Similarities to the 1987 Market Crash

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Reppond Investments, Inc.

Reppond Investments, Inc.

9 ай бұрын

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DISCLOSURES
Comparison of Reppond Investments, Inc.’s strategy to any stock market index is for illustrative purposes only. The volatility of the indices used for comparison may be materially different from the volatility of Reppond Investments, Inc.’s program due to differences in diversification and actual securities held by Reppond Investments, Inc. vs. the market indices. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will be profitable or that you will not lose money.
Reppond Investments, Inc. does not make any representation that our strategies will or are likely to achieve returns similar to those shown in the performance graphs in this presentation. Reppond Investments, Inc. reserves the right to trade different funds within their strategies than those reflected in the models shown. You cannot invest directly in a stock market index, as these are unmanaged, broadly based indices, which differ in numerous respects from the specific portfolio composition. Dividends and income are included in the index returns. The S&P 500 is a trademarked term of the McGraw Hill Company, and index data was compiled from sources we believe to be reliable, however Reppond Investments, Inc. makes no representations or guarantees with respect to the accuracy or completeness of such data.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Therefore, no current or prospective client should assume that future performance would be profitable. The historical performance results for indices and index funds used as proxies for indices are provided exclusively for comparison purposes only, so as to provide general comparative information to assist an individual client or prospective client in determining whether the performance of Reppond Investments, Inc.’s strategies meets, or continues to meet, his/her investment objective(s). It should not be assumed that any Reppond Investments, Inc.’s strategy would correspond directly to any such comparative index.
Different types of investments and/or investment strategies involve varying levels of risk. There can be no assurance that any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investment strategies devised or undertaken by Reppond Investments, Inc. will be profitable for a client's or prospective client's portfolio. All performance results have been compiled solely by Reppond Investments, Inc. and are from sources we believe to be reliable. They have not been independently audited or verified.
Performance from live accounts since 2019 does include our maximum advisory fee of 1.5% per year. All other data and charts do not include a maximum advisory fee of 1.5% per year.
Performance results of the strategies developed by Reppond Investments, Inc. do not reflect the impact of federal or state income taxes a client would pay on gains in a taxable investment portfolio.
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Пікірлер: 91
@dumbcat
@dumbcat 8 ай бұрын
around 12 months ago one of the Fed officers said rates had to rise to 7%. it was news for a few days until people quickly forgot
@lowtech_1
@lowtech_1 9 ай бұрын
I remember the 87 crash, note 4yrs later 10.6% unemployment .Got layed off 😢.
@brenyz5013
@brenyz5013 8 ай бұрын
Yeah, I remember it very well we were in the construction business the phone calls reduced by 95% me and my brothers all just purchased houses it wasn’t had a fun time at all!!
@seymourrivers6169
@seymourrivers6169 9 ай бұрын
We have 5% circuit breakers now to slow a fall. I appreciate this episode 🎉
@dumbcat
@dumbcat 8 ай бұрын
circuit breakers halt trading, but do they prevent prices from opening even lower after the breaker is removed?
@fallingfeather21
@fallingfeather21 8 ай бұрын
HAH!! Lotta good that'd do!!
@Metamace
@Metamace 8 ай бұрын
@@dumbcatThey do not. Multiple breakers can trigger in a same day, this happened multiple times with multiple days during 2020.
@seymourrivers6169
@seymourrivers6169 8 ай бұрын
After circuit breakers trip three times in a trading session. Markets close for the day. Helps to calm the extreme emotions from traders having the time off to regroup. It doesn’t eliminate a big move but it does slow it down and limit the extreme.
@PaulLobosco
@PaulLobosco 8 ай бұрын
Excellent work here. Ben you seem to have a real grasp of the issues and challenges the market faces. I noted the 1987 comparisons in my latest Newsletter also. Definitely not a time to 'buy the dip', IMHO.
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Thank you. Appreciate your kind words.
@nds9777
@nds9777 8 ай бұрын
BEN ¡¡¡ YOU DESERVE WELL OVER 100K SUBS. THANK YOU FOR ALL YOU DO¡¡
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Thank you
@istvanpraha
@istvanpraha 8 ай бұрын
Reminder that housing market is frozen because of prices not rates. Sellers got insanely greedy and think peal “people are leaving NYC in a panic” prices are now the real, long term prices. They can’t be because not enough rich people want overpriced dumps. Interest rates rising were just icing on the cake
@davidotness6199
@davidotness6199 9 ай бұрын
Thank you sir from this in his mid-70s Alaskan.
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 9 ай бұрын
Thank you David. Greetings from Montana
@muratkonuklar3910
@muratkonuklar3910 8 ай бұрын
Great Explanation ! Thanks !
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Thank you
@Sollicitus_civis
@Sollicitus_civis 8 ай бұрын
As always, thanks Ben!
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
My pleasure!
@tradergurlnancy1551
@tradergurlnancy1551 9 ай бұрын
I did some serious tax loss harvesting yesterday (10/3) and it is such a relief to get those monkeys off my back 😅 All long term holdings that have been underperforming for the past 2 years. Now I am sitting on a boatload of cash, but afraid to continue investing in these markets. Most of my holdings are long term dividend aristocrats. I am 66 and need those dividends for my future retirement, and would like to increase them through investments. I have zero debt😊 I know I've said it before, but your info is pure gold!
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 9 ай бұрын
Thanks so much Nancy. 😄
@johnboston2298
@johnboston2298 9 ай бұрын
I agree Ben that we are in a bear market . I do have several short positions. Your talk on the 1987 crash and something breaking has led me to look at GDX at this time . Not sure if you follow the bullish percent on gold stocks but it's at a low not seen since last year . Maybe a good hedge for a while. I really enjoy your videos and have passed your channel along to many of my friends .thank you Ben
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Thank you. When I look at past bear markets, I see different asset classes in each one performing best. In other words, there does not seem to be ONE defensive asset class that is consistent. Even inverse positions can be a very rough ride. You can always see what you should have done in retrospect. My preference is money market funds. Just sit on the sidelines and take no risk.
@gianmariamalmesi4133
@gianmariamalmesi4133 8 ай бұрын
You sir sold at the worst possible time. Don't count on those dividends to keep growing, specially for highly indebted companies.
@jondesfersg
@jondesfersg 8 ай бұрын
Amazing work and content. This is my first time wathcing your channel. Why didnt i discover you earlier....
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Thank you so much.
@vaughnmcguire5214
@vaughnmcguire5214 8 ай бұрын
this was great. Thank you
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it!
@GiddyupArtist
@GiddyupArtist 9 ай бұрын
Thank you Ben, I very much trust your opinion.
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 9 ай бұрын
Thank you very much
@rudeawakening3833
@rudeawakening3833 8 ай бұрын
At 8:00 Bonds going down . ABOUT 6 months ago Jeffery Gundlach aka - THE BOND KING stated on the world stage - “ BONDS ARE GOING DOWN ! “ If the BOND KING says don’t buy bonds …
@TheIvyLens
@TheIvyLens 8 ай бұрын
I remember that. Fortunately people could work from home or run a business from their phone, so the struggle was manageable.
@darrenmcinerney2212
@darrenmcinerney2212 9 ай бұрын
Thanks very much 👍.
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 9 ай бұрын
Very welcome!
@heinzbucksandcastle2053
@heinzbucksandcastle2053 8 ай бұрын
There was so much chaos, we didn't even know how many points the indexes dropped. The computers were not able to handle all that volume.
@nds9777
@nds9777 8 ай бұрын
Thanks Ben¡¡ the Crash has started IMO...but will take months do deflate the bubble.....NVIDiA bubble popping may help spwed it up 😂
@sunshineandhappiness6014
@sunshineandhappiness6014 8 ай бұрын
I guess no one cares about a possible crash as the market was up up up today. Thank you for the video. 😊
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
There is a lot of risk in the market today. And yet it can continue to go up. Aka 1929, 1987, 2006 and 2021. Be careful.
@gianfrancobergagna4024
@gianfrancobergagna4024 8 ай бұрын
Look at the markets! Super overvalued!
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Agreed
@Wilberthe3rd
@Wilberthe3rd 9 ай бұрын
Where do you see all that cash coming out of the bond market, end up in? What assets are attracting the cash flow?
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 9 ай бұрын
I have heard that it is going into money market funds and hedge funds. Only the wealthy get access to the hedge funds. Good question
@patentexperts1675
@patentexperts1675 9 ай бұрын
Listen; I've been saying for months - the Fed raising rates has very little to do with controlling rampant inflation and mostly to do with saving the dollar. Let me me know your thoughts?
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 9 ай бұрын
That is entirely possible
@patentexperts1675
@patentexperts1675 9 ай бұрын
There is always the "good reason" for doing something and then there is the real reason. @@Reppondinvestments
@patentexperts1675
@patentexperts1675 9 ай бұрын
So, if the Fed is possibly raising rates to save the dollar from the massive sell offs by China etc. will the Fed stop raising rates and/or pivot due to the inflation rate dropping????@@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Makes sense to me.
@Earth67Mars48
@Earth67Mars48 8 ай бұрын
Compare the charts of SPX and Bitcoin. Very similar. It portends a drop in SPX.
@TWPeeps
@TWPeeps 8 ай бұрын
Looks like u might have some good hunting and fishing up there? Good insight videos!
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Very much so.
@chrisjoyce6321
@chrisjoyce6321 8 ай бұрын
Bonds oversold, really. Based on what. When credit risk goes up, and it is continuously due to US govt debt levels being completely unsustainable plus credit rating downgrades etc etc, then existing bonds priced at low rates have to fall to compensate for risk. Similarly new issues need higher coupons upon issuance. Ylds will only continue to go up.
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Agreed
@istvanpraha
@istvanpraha 8 ай бұрын
If UAW gets half of what they want….it confirms a wage price spiral is about to explode. I already see signs of one here
@macabrew
@macabrew 8 ай бұрын
Despite playing the upside on this bounce, I'm still very skeptical and watching for extreme volatility.. Sometime still feels off, and has for a while. Also thank you for sharing your wisdom
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Agreed
@lord.hcasano7697
@lord.hcasano7697 8 ай бұрын
Hello, I enjoyed this wonderful and really useful explanation very much. I am looking for a violent decline, not a soft one. Question: What is your expectation for Bitcoin? I heard analysts saying that it is possible for it to reach 8000k.
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Thank you. I am not a Bitcoin expert. But it seems to be attracting a lot of attention. I am also not sure of the upside potential. One thing I do know is that it is extremely volatile. Not for the faint of heart.
@istvanpraha
@istvanpraha 8 ай бұрын
Economy feel worse now. You need dual income six figures to exist and there aren’t enough of them to keep an economy running
@franciscirillo836
@franciscirillo836 8 ай бұрын
The 1% of rich Americans think of how to invest their money to increase their wealth during the recession. While the 99% of struggling hard-luck Americans think of how to survive without food and daily necessities in the recession and the coming hyperinflation. I intend to invest long term. just getting slightly stuck on how I balance my percentage portfolio between equity vs bonds. Low risk is good for me. Any tips
@gianfrancobergagna4024
@gianfrancobergagna4024 8 ай бұрын
The next time will be much worse than October 19/87
@joland119
@joland119 8 ай бұрын
What happened to the red/green sma overviews?
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
They are published on my Wednesday videos. That comes out today
@acollegekid
@acollegekid 8 ай бұрын
What’s the channel that that 1 video clip came from?
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
See below. kzfaq.info/get/bejne/e9RjdMeqtZfdj6s.html
@vicwiseman6038
@vicwiseman6038 9 ай бұрын
My return for 23 thus far is 20%. I am in cash until we crash. 😅
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Congratulations
@rexmundi273
@rexmundi273 8 ай бұрын
I'm in short term US treasuries.
@dwcola
@dwcola 8 ай бұрын
I have to believe that world markets will ultimately contract significantly with the stress of higher rates and pandemic stimulus running short. Job loss is lagging but sure to get here eventually. Once cosumers see their 401k's shrink, there is a higher level of unemployment, credit card bills mounting, checking accounts diminishing, then things should reverse. If I had to guess, I would say the start shoul be the middle of 2024 with a full fledged draw down in 13 months (late October 2024). I'm hoping the 10 year drops under 3%. From there, my fear is that we are trapped in a decade of inflation due to massive global debt levels having been spent, with a new normal or 10 year rates above 4% climbing to over 6% at the end of the decade as we add more debt to pay for the existing debt.
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Agreed. Thank you
@igglybiggly6951
@igglybiggly6951 8 ай бұрын
Thoughts on parking some money in hard assets like gold/ silver?
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
I don’t personally park money in gold or silver. I buy physical silver as an insurance policy against the long term devaluation of paper currency. I hope I never need it. Money that is parked is in money market funds.
@JBTHERANTINGSCOTSMAN
@JBTHERANTINGSCOTSMAN 9 ай бұрын
Why is the debt clock counting Down to zero within 9 days time ??and also it reads Gold is 0% to the dollar ??
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
When I look at the debt clock I don't see what you are referring to. www.usdebtclock.org/
@JBTHERANTINGSCOTSMAN
@JBTHERANTINGSCOTSMAN 8 ай бұрын
@@Reppondinvestments sorry I’ve misunderstood it ,it’s the dollar supply I was looking at ,thank you for replying back ,love your contact ,I’m from Scotland uk
@bagboy_DEFI
@bagboy_DEFI 8 ай бұрын
I woke up 2weeks ago and I don’t know how I came about this but I did as it was the year I was born…now that iam see present videos off that theory let’s me know iam on to something
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Thank you
@zachaca
@zachaca 8 ай бұрын
Might need to buy a few SQQQ shares...
@Fuk_Xin
@Fuk_Xin 8 ай бұрын
NOT similarities but EXACT COPY CAT...
@antpoo
@antpoo 9 ай бұрын
Consumer price Inflation can be reduced by non fiscal and monetary means, This is where particular types of. ‘Emergencies’ can be orchestrated, not out of malice, But for the common good. In emergency situations, people stop spending, global trading will reduce thus easing pressures on currency valuation inflation and consumer spending inflation, so central banks can continue monetary inflation without immediate consequence. I’m anticipating some sort of disaster or. emergency. If the fed is between a rock and hard place, if they damned if they do and if they don’t, the only other option I see is to go after Psychology, change behaviour. The mathematics have no plasticity, but the human certainly does. Seems like the weakest link in this Macro economic puzzle.
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Makes sense
@ism9l
@ism9l 9 ай бұрын
It's bad news for investments.
@tradergurlnancy1551
@tradergurlnancy1551 9 ай бұрын
Unfortunately, it is. 😕
@carloschu7127
@carloschu7127 9 ай бұрын
Buy Covered Calls to hedge downside, but only with good stocks
@RyderG1623
@RyderG1623 9 ай бұрын
Oh it will crash
@goodbodha
@goodbodha 8 ай бұрын
The Fed is making a massive mistake. Fed should drop rate to 3% or so ASAP. That would still be above inflation target, but it is low enough that a lot of markets would start to work again. Residential real estate could work with that. Commercial real estate should be able to work with that and save the banks from the failures that will otherwise occur. Government debt would then have a chance to not sink us in the next few years Or we all wait for the collapse that is coming. Who thinks the federal government can service this level of debt? Who thinks the banks will survive the commercial real estate collapse? Who thinks locking people into a home over a mortgage rate is good for the national labor market?
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 8 ай бұрын
Well said. Thank you.
@ryanbaileyboxing
@ryanbaileyboxing 9 ай бұрын
My favorite finance channels besides this one: Mondays: Earn your leisure market Mondays Tuesdays: Wallstreet looks like us now network, Reppond Investments Wednesday: Reppond investments Also, melanin money podcast and peter Schiff show, Palisades gold, the RO Show wealthion, Joseph Carlson For crypto: Ivan on tech, crypto banter, cryptosrus Make my week complete!
@Reppondinvestments
@Reppondinvestments 9 ай бұрын
Thank you Ryan
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