Mark & Carrie- No Normal Summers Ever Again

  Рет қаралды 15,343

Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs

Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs

Жыл бұрын

Mark Blyth, political economist at Brown University's Watson Institute, and Carrie Nordlund, political scientist and Assistant Dean for Undergraduate Programs at Brown University, share their take on the news.
On this episode:
Finding nuance in the inflation/recession panic
Could climate legislation actually be passed in the US Congress?!
Heat waves in…well, everywhere
A long goodbye for Boris Johnson
Russia, Germany, the US, and the politics of natural gas
January 6 hearings: rave reviews, renewed for a second season

Пікірлер: 111
@benhill70
@benhill70 Жыл бұрын
I would love Mark and Carrie to talk with Peter Zeihan. I feel Peter is way too confident on the timing of his prediction, but he has an interesting take on current events.
@BigHenFor
@BigHenFor Жыл бұрын
The interest hike is the attempt to be seen doing something, when the damage has already been done. The demand isn't coming from the bottom 40% of the income distribution with nonexistent wage growth and the most consumer debt burden. They got a minute amount of cash from the Covid Helicopter Cash, which was spent on eating, and will suffer from food and energy price hikes and shortages.
@troywalkertheprogressivean8433
@troywalkertheprogressivean8433 Жыл бұрын
Artificially generated shortages at that
@samhazzard3810
@samhazzard3810 Жыл бұрын
It's to profit at the top as usual.
@tonywilson4713
@tonywilson4713 Жыл бұрын
FOR EVERYONE INTERESTED that panel discussion in Berlin where Isabella Weber talks about champagne and strawberries is here -> kzfaq.info/get/bejne/nZObdJZ52MXDeIk.html That comments on strawberries is at 56minutes.
@Daq94
@Daq94 Жыл бұрын
You're the people's champion
@donalodonoghue7554
@donalodonoghue7554 Жыл бұрын
Thank you.
@tonywilson4713
@tonywilson4713 Жыл бұрын
@@donalodonoghue7554 I just found this one as well that's also recent. Its similar to others he's done but its more up to date. kzfaq.info/get/bejne/g72aftmWza_ZnZs.html
@tonywilson4713
@tonywilson4713 Жыл бұрын
@@Daq94 I just found this one as well that's also recent. Its similar to others he's done but its more up to date. kzfaq.info/get/bejne/g72aftmWza_ZnZs.html
@jhkcreates8462
@jhkcreates8462 Жыл бұрын
Hell yeah. That panel was great.
@buzoff4642
@buzoff4642 Жыл бұрын
"labor shortage", industry speak for "My business expectations of cheap labor supply isn't being met." Labor is supposed to be a competitive market. Competition, one of the basic tenets of capitalism. Something economists _should_ _be_ well aware of. There's nothing free, about working from home, watching movies from home, etc. Champagne and strawberries crowd are also spending more for the bulk of their purchases such as food, gas, etc., so not the best example.
@cev12
@cev12 Жыл бұрын
These are great. Like the news coverage and perspective.
@davidwright8432
@davidwright8432 Жыл бұрын
Mark, we won't 'go back to trend' climate-wise. Think of it this way: Take say 5 yr intervals over the next 100 - 150 years. At the end of each 5 yr period, look back and you'll see we were living in the 'good old days', when all (all!) we had to worry about was what was happening then. We're climbing rapidly ever steepening slope. May not be technically perfectly exponential, but you won't get a cup of coffee out of the difference. We've blown it - waited til we were on that part of the exponential beyond our ability to recapture control. Forty years ago: no prob. Now: Hellish prob.
@buzoff4642
@buzoff4642 Жыл бұрын
Buckshot of chaos. The problem with using that to disorient the publics is ... the chaos spins out of control, even by those who seed it.
@curiositycloset2359
@curiositycloset2359 Жыл бұрын
Grand solar maxima
@johnnycto7576
@johnnycto7576 Жыл бұрын
Stopping inflation is a #1 priority for banks, hedge funds and the like. Imagine my mortgage losing 10% of its value?
@webfreakz
@webfreakz Жыл бұрын
You mean they can lend 10% more?
@andywilchsalem2377
@andywilchsalem2377 Жыл бұрын
*Vote for DonaLd Trump!!!!*
@jimbob-robob
@jimbob-robob Жыл бұрын
While making home ownership even more unaffordable? Swings and roundabouts but like casinos the big bankers will always win one way or another... Hell, even the Govt will bail them out these days instead of the regular folk...
@synesthesiafilms
@synesthesiafilms Жыл бұрын
@@andywilchsalem2377 Back to School, learn writing, then we may listen, but like this. No.
@andywilchsalem2377
@andywilchsalem2377 Жыл бұрын
@@synesthesiafilms*
@troywalkertheprogressivean8433
@troywalkertheprogressivean8433 Жыл бұрын
17:57 yup I'm in San Antonio, two months of 100° days.
@landontesar3070
@landontesar3070 Жыл бұрын
almost like the west texas desert is moving east
@minimonkaloyd
@minimonkaloyd Жыл бұрын
Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but snow in the Sierras does little or nothing to feed the Colorado river. It's headwaters are in the Rocky Mountains...more accurately, the Western Slope of the Rockies.
@dashiellrohan981
@dashiellrohan981 Жыл бұрын
It will be interesting to see what West Virginia gets from this bill. Also, it'll be interesting to see what happens to January 6 committee after Liz Cheney is defeated in the Republican primary in Wyoming. To me, it seems there is no incentive at all for Republican states to play along with the Green New Deal.
@tranzco1173
@tranzco1173 Жыл бұрын
Soothsayer.
@rsmith4339
@rsmith4339 Жыл бұрын
I get a sense that I've never gotten before that Fed moves actually have little effect on the economy .
@hextech687
@hextech687 Жыл бұрын
Working for a private equity firm i can tell you that although it doesnt feel like that, it really does. Low rates allow people like us to buy up assets like crazy. It causes immense speculation that does cause prices to rise. The higher the rates the more the risk for companies to speculate.
@tonywilson4713
@tonywilson4713 Жыл бұрын
@@hextech687 Nicely said
@PikachooUpYou
@PikachooUpYou Жыл бұрын
@@hextech687 Price rises(eg the super profits) in non discretionary areas are not hard assets. Those super profits are nothing more than blatant price gouging and are only minimally affected by interest rate rises. You have to destroy the poor and middle class before business greed is even touched.
@johnconnor7299
@johnconnor7299 Жыл бұрын
More often please.
@smurfslut487
@smurfslut487 Жыл бұрын
I feel like electric cars don’t need subsidies since gas is so expensive. Nuclear anyone?
@synesthesiafilms
@synesthesiafilms Жыл бұрын
Saporischschja.
@barkobama7385
@barkobama7385 Жыл бұрын
Not sure I'd want to drive a nuclear car.
@donalodonoghue7554
@donalodonoghue7554 Жыл бұрын
All true about LNG, but it’s important that gas is one of the least bad parts of carbon economy so 30 year payback kind of works.
@tonywilson4713
@tonywilson4713 Жыл бұрын
Also considering that natural gas has far less (basically 1/2) the CO2 emissions then its a far better fuel than coal. I'm an engineer who has worked in gas plants. The basic process of cooling methane down to -170C isn't that hard. Its things like the pipe work, vales and sensors needed for handling cryogenic gas (what industry calls it) that you MUST use high quality materials for and have engineers and technicians who know what they are doing. Other than the obvious combustible nature of LNG there's the danger of getting instant frostbite but oddly the most significant threat is getting the LNG in water. If it leaks into water it literally explodes because water has the right conditions for the LNG to go from liquid to gas almost instantly. In air it just boils but in water that expansion is like an explosion.
@autohmae
@autohmae Жыл бұрын
Maybe I'm wrong, but I couldn't find anything to back up, at this time, strawberries or champagne are going up or down based on the economy, I think climate change might make a dent in the future though.
@jimbob-robob
@jimbob-robob Жыл бұрын
This was good if somewhat bleak....
@jamesp3902
@jamesp3902 Жыл бұрын
Germany already reverted to coal when they shut down their nuclear.
@synesthesiafilms
@synesthesiafilms Жыл бұрын
We are running over 45% on renewables. 131 Terawatts. So your facts, they suck and reveal the clear lack of your efforts.
@jamesp3902
@jamesp3902 Жыл бұрын
@@synesthesiafilms Germany use lignite coal power plants to replace the nuclear power plants they shut down. Due to physics of the plant, these coal plants do not get shut down. On good solar days, Germany leaves these lignite plants running but disconnects the turbines (ref Peter Zeihan). The country then counts this as green energy. kzfaq.info/get/bejne/d7-lbNWdzrqXdmg.html
@donalodonoghue7554
@donalodonoghue7554 Жыл бұрын
Link to Isabella Weber video referenced by Mark?
@tonywilson4713
@tonywilson4713 Жыл бұрын
I found it -> kzfaq.info/get/bejne/nZObdJZ52MXDeIk.html The comments on champagne and strawberries is at 56minutes.
@jhkcreates8462
@jhkcreates8462 Жыл бұрын
kzfaq.info/get/bejne/nZObdJZ52MXDeIk.html
@firefox5926
@firefox5926 Жыл бұрын
28:28 probably add dread scott to it as well...
@Vanderearden
@Vanderearden Жыл бұрын
Unfortunately, Mark never once mentioned the draconian sanctions put on Russia, which makes the maintenance of an LNG pipeline precarious at best.
@tonywilson4713
@tonywilson4713 Жыл бұрын
The sanctions have failed (at least so far). The Russian economy hasn't collapsed and wont, because there's to many buyers for Russia's oil & gas and most importantly FOOD. You can put almost any sanction you like on any country you wont, but when it comes to food and energy politics becomes irrelevant to normal people. Look at Sri Lanka for example. Do you think they care about where their fuel comes from? Plus the Russians are making people pay in Rubles which has driven up the value of the Ruble.
@Vanderearden
@Vanderearden Жыл бұрын
@@tonywilson4713: I think you missed my point. Let me clarify. Mark said Russia is playing monopolist games with Germany by claiming pipeline maintenance, which limits distribution volume and even mentioned, vaguely, how Canada was involved. Sure, Russia might very well be putting the screws to Europe, but there was an issue with the turbine because of sanctions. Siemens is the company that won the contract for the mechanicals on the NordStream pipeline and the turbines did need to be replaced. But because the U.S., Canada and Germany are all sanctioning Russia, and the turbine was built in and shipped from Canada, there suddenly became an issue and delay as to how to deliver a turbine from a sanctioning country to be installed on a sanctioned pipeline. Mark glossed right over that point and pinned the reduction in gas flow solely on Russia being monopolistic.
@tonywilson4713
@tonywilson4713 Жыл бұрын
@@Vanderearden I'm an engineer who's worked in oil & gas plants. I understand the technical argument quite well and AGREE with you on that side. We are actually coming at this from different perspectives. You're pointing out the maintenance aspects of the infrastructure which I understand quite well. I'm trying to point out that the sanctions are not working. I think Peter Zeihan has also made some very misguided claims on the maintenance of oil & gas wells in Russia's far east. He's technically right that if those wells freeze they will be damaged beyond repair. But he's also horribly wrong to think that the Russians haven't learned from the Americans how to take care of those wells. My actual point is that the sanctions aren't having the effect intended. The Russians have other markets to sell their oil & gas to as well as their wheat & barley. I think the Americans are misreading the situation both from what you've said and what I'm saying. At the end of it people in places like Sri Lanka don't care about where their fuel comes from. Others wont care where their food comes from. Others wont care about American exceptionalism.
@Vanderearden
@Vanderearden Жыл бұрын
@@tonywilson4713: I completely agree the sanctions aren't working on Russia as we were told they would. Of course, if part of the sanctions are meant to bilk more money from average citizens of sanctioning countries to the establishment, then they are wildly successful, as the just released 2Q corporate profits can attest. Having said that, these sanctions are a boomerang, as they always end up being, hurting the citizens of the sanctioning countries more than the citizens of the sanctioned countries. America has done this enough, that one would think that average Americans would've figured this scam out by now.
@tonywilson4713
@tonywilson4713 Жыл бұрын
@@Vanderearden Not wrong there look how much the sanctions are either directly causing problems in the West or indirectly being blamed for causing problems in the West. America has been oil independent for almost a decade and has natural gas to export so how is Russian oil affecting gas prices at the pump?
@VernonNickersonSCHOOLCOACH
@VernonNickersonSCHOOLCOACH Жыл бұрын
The biggest point is USA, USA dealing with FINITE NATURAL RESOURCES.
@troywalkertheprogressivean8433
@troywalkertheprogressivean8433 Жыл бұрын
So envious Mark you lucky bastich
@direwolf6234
@direwolf6234 Жыл бұрын
in california 80% of the water is going to agriculture which contributes only 4% to the state's economy and 80% of residential water use is for landscaping so there are huge opportunities to reduce use and practice conservation especially in moving away from water intensive crops like alfalfa and nuts .. at some point water for people will override the diminishing returns from crops and when california can't grow certain species they will be grown in other places that have better water resources ...
@TheTalkWatcher
@TheTalkWatcher Жыл бұрын
he US has not recovered from covid. Empty stores are everywhere. Homelessness has exploded. Stores that used to be 24hrs close at 10pm. The US is in a depression.
@kikolatulipe
@kikolatulipe Жыл бұрын
Hahahah. Fatwa on ESG !
@totonow6955
@totonow6955 Жыл бұрын
Ifs and butts - for pitchforks. LOL Probably a waste of energy in wet bulb temperatures.
@kikolatulipe
@kikolatulipe Жыл бұрын
@26:24 not confortable to prosecute a president ! ? How did u reach to this conclusion!?
@Sneezes_LoL
@Sneezes_LoL Жыл бұрын
Never heard of these guys and after listening I understand why.
@BigHenFor
@BigHenFor Жыл бұрын
And vice versa.
@Sneezes_LoL
@Sneezes_LoL Жыл бұрын
@@BigHenFor I'm not the one making a podcast missing the mark on every issue. Let's try to build a basic understanding before we expect people to listen to us, ok bud?
@tybofborg
@tybofborg Жыл бұрын
@@Sneezes_LoL Missing the Mark, that could be a new episode title.
@buzoff4642
@buzoff4642 Жыл бұрын
Academia. Important to see the mindsets of those who're teaching.
@andywilchsalem2377
@andywilchsalem2377 Жыл бұрын
*VOTE for DonaLd Trump!!!!*
@joekerr3638
@joekerr3638 Жыл бұрын
Nuclear power + desalination plants = civilization
@joekerr3638
@joekerr3638 Жыл бұрын
@Down with Corporate Amerika solar cannot handle a base load like nuclear.
@samhazzard3810
@samhazzard3810 Жыл бұрын
@Down with Corporate Amerika ask those African solar plants, failing for Germany.
@lauramcconney9367
@lauramcconney9367 Жыл бұрын
1/6 total BS ,Wasting time to mislead the people, while they do nothing important!!!
@andywilchsalem2377
@andywilchsalem2377 Жыл бұрын
*But How do you FeeL about My Master, the Lord DonaLd Trump????*
@Confucius_76
@Confucius_76 Жыл бұрын
"The notion of 'we are in recession' is totally devious". OK so you think the whole concept of recessions is stupid? Or just that this one is being overhyped? You'd better not whinge about a 2025 Trump recession (if he wins), if its the former
@bryngerard4334
@bryngerard4334 Жыл бұрын
God help us! Theses two revealed how out of touch with reality they are. It also sounded like the recording had been sped up. Probably to meet some SM requirement that another out of touch professor told them they should use. It is the worst episode I ever listened to. They need to stop earning excessive money, then they may return to reality.
@andywilchsalem2377
@andywilchsalem2377 Жыл бұрын
*DonaLd Trump is the BEST President in ALL of History!!!! Andy WiLch, SaLem, Oregon!!!*
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