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Strong American Growth (and Something to Worry About) || Peter Zeihan

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Zeihan on Geopolitics

Zeihan on Geopolitics

Ай бұрын

If you don't want to start your day with beautiful beach views and economic forecasts, you may want to skip the video. Today we'll be discussing recent changes to the US economy and what future impacts might look like.
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@gingerkilkus
@gingerkilkus Ай бұрын
My greatest concern is how to recover from all these economic and global troubles and stay afloat especially with the political power tussle going on in US.
@leojack9090
@leojack9090 Ай бұрын
Inflation already have a significant impact on individuals and their cost of living. As a result, it can cause negative market sentiment. It is important for individuals and businesses to find ways to navigate and potentially mitigate the effects of inflation on their finances. The current economic climate, including underperformance of financial markets due to fear of inflation, has led to a decrease in the value of my portfolio. I would appreciate any recommendations on how to potentially increase returns during this market downturn.
@fadhshf
@fadhshf Ай бұрын
The stocks are pretty unstable at the moment, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of folks gaining over $90k just in a matter of weeks/couple months, so I think there are a lot of wealth transfer in this downtime if you know where to look.
@LucasBenjamin-hv7sk
@LucasBenjamin-hv7sk Ай бұрын
Such market uncertainties are the reason I don’t base my market judgements and decisions on rumours and here-says, got the best of me 2020 and had me holding worthless position in the market, I had to revamp my entire portfolio through the aid of an advisor, before I started seeing any significant results happens in my portfolio, been using the same advisor and I’ve scaled up $450k within 2 years, whether a bullish or down market, both makes for good profit, it all depends on where you’re looking.
@hasede-lg9hj
@hasede-lg9hj Ай бұрын
@@LucasBenjamin-hv7sk Could you kindly elaborate on the advisor's background and qualifications?
@LucasBenjamin-hv7sk
@LucasBenjamin-hv7sk Ай бұрын
There are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with Annette Marie Holt for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
@Riggsnic_co
@Riggsnic_co Ай бұрын
Our economy struggling with uncertainties, housing issues, foreclosures, global fluctuations, and pandemic aftermath, causing instability. Rising inflation, sluggish growth, and trade disruptions need urgent attention from all sectors to restore stability and stimulate growth.
@kevinmarten
@kevinmarten Ай бұрын
Things are strange right now. The US dollar is becoming less valuable because of inflation, and other powerful nations waking up to trade in their own currencies. Good thing is, a lot of people still turn to the Dollar because of the safety is somehow assures. I'm worried about my retirement savings of about $420,000 losing value because of these factors and more. Where else can we keep our money?
@Jamessmith-12
@Jamessmith-12 Ай бұрын
It's a delicate season now, so you can do little or nothing on your own. Hence I’ll suggest you get yourself a financial expert that can provide you with valuable financial information and assistance
@JacquelinePerrira
@JacquelinePerrira Ай бұрын
Very true! I've been able to scale from $50K to $189k in this red season because my Financial Advisor figured out Defensive strategies which help portfolios be less vulnerable to market downturns
@kevinmarten
@kevinmarten Ай бұрын
I find this intriguing. Could you please provide me with the means to get in touch with your Adviser? I am concerned about my dwindling portfolio.
@kevinmarten
@kevinmarten Ай бұрын
Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service?
@aidan5715
@aidan5715 Ай бұрын
Peter Zeihan here, coming to you from the lost city of R'lyeh, the resting place of Cthulhu.
@christianmolick8647
@christianmolick8647 Ай бұрын
That is not dead which may eternal lie and with strange eons even death may die.
@darrenwhitaker1015
@darrenwhitaker1015 Ай бұрын
Long may He slumber…
@ChurchofCthulhu
@ChurchofCthulhu Ай бұрын
Cthulhu fhtagn! Join the First United Church of Cthulhu before it's too late!!!
@roguejoe
@roguejoe Ай бұрын
Ia! Ia!
@charlesbuck4233
@charlesbuck4233 Ай бұрын
A thousand thumbs up for the HPL reference.
@ScentlessSun
@ScentlessSun Ай бұрын
Peter Zeihan here, coming to you from the Sea of Tranquility on the Lunar surface.
@abdallemadar5658
@abdallemadar5658 Ай бұрын
Loool
@kevinquinn7645
@kevinquinn7645 Ай бұрын
Peter's like Chickenman: He's everywhere, he's everywhere.
@HankSemoreButz
@HankSemoreButz Ай бұрын
He’s really in Never land. The US economy is not doing well…
@wishuhadmyname
@wishuhadmyname Ай бұрын
In absolute terms sure. Relative to the rest of the world...
@gagamba9198
@gagamba9198 Ай бұрын
@@HankSemoreButz I like the irony of him telling this fable whilst wearing rose-coloured glasses.
@matthewobrien5925
@matthewobrien5925 Ай бұрын
Yeah the $1,200 we gave workers was the problem.... not the free $10,000,000 my business got in PPP loans, ERC credits, and low interest EIDL Loans.
@matthewgoedtel5998
@matthewgoedtel5998 Ай бұрын
It's ridiculous when I hear people say such a small amount has allowed people to remain jobless for all this time.
@Medicine91
@Medicine91 Ай бұрын
The PPP (payroll protection program) were to keep many people from getting laid off. The loans became grants if over 80% was spent on payroll. Lots of people were getting paid despite not working because of those programs. There was a massive increase in unemployment insurance. People making $10/hr were getting $16/hr equivalent in UI payments. We had a taste of UBI. Massive increase in demand from gov spending but reduced supply from supply disruptions and many people not working (COVID restrictions and vaccine policies). That’s textbook inflation. Literally the first three chapters of any intro to Econ textbook teaches this.
@hopposai787
@hopposai787 Ай бұрын
@@Medicine91 MULTIPLE studies show that more than half something around 60% of all inflation came from corporate price gouging and had little to nothing to do with the stimulus. another way to see this as just an excuse is every year we create the same amount of money and funnel it into wall street, defense spending, subsidies and others. yet we don't have massive price spike when a trillion is funneled into boeing or wall street. the moment that money went somewhere other than their pockets suddenly we had to have the excuse of inflation so they could scoop all that money back up and out of your hands.
@protorhinocerator142
@protorhinocerator142 Ай бұрын
With approximately $2T of "stimulus" going to people who are not me, and about 333M people living in the USA, that equates to almost exactly $6000 per person. I know that inflation has driven the cost of things up higher than that in the last 4 years. If your expenses have gone up $400 per month, then that $6K of stimulus would have been burned through in 15 months. But we've had crazy inflation for several years now. This is a little trick I call math. The numbers just don't jibe. And it wouldn't be a PZ video this close to election time without him taking a swipe at Trump. He's basically blaming Bidenflation on Trump's last days in office when Trump caused ????? to happen and he should be ashamed of himself. Of course it has nothing to do with Biden's drunken sailor approach to handing out money to all his donors. Compare this to Trump turning the horrible Obama economy around almost instantly upon taking office and indeed after he got elected, just knowing the adults would be in charge again caused businesses to re-shore for the first time in decades. But since that technically started while Obama was still in office in the months before Trump swore in, Obama took the credit for that. And nearly all the Libs insist that the good economy of the Trump years was based solely on Obama doing ????? in his last days in office. Of course they can never tell us precisely what ????? was, and none of them were promising to do ????? once Trump was gone. And why didn't Obama simply do ????? in his first year in office? Why did he wait for his last months in office to do ????? and make Trump look good? And why doesn't Biden do ????? today to fix the economy? Makes you wonder. Because the truth is, Obama and Biden went well out of their way to destroy everything they touched. They couldn't do anything right. Trump used sound business practices and stalwart leadership to fix the things Obama broke. Specifically (there's that word again) Trump pushed for immediate tax cuts, de-regulation, ending the war on energy, renegotiating foreign trade deals in our favor, and hosting peace talks to make long time enemies cool their heels and not start new wars. Russia was particularly boxed in by Trump's leadership, coupled with lowered oil prices, which cut off Russia's oil revenue. Bush - Russia invades Georgia. Obama - Russia invades Crimea. Trump - Russia sits in the corner like a good little boy and doesn't invade anyone. Biden - Russia attacks the rest of Ukraine. The difference here in leadership is night and day. Trump did specific things to make the US economy run like a Swiss clock. The other three broke things and didn't have a specific pro-American plan. Obama blamed everything bad he did on Bush, even 8 years in. Then he took credit for the things Trump fixed after he left. Biden (and PZ in this video) are still blaming Trump for Bidenflation, while simultaneously insisting there's not even a problem so stop worrying. Also while we're on the subject of the blame game, remember when Biden pulled out of Afghanistan without a SOFA agreement and the place collapsed instantly into chaos? He blamed Trump because Trump made a lousy plan for withdrawal. If Trump's plan was lousy, then why did you go through with it? You should have had your military experts review the plan, de-lousify it, and then go forward with your brilliant Biden plan for withdrawal instead. Even taking Biden at his word, he's admitting he's a lousy leader. This is the best case scenario, with me being VERY generous to Biden. He's a lousy leader. A wise leader would have torn up Trump's plan if it was bad. Back to reality, both Obama and Biden were horrible for the country. Bush Jr. wasn't much better. Donald Trump was easily the best President we've had in the last 100 years. We needed a "Reagan on steroids" and that's exactly what he is. We don't have anyone else with his business experience, leadership, and proven track record of success. Trump is the only sane choice.
@iExploder
@iExploder Ай бұрын
@@protorhinocerator142Instead of saying all that, could you not have just said "I am profoundly mentally challenged" and saved us the IQ damage?
@andreqasparian1008
@andreqasparian1008 Ай бұрын
Zeihan sounds like he knows what he's talking about until he touches a subject you actually know something about, and then you realize he just confidently asserts his high-school-level-of-understanding mental model to everything.
@Paul-cu9lu
@Paul-cu9lu Ай бұрын
I don't know where all that stimulus went. I can tell you where it didn't go, anywhere near me. I had to work all throughout the myriad lockdowns and BS because I was considered "essential". I didn't see any hazard pay, stimulus, or anything else the millions who sat at home and got paid twice my weekly income got.
@Leftatalbuquerque
@Leftatalbuquerque Ай бұрын
Me too - my father owned a truck repair shop and we also are farmers. Essential.
@gcgrabodan
@gcgrabodan Ай бұрын
Are you sure u did not receive the 900 and 1400 dollar checks?? very unlikely, unless you earned like over 100k income or so. and the fact that you did work and ypur company didnt shut down might also be tha ls to the stimulus others received. Think it through
@MongooseTacticool
@MongooseTacticool Ай бұрын
It's funny how "essential", mostly minimum wage workers, could be exposed to this allegedly super dangerous virus. I was delivering pizza at the time, and we were busier than ever during that period. People with better paid, mostly office jobs, could stay at home getting paid for nothing.
@HankSemoreButz
@HankSemoreButz Ай бұрын
Peter can be objective when he wants to. Other times, he tries to overlook the factual when it conflicts with his ideology
@dylanforest4296
@dylanforest4296 Ай бұрын
​@@gcgrabodancould you explain? I find it ironic that someone with your grammar is telling anyone to think anything through
@Fred-rv2tu
@Fred-rv2tu Ай бұрын
Peter looking like he’s going to ask what kind of American you are with those glasses
@HankSemoreButz
@HankSemoreButz Ай бұрын
😂
@addygreen8919
@addygreen8919 Ай бұрын
lmao, the scene with the guy in civil war is crazy.
@Fred-rv2tu
@Fred-rv2tu Ай бұрын
@@addygreen8919 I couldn’t be bothered to watch the movie, that scene was just meme’d
@tsubadaikhan6332
@tsubadaikhan6332 Ай бұрын
What Movie? I thought that was a Doco of current USA?
@Eterna7Plays
@Eterna7Plays Ай бұрын
Underrated comment
@NotThereJustGone
@NotThereJustGone Ай бұрын
My favorite part is Peter doing everything he can to avoid saying that but for insane fiscal policy and reckless spending, we'd be in a recession at the moment.
@georgeditzel3504
@georgeditzel3504 Ай бұрын
Being and not being is two different things. Your grifter in chief drove interest to zero and left no tools for the feds.
@NotThereJustGone
@NotThereJustGone Ай бұрын
@@georgeditzel3504 Is this a translation? I can't figure out what you are trying to say. Please explain.
@buyallmeans425
@buyallmeans425 Ай бұрын
Peter lost my ear when he said Biden by a landslide. That's just a delusional statement. Biden might win but landslide? Just stupid.
@hjones4922
@hjones4922 Ай бұрын
Well, yeah. Loosening fiscal policy is how you avoid or get out of recessions. It's the right thing to do.
@NotThereJustGone
@NotThereJustGone Ай бұрын
@@hjones4922 We've run deficits for 24 years, racking up trillions of dollars in debt. Have we been in a recession or on the verge of a recession for the last two decades? You're describing a short term solution to a problem. But our reckless fiscal policies, which have been enacted under both Republicans and Democrats, have become longterm conditions. That is to say nothing of our ridiculous monetary policies. We've printed and pumped $20 trillion dollars of money into the economy through quantitative easing. We did that for a decade and a half. Even assuming QE is effective in the short term, it didn't need to continue for four presidencies. So, no, what we've done isn't the right thing to do. But our chickens are finally coming home to roost.
@gmvs62
@gmvs62 Ай бұрын
The middle class is shrinking Peter. But hey the stock market is up.
@jimmylam9846
@jimmylam9846 Ай бұрын
Sure....the Fed is feeding it with newly printed money.
@melissachartres3219
@melissachartres3219 Ай бұрын
The lack of commercials in his vids let me know that he's being compensated by some other source. I suspect that he's a paid cheerleader/promoter for the U.S. government. His messages are always inordinately positive and cheerful and never lay blame at the feet of Uncle Sam.
@Withnail1969
@Withnail1969 Ай бұрын
@@melissachartres3219 It's a case of telling Americans happy stories
@ChadOlson-of1bh
@ChadOlson-of1bh Ай бұрын
The cost of a fast food meal is equivalent to one hour worked or higher. Restaurants are closing in masse. Credit card delinquency rates are the highest they’ve ever been. 401k early withdrawal rates as well. Automotive is on life support. Employment rates of non immigrants has been declining for some time. Food prices are 60% higher than just a few years ago. So sure…great economy.
@ebirch90
@ebirch90 Ай бұрын
Corporate profits are at all time highs
@tuele4302
@tuele4302 Ай бұрын
Eating out that often is a great way to stay poor.
@DoodleHats
@DoodleHats Ай бұрын
@@tuele4302 the price of sushi is too damn high!
@jimluebke3869
@jimluebke3869 Ай бұрын
Peter is basically an access journalist -- he has to say what the administration and its strategists want him to say, or they'll cut him off from his information feeds.
@scrout
@scrout Ай бұрын
Dollar amounts are easy up 20% due to inflation with zero increase in actual output.
@LKenjiF
@LKenjiF Ай бұрын
My favorite part of covid was the part where all the people who got laid off from the place I work ended up making more money than the people still working.
@Chris-es3wf
@Chris-es3wf Ай бұрын
Biden gotta keep buying those blue votes... now illegal immigrants will get to vote (blue). What a racket...
@tsubadaikhan6332
@tsubadaikhan6332 Ай бұрын
You must earn a shit salary if one $1,200 payment was more than you'd make in 2 years.
@janitorizamped
@janitorizamped Ай бұрын
​@@tsubadaikhan6332you must not have a job.
@Justmekpc
@Justmekpc Ай бұрын
That shows how bad the pay is where you work
@Traffi.c
@Traffi.c Ай бұрын
@@tsubadaikhan6332Unemployment Insurance was paying people $1100/week
@timothywood2914
@timothywood2914 Ай бұрын
It's got to be those rose color glasses that Peter is wearing.
@byrnespub
@byrnespub Ай бұрын
I wonder if Peter gets paid for product placement. He always has cool glasses. Of course, in 5 years we'll look back and laugh at them.
@Kingdom007Hearts
@Kingdom007Hearts Ай бұрын
Peter Zeihan here, coming to you from inside the Starship Enterprise
@nicholassmith7984
@nicholassmith7984 Ай бұрын
"Here's the problem with the Federation's economic model..."
@dendostar5436
@dendostar5436 Ай бұрын
@@nicholassmith7984This Romulan Embargo has got to go.
@6140LIBRA
@6140LIBRA Ай бұрын
@@dendostar5436 😆
@jeanlamb5026
@jeanlamb5026 Ай бұрын
Replicators really mess with the economic models!
@dendostar5436
@dendostar5436 Ай бұрын
@@jeanlamb5026 Now the Ferengi are raising interest rates in response, and that could have loooong reaching effects…
@Stealth86651
@Stealth86651 Ай бұрын
The issue is wealth is being collected by a small percentage of individuals, so while statistically things look nice, more than half of Americans are one emergency away from losing everything. So long as everything's good there's no problem but if something goes wrong it will collapse incredibly fast.
@Craftmaster3
@Craftmaster3 Ай бұрын
More than half of us have been that way for 50 years.....
@colingraham1585
@colingraham1585 Ай бұрын
I second this. I’m paying off my credit card fine, but can’t afford a house. I have a MA degree in OH. Can’t afford a house. Need to allocate money better.
@cathjj840
@cathjj840 Ай бұрын
@@colingraham1585 The economy needs to allocate money better, and if that's to benefit citizens and society as a whole, it has to be seriously helped by a decent government. accountable to the people.
@RobotechLegos
@RobotechLegos Ай бұрын
That sounds like a you problem
@spencerbixby7819
@spencerbixby7819 Ай бұрын
@@colingraham1585I’m a union pipefitter in a strong union state, have zero debt and a 20% down payment on a $230k house and still can’t afford a house..
@crosslink1493
@crosslink1493 Ай бұрын
Peter coming from Monarch Beach in the south end of Laguna Beach, California. Reality is the people living in the multi-million-dollar homes up on those cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean are not the least bit worried about a recession.
@diogomm710
@diogomm710 Ай бұрын
Well, yeah. That is exactly the point of the government doing this. Peter is not wrong. They can decouple their people from the recession, and continue as if nothing happened -- until everything breaks. I live in Brazil, We have been doing a version of this for 30+ years. The economy endured as a zombie, and now for over a decade the economy is locked. It can't grow, even tho it had the demography and natural resources. If it's pushed further[it is being pushed hard], the country will turn into a failed state. We have a handful of years to leave normally -- after that We'll be refugees. So, If you are the small guy in the US, which I'm not and don't plan on becoming, plan to leave. There's plenty of time still, possibly. So, plan it properly. Expand your business into Australia or take it to an organized African or Latin country(there are a few). If you make the demand you attend similar for both countries, and Peter and I are right, slowly but surely the non-US revenue will creep up to near parity levels over the next 15 years, and you'll have more opportunities to create there. You can become a state leech of course, but I'm assuming you won't.
@jimluebke3869
@jimluebke3869 Ай бұрын
Or global warming / sea level rise, for that matter.
@Milk-rn5uq
@Milk-rn5uq Ай бұрын
1 in 20 americans are millionaires. Millions doesn’t shield you from inflation, need billions for that.
@Withnail1969
@Withnail1969 Ай бұрын
Those people can pick up more property cheap on foreclosure auctions
@aldofromsf
@aldofromsf Ай бұрын
Do I detect a dash of envy?
@Captain_Jack711
@Captain_Jack711 Ай бұрын
The reason gdp is growing is because of the outlandish government spending. That's the only thing propping up this house of cards.
@jeanlamb5026
@jeanlamb5026 Ай бұрын
Trump wishes out loud for a stock market crash and everyone out of work, the way it was when he was in power.
@Withnail1969
@Withnail1969 Ай бұрын
That's right. Production of actual goods is not increasing.
@Antiteshmis
@Antiteshmis Ай бұрын
IDK why so many people think bigger number always equates to a bigger and better economy. It's like they have no understanding of what the economy actually is.
@40freetoe
@40freetoe Ай бұрын
Money paid to “ illegals” and money paid to Ukraine are tabbed in to gdp. Just sayin that could be skewing the data a little 😂
@johnp.johnson1541
@johnp.johnson1541 Ай бұрын
GDP is shrinking in true terms.
@bbhima5814
@bbhima5814 Ай бұрын
I've stopped listening to Peter for unbiased information, now I listen to see what the government is trying to get me to think.
@ChristopherMHeaps
@ChristopherMHeaps Ай бұрын
Smooth move, Ex Lax
@Tom_McMurtry
@Tom_McMurtry Ай бұрын
not exactly the government. He's saying that it's very bad that the government is spending more than the private sector for the first time in American history outside of a recession and that it looks like Biden is planning to continue doing that (although he is also throwing in Trump as going to do it if he gets in too)
@daveminke2946
@daveminke2946 Ай бұрын
More like the CIA
@WIBBS75
@WIBBS75 Ай бұрын
Yep
@TonySpencer
@TonySpencer Ай бұрын
Hahhaha exactly. He is no doubt a paid mouthpiece.
@golddoc3985
@golddoc3985 Ай бұрын
You completely left out a super important fact. The current inversion of the yield curve. Based off that alone, history is not on the side of your assessment here Peter.
@apextroll
@apextroll Ай бұрын
During secular inflationary periods, the inversion is less of an indicator of an economic slow down than secular deflationary cycles.
@golddoc3985
@golddoc3985 Ай бұрын
Fair point, but I’m not sure how applicable here. Again, historical patterns say otherwise, at least with respect to recession/hard landing.
@apextroll
@apextroll Ай бұрын
@@golddoc3985 That said, there were inversions in '74 and '82 followed by recessions much to do with oil price shocks.
@robbycook4298
@robbycook4298 Ай бұрын
Exactly, it's because he is bidens puppet.
@larrymorley2579
@larrymorley2579 Ай бұрын
Treasury is distorting the normal shape of the yield curve by financing with short term T-Bills rather than a more normal mix of short, intermediate & long-term instruments
@WKGWOMANINTN
@WKGWOMANINTN Ай бұрын
'If there is a concern....' Do you buy food or fuel? Try buying a home? This perspective seems to ignore the obvious problem. The US government is overspending.
@Leto2ndAtreides
@Leto2ndAtreides Ай бұрын
If the economy doesn’t grow enough, and as people start to pull out of the USD… System won’t break, but there will be inflation and people will be poorer. US Gov doesn’t seem interested in aiming for rising standards of living.
@marcariotto1709
@marcariotto1709 Ай бұрын
Baby Boomers gotta be coddled by big bro and then whine about big bro, so🤷‍♂️
@willlull5719
@willlull5719 Ай бұрын
This whole perspective of Peter’s misses it completely. He’s clearly in a bubble.
@HankSemoreButz
@HankSemoreButz Ай бұрын
@@marcariotto1709not sure if it’s boomers.
@JJthename55
@JJthename55 Ай бұрын
Everything is fine...just most people can't afford groceries. 😂😂😂😂
@nickhayes7082
@nickhayes7082 Ай бұрын
Peter... sorry, bubba, but I think your view of the U.S.'s economic situation over the last five years is starkly different from the rest of us.
@MountainMan-ADK
@MountainMan-ADK Ай бұрын
Yea definitely a smartass that has huge left leaning bais that he tries to cover up with small criticism of left that he spins into a positive anyway. I Like some of his insights just have to know he's exaggerating and super bais
@fuzzyspackage
@fuzzyspackage Ай бұрын
Most people on KZfaq are unhappy, that’s why they are here, think about it. As it is for the general public who are to busy living their best life’s to comment on yt doom n gloom, you will only be exposed to doom n gloom theory and comments which support you’re own therefore y’all double down on it.
@henli-rw5dw
@henli-rw5dw Ай бұрын
@@fuzzyspackage Nah, consumers will pay the price. All debt will be paid via tariffs and inflation. That's how the system is going to work and some people are feeling it. Most people don't understand what's going on but they know their wallet is taking a beating. But the bottom line is consumer will pay the price. There are two ways to handle it. One, be an asset holder. Two, don't consume. It's simple.
@LordRykard9376
@LordRykard9376 Ай бұрын
@@fuzzyspackage I don't need KZfaq for doom and gloom, man. I simply refer to prices of groceries, gas, homes, childcare, etc. Peter is upperclass, Its incredibly easy to not see austere financial impacts when you can blow $800 on dinner out without wincing. I see it where I live. I am middle-class and the town over is filled with retired upper class boomers with Biden signs in their yards. Not a single Biden sign where I live.
@unconventionalideas5683
@unconventionalideas5683 Ай бұрын
@@henli-rw5dw Inflation is down a lot, and tariffs will be implemented strategically to avoid inflation if we keep the Orange Guy out of the White House.
@fazdoll
@fazdoll Ай бұрын
1:05 It was NOT over in early 2021. Remember the Jab or Job that happened later that fall? We do.
@Mr_Wh1
@Mr_Wh1 Ай бұрын
Jab or Job?
@foregone_roulette
@foregone_roulette Ай бұрын
@@Mr_Wh1democrats attempted to push vaccine passports in 2021 that would be required to access government services and jobs. Thankfully there was enough pushback that it didn't happen, but it has been conveniently memory holed by a lot of democrats
@HankSemoreButz
@HankSemoreButz Ай бұрын
@@Mr_Wh1you had to take the jab or you lost your job…
@KevinBeee
@KevinBeee Ай бұрын
My partner's parents had COVID around this time, and we were freaking out because the hospitals in our area were filled to capacity. No vaccine was even available to the general public at that time, it was only being given to emergency workers and high-risk segments of the population. I don't know what orifice Zeihan pulled that one out of, but it's a laughably incorrect statement.
@tycurtin7565
@tycurtin7565 Ай бұрын
Yeah. Not even close. Couldn't travel anywhere even in early 2022. Nothing was OVER in early 2021
@nnonotnow
@nnonotnow Ай бұрын
Peter deals at a macro level. I like his big picture analysis. If you are concerned about the price of eggs he's not your guy.
@MountainMan-ADK
@MountainMan-ADK Ай бұрын
He is also extremely bais. Let's be honest most of the stimulus during trump presidency was necessary. Remember his last year as president was 2020. It's really all the money during biden president biden that was unwarranted and reckless.
@sdr24
@sdr24 Ай бұрын
@@MountainMan-ADKThe Biden stimulus was completely unopposed by Republicans in Congress and Trump himself bragged at the time he would have made it even bigger. Trump fans need to get over this delusion that Donald Trump is going to do anything differently than Biden on the inflation question.
@thomasclementz8149
@thomasclementz8149 Ай бұрын
Zeihan is a CIA agent, he only pushes propaganda!
@thomasclementz8149
@thomasclementz8149 Ай бұрын
@@MountainMan-ADK What do you expect from a CIA agent?
@crystalbluepersuasion1027
@crystalbluepersuasion1027 Ай бұрын
The price of eggs here where I live aren’t high. The price has definitely dropped back down in the last year. High grocery prices at this point is the grocery stores “gouging” customers.
@manofsan
@manofsan Ай бұрын
"Peter Zeihan here, coming to you from the Apocalypse -- despite the rumors you've heard, it's actually no big deal"
@HankGrill
@HankGrill Ай бұрын
Strong economy? Not seeing it here on the street
@jimluebke3869
@jimluebke3869 Ай бұрын
They have to pick their metrics carefully, to make the economy look "strong".
@mousemx1534
@mousemx1534 Ай бұрын
I wish I shared your optimism. Record high inflation, highest consumer credit card debt, loan defaults, and let’s be honest, the average American has been living in a recession for the past 3 years despite what the fed tells us.
@joebehrdenver
@joebehrdenver Ай бұрын
Define "record high inflation". How old are you?
@mousemx1534
@mousemx1534 Ай бұрын
@@joebehrdenver I was around in the 70s and lived through that mess. How old are you?
@HarveyCyrEsq.
@HarveyCyrEsq. Ай бұрын
40 year highs in inflation. It’s Bidenomics for you
@davesmith4110
@davesmith4110 Ай бұрын
We literally have the lowest inflation in the developed world since 2021....3%. Go cry to the people in Turkey or the UK. Being a wimp and/or a MAGA cult member does not alter the context.
@jamesdeininger3759
@jamesdeininger3759 Ай бұрын
@@joebehrdenverIf we’re even comparing today’s inflation to the late-70s/early-80s, then you know things are bad. Would you be happy if he said “record-high inflation for anyone under the age of 40”?
@geraldmcclintock2567
@geraldmcclintock2567 Ай бұрын
Both candidates are big time over spenders .
@kindredspiritzz66
@kindredspiritzz66 Ай бұрын
Bidens gets results for people, trumps got results for the rich
@AtomEcho
@AtomEcho Ай бұрын
OVer spenders of what! ITS MADE UP MONEY!!!!! ITS NOT REAL!!! ALSO THE PETRO DOLLAR IS DEAD!!! WE ARE F*&^!
@jerryrichardson2799
@jerryrichardson2799 Ай бұрын
True, but there was a very legitimate fear of very low growth or deflation which would have been substantially worse than the inflation we've experienced recently.
@omnimoeish
@omnimoeish Ай бұрын
@@jerryrichardson2799 There was during 2020 but Peter describes what happened pretty well. Covid was clearly nearly over at the end of 2021 and trillions had already been pumped into the economy via the CARES Act. But Biden wanted to one up that and promised to buy votes with another trillion dollars of stimulus and so Trump did it preemptively in an effort to get reelected. Then Biden sent out another $1400 in stimulus checks even though liberal economists like Obama's economic advisor Larry Summers were warning against it. That probably all would've been fine but it was at a time when there were already supply constraints, and then Biden extended student loan forbearance, mortgage forbearance, rent forbearance, and most importantly enhanced unemployment which badly needed to end in order for the supply chain to repair itself. Then for good measure Biden passed an pork barrel spending act - 1.5 trillion fiscal year 2022 Omnibus Appropriations bill, a $1 Infrastructure bill, a $280B CHIPS Act, a $1T Build Back Better, I mean IRA act, and then started forgiving student loans for people who don't deserve it. Basically Trump and Biden are just two idiots that were having a pissing contest to attract low information voters.
@ehlava
@ehlava Ай бұрын
thus RFK
@stickopter2238
@stickopter2238 Ай бұрын
Yeahhhh. If this is normal we are fucked
@chuckhoyle1211
@chuckhoyle1211 Ай бұрын
Indeed we are.
@nunyabidness3075
@nunyabidness3075 Ай бұрын
It’s perfectly normal for countries that have too much centralized control which is the norm among other countries. It’s not normal for us.
@ShallowPocket
@ShallowPocket Ай бұрын
Now your getting it.
@manofsan
@manofsan Ай бұрын
Fucked is the new normal So is De-Dollarization And soon mass poverty
@Tom_McMurtry
@Tom_McMurtry Ай бұрын
@@nunyabidness3075 for countries that don't innovate and grow for long periods of time and have lots of social unrest, yes normal for them
@killa3x
@killa3x Ай бұрын
The covid panic was done Dec 2020 and Jan 2021? Damn Peter why didn't you tell this to anyone? Last I remember was nonstop panic through late 2022.
@linda1lee2
@linda1lee2 Ай бұрын
Covid deaths were and are still happening with more happening in red vs. blue counties thanks to lies, disinformation, and misinformation. It's just that people got fed up with even minor inconveniences such as masks. And it's not just deaths. Even some young, healthy people suffer from long Covid which drastically decreases your quality of life.
@whoshotashleybabbitt4924
@whoshotashleybabbitt4924 Ай бұрын
Apparently he remembers things differently than the rest of us.
@Withnail1969
@Withnail1969 Ай бұрын
We had lockdowns and masks into 2022 as well here in the UK. There was rolling news covering the number of 'cases', pumping the people full of fear. It went on and on and I feared it would never end. I never felt the slightest concern about catching it and indeed i did catch it and my immune system handled it without issues. It was a real lesson about how irrational people are and how easily they can be controlled. I feel sure it will happen again.
@f0rdgamer
@f0rdgamer Ай бұрын
Fully agree, I don’t know what he was thinking when he said that. He doesn’t have a script or do specific research, though, so these videos shouldn’t be taken THAT seriously
@Withnail1969
@Withnail1969 Ай бұрын
@@whoshotashleybabbitt4924 There has been an attempt in the media to gaslight the people and claim the lockdown was entirely voluntary and businesses simply chose to close.
@danielcichello4421
@danielcichello4421 Ай бұрын
Does Peter hang out with anyone who makes less than $150,000 a year? Dude clearly lives in a bubble.
@forkthepork
@forkthepork Ай бұрын
More like 250k.
@Eterna7Plays
@Eterna7Plays Ай бұрын
@@forktheporkright
@guitarstuff4390
@guitarstuff4390 Ай бұрын
He’s parroting all the standard lines. His research team is just giving him what the economic consensus is and that consensus is often wrong
@Raised-Right
@Raised-Right Ай бұрын
Yep
@tuele4302
@tuele4302 Ай бұрын
Or maybe it's his job to look at macroeconomic trends.
@user-ep3ed5jd7q
@user-ep3ed5jd7q Ай бұрын
Peter, you amaze me with your truly projective pearls of wisdom. Thank you for so prolifically sharing your gifts and wisdom with us. I hope you are able to rest and find balance in your life. You are so profusely generous with your geopolitical knowledge. How do you do it all? And stay so smiling, and so on point? Also, your facility with language is so colorful and never disappoints. Blessings to you and your family. Stay safe.💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻💜🌻
@ScottLarrry
@ScottLarrry Ай бұрын
Our economy is struggling with uncertainties, housing issues, foreclosures, global fluctuations, and the pandemic aftermath, causing instability. Rising inflation, sluggish growth, and trade disruptions need urgent attention from all sectors to restore stability and stimulate growth.
@WhitneyRoss-dj4rf
@WhitneyRoss-dj4rf Ай бұрын
With the US dollar losing value to inflation and other currencies gaining traction, uncertainty looms. Yet, many still trust in the dollar's perceived safety. Worried about my $420,000 retirement savings losing value, I seek alternative security for my money.
@Mansini77
@Mansini77 Ай бұрын
1 trillion in student loan debt. Over a trillion in auto loan debt. And the federal government is 35 trillion in debt. This country is addicted to spending.
@user-oj3ip3qi9y
@user-oj3ip3qi9y Ай бұрын
The US has been in a recession for the past two years. But when you change the definition of recession, it magically disappears. The only reason there is growth is due to large amounts of government deficit spending. Not even counting the estimated $1 trillion destined to Ukraine over the next decade. The US economy is in a mess. And being $35 trillion in debt doesn’t help.
@laststand6420
@laststand6420 Ай бұрын
Yes, but it's fine if you are part of the management class. No recession for them.
@martian9999
@martian9999 Ай бұрын
nobody cares about your private definition of recession.
@user-oj3ip3qi9y
@user-oj3ip3qi9y Ай бұрын
@@martian9999 Your mom did last night when we were playing hide the salami.
@eleganteimbecil1655
@eleganteimbecil1655 Ай бұрын
There are more jobs than people filling those jobs… this is not a recession.
@mousemx1534
@mousemx1534 Ай бұрын
@@Stephenvguerraagree
@Xandrosi
@Xandrosi Ай бұрын
And then there's cost-of-living increases relative to changes in wages. People have fallen out of middle class into poverty, many into homelessness. Housing costs have skyrocketed due to insurance, external buyers, and higher taxes.
@jonaseggen2230
@jonaseggen2230 Ай бұрын
Interesting it is that normally war and pandemics are the only events that is in any way leveling out the economic inequality. This time however, world over, the rich got richer.
@Psych1_-
@Psych1_- Ай бұрын
And printing money... More money causes the dollar to lose it's value.
@jonaseggen2230
@jonaseggen2230 Ай бұрын
@@Psych1_- Yes, but they are not printing anything. The money the rich put in the Cayman Island is not there, there are no money in the banks. When was the last time you saw a rich person with actual physical money? so money today are just numbers in computers.
@ronblack7870
@ronblack7870 Ай бұрын
move to cheaper towns in the northeast or anywhere.
@unconventionalideas5683
@unconventionalideas5683 Ай бұрын
Right now, housing costs went down slightly from their peak and remained flat, even as wages went up. However, certain places, notably Florida with its climate change, are real problems.
@justinjex1
@justinjex1 Ай бұрын
I am a Physician. I am currently driving a 2014 Prius with 120K miles. At my household we primarily eat hamburger, not steak. Not really feeling like there is any sort of relief. So, tell me how I am wrong. Professionals making 250k a year are buying homes that 10 years ago would be at a level that a new grad from a technical school or just gradating from undergraduate would buy… whoever is benefiting, its not people making 250k or less… that’s pretty much everyone. What does the average person do? Maybe serfdom in all its glory… is that the American way? It’s not anyway that I see it.
@skybluskyblueify
@skybluskyblueify Ай бұрын
Didn't the medical doctor profession inherit a schedule from a cocaine addict? That would cause at least half of the suffering of baby doctors. The other part is investors gobbling up homes making it an asset for them rather than for families.
@Jason-mh1pl
@Jason-mh1pl Ай бұрын
yea its like modern age feudalism, cant really change your job because all opportunities seem to be shitty like the others, pay is ass, cost of living is insane. everything is built cheaper and cheaper. and were just here for the ride with no power to change anything. i make just above 100k a year, and even still, cant find a decent place to live even. no hope of buying a home even in maybe 10 years. only way would be dual income, and conveniently, nowadays people are nuts. so yea its pretty much serfdom. pick a boss that is a good person and hope they take care of you i suppose.
@richarddelotto2375
@richarddelotto2375 Ай бұрын
Sure, PZ... we are zooming along just like in late 2006.
@Visherex
@Visherex Ай бұрын
I too am slightly concerned about that, the banks still haven't been reigned in
@theyux1
@theyux1 Ай бұрын
Banks are overleveraged, roughly 15 to 1. In 2007 it was closer to 30 to 1. Peter's point is the recession is unlikely to come from private capital. And unlikely to occur while the US is on the printing sugar high.
@manofsan
@manofsan Ай бұрын
Runaway Spending = De-Dollarization
@theyux1
@theyux1 Ай бұрын
@manofsan oh yes, the world will swap to rubles, lol
@be4unvme
@be4unvme Ай бұрын
This has been happening since ww2​@@manofsan
@Tilten
@Tilten Ай бұрын
Your kid wants her sunglasses back.
@midplanewanderer9507
@midplanewanderer9507 Ай бұрын
This won't age well.
@user-gg1uz1qk6g
@user-gg1uz1qk6g Ай бұрын
Peter....The stimulus to citizens had little.impact. the stimulus to corporations along with GREEDFLATION caused the inflation. The average citizen spent the cash they got immediately. I think this needs acknowledged
@cathjj840
@cathjj840 Ай бұрын
What do you expect as a biais from this corporate, establishment guy?
@wesholmes9012
@wesholmes9012 Ай бұрын
Could you explain why personal spending is not inflationary?
@nicholassmith7984
@nicholassmith7984 Ай бұрын
@@wesholmes9012 I think the meant overall impact compared to the other two factors. The thing that people tend to forget is that inflation is always happening; we only notice it when it accelerates.
@user-gg1uz1qk6g
@user-gg1uz1qk6g Ай бұрын
@@wesholmes9012 i am commenting on how peter said that that stimulus money was held on to and not spent. No blue collar workers just held that in their bank accounts. That went to pay debt, buy groceries, and deal with the new headaches associated with the 'rona.
@GowthamNatarajanAI
@GowthamNatarajanAI Ай бұрын
You are wrong. Stimulus to corp has been happening since 2008. No inflation. Once people got the money directly, there was inflation.
@heyman5525
@heyman5525 Ай бұрын
Until the National Debt clock starts running backwards, I'm not holding my breath.
@jeffreywj7773
@jeffreywj7773 Ай бұрын
If you are a U.S. tax payer, as of this morning you owe $266,952.00. And please bear in mind, we the taxpayers will be the ones responsible for the National Debt. Thanks.
@MicroSBs
@MicroSBs Ай бұрын
@@jeffreywj7773 not really how it works.
@Uofijustin
@Uofijustin Ай бұрын
​@@jeffreywj7773but who's going to call on collections to get this debt paid?
@pepperVenge
@pepperVenge Ай бұрын
Let me explain why debt since 1971 doesn't matter. The United States government only spends the United States dollar, correct? So Who makes the money the US government is spending and is in debt with? It's the United States Mint and certified banks that makes all that money and it is the United States government that provides the assurance that the US dollar has value. That means that the United States government is effectively only in debt to itself. Further, the United States dollar is not backed by any standard, gold or otherwise. The gold standard ended in 1971. This makes the United States dollar a Fiat currency. Which roughly explained easily means that it is literally no better than the paper money you find in a Monopoly board game. Since the US dollar is just a Fiat currency, then you can print as much of it as you want so long as the amount that is in circulation is equivalent to the amount that is needed. Any less you have deflation, anymore you have inflation. But if you want to create more money to buy more without causing inflation, you have to have a reason to do so. That's where the national debt comes in, and that's why it's so extraordinarily high, and none of the financial experts in government seem to really be worried about it. The debt allows the United States government to spend unheard of amounts of money without affecting the economy. Or to put it another way, it's how the US government can spend virtually unlimited amounts of money without any consequence. If you've read this far you know that I mentioned fiat currency versus the gold standard. Let me explain this a little more. Before 1971, United States dollars, or paper money, was a representative note. It represented a certain amount of gold that was in United States possession. The United States had a gold standard since its founding. This is why the Great Depression was such an incredibly daunting and miserable experience for the United states. When the Great Depression happened, suddenly there wasn't enough money in circulation among the poor and working class which made up 99% of the US population. The United States government could not just print more money to put into circulation during the Great Depression because if they had, there would have been more paper money then there was gold representing it. In other words, if they had printed more money, without increasing the amount of gold in their stores, then all the gold would have been represented by more paper money then before, which would have meant that each individual Bill represented less gold, and was therefore less valuable. This is what happened to Germany in the great depression. When suddenly a German Mark that could have bought a loaf of bread was suddenly effectively worthless because the German government at the time responded by printing more money. Suddenly you would have needed millions of marks to buy a loaf of bread. Recall in the United States that the US dollar is a gold standard, which means physical gold represents the money the US prints. So to fix this problem, what the new President, Franklin Delano Roosevelt, did in response to the Great Depression was he signed a bill into law mandating that all US citizens had to sell their gold at market price to the United States government. When the Roundup was completed, FDR change the price of gold from near $10 an ounce to $25.00 an ounce. You can do this when you own it all. The result of this was suddenly everyone's US dollar was worth more. The United States government still possesses all that gold to this day. However the gold standard ended in 1971, which turned the US dollar into a Fiat currency. So what the government did by doing this, was it created a second currency. One was just gold and nothing else, while the other was just paper money. The US government along with certified Banks creates the US dollar, but it is only the US government that provides the trust in that Fiat currency. That is why the United States debt of 35 trillion dollars does not matter. That number could swell to 500 trillion dollars and it would not affect a thing. Again it's just fiat currency. The real money is stored in underground vaults. One of these vaults is at the United States Federal Reserve Bank in New York city. Stand in front of that bank and imagine 80 ft under that building sits 25% of the world's gold.
@manofsan
@manofsan Ай бұрын
The more uncontrollably they spend, the more everyone will abandon the dollar
@durkadurkastan
@durkadurkastan Ай бұрын
uh huh…..”everyone works!” meanwhile people cannot afford housing and food in Colorado.
@gingerlicious3500
@gingerlicious3500 Ай бұрын
People can afford housing in Colorado, just not in places like Denver, which have terrible zoning and HOA laws that prohibit building more high-density housing. And no one wants to live in the parts of Colorado that's overrun by hillbillies and meth addicts, and where a near-majority of the population believe vaccines make you magnetic.
@austinduke8876
@austinduke8876 Ай бұрын
For an alternate take, myself and my friends are all through the front range in Arvada, Boulder, Denver, Castle Rock, Aurora, Golden and Evergreen...we are all doing somewhere between okay and great.
@Nioclas64
@Nioclas64 Ай бұрын
@@austinduke8876 Counter argument, I live in Fort Collins Colorado, damn near everyone I know is royally pissed off by the cost of housing and food, aside from the people insisting "housing prices are fine" as we walk past another group of homeless people, or "the economy is fine" as we walk past another business that closed, or "crime is down" as we- etc Right now I'm trying to find a new job apartment and car, and all I can say to the "everything is fine" people is, open your eyes, what are you people smoking.
@austinduke8876
@austinduke8876 Ай бұрын
@@Nioclas64 I didn't say "everything's fine". I simply claimed that there are people (a lot of people) that are doing okay or better and that shouldn't be something that bothers you. You are shopping for an apartment AND car right now, two things that have experienced massive price inflation over the last 3 or so years so of course you feel like shit. Tens of millions of americans arent doing those things and for us it's a much different experience. And that's my point, as much as your personal experience sucks right now (and you are not alone) there are a crapton of your fellow citizens that have a much better go of things right now. I completely believe your life is hard right now.
@Low_commotion
@Low_commotion Ай бұрын
That's a problem of supply. We keep subsidizing demand thinking vouchers and stimulus will solve the problem. Just build more supply so the price comes down. Oh, except some boomers will rally together because they put all their money in property, an asset that _must_ come down in price eventually, obviously
@marcustulliuscicero.5856
@marcustulliuscicero.5856 Ай бұрын
Growth for Wall Street, the working man is being crushed under heel
@Mcfunface
@Mcfunface Ай бұрын
K shaped recovery. Bidenomics at work
@gingerlicious3500
@gingerlicious3500 Ай бұрын
Speak for yourself.
@marcustulliuscicero.5856
@marcustulliuscicero.5856 Ай бұрын
@@gingerlicious3500 I don't need to, I have the data to backup my statement, disprove me or move along
@geraldmcclintock2567
@geraldmcclintock2567 Ай бұрын
Venezuela thinking
@gingerlicious3500
@gingerlicious3500 Ай бұрын
@marcustulliuscicero.5856 So do I. Median wages for the bottom quartile of Americans have risen at a faster pace over the last four years than they have in the last 40, and are far outpacing inflation.
@Lora_Lynn
@Lora_Lynn Ай бұрын
Peter is on the Campaign Beach. We will here more about how peachy keen things are the closer we get to November
@user-dk4tq1qb4d
@user-dk4tq1qb4d Ай бұрын
Fact
@proxywebs
@proxywebs Ай бұрын
I thought I could learn a thing or two from Peter in the past but listening to to what he does here where I know so much more I am now questioning whether anything he says is useful. I still think he is an outlet for propaganda narratives crafted by intelligence agencies.
@chiefcarterphillipines
@chiefcarterphillipines Ай бұрын
Ask the trucking industry if we are in a recession. It's brutal now!
@AmericanFlyOnTheWall
@AmericanFlyOnTheWall Ай бұрын
We are certainly not in a recession. You are confusing a recession with competition.
@RichWestJr
@RichWestJr Ай бұрын
Commercial real estate is in a depression. Mostly due to hangover from lower interest rates and structural office building value declines from lack of demand.
@JohnSmith-ti2kp
@JohnSmith-ti2kp Ай бұрын
@chiefcarterphillipines I can hear trains from my house in the distance. There is much less train traffic now than even two or three weeks ago. What time period did the trucking orders reduce?
@dougkratz5269
@dougkratz5269 Ай бұрын
You're right, the trucking industry is brutal right now. But it doesn't necessarily mean we are in a recession. Believe me I feel your pain, even though I only have one truck. But this is a correction, not a recession.
@dougkratz5269
@dougkratz5269 Ай бұрын
​​@@JohnSmith-ti2kptrucking's been pretty hard for almost 2 years now. But what's usually goes un mentioned, is the previous three were out of this world. Best three I ever had. I put enough aside that I parked my truck for this summer, just to wait out the brutal conditions. I ain't worried
@Fred-rv2tu
@Fred-rv2tu Ай бұрын
“No recession” ok so we’re going to keep inflation
@big1boston
@big1boston Ай бұрын
Sounds like A÷ crackhead economics.
@Fred-rv2tu
@Fred-rv2tu Ай бұрын
@@big1boston who’s economics are “crackhead” my take? Peter’s? The administrations?
@AUniqueHandleName444
@AUniqueHandleName444 Ай бұрын
Yeah, I don't see inflation going away any time soon.
@protorhinocerator142
@protorhinocerator142 Ай бұрын
We haven't had stagflation since the Jimmy Carter years. High inflation coupled with broad wage stagnation. My bills are going up but my paycheck isn't. We didn't have this under Trump. Now with Biden it's the "new normal" and it "can't be avoided". And as soon as Trump gets in office and fixes it, they will all say it got fixed by something Biden did at the last moment, but never be able to tell us exactly what Biden did, nor why he didn't perform this magic miracle in his first year in office. This is the level of copium we've come to expect.
@modjohnsenglishdisco
@modjohnsenglishdisco Ай бұрын
His take is macro, and you can disagree. I'm agnostic, but he brings up good points. Commenters seem to think he's biased. I don't see it. He's just using a particular valid approach. Economics is called the dismal science for good reason. But hot takes on economics based on anecdotes and shouldn't be the only approach. Individual stories have limited use. But in the micro, predictable inflation is desired, whereas deflation is not, which is indicative of a heavy recession, at least in recent years. The Fed's goal is 2 percent. It's at just about 3.3 percent right now, so the rate has actually gone down year-on-year. It's prices that are high, an effect of past high inflation... and gouging as far as I'm concerned. In the long term, we're all dead.
@dmaxcustom
@dmaxcustom Ай бұрын
Not from the US. But this is something that bothers me. He is talking about macro numbers. But you put the lens on the people, and I see videos saying that the housing market is insane. Gas and food prices are unaffordable for the common folk. That car dealers cant get rid of stock. That people have stopped paying debts cause they cant afford it. So, what do these macro numbers mean for the common folk trying to feed their families?
@Pooh0Bear8
@Pooh0Bear8 Ай бұрын
Thank you!!!
@edfhobbies556
@edfhobbies556 Ай бұрын
What is the source of your empirical lens?
@theendmyfriend
@theendmyfriend Ай бұрын
It means the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Neoliberalism 101. Wealth creation by inflation. Theyve disconnected average wages purchasing power from investments capital assets. They stopped the average person from ever owning anything. Cant buy house cant buy car cant buy land cant buy food. Moving back to feudalism.
@SpacemanGreg
@SpacemanGreg Ай бұрын
The problem is you're getting all your info from KZfaq. It's really not that bad there's just a subset of KZfaq that loves doom and gloom and they make tons of videos about how 'bad' things are everyday because certain people love to click on it. It's the 'echo chamber' effect of KZfaq at work.
@mathurex211
@mathurex211 Ай бұрын
​@edfhobbies556 literally everyone you talk to, polling numbers. Statistics relative to debt increases, reduced spending etc. If you make under six figures you're suffering more now than before. Baked in.
@josephosso3101
@josephosso3101 Ай бұрын
I am so tired of these statisticians telling me that everything is fine. Its not. Everything is ridiculously expensive. Everyone is miserable.
@Crumbsoftotailtariansim
@Crumbsoftotailtariansim Ай бұрын
He’s great at this, stats have almost an incalculable way of perception. Reality is prices are through the roof and cultural decline in this post truth era is creating anxiety and despair.
@tharrrrrrr
@tharrrrrrr Ай бұрын
I'm not.
@philipwilkie3239
@philipwilkie3239 Ай бұрын
The US could try and reform it's incredibly inefficient healthcare sector. Last I looked the US spends about 18% of GDP on this sector, where the global average is about 9% for similarly developed nations. That gap alone is much larger than your entire military spend.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
The global average is not a real figure. US also includes insurance in healthcare expenditure which other countries do not.
@philipwilkie3239
@philipwilkie3239 Ай бұрын
​@@Art-is-craft The comparison is based on expenditure not funding. Other developed nations - such as Australia where I live - may well publicly fund their healthcare system to a larger extent - but the total cost of delivery is what matters here. And on that basis given that US health outcomes are not at all outstanding, you have to ask if you are getting good value for all that immense amount of expenditure.
@edfhobbies556
@edfhobbies556 Ай бұрын
@@Art-is-craft OP overall assessment correct even given favor to your position; we spend too much on health care in US and don't get the bang for the buck.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
@@philipwilkie3239 Total cost of delivery so you are excluding private healthcare in Australia?
@philipwilkie3239
@philipwilkie3239 Ай бұрын
@@Art-is-craft In Australia the public system dominates - private provision is largely for elective alternatives. I would imagine any sane comparison would include total cost of delivery across the entire sector - regardless of whether the funding source was labelled private or public. I'm sure we could quibble the details on a case by case basis, but it's plain as day US expenditure is 50 - 100% greater than most comparable nations.
@kentathvaprdsk
@kentathvaprdsk Ай бұрын
America and her inner circle will survive, thrive and prosper 🇺🇸🇦🇺🇬🇧🇩🇰🇯🇵🇨🇦
@GK-qc5ry
@GK-qc5ry Ай бұрын
Denmark?
@d.unterreiner161
@d.unterreiner161 Ай бұрын
I watched a case of eggs go up $4 in 2 weeks. You are going to tell me that everything is fine.
@apextroll
@apextroll Ай бұрын
What is your thoughts of the bird flu that caused it?
@d.unterreiner161
@d.unterreiner161 Ай бұрын
@apextroll my thoughts are that the bird flu didn't cause my milk, bread, and butter to go up $0.50 in the same amount of time. The bird flu isn't what is causing me to spend half my income on housing. The bird flu isn't what has caused the layoffs of 3 people and the cutting of hours for everyone else where I work. These are things I blame on a weak economy.
@apextroll
@apextroll Ай бұрын
@@d.unterreiner161 I thought we were talking about eggs going up 4 dollars a carton?
@AUniqueHandleName444
@AUniqueHandleName444 Ай бұрын
@@d.unterreiner161 The layoffs are less "the economy" and more "your workplace". The economy IS growing rapidly -- and that is exactly why price growth has been nuts. There's simply too much money chasing around too few goods/services.
@rayhill5767
@rayhill5767 Ай бұрын
If y’all are whining about your grocery bill you really should stay off geopolitical news groups. Seriously. It’s like ants complaining about car traffic.
@naturereporter2719
@naturereporter2719 Ай бұрын
American people: - cant pay bills - Losing jobs - Losing cars - Losing houses Peter: “We are good!”.
@kellychuba
@kellychuba Ай бұрын
Americans are bad with money. Most of us, quite frankly, are fine.
@Leftatalbuquerque
@Leftatalbuquerque Ай бұрын
The Employment stats for the US are way better than for us in Canada.
@coldclaws2479
@coldclaws2479 Ай бұрын
he has no credibility
@timitator2517
@timitator2517 Ай бұрын
He wears his politics on his sleeve. What do you expect?
@TomTomicMic
@TomTomicMic Ай бұрын
The US overall is doing great, that does not mean everybody is doing great, I get the feeling that Peter doesn't like Trump .....or Biden, not sure if he likes Saunders either!?!
@JayneCobb88
@JayneCobb88 Ай бұрын
Stumping for the establishment yet again. Never mind home prices, interest rates, food costs, gasoline, healthcare and childcare all rising nearly 50% in 2 years it’s THE BEST ECONOMY EVER!!!
@MicroSamgg
@MicroSamgg Ай бұрын
he literally doesn't say that, there's a full 3 minutes or more dedicated to pitfalls and antithesis
@charlescoon577
@charlescoon577 Ай бұрын
Having grown up in the Greater Houston Area, I fear this level of centralized economic planning Peter Zeihan has just alluded to. The area I grew up in has many immigrants and many children of immigrants from jurisdictions that tried the centralized economic planning, failed disastrously at it, and were politically unable to try any form of capitalism that had a strong track record of success (at least for 2 decades). Examples include: Vietnam, Venezuela, Honduras, Guatemala, and Mexico.
@whenwasnow6062
@whenwasnow6062 Ай бұрын
Tropical Underdevelopment
@charlescoon577
@charlescoon577 Ай бұрын
Thank you for the comment. Mountainous rainforests are difficult to develop.
@whenwasnow6062
@whenwasnow6062 Ай бұрын
@@charlescoon577 people who live in tropical climates are much more "lazy" because their lives are much easier.
@dylanforest4296
@dylanforest4296 Ай бұрын
"Oh, thank God we're not in a recession" *Watching my dollar buy less, My credit debt increase, and everyone I know struggling financially*
@Withnail1969
@Withnail1969 Ай бұрын
They just keep printing money so it looks like there's 'growth'.
@Mr_Wh1
@Mr_Wh1 Ай бұрын
Imagine gaslighting all the people who can't afford anything at this point. Imagine telling them the US economics is doing great, you are just to uninformed to understand this.
@gking407
@gking407 Ай бұрын
Economic growth is there it’s just “un-even”. Price gouging is killing the consumer in ways the government can’t fix
@TomTomicMic
@TomTomicMic Ай бұрын
Well going to Russia or China will not be an improvement!?!
@edfhobbies556
@edfhobbies556 Ай бұрын
@@gking407 "Price gouging is killing the consumer" ... this is the part that should be focused on by educating the customer with facts. There's no reason prices to be this damn high ... 25% increase in price of food year over year is crazy
@nineseven420empire3
@nineseven420empire3 Ай бұрын
Peter, living his Jet set life. While the working class gets crushed by Corp. Greedflation.
@paulschmitz9175
@paulschmitz9175 Ай бұрын
Zeihan is a leftist...what did you expect?
@jasonssavitt5297
@jasonssavitt5297 Ай бұрын
He has skills people are willing to pay top dollar for, let the man enjoy his life.
@anotheryoutubechannel4809
@anotheryoutubechannel4809 Ай бұрын
Don’t be bitter. Do better.
@vasectomybro
@vasectomybro Ай бұрын
Cry about it 😢😢😢
@jasonssavitt5297
@jasonssavitt5297 Ай бұрын
@@anotheryoutubechannel4809 It's all you really can do, isn't it?
@markconcar7681
@markconcar7681 Ай бұрын
This is where I go for a walk every other day! So nice to see you in our neck of the woods. So much enjoy your content and commentary. Keep up the good work.
@OG_Hashishin
@OG_Hashishin Ай бұрын
Thanks again for the clarity only a Monday morning quarterback can provide, Capt. Hindsight. 🙏
@JJthename55
@JJthename55 Ай бұрын
Oh Thank God I thought his concern was Tucker Carlson. 😂😂😂
@Allaiya.
@Allaiya. Ай бұрын
Tucker? That guy is irrelevant now
@JJthename55
@JJthename55 Ай бұрын
@@Allaiya. Doesn't stop Pete from crying about him. 😄 🤣 😂 😆 😄
@Allaiya.
@Allaiya. Ай бұрын
@@secretname4190 well I’m not a leftist. Just independent. I haven’t heard of him in a long while since he’s been off Fox, other than the interview with Putin. Tucker is far right though since he often simps for Russia/Putin over his own country.
@Allaiya.
@Allaiya. Ай бұрын
@@secretname4190 The ‘talking point’ of not liking a host bc he constantly sympathizes with an authoritarian regime? Interesting. I’d say that’s pretty standard American more than leftist. We tend to dislike dictators & kings. Even Putin made fun of Tucker to his face & he couldn’t do anything or actual ask him tough questions. I suppose to Far Right folks who are sadly brainwashed to view anyone who disagrees with anything Tucker or Trump says as an enemy. Sounds so similar to the far left & the days of communist Russia. Gotta love horseshoe theory in action.
@stanleyshannon4408
@stanleyshannon4408 Ай бұрын
​@@Allaiya. My country right or wrong used to be considered right wing jingoism.
@dcc70
@dcc70 Ай бұрын
I think a lot of the $2 trillion extra stimulus went into the stock market, that's why you saw ridiculous valuations of Tesla and other tech stocks.
@Mcfunface
@Mcfunface Ай бұрын
NVIDIA now...
@Withnail1969
@Withnail1969 Ай бұрын
Yeah I think that's right, it helps soak up all the excess money. If people were to spend that money instead of 'investing' it, imagine the inflation.
@RichWestJr
@RichWestJr Ай бұрын
​@@Mcfunfaceinvidia is up because they are supplying chips for AI. Others will figure it out. Check out the All In Podcast, they explained it better than I just did.
@Antiteshmis
@Antiteshmis Ай бұрын
@@Withnail1969 The FED openly said they wanted unemployment to increase to help cool down inflation. OFC the money went to the stock market, it's not a coincidence the elite class sold near top. They printed the money with you as the collateral, then invested it in the market to increase the value of their assets, then sold. And people wonder why they're poor while the top gets richer.
@droaks2
@droaks2 Ай бұрын
Covid wasn't exactly over, but oh my god did it have a grand finale in the white house.
@radiowave12
@radiowave12 Ай бұрын
Wait until the bird flu
@droaks2
@droaks2 Ай бұрын
@@radiowave12 they've been talking about the impending bird flu pandemic since I was a child, yet nobody predicted the pandemic that throws the clod of mud in the eye of modern civilization to come from bat soup in Wuhan. Whatever happens, just happens.
@AndrewDasilvaPLT
@AndrewDasilvaPLT Ай бұрын
Yeah, what was he saying that COVID was over in January 2021???!
@jeanlamb5026
@jeanlamb5026 Ай бұрын
@@AndrewDasilvaPLT Nobody got vaccinations till March 2021, not even the old people.
@whoshotashleybabbitt4924
@whoshotashleybabbitt4924 Ай бұрын
Maybe because Covid was used for some sort of mass manipulation and it had served its purpose?
@jerryrichardson2799
@jerryrichardson2799 Ай бұрын
It amazes me when people say the US is "screwed" when the US is doing better demographically and economically than most the of the world, now, and has better prospects than most of the world, in the future.
@wisenber
@wisenber Ай бұрын
"COVID was pretty much over by then", says Peter of December 2020, when more Americans died of COVID after that than before it. Fortunately, some of us actually do remember the sequence of events. Peter also seems to not recall that the spike in inflation began within weeks of the 2021 stimulus passage, not before. Not sure where Zeihan got where Trump intended to expand government next year. Most of his proposals indicate shrinking it.
@JNatella
@JNatella Ай бұрын
Exactly... I was baffled by that comment. There's only one side expanding the government and it's clearly not Trump.
@Craqerzrus
@Craqerzrus Ай бұрын
That same comment had me immediately go to the comments smh
@Chris-es3wf
@Chris-es3wf Ай бұрын
The business impact of covid was effectively over. The only reason for the stimulus was bc of lockdowns. You'll recall blue states opted to lock down longer post-stimulus bc of that. So he's 100% correct.
@Mr_Wh1
@Mr_Wh1 Ай бұрын
It's called being dishonest or being ideologically blinded. This guy also chuckles giggles at the bs verdict in the latest political bs trial in New York.
@BerkeyFilms
@BerkeyFilms Ай бұрын
Inflation is radically higher than any number a politician will ever talk about. Peter has started to cope for Biden. It’s sad. I liked watching his content when he stayed out of American politics. The CPI is a manufactured metric. One quarter of the CPI is calculated based on the following question posed monthly to homeowners, “If someone were to rent your home today, how much do you think it would rent for monthly, unfurnished and without utilities? That has nothing to do with what I, or anyone actually pays for rent. It’s pretty easy to actually track rent increases, but the government relies on a random question put to homeowners? Let alone the fact that billions of dollars have been spent buying up housing by Black Rock and the rest of Wall Street.
@houseofshred3725
@houseofshred3725 Ай бұрын
Yeah loan delinquencies are rising, companies are going bankrupt, the yield curve is still inverted, prices on everything are still absolutely NUTS, we're seeing big layoffs and the job market is increasingly bleak... Where do you get this "it's normal now, be aight" outlook?
@ShadyRonin
@ShadyRonin Ай бұрын
Exactly
@RichWestJr
@RichWestJr Ай бұрын
The unwinding of zero interest rates, supply chain issues, China decoupling, babyboomer retirement, etc. Lots of crazy stuff happening that isn't normal. Commercial real estate sales are down 60%.
@s.d.3236
@s.d.3236 Ай бұрын
From what I can see (as a machine builder) manufacturers are keeping a tight grip on their cash. End of last year we had a sharp downturn in sales; down about 70% in the last quarter, where it had been very steady since the end of covid. A competitor offered me a job starting in January, and then laid me off in May when their sales also tanked.
@Withnail1969
@Withnail1969 Ай бұрын
There's no real growth it seems to me. Just money printing and stagnation.
@d.unterreiner161
@d.unterreiner161 Ай бұрын
I heard a similar story where I am. My coworkers husband got hired on at a car dealership a few months ago, and now the dealership has gone under, and he is out of work. Also, not too far away, the John Deere plant is cutting production and keeps laying off more and more people.
@daveminke2946
@daveminke2946 Ай бұрын
Ouch.
@unconventionalideas5683
@unconventionalideas5683 Ай бұрын
@@d.unterreiner161 If you live in a rural area, where many such factories are, things might well be rough, especially at John Deere; farmers are increasingly furious with their militancy against right to repair, leading them to buy older equipment, and a lot of people are not buying suburban lawn mowers because if they want one, they already have one; right now, moving to the suburbs is not popular.
@persistentwind
@persistentwind Ай бұрын
The bottom 70% are loaded up on credit card debt, auto repos are climbing, used car prices falling, home sales falling... but there is plenty of private equity to extend them another loan.... nothing is wrong here.
@JohnDoe-td3xx
@JohnDoe-td3xx Ай бұрын
The economy is a wreck. We make 90k a year, have 30+ in the bank for a down payment, great credit, 0 debt, and still can't buy a home that's bigger than 1200 sqft (we have 3 young kids). We are not in a major city and live in an "affordable" area of the country.
@jl696
@jl696 Ай бұрын
You're doing better than most. I hope that things change the better for you and the many millions of responsible American like you who do the right thing but are getting screwed by our political and banking elites.
@Neirbo91
@Neirbo91 Ай бұрын
Having "no debt" and "great credit" doesn't mean you don't have most of your income already allocated. For example, leasing two cars and paying daycare expenses for 3 children doesn't show as debt or negatively impact credit, but ties up a lot of income.
@jl696
@jl696 Ай бұрын
@@Neirbo91 True enough but they have been able save up 30K. So, that means they are responsible with money. However, I know what you are getting at about income. I have perfect credit and make 6 figures income but I still had to jump through hoops to get my modest 480K home financed. I had purchased/financed 2 homes in my life before that and the process was much easier back then.
@Neirbo91
@Neirbo91 Ай бұрын
@jl696 Yeah, I'm not criticizing this person, but just pointing out that, while this description makes it seem unjust, there's so much indefinite language that this might be perfectly reasonable. What's not a major city? What's an affordable area? Also, 90K a year for a couple isn't that much, especially when supporting three children.
@austinlevreault6211
@austinlevreault6211 Ай бұрын
Sounds about right. I have a stem degree and I know a lot of engineers I know still live with their parents because engineers make not much over min wage here at this point. The economy is dead on arrival. If you can live at home with your parents you can save (possibly) but that is about it. You can't spend that saving and actually live a life. You'll still deplete it eventually. I tried...... myself earlier this year. (Don't drink. Don't smoke. Pretty boring lonely life can't afford to do anything.) Now I am in therapy (Thank god I live in a blue state with a good health care system) And the fiscal situation myself and a lot of young people are in has come up in therapy. Really young kids in their teens and 20s just checking out, I don't blame them. The system HAS to change. I do not see our politicians or leaders doing it.
@robertlussier2944
@robertlussier2944 Ай бұрын
You don't think the fact that we haven't spent money on infrastructure in half a century, and now are catching up, has inflated government spending? Our Congress recognized where we were headed in the last administration, yet could accomplish nothing to head it off. Remember "we will have an infrastructure bill in two weeks"? Maybe try convincing CEOs to pay their employees more, and the economy will take care of itself.
@ryanlynch290
@ryanlynch290 Ай бұрын
We also have a situation where, for the first time since WW2, the US debt is greater than the GDP, and it's growing WAYYYY faster.
@winkumdice6240
@winkumdice6240 Ай бұрын
Peter, this is Dr. Winkum Dice. I'm curious what your take is on the supposed collapse of the petrodollar agreement with the Saudis. I've seen some people say the sky is falling while others say it will be business as usual. What are you thoughts?
@dawsonmeirowitz2333
@dawsonmeirowitz2333 Ай бұрын
Biden removed the quantitative easing that Obama and Trump enjoyed.
@squidgameman441
@squidgameman441 Ай бұрын
Peter, any thoughts on South Korea supposedly finding 14 billion barrels of oil and gas few weeks ago? Reuters: "South Korea's Yoon says vast amount of oil, gas reserve possible off east coast"
@MA_KA_PA_TIE
@MA_KA_PA_TIE Ай бұрын
It will become historically chinese lands and get surrounded in dashes on maps.
@Withnail1969
@Withnail1969 Ай бұрын
That's not a vast amount really.
@rayhill5767
@rayhill5767 Ай бұрын
Vast amounts of oil are under my butt. So what? Doesn’t matter until it’s produced. Good luck with that.
@alexander15551
@alexander15551 Ай бұрын
Before 1913, there was no income tax of any kind. The amount the government has grown over the years is absolutely sickening
@elvispresley3234
@elvispresley3234 Ай бұрын
Concisely one of the best overall vids on why we are where we are at, and where we are headed. I am 61 yrs old, and I've made a significant amount of money in my lifetime. I am so worried for my future and the future of my kids (ages 20,25,28) and my grandkids because of the absolute idiots on both sides of the aisle in Washington. The only thing I know to do is keep expenses low, carry no depreciating debt, and look for safe investments that either match or beat inflation. I feel stripped of my personal power outside of that. I keep having to live with the idiotic fiscal choices of D.C. I am voting for the most rational fiscal policy as I move forward in life even if all the other baggage in the choice doesn't align. What a bunch of absolute Ivy League idiots!
@SafeSpaceCafe
@SafeSpaceCafe Ай бұрын
OMG I slept in like a drinker but thank the Lord I woke for my daily dose of Zeihan knowledge (I don't drink..) lol
@jimcy1319
@jimcy1319 Ай бұрын
Don't worry I drink enough for the two of us.🍺🍻🥂🍾🍷🥃🫗🍸🍹
@Leftatalbuquerque
@Leftatalbuquerque Ай бұрын
What time zone are you in?
@kellychuba
@kellychuba Ай бұрын
@@jimcy1319 cheers Life is a comedy for those who think
@SafeSpaceCafe
@SafeSpaceCafe Ай бұрын
@@Leftatalbuquerque Niagara Falls, Canada. Yeah I get up early...
@big1boston
@big1boston Ай бұрын
​@@Leftatalbuquerque crackhead globalist timezone .
@Baasicstuff
@Baasicstuff Ай бұрын
we should collaborate, I could review those glasses while you talk about Geo stuff in the background
@kenmcclow8963
@kenmcclow8963 Ай бұрын
COVID wasn’t over when Biden took office in January 2021. There wasn’t even a vaccine for it yet. The vaccine came several months later and I was able to get it in April since I had two or more risk factors. Two of my cousins died in April 2021. I also didn’t qualify for any of the stimulus money because my pre-pandemic income was too high. I was also an essential worker so I was out going to work each day. The only benefit I had was that the half of people who weren’t “essential” weren’t clogging up the roads. My opinion is that “essential” worker is a term for how much lobbying pull your company has with the governor of your state. If lockdowns ended earlier in a state then the governor was owned by businesses. However this was the first recession where the people were bailed out instead of banks, so it had the fastest recovery ever. In the future maybe they will do it the same way but a little less. A substantial part of the inflation was from supply disruption, combined with increased demand since people were at home and not broke
@luckybait
@luckybait Ай бұрын
You are RIGHT! HELL IM ON SOCIAL SECURITY AND MY DAMN INCOME WAS TOO HIGH TO RECEIVE ANY STIMULUS MONEY!!!! THE STIMULUS MONEY THREW THE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY INTO A MEGA INFLATION MESS THAT MADE IT IMPOSSIBLE FOR SINGLE MOMS AND POOR PEOPLE UNABLE TO BUY A CAR. AND WHEN YOUR ABLE CHECK ON THIS!!! Illegal. Aliens are not buying insurance for their automobile. Poor people are not buying insurance for their automobile. Middle-class people are buying the cheapest insurance they can find regardless, regardless, regardless of coverage. If the cheapest insurance they can buy world skate by the state regulations People will buy it. This means when you are in an accident with one of these people they do not have the insurance or the means to fix your Lexus , your Cadillac, your ram 2500 diesel, or your Dinali, 2500 or your Dinali 1500. You were at the mercy of your own insurance, and you were going to pay dearly for it! Peter is a damn fool when it comes to money if he does not understand all of these issues, and it is clear, he does not understand them!
@davidparnell1893
@davidparnell1893 Ай бұрын
No matter what, Peter is an entertaining speaker. His travelogue presentation approach is unique and interesting and it adds to his dynamic. Given his geographic expertise, it is a perfect design for his channel and topics. At times his movement is moving and it grabs your attention. I most often regret the topic portions left out and avoided in his narratives and logic. Like: Where did all those "trillions" go? Why to our BILLIONAIRES and "their" economy of course, not to the middle class economy. (There isn't one, total, fair economy...that is a brutal myth to hide BILLIONAIRE feudalism.)
@markkuuss
@markkuuss Ай бұрын
Peter is living the good life. Single, free, rich and traveling the world while talking about Geopolitics
@Eloign
@Eloign Ай бұрын
Sad life really.
@Allaiya.
@Allaiya. Ай бұрын
Is he single? I thought he was with someone.
@markkuuss
@markkuuss Ай бұрын
@@Eloign why sad?
@Eloign
@Eloign Ай бұрын
@@markkuuss being almost 62 with no family and talking about politics all the time? Dude that’s sad. Traveling alone all the time? If you ever done either of those things it’s depressing.
@Gorkzilla
@Gorkzilla Ай бұрын
@@Eloignstop being a hater
@atypocrat1779
@atypocrat1779 Ай бұрын
so Peter says that we are not in a recession OK
@russmitchellmovement
@russmitchellmovement Ай бұрын
Technically we aren't -- by the current ways of arguing it we need a lot more unemployment for TPTB to say "okay yeah recession." (nobody in government ever wants to admit to recession)
@protorhinocerator142
@protorhinocerator142 Ай бұрын
When Trump was in office, I still saw people on street corners selling newspapers. Today I only see beggars on the street corners looking for a handout. Most of them claim to be homeless. Most of them probably are.
@forfreedom8110
@forfreedom8110 Ай бұрын
We have been in a middle class recession since October 23
@kobusvanrensburg4092
@kobusvanrensburg4092 Ай бұрын
Inflation is transitory.......and yeah..... you know the thing.....anyway.
@user-ew5eh2co5p
@user-ew5eh2co5p Ай бұрын
Where’s the growth? The only thing I notice is sports and entertainment, lawsuits (with lawyer fees and judgement, waaay over 100 million for Trump alone); and military. The US doesn’t build anything, no infrastructure, or make anything, not even a toaster.
@unconventionalideas5683
@unconventionalideas5683 Ай бұрын
You mean the trillion dollars that have been pumped into infrastructure are not reaching your area? Too bad. Also, Black and Decker makes its toasters in the US, and GE makes most of its Appliances and Appliance components here.
@texasjack
@texasjack Ай бұрын
Stick to geopolitics - economics is not your favorite subject....just sayin...
@TheJakeRobinson
@TheJakeRobinson Ай бұрын
Are you smoking crack? Stock market at an all time high. Credit card delinquency is all time high. 43% of all small businesses couldn't pay their rent last month. Real estate is 10% higher than the '08 bubble was when it rolled over. If you were a betting man what would figure the odds are we're about to see an unappealing change? 🤔
@unconventionalideas5683
@unconventionalideas5683 Ай бұрын
Real Estate also has record low vacancies, and while delinquencies are high, it is still significantly lower than it was around the 2008 recession. I don't know where you got the small business rent figure, but I question the method used to calculate that number because it really feels way out, unless maybe it is including suburban landscaping companies, which might well be struggling.
@TDH_1962
@TDH_1962 Ай бұрын
GDP growth is anemic... And this after spending $1 trillion every 100 days. The only thing growing is DEBT.
@nortonyatzee7254
@nortonyatzee7254 Ай бұрын
Peter Zeihan here, coming to you from my huge carbon footprint.
@Jason-mh1pl
@Jason-mh1pl Ай бұрын
carbon footprint is a scam sold to us so the people dont want polluting industry's which would make us a alot of money and power globally. they do this so industrial items are produced in other places so they have to deal with mass pollution. look at china and india they are global mass manufacturers, nothing we cant do, its something we WONT do anymore. we benefit by still getting our goods and they suffer by dealing with pollution and upkeep of industry.
@williamhenszlein5032
@williamhenszlein5032 Ай бұрын
@peterzeihan You forgot your vote for Joe Biden plug in this video.
@RL.1
@RL.1 Ай бұрын
LOL, totally. He’s such an undercover pimp for Let’s Go Brandon.
@user-qs2gb9gu8y
@user-qs2gb9gu8y Ай бұрын
Go to bed, the adults are talking.
@ronblack7870
@ronblack7870 Ай бұрын
people who were used to 2 % interest should realize that was a blip and nowhere near historic levels. now we are closer to historic levels .
@Cherishthemoment
@Cherishthemoment Ай бұрын
Wow, the government has become the primary driver of economic growth. Peter stay off the high hill tops, the debt is at 35 trillion. That’s like saying, I keep hiring workers to plant seeds and grow produce but borrow the money to pay them. Economics 101, that’s not good.
@bigredfan123
@bigredfan123 Ай бұрын
Yes, please worry about the misallocation of capital. It's kind of important to our nation's future.
@jeanlamb5026
@jeanlamb5026 Ай бұрын
Yes, it's great when Elon pees away $40 billion wrecking Twitter, right?
@Antiteshmis
@Antiteshmis Ай бұрын
​@@jeanlamb5026 Why should we worry about what he does with his money, when it's the gvt spending our money on BS ?
@jeanlamb5026
@jeanlamb5026 Ай бұрын
@@Antiteshmis Except Elon wants huge tax breaks for himself, and that really does hurt us. If he's crap like that with his money, who knows what he'll do with ours?
@TheDaBombshizzle
@TheDaBombshizzle Ай бұрын
We need more Peters. These extremes in the US and UK getting all the airwaves is really annoying and then there's Peter the voice of reason and solidly central in the political spectrum.
@cathjj840
@cathjj840 Ай бұрын
smh. He's solidly in the camp of that clique who's sucked up all the wealth at the expense of everyone else.
@AndrewDasilvaPLT
@AndrewDasilvaPLT Ай бұрын
This is humor, right?
@vinceagostini4249
@vinceagostini4249 Ай бұрын
good point
@hififlipper
@hififlipper Ай бұрын
next step: Peter on a surfboard
@lennywaldhauser9618
@lennywaldhauser9618 Ай бұрын
Peter: Please provide a citation for, "Trump would expand the size of the government". I'm not sure I understand where that's coming from (other than your hatred of Trump) unless you are referring to military spending...and I'm not sure he's ever said that either.
@evanmeyerbrand7364
@evanmeyerbrand7364 Ай бұрын
I think he’s talking about some of the wackier trump policies he been bring out
@timitator2517
@timitator2517 Ай бұрын
He’s knowledgeable, but biased. Too bad he doesn’t keep his political beliefs to himself.
@HankSemoreButz
@HankSemoreButz Ай бұрын
@@timitator2517true
@dcc70
@dcc70 Ай бұрын
I think he meant government spending as the primary driver of the economy. He's predicting it will continue regardless of who's in the white house.
@gking407
@gking407 Ай бұрын
@@timitator2517if he kept his opinions to himself how would know who to hate?
@justinburton918
@justinburton918 Ай бұрын
Peter Your explanation of how financial bubbles happen is bull$$#%.
@osark2487
@osark2487 Ай бұрын
stagflation is now good news. lol only in the depths of the dept of state
@bizzy423
@bizzy423 Ай бұрын
Wish I lived in Zeihan land all I see is extreme food inflation everywhere unaffordable houses and inflated rents.
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