No video

The Federal Reserve and Its Inflation Target || Peter Zeihan

  Рет қаралды 263,483

Zeihan on Geopolitics

Zeihan on Geopolitics

Ай бұрын

*At :30 and 1:00, I should have said "federal funds rate" instead of 'prime rate'
For all the hungover Americans out there, I heard the best cure after a long day of drinking is to talk about inflation. Well, maybe it will just make your head hurt more, but you still have the weekend ahead of you to relax...
Full Newsletter: mailchi.mp/zei...
Where to find more?
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/3NyQu4l
Subscribe to the KZfaq Channel: bit.ly/3Ny9UXb
Listen to the Podcast: spoti.fi/3iJyNEe
Zeihan on Geopolitics website: zeihan.com/
Purchase the Global Outlook Webinar Here: bit.ly/3xBvRxd
Where to find me on Social Media?
Twitter: bit.ly/3E1E95D
LinkedIn: bit.ly/3zJAW8b
Instagram: bit.ly/3IW2mgp
Facebook: bit.ly/3ZIAjHk
#federalreserve #inflation #economy

Пікірлер: 1 300
@jerrycampbell-ut9yf
@jerrycampbell-ut9yf Ай бұрын
Inflation is far more harmful to individuals than a collapsing stock or property market because it directly affects people's cost of living, which they immediately feel. It is not surprising that the current market sentiment is extremely pessimistic. In today's economy, assistance is critical if we are to survive.
@Peterl4290
@Peterl4290 Ай бұрын
It has never been simpler to grasp how to expand your wealth than it is right now, thanks to the availability of competent portfolio advisors that can help you experience and learn about a market with a wide range of assets. I think it's impossible to predict how changing dollar values will affect assets.
@larrypaul-cw9nk
@larrypaul-cw9nk Ай бұрын
If you lack market knowledge, your best bet is to seek advice or support from a consultant or investing coach. Contacting a consultant may sound simple, but it's how I've managed to stay afloat in the market and increase my portfolio to roughly 65% since January. It is, in my opinion, the best way to get started in the industry right now.
@sabastinenoah
@sabastinenoah Ай бұрын
Your advisor must be really good. How I can get in touch? My retirement portfolio's decline is a concern, and I could use some guidance.
@larrypaul-cw9nk
@larrypaul-cw9nk Ай бұрын
Her name is “Annette Christine Conte” can't divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like
@sabastinenoah
@sabastinenoah Ай бұрын
Wow, her track record looks really good from what I found online. I'll take a chance and see how it goes. Thanks for the info
@leondonald
@leondonald Ай бұрын
The FED lowered its inflation objective to less than 2% in 2012. They changed the target to a long-term average of 2% inflation. Because long-term interest rates are set at inflation plus a profit margin, the implication is lower interest rates. I consider the current rising interest rate to be a very serious issue it will cause more investors to withdraw from the market. But then despite the severe bear market, I am aware of certain investors that continue to earn over $365,000. Wish I could accomplish that.
@donna_martins
@donna_martins Ай бұрын
Very possible! Particularly in this weak market. There are several opportunities to generate excellent returns, but such intricate transactions can only be carried out by seasoned market professionals.
@robert-1miller
@robert-1miller Ай бұрын
I totally agree, it's been three years and counting, and I've made over 1.7 million by simply following a coach's advice. I was on the sidelines for a while watching, trying to determine the best time to get in, before I came across a coach, recommended by my wife. I was reluctant at first but I went ahead and contacted the coach. As a small reward for my consistency, I went on a trip to the Bahamas in the late summer.
@EllenAbrex
@EllenAbrex Ай бұрын
Your advisor must be really good. How I can get in touch? My retirement portfolio's decline is a concern, and I could use some guidance.
@robert-1miller
@robert-1miller Ай бұрын
Vivian Jean Wilhelm is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@EllenAbrex
@EllenAbrex Ай бұрын
Thank you so much for your helpful tip! I was able to verify the person and book a call session with her. She seems very proficient and I'm really grateful for your guidance
@gingerkilkus
@gingerkilkus 25 күн бұрын
My greatest concern is how to recover from all these economic and global troubles and stay afloat especially with the political power tussle going on in US.
@fadhshf
@fadhshf 25 күн бұрын
Inflation can have a significant impact on individuals and their cost of living. As a result, it can cause negative market sentiment. It is important for individuals and businesses to find ways to navigate and potentially mitigate the effects of inflation on their finances. The current economic climate, including underperformance of financial markets due to fear of inflation, has led to a decrease in the value of my portfolio. I would appreciate any recommendations on how to potentially increase returns during this market downturn.
@leojack9090
@leojack9090 25 күн бұрын
Stocks are pretty unstable at the moment, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of folks gaining over $150k just in a matter of weeks/couple months, so I think there are a lot of wealth transfer in this downtime if you know where to look.
@hasede-lg9hj
@hasede-lg9hj 25 күн бұрын
Such market uncertainties are the reason I don’t base my market judgements and decisions on rumours and here-says, got the best of me 2020 and had me holding worthless position in the market, I had to revamp my entire portfolio through the aid of an advisor, before I started seeing any significant results happens in my portfolio, been using the same advisor and I’ve scaled up $450k within 2 years, whether a bullish or down market, both makes for good profit, it all depends on where you’re looking.
@lowcostfresh2266
@lowcostfresh2266 25 күн бұрын
@@hasede-lg9hj this is huge! would you mind revealing info of your advisor here please? in dire need of portfolio rebalancing
@lowcostfresh2266
@lowcostfresh2266 25 күн бұрын
this is huge! would you mind revealing info of your advisor here please? in dire need of portfolio rebalancing
@der4815162342
@der4815162342 Ай бұрын
"the fed has a lot of tools" > opens toolbox > there's only one tool
@bjarnetungland4544
@bjarnetungland4544 Ай бұрын
It's a hammer
@Meton2526
@Meton2526 Ай бұрын
The Fed is a HUGELY overblown and over-glorified bank clearing house. There has not been a reserve requirement for several years now, so it has even less tools than it historically had. Basically the only lever it still has is setting the interest rate on bank reserves held on account at the Fed.
@Brian.Murphy
@Brian.Murphy Ай бұрын
2 tools - interest rates & balance sheet management (which they've only passively targeted). But, yeah, not a lot to work with.
@youtubeshortsanycontent
@youtubeshortsanycontent Ай бұрын
Lol
@traderrichardson
@traderrichardson Ай бұрын
@@Meton2526 Quantitative Easing is a dangerous tool they have overused in the past and caused massive inflation.
@apc9714
@apc9714 Ай бұрын
Zehian on geopolitics is my favorite travel blog channel
@Nthsey
@Nthsey Ай бұрын
That’s one way to call a CIA asset for sure
@FightingMango
@FightingMango Ай бұрын
RIP Anthony Bourdain… but thank god we have Peter Zeihan! 😂
@martinschulze5399
@martinschulze5399 Ай бұрын
😂
@fcsomerta7680
@fcsomerta7680 Ай бұрын
I miss the hats
@JJthename55
@JJthename55 Ай бұрын
Mine is Dementia Joey goes to the Ice Cream Shop.
@Varangoi
@Varangoi Ай бұрын
Tune in next week to see if Peter got out of the canyon or not... 😂
@AmazianLinsation82
@AmazianLinsation82 Ай бұрын
Peter is dropped off by chopper in reality
@richardlellip.e.m.b.a.7969
@richardlellip.e.m.b.a.7969 Ай бұрын
Peter should stop hiking in the mountains -- lack of oxygen is making him both demented and delusional.
@Critical-Thinker895
@Critical-Thinker895 Ай бұрын
@@richardlellip.e.m.b.a.7969 lol
@user-uz8nu2lp9x
@user-uz8nu2lp9x Ай бұрын
Anyone else remember when they were calling it "transitory Inflation"?
@mann8098
@mann8098 Ай бұрын
10% or more for longer (a decade) sounds more accurate. Yeah they were lying to us.
@RTBird2
@RTBird2 Ай бұрын
Came from politicians so if course they were lying. And the $$$$$ the USA government isn't helping. Perhaps Mr population is getting older wouldn't mind discussing this?
@AUniqueHandleName444
@AUniqueHandleName444 Ай бұрын
@@mann8098 Hey, a decade is temporary...
@AUniqueHandleName444
@AUniqueHandleName444 Ай бұрын
@@RTBird2 No, it didn't come from politicians, it came from bureaucrats.
@JohnSmith-ti2kp
@JohnSmith-ti2kp Ай бұрын
@user-uz8nu2lp9x- Yes, I remember, but it doesn't matter anyway, they will just change the definition of "transitory", just like they did with "recession".
@ortega456
@ortega456 Ай бұрын
How many hours per day is Peter hiking? I'm happy to do it once per year 😂
@MrDodobir
@MrDodobir Ай бұрын
One may think it's an outdoors channel 😂
@TheBKnight3
@TheBKnight3 Ай бұрын
He has a snail chasing after him
@drorjs
@drorjs Ай бұрын
He's a hikoholic.
@je3996
@je3996 Ай бұрын
It helps him think more clearly so part of his job really.
@luciusleblanc5120
@luciusleblanc5120 Ай бұрын
At this point, I think he's one with the trails.
@wyldechilde3531
@wyldechilde3531 Ай бұрын
As a millennial I want to have kids. We had one who passed away in 2022. We're trying to rebuild and pick things back up... but the environment we're in where rent keeps rising and cost of living keeps squeezing us, it becomes just too much...
@marcob.7801
@marcob.7801 Ай бұрын
My deepest heartfelt sympathy for your loss. I lost a "grown adult" child in 2013, and I still haven't gotten over it. Keep trying though, it IS worth the struggle, WC.
@jeanlamb5026
@jeanlamb5026 Ай бұрын
Note all the corporations buying up property. You ain't see nuthin' yet.
@thetacokawaii5708
@thetacokawaii5708 Ай бұрын
Why you want a kid for? So it can take care of you when you're old?
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
I am going to say something that most people do not like. Just go and try for a baby. Do not think about economics just do it. Nobody can predict the future.
@thetacokawaii5708
@thetacokawaii5708 Ай бұрын
@@Art-is-craft hahahahah stupid as hell
@brownwater2925
@brownwater2925 Ай бұрын
It’s amusing this fixation on interest rates while no one discusses the effects of just….printing more money.
@craigwillms61
@craigwillms61 Ай бұрын
Exactly. But doing that he'd have to criticize the Biden admin and his boss.
@jlspracher
@jlspracher Ай бұрын
It's been discussed, quite a lot actually
@BronzeManul
@BronzeManul Ай бұрын
"Hey everyone, Peter Zeihan here, coming to you on day 5 since I took a wrong turn off the trail during a solo hike deep in the Canadian tundra. I'm currently subsisting on snow and the occasional bit of moss, but today, we're going to take a look at what the Biden administration is doing to get a grip on interest rates."
@rolandparks4318
@rolandparks4318 Ай бұрын
LOL You are funny BronzeM
@DellDuckfan313
@DellDuckfan313 Ай бұрын
"Hey everyone, Peter Zeihan here, coming to you from the irradiated wastes of New Columbia. This one's gonna be quick cause there's a hoard of zombies after me, whew! The latest news is that the armed biker gangs have taken hold of a couple of power plants in the California Republic. Here's how this will affect our manufacturing base..."
@protorhinocerator142
@protorhinocerator142 Ай бұрын
I was able to help a family of Bigfoot to find the lake they were looking for, where fish were plentiful. The US now has trade relations with the Chakahotee tribe of Bigfoot. However the birth rate among Bigfoot is shockingly low and their demographic outlook is rather grim.
@almonmadden8453
@almonmadden8453 Ай бұрын
🤣🤣
@RTBird2
@RTBird2 Ай бұрын
​@@protorhinocerator142😂😂😂😂😂. And their population is aging.... surprise!
@josww2
@josww2 Ай бұрын
The Fed sets the Fed Funds Rate, not the Prime rate. The FFR is an overnight rate (short-term), and has a limited effect on long-term rates (which is why the Fed had to do things like Operation Twist etc etc)
@maxbooth179
@maxbooth179 Ай бұрын
I want to learn more about the fed. Where do you recommend I look?
@tanvancouver7115
@tanvancouver7115 Ай бұрын
​@maxbooth179 look up Ron Paul, Hayek and von mises regarding the federal reserve.
@tanvancouver7115
@tanvancouver7115 Ай бұрын
Right. Prime rate is the rate banks set for each other.
@josww2
@josww2 Ай бұрын
@@maxbooth179 Go to their website, they have some educational materials, as do each of the Federal Reserve banks. They will reference other material/books/etc, and you can branch out your knowledge from there. Also, look at the course requirements for a university finance or economics degree, and read those textbooks.
@mattmccartney5996
@mattmccartney5996 Ай бұрын
Prime Rate is directly derived from the FFR (usually FFR + 3 percentage points), so in practice, the fed indirectly sets the Prime Rate.
@TJ-Stackin
@TJ-Stackin Ай бұрын
Everything Peter says I take with a grain of salt.
@hg2.
@hg2. Ай бұрын
Disgustingly ignorant and apologetic for the stealing of inflation.
@Don_from_cairns_australia
@Don_from_cairns_australia Ай бұрын
@@TJ-Stackin begs the question why you watch
@grodesby3422
@grodesby3422 Ай бұрын
One should take everything any public figure says with a grain of salt. Zeihan at least has a consistent model of the world he riffs on.
@eric3969
@eric3969 Ай бұрын
A shaker full of salt. I'm going to start hiding his videos. He should stick with his oil supply chain content. Saying that everything occurs due to demographic trends is way too narrow minded.
@TheIntJuggler
@TheIntJuggler Ай бұрын
I take it with a whole peppercorn.
@AleixoLeal
@AleixoLeal Ай бұрын
Most Americans don’t even have anywhere near 1 million saved. Some have close to nothing going into retirement - my question, considering inflation/recession, what is really important for someone approaching 50, Is it paying off mortgage or saving aggressively?
@Jtreeco
@Jtreeco Ай бұрын
consider financial planning.
@AlbrechtKoch-n9e
@AlbrechtKoch-n9e Ай бұрын
@@Jtreeco It really isn’t about how much you save, it’s about how you manage your money. Whether you work to earn income or invest, it still boils down to income vs expenses, so yeah you may look into financial advisors for a strategy that suits your timing.
@ChunLiu-e4l
@ChunLiu-e4l Ай бұрын
@@AlbrechtKoch-n9e I totally agree, I'm 56 and newly retired with about 1.2 million outside retirement funds, no debt, and very small dollars in retirement funds compared to my portfolio balance over the past 3 years till date. tbh, the role of the invt-advisor can only be overlooked, not denied. just have to do your research in finding a reputable one.
@GARCIAVEGAJelesky
@GARCIAVEGAJelesky Ай бұрын
@@ChunLiu-e4l That's fascinating. How can I contact a planner and vet them? as I am in fix and contemplating my options, consulting with a pro has been on my mind.
@danielkanewske8473
@danielkanewske8473 Ай бұрын
Not just nothing but negative savings.
@GraeMatterz
@GraeMatterz Ай бұрын
One of the major reasons that Millennials are not having more kids or not having kids AT ALL is the high cost of living. They know it's only going to get worse as do Zoomers. Wagging a finger in admonishment to them will only get you a finger in return. Their future outlook will have to improve BEFORE they start having more kids. IF the future economic outlook requires more kids, then something needs to be done NOW to offset the high cost of living in order to facilitate that. The cost of childcare is untenable no matter where in the US and that's just one expense. When the powers-that-be are doing absolutely squat to remediate the increased financial burden of childrearing, it's a very responsible decision not to have kids.
@echoshatter
@echoshatter Ай бұрын
100%. People would have more kids if they could afford it. My wife and I bought a house about the same size as my parents and it cost 3x as much. My parents had 3 kids, hers had 4, we're looking at 1 or 2. And I'm dreading the child care costs. Meanwhile I'm watching people in my area hoping for Trump. They don't care about outcomes or understand policy, they just know it's an existential fight and somehow they got convinced Team Red is the best option.
@tjt5055
@tjt5055 Ай бұрын
He has stated this exact reason repeatedly and it's a reality in every industrialized society. Kids go from being free farm labor to big costs taking up space in your little apartment (purely economically speaking). That said, there are also many cultural reasons that we shouldn't overlook. People today prefer to enjoy their 20s childfree, which means simply a shorter window to have kids in your 30s. Also, the feminist movement has allowed many women to prioritize their careers and personal liberty over childcare as their primary role. There are lots of reasons for declining birthrates and it's happening in every urbanized society in the world, even the developing world.
@ehlava7331
@ehlava7331 Ай бұрын
my wife and I just did our student loan to first job from college ratio from ~40yrs ago and it was the same as it is now for current grads (granted we went to a state school as a resident, I lived in a small cowtown in the SW). I remember going to southern California at the time and thinking "300K for a 2/1 condo on the coast highway, who can afford that, thats ridiculous!" so we both moved to a up and coming town Seattle and made our way. I guess how ppl started going to Austin 10+ years ago. there is always opportunity. We only had one child, because of costs... and I deeply regret that. Shits always been super expensive, dunno, jmtc, your views likely different.
@WilcoxNotreallythere
@WilcoxNotreallythere Ай бұрын
No offense ​@@ehlava7331it ain't the same. Housing is at a level never seen before. Inflation stopped using housing as a metric in 1983. We're in a depression and being lied to by this administration.
@XenoDrake
@XenoDrake Ай бұрын
Perer: "Millennials, have more children!" Me, a millennial who can't afford to buy a house: "No."
@MAchannel2024
@MAchannel2024 Ай бұрын
Don’t be fooled by the “American dream” that buying a house is the only way. It’s ok to rent as long as you are living below your means and investing. Most Americans don’t have the discipline to save, that’s why they need a house, forced savings. Just be smart and live below your means.
@chriswhite3692
@chriswhite3692 Ай бұрын
Your ancestors had kids under FAR worse conditions. In fact, besides maybe the 90's, this is the best time to have kids, perhaps in human history. Energy and food abundance. Relative peace. Economic outlook? Eh- could be a lot better but could be worse.
@XenoDrake
@XenoDrake Ай бұрын
@chriswhite3692 Good for them, but my desire to not have children has already led me to have a vasectomy. Children are great, and people who want to have children are also great. I've personally decided that's not for me.
@chrisjackson1215
@chrisjackson1215 Ай бұрын
@@XenoDrake Well, don't feel to bad then when you're 70+ and there's not enough young working adults to caregive for you. Having kids is a societal obligation; if you don't do your part then don't expect the beneifts from it.
@XenoDrake
@XenoDrake Ай бұрын
@@chrisjackson1215 I Don't even know what to say to that. I made the choice to not have children because the society I live in has made it too expensive for me to. And now you think I am obliged to care about a society that doesn't care about me? I am reminded of The Count of Monte Cristo, when the count is having breakfast with Morcerf, Chapter 40... "Perhaps what I am about to say may seem strange to you, who are socialists, and vaunt humanity and your duty to your neighbor, but I never seek to protect a society which does not protect me, and which I will even say, generally occupies itself about me only to injure me; and thus by giving them a low place in my esteem, and preserving a neutrality towards them, it is society and my neighbor who are indebted to me.”
@gawkingoblin
@gawkingoblin Ай бұрын
Have more kids? Make it affordable
@systemBuilder
@systemBuilder Ай бұрын
Study how hispanics do it. They have 0.3 more kids on average than you do ...
@scottanno8861
@scottanno8861 Ай бұрын
He's not saying these things on accident. He's being very deliberate on explaining he views of the bureaucracy. He is saying, in effect, "we want you to have less kids on purpose".
@Fe22234
@Fe22234 Ай бұрын
There are countries were they are paid to have kids and it is affordable and still the birth rate is low it is more than just the cost of kids. Historically rich educated countries have less kids.
@c1ph3rpunk
@c1ph3rpunk Ай бұрын
“The only example we have is feudal” Seems that’s the model many are selecting.
@jeanlamb5026
@jeanlamb5026 Ай бұрын
Hail King Trump! /s
@dalehill6127
@dalehill6127 Ай бұрын
Are you sure he said feudal? I thought it was 'futile'... 🤔
@mkvenner2
@mkvenner2 Ай бұрын
If I can barely afford groceries and rent/mortgage how the hell do think I can afford children, Peter?
@deanrobb9220
@deanrobb9220 Ай бұрын
Shut up and consume. Gdp go up, life good
@jpl7909
@jpl7909 Ай бұрын
You heard Peter, it's not a big deal :)
@JJthename55
@JJthename55 Ай бұрын
Love to see old Pete spew the Life is Good speech to the Walmart shoppers in Iowa on a Saturday morning. 😂😂😂😂 Nothing left but his "man bun".
@gzsprout
@gzsprout Ай бұрын
​@@JJthename55it's almost like the economy and individual family economic situations aren't the same!
@keithunderwood6205
@keithunderwood6205 Ай бұрын
Peter only speaks to the 30% that doesn't live paycheck to paycheck. It's that elitism he is privy to.
@podawe8051
@podawe8051 Ай бұрын
I mean this has also really been in the making since 2008. Even after the economy recovered the fed kept interest rates artificially low for 15 years, it's just finally starting to catch up to us..
@aslfdjalskjflkajs134
@aslfdjalskjflkajs134 Ай бұрын
new day new hike for peter!
@ironwoodworkman4917
@ironwoodworkman4917 Ай бұрын
This is clearly a clown show. He is being told what to say buy clowns living in a bubble that is popping. U.S. tax dollars wasted on paying a man-child to hick and play smart. Problem, He is always wrong and is telling everyone "Left good" as the burn the U.S. down.
@AndreaRoberto-wm3th
@AndreaRoberto-wm3th Ай бұрын
This seems like the worst period. Even the market are now very unpredictable. Started investing recently when the market prices were a bit high,today I am more than 60% down!
@Markscott412
@Markscott412 Ай бұрын
I agree just reached my goal of $500k monthly trade earnings. Setting realistic goals is an essential part of trading
@jackwillison177
@jackwillison177 Ай бұрын
Absolutely! Most undervalue advisors, but their expertise and risk mitigation strategies are invaluable for savvy investors. For those with busy schedules, monitoring the market is challenging, so we delegate to experts. I'm currently working with one, and my portfolio has grown to $1.3M, a 25% increase from last year, with robust diversification and inflation hedging.
@Williamjame444
@Williamjame444 Ай бұрын
fascinating! I am new to this whole thing. I've heard that now is a wonderful time to buy, and basically, I have some cash hanging around in the bank that I would really like to spend, especially since inflation is at an all-time high. Who is this coach that helps you, and may I check them up?
@jackwillison177
@jackwillison177 Ай бұрын
One of the fiduciaries I deal with is Melissa Elise Robinson. Just check the name. There would be a letter with the necessary information to set up an appointment.
@Williamjame444
@Williamjame444 Ай бұрын
I'm grateful for this advice. Finding your coach wasn't too hard. I researched her well before arranging to speak with her on the phone. Considering her resume, she appears competent.
@zorkmid1083
@zorkmid1083 Ай бұрын
It's been over a day now, I guess he still hasn't gotten out of that canyon. 😂
@mann8098
@mann8098 Ай бұрын
So no more raising of rates to combat inflation = more inflation for longer. They'll have to lower rates to stimulate the growth of the industrial plant = more inflation. Everything will be more expensive. Assets will go up in price. Cryptocurrencies should not have any value but will remain pricey and volatile. And we are forced to speculate/ invest (it's the same thing) because in the bank our money loses at least 10% of its value yearly.
@bobbrown8661
@bobbrown8661 Ай бұрын
You Don't Mess with the Zeihan
@waywardgeologist2520
@waywardgeologist2520 Ай бұрын
Funniest one so far
@SignalCorps1
@SignalCorps1 Ай бұрын
Clever
@MsJeffreyF
@MsJeffreyF Ай бұрын
Should they raise interest rates in general, but do something like Japanese window guidance to give advantage to economically important areas (the ones you're talking about)?
@edwinlor7932
@edwinlor7932 Ай бұрын
Legend has it, he's in still in that canyon. Talking to himself in an ever increasing pessimistic tone.
@User-re6im
@User-re6im Ай бұрын
“let me see if i can get out this canyon”?! 😂 someone go save peter
@Michael-bh9ss
@Michael-bh9ss Ай бұрын
34yo dad here. I'll have another kid when it's beneficial. My wife works part time, she would lose half her pay check every month for child care. The average cost for child care in my metro is 16k. If I could write off more than 3k from the child tax credit I would be more willing to pay that cost. Childcare needs a overhaul in this country in order for my generation to consider the possibility of having kids.
@halidogmanthehero917
@halidogmanthehero917 Ай бұрын
Tell your wife to quit her job, Have 5 more kids. Live somewhere cheap (the world is a big place). Live for your kids not yourself. Praise God.
@Michael-bh9ss
@Michael-bh9ss Ай бұрын
@@halidogmanthehero917 🤣🤣🤣 so forget my dreams my goals or her goals and just PUMP out kids. Got it. Thanks.
@zantetsu8674
@zantetsu8674 Ай бұрын
@@Michael-bh9ss Not telling you what to do at all, but as someone who has two teenage kids and a successful career, I'd trade career success for having had more kids. Kids yield more life satisfaction than anything. That's my personal experience.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
⁠@@Michael-bh9ss Dreams? Having children should be the dream. Having a fancy car, tv set or larger home is not going to compare to having children. Too many people today are focused on the here and now and dreams.
@Michael-bh9ss
@Michael-bh9ss Ай бұрын
@@Art-is-craft you know nothing about me and telling me to take on another soul where I can barely support the the family I have. Idk if you guys are trolling me or just ignorant. Also no one under 50 says TV set so I know you and I are a lifetime apart on life experiences.
@MC-gj8fg
@MC-gj8fg Ай бұрын
Someone go dig Volcher up. This half assing interest rate hikes is dragging this thing out. 16% next quarter or bust. This has nothing to do with all my cash on the sidelines that would love to find a home in a 10 year 16% treasury.
@Running_With_Scissors
@Running_With_Scissors Ай бұрын
Peter, you are my favorite content creator. Absolutely love watching you every day!
@tomluft863
@tomluft863 Ай бұрын
I used to feel the same way. Go back and watch the progression of his presentations. You'll see he's mostly only accurate in the obvious to near-obvious range. In fact, his biases cause him to miss many obvious conclusions.
@TheFbiFilesRepeat
@TheFbiFilesRepeat Ай бұрын
@@tomluft863his biases towards?
@baxman321
@baxman321 Ай бұрын
Mr. Zeihan, you speak more truth than anyone I follow - in fact - you are one of the bravest commentators out there - so you're forgiven for referring to the Fed Funds Rate as the Prime Rate . Banks are thankful that's not the case because the Prime is running 3% and more on top of Fed Funds just now. Paid 12.5% for my first 25-year mortgage - so many people are too young to know that the current rates are just "middlin'". Keep up the great work.
@marcob.7801
@marcob.7801 Ай бұрын
Baxman must be a contemporary! I do remember my first 15 year mortgage at exactly (12.5%) was a killer, however, I was at the time, a very high net, salaried earner thus, it just "came off the top!" Nonetheless, that was approx. 37 years ago when a relatively modest single family in a really good neighborhood in NYC, with a great school district cost around $175K. IF I recall correctly, I actually paid it off earlier w/o penalty.
@davidferencz9640
@davidferencz9640 Ай бұрын
Thanks. I was looking for this comment before making it myself. And, yes, I also trust Mr Zeihan more than all but a few commentators.
@georgepretnick4460
@georgepretnick4460 Ай бұрын
I can hear the howl now if the Fed actually did 'something' about inflation. 'Something' can be only one thing. Raise interest rates. Period. Unfortunately, American consumers and American business want it both ways, i.e., low inflation and low interest rates. Can't do both. Choose one.
@GoodAtheistAlway
@GoodAtheistAlway Ай бұрын
Why not have businesses of a certain size justify their price hikes in a similar way as they havrvto report their revenue, balance sheet and cash flow?
@georgepretnick4460
@georgepretnick4460 Ай бұрын
@@GoodAtheistAlway Too many variables. Besides that violates the conservative tenet that government should not influence business either way. That's their main beef with the Federal Reserve. Extreme conservatives don't believe in any quasi-government entity setting interest rate at all ever. They believe if left alone, laisse faire, business would self regulate. Unfortunately, that would bring wild swings in economic activity. We'd be in depression or a boom all the time with no stability.
@GoodAtheistAlway
@GoodAtheistAlway Ай бұрын
@@georgepretnick4460 Chinese are managing their economy with other tenets and are more successful. They seem to be capable of managing their economies better than the US. The Chinese seem to have learned from the successes of Japan before the US put a stop to it with the Plaza accords, France with de Gaulle and other west--European countries with their leaders that had a more or less planned economy until the private companies took over in the 70ies, same with Sout-Korea and Sweden an so on until in all cases the US put an end to them instead of following their lead. The casino economies broke the spirit of these economies. In any case China produces almost everything and it lacks for the moment energy. They have no inflation (0.3%) and a GDP growth of 5%. It beats me to understand why the US is confident to have the right knowledge as far as the economy is concerned. Anyway the Chinese are leaving the US Universities in droves.
@SignalLost730
@SignalLost730 Ай бұрын
@BabyGirlDontEvenPlay lol
@georgepretnick4460
@georgepretnick4460 Ай бұрын
@BabyGirlDontEvenPlay The Inflation Reduction Act is a valiant attempt to reduce in flation. Nobody ever said it would be an immediate price reducer. Au Contraire, if prices suddenly dropped to what the MAGAs are insisting, it would trigger a price death spiral, aka, a depression. MAGA conservatives would howl the loudest because all their farm and imported wares would instantly lose all the profotibility. Cash would be the only thing gaining value. People would rush to the banks and the equity markets to get their cash out. The banks would lock their doors and close their teller windows. Not reality? This is exactly what happened in the late 1920s and early 1930s. That's why we have a Federal Reserve regardless of whining from the banks and consumers.
@ploxxybb
@ploxxybb Ай бұрын
millennial here; 70% of us can't afford to have kids, like literally, 2 parent house hold, full-timers and we barely can pay rent each month. There are no affordable housing, so we are forced to rent in a barely regulated market. we wont get SS benefits when we "retire". there is no motivation for us to have "more kids", sadly.
@systemBuilder
@systemBuilder Ай бұрын
It doesn't stop latinos from breeding like rabbits, maybe study them for ideas?
@systemBuilder
@systemBuilder Ай бұрын
Study how Hispanics do it! They used to have one more kid per family and now its only 0.3, but still - they are certainly doing something right and you are doing something wrong ..
@kindredspiritzz66
@kindredspiritzz66 Ай бұрын
Good cause every generation after the Xers have proven to be disappointing to say the least
@brendanalfo411
@brendanalfo411 Ай бұрын
I love hiking. Looks like a good place to hike.
@ryox82
@ryox82 Ай бұрын
Inflation outpacing wage growth is a real problem. I have recruiters trying to poach me but offering starting pay of 5 years ago, in a skilled field. It's quite common.
@annoulaz8284
@annoulaz8284 Ай бұрын
“Millenials have more kids….” Between childcare costs and housing… We can’t afford them, buddy!
@michaelmcelroy6050
@michaelmcelroy6050 Ай бұрын
Jerk
@jessicajones657
@jessicajones657 Ай бұрын
Just adding that it is starting to be a Gen Z issue, not Millennials. Older Millennials are into their 40s. A huge part of the problem is that we have let people go to college and prolong early adulthood, thus cutting down the number of prime baby making years. Watch the first 2 minutes of Idiocracy and you'll see what I'm talking about.
@vaakdemandante8772
@vaakdemandante8772 Ай бұрын
It has never been different - when you have children your standard of living goes down. The difference being the "rich" get an additional tax on their free time and the "poor" get additional tax on their free time and disposable income. It has ALWAYS been that way. People think that they can have children and keep their standard of living - they can't and they almost never could. It's the 50 years of post-WW2 growth that has lead people to believe, that you can somehow cheat 2nd Law of Thermodynamics and increase your wealth while having kids - you can't. What child rearing takes away in higher costs usually brings back in increase in emotional well-being of the parents... 30-50 years after the children are born. That is the trade and it has always been that way since people had been having kinds.
@Lora_Lynn
@Lora_Lynn Ай бұрын
It depends. Are you willing to change your lifestyle. I have two new grandchildren born last August and February. Child care is $3000 per month per baby. Yep that's steep. I'm sure it will decrease when they are toddlers. You have options. A stay at home parent? Working part time? Working different schedules? You may not be able to buy a new car or eat out as frequently. Even if you didn't you have to watch more closely how you spend your money. Buy things only when they are on sale. My point is, it's doable. Yes it will change your lifestyle, it will anyway regardless of your financial situation
@Cajundaddydave
@Cajundaddydave Ай бұрын
Acquire highly marketable skills and kids/houses suddenly become affordable again- Father of 3 millennials who are crushing it.
@joshbrooks5326
@joshbrooks5326 Ай бұрын
1. Thank You Mr. Zeihan, for sharing Your perspective. 2. I submit that the fed may have lots of (debasement) tools, but only one result (debasement). Like a drawer full of flat head screwdrivers. 3. Happy Fourth Turning.
@hg2.
@hg2. Ай бұрын
Disgustingly ignorant and apologetic for the stealing of inflation.
@systemBuilder
@systemBuilder Ай бұрын
We are in the Crisis turning period!
@drachenmarke
@drachenmarke Ай бұрын
he’s wrong… a lot.
@trapical
@trapical Ай бұрын
1:06 I love how this implies they met without him, like he was _supposed_ to be in the room but they met without him.
@HWY66
@HWY66 Ай бұрын
Love all of your information and insight. The beautiful hikes make me miss living in Colorado!
@danamyrocket
@danamyrocket Ай бұрын
Still looking forward to Peter and Steve Keen sitting down to talk. If your population is declining, demand for stuff doesn’t stop, it slows. Big difference. Even in that condition, an economy will still need lots of activity just to maintain standards of living. People will still travel, need new roofs, lawns mowed, etc.
@coonhound_pharoah
@coonhound_pharoah Ай бұрын
Keen is clueless about economics. Just like Peter.
@hg2.
@hg2. Ай бұрын
Disgustingly ignorant and apologetic for the stealing of inflation.
@nurfuis
@nurfuis Ай бұрын
A lot of what Peter says is that America needs to rebuild it's industrial base because we will still need things and won't be able to buy them from places where we were getting them. Because those places are in demographic decline.
@tomluft863
@tomluft863 Ай бұрын
Peter has some interesting assertions. His admiration for the industrial potential Mexico is one. Yeah...we'll just ignore that cartel corruption dominates the politics of Mexico. And if they DO ever become an economic/industrial powerhouse, they will turn their backs on the USA and invite China in...if they haven't already. But China and their balloons are nothing to worry about, right Peter?
@REICapital
@REICapital Ай бұрын
@@nurfuis It is not just demographic decline; it is also geopolitical warfare with competing markets. The markets and manufacturing are shifting.
@CanadianAnglican
@CanadianAnglican Ай бұрын
We love Peter in Canada. Thank you for all you do Peter.
@ironwoodworkman4917
@ironwoodworkman4917 Ай бұрын
What do you love? The fact that he is always wrong and is paid buy the Feds to be a man-child? I get it, Take from very poor people (taxes) and give it to Peter because feels good to hear lies.
@JohnSmith-ti2kp
@JohnSmith-ti2kp Ай бұрын
@CanadianAnglican - Americans would love him in Canada too.
@kkostadinof
@kkostadinof Ай бұрын
Speak for yourself. This eloquent bullshitter is not fooling everyone but you.
@whatthef911
@whatthef911 Ай бұрын
Milton Friedman: Inflation is always and everywhere, a monetary phenomenon.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
He is talking about long term inflation not short market cycles. A good monetary and banking system would not stop the current inflation cycle.
@59jm24
@59jm24 Ай бұрын
All this is a well and good thought BUT our industry leaders and politicians in general lack the mind set and ability to think beyond what they will eat for breakfast tomorrow.
@crawkn
@crawkn Ай бұрын
The problem with labor is not that there aren't enough workers, but that huge swathes of potential labor have been removed from the labor pool by rendering them "unemployable." Currently in the U.S. virtually all of the homeless and itinerant, and a significant number of those on "disability" ("the new welfare"), can't get hired no matter how willing they may be to work. It should be clear that the goal should be to rehabilitate them, and stop snubbing them, so that we may all benefit from their productivity, while simultaneously alleviating their suffering, which is an immense embarrassment to such a wealthy nation. Currently these populations are consuming at an impoverished rate, while producing nothing. This benefits no one.
@888sfarrar
@888sfarrar Ай бұрын
Ever tried to hire an "unemployable"? They render themselves unemployable...
@ryox82
@ryox82 Ай бұрын
Please provide sources and actual data points. Thats just like me saying all homeless are junkies and providing no proof.
@stevedavenport1202
@stevedavenport1202 Ай бұрын
Umm, a lot of the homeless are severely mentally ill and drug addicted. They are not employable.
@crawkn
@crawkn Ай бұрын
@@888sfarrar I _am_ an unemployable, and also a damn dependable and productive worker. For those who aren't, note that I mentioned rehabilitation. For many, that simply means meeting fundamental needs of housing, so that they may bathe, do laundry, and have safety and stability. For some, it means providing for healthcare needs. These are _not_ unrealistic or unachievable goals, as has been amply proven in nations who have already done so successfully. The defeatism and lack of political will is the problem to be solved, not the feasibility.
@MrDanthemaniam
@MrDanthemaniam Ай бұрын
Yeah crawkn You've been drinking the walk Kool-Aid. Well, I don't disagree with you that there are a fair number of people out there who would like to work but for whom there are no jobs are not unemployed, because there are no jobs. They're unemployed because they're unqualified for the jobs because they haven't changed to meet the demands of the jobs. That or they've changed to not meet the demands of the jobs. A lot of people think they deserve a lot more than they actually do for the service that they render. That's why immigrants are taking up the slack because they'll do the work. If you don't believe this then just spend a little time in the work world talk to some hiring managers and you'll find out just how hard it is to find people that are willing and able to do the work.
@frankbieser
@frankbieser Ай бұрын
The existence of the Fed is bad enough, but congress actually directing Fed policy would be a nightmare. There's a flawed belief that if you put smart enough people in charge, you can "manage" an economy. Problem is, nobody (or group of people) is that smart or knows enough to do it. Macro economics is modern day reading of tea leafs using math models. Sure, it guesses right once in a while, but the error rate is higher than most are willing to admit to.
@biggin2155
@biggin2155 Ай бұрын
Found the moron.
@drachenmarke
@drachenmarke Ай бұрын
What’s the answer, walk around with a bag of gold dust and a scale?
@frankbieser
@frankbieser Ай бұрын
@@drachenmarke Nothing wrong with debt notes (that's what a dollar bill is), but have it actually backed by something. If you check history, backing notes with tangible commodities works. But that's not the real problem with the Fed. The problem with the Fed is how it violates it's own mission statement of maintaining a strong dollar by maintaining an inflation rate, which devalues the currency over time, and is a tax (disincentive) on savings.
@user-hl8tq8uw2b
@user-hl8tq8uw2b Ай бұрын
Interestingly, no mention of the economy being driven by the governmental fiscal dominance problem. The Fed design did not assume the government's massive fiscal spending driving the economy's money supply.
@diedie5
@diedie5 Ай бұрын
We need a backpacking gear loadout video.
@frankiecal3186
@frankiecal3186 Ай бұрын
Translation: Nothing, just making it worse.
@themidwestrequest-xu9rm
@themidwestrequest-xu9rm Ай бұрын
👍
@Noonesbusiness
@Noonesbusiness Ай бұрын
The options you have are they stand there and do nothing and nothing changes or they get themselves involved and make it worse. Those are the only options
@themidwestrequest-xu9rm
@themidwestrequest-xu9rm Ай бұрын
@Noonesbusiness we could end the fed and stop paying interest on money printed and leave it to the us treasury department, but what do I know
@hg2.
@hg2. Ай бұрын
Disgustingly ignorant and apologetic for the stealing of inflation.
@inoculateinoculate9486
@inoculateinoculate9486 Ай бұрын
Not a whole lot. Unless the rest of the world does the same thing, ending the federal reserve will be a massive economic competitive disadvantage.
@SacredCowStockyards
@SacredCowStockyards Ай бұрын
Raise tariffs, cut internal taxes, then raise interest rates anyway. Low interest rates in the midst of a high-inflation environment means a crowding-out of real estate. That's what's happening now.
@andrewskokan6372
@andrewskokan6372 Ай бұрын
Have you seen the interest rates…. Low is the opposite of what they are
@SacredCowStockyards
@SacredCowStockyards Ай бұрын
@andrewskokan6372 the interest rate now is what I'd describe as normal. Interest rates in the 70s and 80s went into the double digits, and that's how the Boomers were able to buy their homes.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
@@andrewskokan6372 Interest rates are not high.
@cindybogart6062
@cindybogart6062 Ай бұрын
You got this, Peter!
@TheVoiceofTheProphetElizer
@TheVoiceofTheProphetElizer Ай бұрын
I want to create a Sierra Online-style game where you play as Peter and you have to meet your daily upload schedule while also managing resources to survive whatever wilderness Peter happens to be in.
@thirsty_dog1364
@thirsty_dog1364 Ай бұрын
Going forward, it comes down to one thing. Freedom, and that's in North America, so let's ensure we keep it. There's no place left to immigrant to.
@matthewstevens315
@matthewstevens315 Ай бұрын
I'm an Aussie, and I always wanted to come live in America. Can I still migrate there?
@khukri_wielderxxx1962
@khukri_wielderxxx1962 Ай бұрын
America is free. Canada? Not so much. Mexico? Well, Mexico is just different and fun :)
@duanekamstra8890
@duanekamstra8890 Ай бұрын
​@@matthewstevens315 You can if you want. I would suggest you visit first and perhaps do a walkabout for a year first and see if you really want to live inside the asylum.
@valforgett8532
@valforgett8532 Ай бұрын
It’s disappointing that in his analysis on inflation, Peter completely ignores government spending and it’s affects on inflation as that is, if not the largest then at worst the second largest contributor to inflation
@waywardgeologist2520
@waywardgeologist2520 Ай бұрын
Why point out that the two party system is a prime driver of inflation. He doesn’t want it to affect his internationalist outlook.
@PervySage13
@PervySage13 Ай бұрын
How is it the largest or 2nd largest contributor? I’m sure government spending can affect the prices rising but I’m not sure how it would be the largest factor now considering everything else we just went through like Covid and supply chain breakdowns. I’d even say that greed is a larger factor than government spending.
@jackwaterman-lw4co
@jackwaterman-lw4co Ай бұрын
​@@waywardgeologist2520 well, maybe you'll get your wish, and get your own New Liberal Party, with imports. I wouldn't recommend it!
@robbycook4298
@robbycook4298 Ай бұрын
@@PervySage13No, it’s the cost of energy…which Biden is to blame for 100%. He made us dependent on other countries for energy, he started a proxy war with Russia, and increased regulations on new oil/natural gas/nuclear production in America….all goods are moved by energy…those costs go up, the cost of good go up…that is reality. Those costs go down, then smaller companies can compete in the market making larger companies drive down prices. Come on man, just think..and yes government spending is the second largest factor because most never jobs are government jobs that Biden created other then people just going back to their original jobs or job market following the poor handing of COVID (lock downs). Then look at the billions we have given to other countries…that adds to it as well. Come on man…lol
@jeffjohnson4817
@jeffjohnson4817 Ай бұрын
@@PervySage13 40% of the money in circulation was printed since covid, more money chasing the same goods = goods get more expensive . Also Public debt , people and business borrowing money is the main driver of our economy and for the first time in our history the government is borrowing more than its people . Think of raising interest rates as a way to take money out of the economy , slow it down Since they put so much money into it . But they continue to print money like crazy so its not slowing down and with the higher interest rates the government needs to print money just to pay for the interest on the national debt since its now the single largest expense , more than our military . Also all the rules and regulation to go green isnt helping , when energy gets more expensive so does everything else . so yes were doing it to our selves by continuing to vote idiots into office . And much of the world uses the dollar so when it hits us hard , it usually hits them harder .
@CristianEnacheRealtor
@CristianEnacheRealtor Ай бұрын
In Canada, everything revolves around supply and demand, with mortgage rates being the easiest way to control these factors. My clients and followers are well aware of this. Partnering with a knowledgeable Realtor who understands the dynamics of supply and demand in Ontario's real estate market is crucial for success. The global downturn following Putin's invasion of Ukraine illustrates the importance of understanding geopolitical economics and their impact on inflation, stagflation, and market fluctuations. If your real estate professional lacks this insight, you've chosen the wrong advisor. Ensure you work with true professionals; the best aren't the ones advertising on buses, billboards, and benches. THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX. PS: Keep up the good work! Good content as always💪
@aviapoIis
@aviapoIis Ай бұрын
At this point he does these videos just to finance his travelling and lifestyle.😮‍💨 I used to really like this guy. But he isn't un-biased, impartial or credible anymore.
@Darryl1963D
@Darryl1963D Ай бұрын
Excellent coverage. Respect from Australia.
@geoffrobinson
@geoffrobinson Ай бұрын
The money supply increases at an annualized rate of 5% last month. Congress is borrowing about $1 trillion every 100 days. The Fed is doing its best to fight Congress. There are no good solutions due to previous Fed rates being too low for multiple decades and federal spending being out of control
@RicBentley
@RicBentley Ай бұрын
@geoffrobinson Agree. The Fed seems to be forcing the issue of even a modicum of fiscal responsibility upon a feckless, crave Congress. When interest on the debt reaches twice of what the remaining budgetary items include then they they may start the think about maybe talking about some minimal measures.
@Chris-es3wf
@Chris-es3wf Ай бұрын
Not really. The solution is higher rates.
@user-ng9uc3vu3k
@user-ng9uc3vu3k Ай бұрын
Peter, .. how about if there were no more extra $ being introduced, into the system? Thus, having a stable amount of money, with the understanding that there won't be any new (more) money, which causes the money to lose it's purchasing value, in the future?
@77matius
@77matius Ай бұрын
Careful out there buddy. I hope you have GPS emergency beacon.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
He may just be on an official trail.
@noelkelly4354
@noelkelly4354 Ай бұрын
Worth remembering the Roman's stopped their expansion [of the land base*] in 117CE. In the three hundred years that followed, they never quiet figured out how to live within their limits, before the hordes arrived from the east, via the Northern European Plains. *In an agrarian society, band base is everything.
@thirsty_dog1364
@thirsty_dog1364 Ай бұрын
Throw in government that is more about infighting and making money for themselves than running a good country. In the end, many move into the church for land and freedom from taxes and are still around today. The change wasn't all bad. But that's a story for another day.
@marcob.7801
@marcob.7801 Ай бұрын
WTF is band base?? You do realize that, just like the British Empire, it just became too big and expensive to maintain and thus further expand! Do some basic research before just postulating nonsensical stupidity! That's the PRIMARY problem with the world right now! Everybody's THINKS they are an expert! That's the great thing about arseholes and opinions; everybody's got one!
@Psych1_-
@Psych1_- Ай бұрын
pretty simplistic. Rome was hit by the plague which wiped out around 50% of the population. The Empire was split in 2 by rival members. The list goes on. Disease, infighting, and corruption did them in.
@REICapital
@REICapital Ай бұрын
Yeah? And the Romans didn't have nukes either, did they? Let the hordes come.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
Romans stopped their expansion because they were a naval based empire. The technology of the era made it difficult to move beyond their actually coastal empire.
@notsosilentprotag
@notsosilentprotag Ай бұрын
So any of us caught in the middle are just fucked cool. Glad I busted my arse to earn close to six figures and can barely afford rent
@xeonpai
@xeonpai Ай бұрын
if you can barely afford rent on six figures you need to get better at handling money lol
@kidlatazul
@kidlatazul Ай бұрын
If you’re earning six figures, you can easily afford a very nice apartment or small house in Pittsburgh, where I live. The cost of housing varies wildly based on location. Maybe you should think about moving.
@austinduke8876
@austinduke8876 Ай бұрын
More money won't make you better at managing money.
@Jeffhowardmeade
@Jeffhowardmeade Ай бұрын
@@kidlatazulBut he probably wouldn’t be earning nearly so much in Pittsburgh, either. I went from $140k in the Silicon Valley to $70k in Pennsylvania and my living standard is just about the same.
@hg2.
@hg2. Ай бұрын
Disgustingly ignorant and apologetic for the stealing of inflation.
@holden5478
@holden5478 Ай бұрын
Ha! "Millennials have more kids." That's not going to happen so long as daycare is essentially a second mortgage payment every month
@WilcoxNotreallythere
@WilcoxNotreallythere Ай бұрын
Only the idiots are taking their kids to daycare.
@travellerjames3139
@travellerjames3139 Ай бұрын
Happy you replaced the “Ask Peter Files” with Forum 👏
@mariamathews5312
@mariamathews5312 Ай бұрын
Colorado is such a beautiful state.
@marcbarash6045
@marcbarash6045 Ай бұрын
Thanks Peter
@hg2.
@hg2. Ай бұрын
Disgustingly ignorant and apologetic for the stealing of inflation.
@ClayShentrup
@ClayShentrup Ай бұрын
One of these days I'm just going to spend some time in Colorado and go out to the mountains everyday and see if I can strike up a conversation with Peter. 😅
@tryagainnoob101
@tryagainnoob101 Ай бұрын
Americans and their Columbus analogies are always fun. How the hell was Columbus the instigator of globalization by 1492 when Portugal was mapping the coast of Africa already by 1434 and reached India by 1498?
@lawrenceralph7481
@lawrenceralph7481 Ай бұрын
What nobody talks about openly is that higher CPI devalues fixed national debt faster allowing more borrowing vs inflated GDP. This occurs when inflation exceeds the growth of the labor rate. It can have a profound effect over 10 or 20 years due to compounding.
@user-xf2ft1mw2d
@user-xf2ft1mw2d Ай бұрын
My dad pointed that out 50 years ago. Very true.
@allstarlord
@allstarlord Ай бұрын
That’s a nice way of say the collapse of the dollar and hyperinflation.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
US national debt is not a promissory. It is an accounting exercise that is no where near its limit.
@AS-mc8sl
@AS-mc8sl Ай бұрын
Been following you for some time. None of your macro calls seem to be working out
@allstarlord
@allstarlord Ай бұрын
😂
@brianbaxter5895
@brianbaxter5895 Ай бұрын
I wish I could come work for you as a cameraman… just to hike where you do!
@jerrybowen2869
@jerrybowen2869 Ай бұрын
I like the way you think, Peter. Seriously, I wish I could think and convey a complicated explanation as steadily. Never sure whether you're right or wrong, but it's usually thought provoking. Can you please make a video and tell us all about Putin; i.e. is he the world's Sauron, does he hold kompromat on Trump, what's likely to happen IYO? Thanks.
@anthonymordecai4109
@anthonymordecai4109 Ай бұрын
One of the Best, If not `THE Best` cognitive, geo-political narratives available anywhere, in my view. Clear precise, thought provoking. well done Peter
@phillB
@phillB Ай бұрын
Peter enough gaslighting. The reason interest rates are high and are going to stay high is because the government keeps printing money. They continuous money printing causes inflation, forcing the federal reserve to lift interest rates.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
No. US national debts are not promissory based. Only about 20% as a maximum is based on debt.
@j.k.1769
@j.k.1769 Ай бұрын
Thank you Peter for making me feel better about the state of the United States. Going to go mainline America F Yeah and continue working through my copy of your book.
@user-kn9hi1zg5c
@user-kn9hi1zg5c Ай бұрын
Peter, I wanted to take the time to personally say thank you. So, Thank you Mr. peter Zeihan. I do not agree with you on many things, but I believe that you are being as honest/fair as possible. Except when it comes to politics, to which I believe you have a case of TDS. It matters that you are as honest/open about the issues you cover, and that is enough for me. Keep up the great works.
@Brockliy
@Brockliy Ай бұрын
My guy not everyone who dislikes trump has TDS, using it at a way to write off people’s opinion is complete cope He’s a very divisive person regardless of who you are on the political isle, he’s also semi authoritarian so there’s that.
@Castleknight
@Castleknight Ай бұрын
Peter, has major TDS. I mean it's pretty simple: Our country was a lot better off during Trump than Biden.
@paulschmitz9175
@paulschmitz9175 Ай бұрын
@@Castleknight 100%!
@Brockliy
@Brockliy Ай бұрын
@@Castleknight Define better? Before covid it’s kinda hard to gauge where the country should be at now how can you compare the country under trump when in his last year he put 8trillion to the deficit, and biden then did like 3 or 4 trillion it’s kinda insane imo, we’re a diff country then when the economy was doing good overall in 2019
@lawrenceralph7481
@lawrenceralph7481 Ай бұрын
In a Haas BS Macro class in 1983, professor and former SF Fed President Sherman Maisel offered that 2% CPI inflation as a optimal target for the autonomous US economy over the longer term absent exogenous shocks. It was low enough to keep price growth to a minimum but high enough to give some margin against the danger of systemic deflation which is a acute disaster freezing the economic system by incentivizing postponing purchases for better prices. 1..Avoid deflation 2. Keep it pretty low 3. Avoid massive inflation. Actual number may be different now due to different economic structure of US economy now.
@ironwoodworkman4917
@ironwoodworkman4917 Ай бұрын
How about end the Fed Bank. Worked great in the past and people had massive freedom, wealth and America became a world power.
@ASataev
@ASataev Ай бұрын
So many thanks for such a premium analytics.
@OtisSchmakel
@OtisSchmakel Ай бұрын
voice in the wilderness
@HubertofLiege
@HubertofLiege Ай бұрын
“You suck, Zeihan!”
@CooldadFLHTCUI
@CooldadFLHTCUI Ай бұрын
I wish Peter would take me hiking in Colorado 😊
@duanekamstra8890
@duanekamstra8890 Ай бұрын
I doubt if many of the chair warriors watching this video( including myself) could keep up.⚰️
@robertkirchner7981
@robertkirchner7981 Ай бұрын
The middle class was far more prosperous when the Fed inflation target was "between 2 and 3 percent", than when they successfully kept it at or below 2 percent.
@themidwestrequest-xu9rm
@themidwestrequest-xu9rm Ай бұрын
They don't want ppl being prosperous they Want us to be subservient and manageable like a commodity you know a human resource.
@benweiss4956
@benweiss4956 Ай бұрын
The middle class was even more prosperous when there was deflation during the gold standard.
@pinewood6340
@pinewood6340 Ай бұрын
It's easy to be prosperous when your $50K/yr household casually uses $10K-$25K of credit spend every year for decades and doesn't pay a dollar off. That's exactly what the US does as a country. That's not real prosperity, it's thievery from the children, but hey, who cares right?
@marcariotto1709
@marcariotto1709 Ай бұрын
The MC was prosperous when corporations weren't considered citizens and allowed to run rough shod with greedy bandits at the reins stampeding over the population, while hoovering up every cent they could get their grubby hands on!
@SkyRiver1
@SkyRiver1 Ай бұрын
@@benweiss4956 It basically came into existence to a significant degree because of the professionals that the GI bill generated after WW2.
@louisgiokas2206
@louisgiokas2206 Ай бұрын
The models are indeed no longer relevant. One thing Peter often talks about is the baby boomers taking their money out of stocks and putting it into bonds. Check out this article from the Wall Street Journal titled "These Hot New Funds Are ‘Boomer Candy’ for Retirees". The boomer generation (full disclosure, I are one) was already unprecedented. This is just another example of the difference from prior generations. This is important in the context of this video, since one of the issues Peter often talks about in regard to this industrial buildout we are experiencing is the massive capital required. Actually, I think that Peter overplays that situation. US, and European and Japanese capital are often being deployed overseas. This entails more risk for a potentially small extra return. There is plenty of capital about.
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
Those boomers still need the money. Even in years gone by older retirees still kept a proportion in mutual funds but it will not account for the needed withdrawals. There is just no way around it.
@timrobertson8436
@timrobertson8436 Ай бұрын
Many other less developed nations in South America, Aftica, the Middle East and Central and South Asia still have growing populations which are also consuming products from the industrialized nations and will continue to increase consumption well into the future
@theianmce
@theianmce Ай бұрын
The lost wilderness is beautiful, I grew up camping there
@spivackl
@spivackl Ай бұрын
Ya know......we don't actually need a federal reserve at all. Interest rates (the price of borrowing money) could be determined (like all other prices) by supply and demand. I wouldn't mention this except that all recessions in the last hundred years have been caused by the Federal Reserve screwing up. You see, they're not very good.
@ZeCroiSSanT950
@ZeCroiSSanT950 Ай бұрын
Ever heard of the recession of 1907?
@TylerAult
@TylerAult Ай бұрын
Dumbest comment here. You'd get extreme booms and busts that would make 2008 look normal. They're not perfect but they do provide a much needed counter-cyclical pressure.
@spivackl
@spivackl Ай бұрын
Extreme booms and busts are what we have now. Because the fed is ALWAYS wrong. From causing the great depression to declaring, just a year ago, that inflation was only "transitory."
@adamwallace8082
@adamwallace8082 Ай бұрын
Peter... What are your thoughts on project 2025?
@robertsalvia4406
@robertsalvia4406 Ай бұрын
What do we expect to see in global shift if project 2025 occurs?
@RobFossil
@RobFossil Ай бұрын
I second that it’s a great question and i have a feeling once this holiday weekend news cycle ends Monday we’re about it from the mainstream media a lot more.
@EJH783
@EJH783 Ай бұрын
It sound terrifying tbh
@EdPin_
@EdPin_ Ай бұрын
Hi Peter, Please consider following lines ;-) Coming to you from the edge of an erupting volcano in Italy Coming to you from the oldest salt mine in the world Coming to you from the North Pole Coming to you from the Kopan Monastery in Nepal Coming to you from Machu Picchu in Peru
@rocks4brains
@rocks4brains Ай бұрын
Well actually, the fed was raising rates before Covid but reversed course when it emerged. The only tool they have is rates and if a downturned occurred with rates at O they’d have nothing to fight it. To offset the private economy from driving rates up they used QE which is way to apply additional downward pressure. It’s been reported they did this to keep housing rates down. It’s also been reported this has created a housing bubble. 5-6% has been said is a historic average - that’s where they want to be when the economy is on cruise control so they can raise or lower rates as needed. Bottom line it’s the way they put money in or take it out of the economy which affects inflation - so does stimulus money.
@dixiebrick
@dixiebrick Ай бұрын
Dang Z your outlook is going to make the fearmongers, apocalyptics and haters go nuts. Wait check that last part .- go more nuts.
@madmanthepope6448
@madmanthepope6448 Ай бұрын
Millennials who can afford kids or a house don't wag your finger at them. Our leadership is failing,telling millennials to have more kids is just tone deaf...
@Art-is-craft
@Art-is-craft Ай бұрын
Having children is not related to economics it is social.
@aaronbartfricke3732
@aaronbartfricke3732 Ай бұрын
The prime rate is a benchmark interest rate that banks use to determine how much interest to charge their customers on loans, while the federal funds rate is Fed's mandated overnight lending rate. They are similar things, but they're different, the former being higher than the latter.
@anfigo18
@anfigo18 Ай бұрын
I have been binging this channel daily since the Joe Rogan interview and dinner a couple of days KZfaq has stopped suggesting the videos daily to me. Just an info
@billboyd1885
@billboyd1885 Ай бұрын
Easy, just tell people how well things are going for them, and how much the administration is "fighting" for them.
@hg2.
@hg2. Ай бұрын
Disgustingly ignorant and apologetic for the stealing of inflation.
@Rob_F8F
@Rob_F8F Ай бұрын
Meanwhile, the other guy's plan is, "Trust me, bro!"
@grimaffiliations3671
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
they're already at the target rate if you take out the lagging data
@tomluft863
@tomluft863 Ай бұрын
Lol. Yeah, that's what Peter's become known for.
@AP-rj5gr
@AP-rj5gr Ай бұрын
Hey Peter, will the AI revolution not pick up the slack from the lack of labour????
@Evirthewarrior
@Evirthewarrior Ай бұрын
If the people replaced by AI retrain to an in demand job, I could see it happening, but as an example, how many graphic designers and copywriters are going to retrain to be drywallers, electricians, and plumbers?
@mmorris2830
@mmorris2830 Ай бұрын
The AI revolution will likely negate jobs for things that people don't physically need. AI is essentially a "brains" task completer, not a "body" task doer. AI won't build/repair houses, roads, cars, or any other "stuff". The AI that is being developed right now is not GENERAL AI (general ai being the type of ai shown in movies... the type of ai that can pass as human or control a robot as a physical body). The AI being developed right now is a stopgap for super repetitive, low risk, low supervision required processes. Don't buy into either the ai hype OR ai doom, the people selling it are just trying to make enough noise to make a buck😂
@austinduke8876
@austinduke8876 Ай бұрын
The people AI might replace aren't people that will pick up a trade
@duanekamstra8890
@duanekamstra8890 Ай бұрын
If you follow PZ and agree with his logic, we won't likely have the chips to use for extensive AI.
@masterchinese28
@masterchinese28 Ай бұрын
Time will tell if that is a real thing or a story that we told ourselves.
@adamfleder2175
@adamfleder2175 Ай бұрын
I appreciate your candor on the limits of your perspective. The Fed has a Sisyphus like task with endless criticism. Few people actually understand what they have to consider in setting rate policy.
@danmosby7980
@danmosby7980 Ай бұрын
Peter Germany just reached over 50% electricity not including rooftop solar. How about retracting you fossil fuel support/promotion on this topic for Germany. 65% of energy fed in Germany electrical grid came from renewable energy sources large part was wind energy.
@yoyyo-fs7te
@yoyyo-fs7te Ай бұрын
Zeihan go off the tracks and look for the entrence of the ancient city of gold, we all be ritch no inflation anymore
@ironwoodworkman4917
@ironwoodworkman4917 Ай бұрын
🤣I am sure I have already been shadow band, Only thing the CIA is good at. Still, That is funny.
@SkyRiver1
@SkyRiver1 Ай бұрын
More probably: gold would become near worthless and nothing would change except people who invested in gold at old prices would lose most of their money. Of course all of Congress will have sold off their gold holdings because of reports by the agents that have been following Peter and his curious and quite suspicious behavior of apparently hiking in the wilderness, alone, everywhere on earth, and doing god knows what, under the cover of a video blog.
@godozo
@godozo Ай бұрын
…until gold becomes so plentiful that it loses all value and gets used for frying pans. (Look up aluminum and The Washington Monument for an example of a precious metal becoming common and merely useful.)
@mysticaltyger2009
@mysticaltyger2009 Ай бұрын
@@ironwoodworkman4917 "shadow band"? OMG, really?
@mysticaltyger2009
@mysticaltyger2009 Ай бұрын
We'll be "ritch", will we?
@TheBKnight3
@TheBKnight3 Ай бұрын
PLEASE run for President
@Quado0s
@Quado0s Ай бұрын
😂
@morganchance9723
@morganchance9723 Ай бұрын
Yes please!
@JohnSmith-ti2kp
@JohnSmith-ti2kp Ай бұрын
@TheBKnight3- Cuba or Venezuela already have that type of person for president, where else do you suggest?
@BronzeManul
@BronzeManul Ай бұрын
At best he would hike for president.
@alextoso100
@alextoso100 Ай бұрын
@@JohnSmith-ti2kphe’s not a socialist, don’t know how you think he is one. He is a fiscal conservative which is what republicans before trump was known as
@cosmokramer9139
@cosmokramer9139 Ай бұрын
What do you think about mBridge vs SWIFT, and BRICS vs Eurodollar vs Bitcoin?
@evanbauer
@evanbauer Ай бұрын
Another thought provoking opinion, thank you. A very US component of inflation is the effect that deregulation has had on making the market inefficient - allowing concentration of economic power in corporate monopolies and oligopolies to remove the benefits of competition. Congressional action to stiffen antitrust, disallow stock buy-backs, and treat all income as equally taxable (all of which were true at one time in the 20th century) would both reduce inflation and increase productive capacity in the US.
Can the Six-Day Work Week Save Greece? || Peter Zeihan
5:26
Zeihan on Geopolitics
Рет қаралды 205 М.
SCHOOLBOY. Последняя часть🤓
00:15
⚡️КАН АНДРЕЙ⚡️
Рет қаралды 10 МЛН
女孩妒忌小丑女? #小丑#shorts
00:34
好人小丑
Рет қаралды 8 МЛН
The Mexican Cartels Are Double-Dipping in the Guacamole || Peter Zeihan
3:36
Zeihan on Geopolitics
Рет қаралды 8 М.
The Most Terrifying Population Collapse In History - Peter Zeihan
14:10
Chris Williamson
Рет қаралды 2,1 МЛН
Should You Dare Criticize Kamala Harris... | Piers Morgan
12:40
Jordan B Peterson
Рет қаралды 1,9 МЛН
Much Higher Interest Rates for Much, Much Longer || Peter Zeihan
8:58
Zeihan on Geopolitics
Рет қаралды 553 М.
Russia is Running Out of People
17:47
PolyMatter
Рет қаралды 670 М.
Jim Rickards: We're Probably Already In A Civil War
1:01:42
The Julia La Roche Show
Рет қаралды 185 М.
Things I (Do) Worry About: Deflation || Peter Zeihan
7:18
Zeihan on Geopolitics
Рет қаралды 406 М.
A Call for the Sane - Beauty, Truth, & Purpose | Douglas Murray | EP 472
1:42:21
Why the Middle East Is So Aggravating (yet so difficult to leave) || Peter Zeihan
16:13
China After Xi || Peter Zeihan
6:26
Zeihan on Geopolitics
Рет қаралды 591 М.