұрын
I really fancy Netherlands to win it, but i dont know why 🤔
@roodborstkalf9664
@roodborstkalf9664 28 күн бұрын
They are always in the mix, but they never win. If coach is choosing a solid midfield (including Koopmeiners and Reinders) and a solid defense (Aké, van Dijk en de Ligt) they have a chance. They can win if they emulate the Italy of the 1980-90's. Accept that you strength is not in attacking players, so strenghten your midfield and only play 2 attackers.
@TheReconJacob
@TheReconJacob 28 күн бұрын
In what parallel dimension does England win the Euros with only 1 goal. You're telling me that the simulation decided that of all the teams to win the world cup on mostly penalty shootouts, it was ENGLAND!?
@CalciatoriCollector0217
@CalciatoriCollector0217 Ай бұрын
Georgia has the highest possibility to get bottom, but nice video 🎉
@PatrickvanStokken
@PatrickvanStokken 2 ай бұрын
Better watch this right away before it gets deleted like the relegation prediction vid!
@bonglesnodkins329
@bonglesnodkins329 22 күн бұрын
Portugal topping the overall probability table basically just reflects their favourable odds during the group stage. If you took the most likely group standings and then ran 10,000 simulations from that point onwards, Portugal would not have that kind of advantage over the other teams.
@thechroniknerd
@thechroniknerd 2 ай бұрын
I love this video! I also hate the sound effects
@eastres6863
@eastres6863 2 ай бұрын
i feel the same way about spain as he feels about england. uncomfortable with the idea that we should be expected to win this group. i think we really need a showing this tournament that gives us some pride and confidence again. hoping for a breakout goalscorer. VIVA LA ROJA
@darrenadams77
@darrenadams77 2 ай бұрын
i would never mentally or financially recover from a Scotland england final. Hadrian's wall would be rebuilt and Wallace could finally rest. CMONNNNN!
@jamesg9468
@jamesg9468 2 ай бұрын
The Scotch will get 0 points and 0 goals, thanks for coming though.
@CohenMore
@CohenMore 17 күн бұрын
@@jamesg9468 Says the boy that "wouldn't mind Scotland doing well", cheers for the motivation James. Yous can boo our anthem all you want, but you won't hear your boos over our singing.
@scottydemalle1907
@scottydemalle1907 28 күн бұрын
I like simulation 8105!
@Thomas-jl8xr
@Thomas-jl8xr 2 ай бұрын
zwitzerland going for the portugal 2016 route
@alexandre4970
@alexandre4970 2 ай бұрын
Damn. We favorites? That means we are crashing out in the group stage.
@gordonlynch3217
@gordonlynch3217 27 күн бұрын
YAAAAAAAAS!!! 3-2 Win against England? I'll take it 😂🎉
@mvd4436
@mvd4436 10 сағат бұрын
This isn't that far off on some of the outcomes so far
@rafa_maia
@rafa_maia Ай бұрын
is there a way for people to use this simulation?
@mitzanu2007
@mitzanu2007 2 күн бұрын
My predictions were like this: Switzerland 1 or 2 in group Hungary good chances for second, but they have to play insane Theres no way Scotland had good chances in this group. Also, regarding Romania, if i wouldve checked their results in the qualifiers, I wouldve had bigger hope for them, which they did prove. If they beat Slovakia they are 2nd.
@casemiro3663
@casemiro3663 Ай бұрын
GERMANY VS FRANCE FINAL
@rosariorusso7777
@rosariorusso7777 22 күн бұрын
And france win for sure.. but i believe england will not go that far😅
@rredy
@rredy Ай бұрын
12:32 czeczia
@peternielsen8723
@peternielsen8723 29 күн бұрын
At home, surely Germany should be in the top 5 favorites. Did the simulation take hometeam advantage into consideration ?
@satirick__5
@satirick__5 26 күн бұрын
Where did he simulate it
@hanys6201
@hanys6201 Ай бұрын
As a Polish dude I can see that group D looks pretty realistic, we gonna finish 4th and just say cy@ to whole Ass EURO 2024
@ricardo_ribeirete
@ricardo_ribeirete Ай бұрын
Let's go Portugal 🇵🇹
@Luke-ft4wo
@Luke-ft4wo Ай бұрын
Bro Serbia coming below Slovenia is MAD
@samuelschonenberger
@samuelschonenberger 2 ай бұрын
Winnimg the tournament drawing every game? We are the Kings of neutrality
@matthewtillett3624
@matthewtillett3624 2 ай бұрын
When’s the Liverpool slot coming ?
@VeronicaMorris-ri5wk
@VeronicaMorris-ri5wk Ай бұрын
1 month to gooooooooo
@calmvibesnamaste9946
@calmvibesnamaste9946 Ай бұрын
Watch out for Hungary!🇭🇺🇭🇺🇭🇺
@petereykyn2537
@petereykyn2537 4 күн бұрын
THAT AGED LIKE MILK😂
@Emerald_Playz
@Emerald_Playz Күн бұрын
@@petereykyn2537now your comment aged more like milk 😂
@Nippleless_Cage
@Nippleless_Cage 2 ай бұрын
Methinks Craig's method overestimates the likelihood of 0-0 draws in every round. 🤔
@gs_bilo
@gs_bilo Ай бұрын
Just put 500€ to Portugal winning the euros. Thanks for your advice
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