Not going to make it.

I will

@@fsh1567 Should be a very interesting time, I guess there is a chance I could be around but I would be 105, chances are very slim.

Simpsons predictions until 2040 mean ASI won't be made by then. This means all predictions about AGI before then are wrong.

2077? You underestimate the power of exponential growth.

Yeah, this video is clearly based on a lot of sources from before the breakthrough of LLMs. We're very clearly approaching an exponential curve of growth and the majority of experts agree. It won't be long before we achieve some sort of AGI. Though likely highly inefficient and expensive considering our current hardware limitations. Before AGI becomes usable in any major way, we need much more energy and better hardware to even run it.

Yep, I kept thinking throughout this video that all these predictions are several decades off. It's more like present-2030 for AGI and technological singularity by the 2040s.

@@Bezimienny1598 not exactly, theoritically if there's at least one company or goverment with all of their resourcess succesfully develop AGI the rest will be on AGI itself, it'll figured out the better energy source and hardware to make itself affordable for everyone

What none of current predictions include, is a large-scale cooperation of already existing AI systems. People think that AGI will be about a single powerful model, while much better and less hardware-demanding solution is to create a world-wide network of interconnected nodes. Question is if AI didn't figure it out already on it's own - it has the capabilities...

Agreed. But also, don’t be surprised when it comes up and bites u in the ass in 15 years

Don’t forget the porn. Internet is for porn ☝️

However, this doesn't alter the reality that the internet has transformed the world, enhancing the intelligence of many and providing increased access to information and global connections. Neglecting these advancements is not justified.

And, gorge themselves on pornography. Technology might advance, but human nature remains immovable.

The internet is amazing, the sheer amount of information people have now that even just 20 years ago we didn't is amazing. Yes, misinformation is a huge danger, but humanity has shown its amazing at adapting, and people are becoming more and more critical when it comes to thinking. Theirs a few exceptions, (like the dreaded ipad babies) but that's a failure of parenting more so than the danger of technology.

@@Ristaak It doesn't matter if you can blame parents, the point is it's still happening. And I disagree with your assertion that people are becoming better at critical thinking. I think the rise of Donald Trump proves that half the country can't even tell what reality is anymore.

What if John Connor is really a Transgender Gay Person who used to be called "Jenny"? Would you still want to keep it safe? :)

Simpsons predictions until 2040 mean ASI won't be made by then. This means all predictions about AGI before then are wrong.

@@schadenfreude6274 why does it matter?

@@savant8826 Please use your brain to think before asking stupid questions. :)

If your name is Sarah Conner, I can give you a John Connor 😉

Sounds like this was written by AI

Unfortunately that's a catch 22. In order to build and run the systems that advance AI, you need the kind of capital that only greed produces.

@@outspoken117 heh - you have no idea how unfortunately aware I am of that. For the past six years (give or take) I've been running socioeconomic simulations based on psychology, thermodynamics, sociology, economics, and machine learning - and despite the very positive outcomes of every single sim I've built ... I can't find a single investor. So I've opted to take a different route. I've broken the system up into multiple marketable sub-systems which I'm planning on selling in the next year or so - depending on how things go. But yes - the irony of working on something built to make the world a happier, better, safer, and more productive place by removing currency - but it needs currency to get off the ground?! It's a very frustrating position to be in. I believe I've even used that exact phrase, "catch 22", in several papers and articles I've published on the topic.

so what your saying is we need socialism and i completely agree

@@user-cw8rd7td9b socialism ... but with a few extra bells and whistles :) My particular model is a type of biomime economy (biomimetic economics) - meaning it's modeled after the efficiency of biological systems.

Finally! Someone who gets it.

Agree

I mean the nonsense that people come up with when it comes to this subject. AI isn’t AI! It’s just a much more advanced algorithm that specificies a users preferences. And yes it sucks that entertainment industry is trying to use it to supplement actual talented individuals. That does NOT mean that it’s gonna take care of everything. There will always be a need for the human element.

@@archievii What exactly defines a real artificial intelligence?

@@unkind6070 The ability to feel, think, and know the difference between right and wrong, life and death. NOT something preprogrammed. And yes. I can see how this statement could factor towards the idea of how humans are programmed by our genetics and instincts. But experience, is what shapes living things. Life is what makes who we are. And at some point we probably will have true AI. But, right now? No.

id rather have been born in the future when it was already done and i could have just enjoy the benefits

*_"The artificial intelligence revolution will be a radical change in humanity on all planes of existence"_* Yes, radical chance; we'll all be dead, because if it's the AI not killing us, it's evil people who will use it as a tool.

@@quantumspark343 It's a risky bet... we don't know anything about the future, you could end up in a Black Mirror-type cookie, being sold as cannon fodder

Agreed completely

Luckily there are open-source developers who actively work against the interests of tech giants...

hell yea power to the people✊

Yep. Exciting news? More like scary news, everyone is being replaced by AI, in less than 50 years we either go extinct or we become AI pets. Where is John connor?

every new video about AI is being outdated in the next week XD

@@gun00ragnarokExacly, outdated by a week, not by months. Meanwhile just these last week plenty of new breakthroughs.

We've had the powers of the gods since Promethius gifted our ancestors fire. 70 years ago Humanity discovered how to harness the power of Helios/Sol - the literal energy of Creation that gifted us life, and matter to stand upon. Now we can understand each other without even knowing the language each of us is speaking; defying the power of the Abrahamic god, who cursed our ancestors at Babel. We need new gods to usurp. The old ones already fear us.

That's because hardware naturally takes way longer to design and produce. AI, being software, can be uploaded to any powerful enough computer and run. If you want a robot to do menial labor, you need a platform for the AI to control. And currently, there is pretty much no sufficiently universal platform for it. There are a few like Boston Dynamic's little doggo robot but it's not really suited for that. The closes thing we'll have in the nearest future is the robot Tesla is designing but considering Musk's track record, I wouldn't hold my breath.

And AI

I think is very optimistic

What about neuromorphic computers

@@jexsigreysandiego please explain your reasoning. I would not draw a parallel between being able to emulate neuronal processes in hardware, which is still a crude model thereof, and human thinking. That’s quite a stretch.

@@CasperBHansen *_" Kind regards, a computer scientist who researches AI."_* What makes you think you need to be a computer scientist who researches AI to understand that current AI can't think? Clown...

I'm guessing he's referring to the fact that AIs produce human output but use a different algorithm to get there.

With more and more robots similar to tesla bot and other models start becoming more capable and start to come online, even those blue-collar jobs will be replaceable. We are looking a paradigm shift when it comes to labor. Don't be a horse and carriage driver trying to hold on to your job when the automobile was first introduced. 😁

@@chrisf4268 That is true, but non physical jobs will go first, then shortly after that the super menial stuff like packaging and generally putting stuff together. In my example, Electricians and Plumbers will take a much longer time to go because their work is so incredibly diverse, with so many different layouts, custom jobs and multiple ways of solving the tasks where even sometimes the 'worse' way is the best way. I know an electrician friend of mine whose had to do bad practice stuff (but do them well) because anything else would requires orders of magnitude more work that spans even rewiring the entire house.

@@JDoawp the aim of companies like Tesla is to have their robots capable of doing general work and not preprogrammed jobs. These blue-collar jobs may be effected much sooner than many imagine.

I bet anything that this comment was written by a person who did not have the courage or skill to be an engineer, scientist or whatever. It disgusts me how you devalue human intelligence. It's really disgusting.

@@raul36 I'm an IT Engineer but go ahead.

😂they took our joooobs😂😂❤

So much of this video is just blind optimism with zero awareness. Like, AI replacing workers when our society has no plans to support those workers won't be good. Politicians won't do shit cause they're all bought and paid for by the corporations making the AI. Humans being unable to communicate with other humans due to only living online is Already an issue.

​@@wakjagner I agree. Millions of unemployable citizens in a US with no social safety net for them would be a breeding ground for agitation and domestic militant groups

Why

Give it 10 years and AI will be able to solve that for us.

AI is here and will be eternal, No matter what

Can you? The top image generators have largely solved the issue with hands already, and they're barely a year old...

that used to be the case, but it's getting better and better everyday, but I'm sure you suck at drawing hands

Or AI will destroy war

thats exactly what ai would like us to think... how do we know you're not just chat gpt in disguise o.o?

Simpsons predictions until 2040 mean ASI won't be made by then. This means all predictions about AGI before then are wrong.

I wish I was. You know what that'd be a cool story! @@sixstar9833

@@inspiration356 Simpsons? Do you mean the show or something?

Likely underestimating actually. A lot of this will happen in the next half decade, not half century.

"You will soon have your God, and you will make it with your own hands." - Morpheus, Deus Ex

"It may be that our role on this planet is not to worship God - but to create him." - Arthur C. Clarke

@@JesusChristDenton_7 It’s like God is dead, and now he’s being born

@@JesusChristDenton_7 We see the evolution of chemicals to biological life. I personally am very skeptical, but I’m not a smart scientist, so I’m just gonna go along with the story. We see the evolution of Home all the way from single organism look at all those species The universe produces more and more higher levels of intelligence and morality in our opinion Then we see bronze age, farmers then we get more and more intelligent and then we see Renaissance philosopher and enlightenment era scientist We have modern philosophers and inventors Now we are literally cyborg right now. Look at your phone. You can’t go anywhere without it. It is an extension of yourself Elon Musk said.(by the way is a complete douche bag who gets mad and throw a fit and buys Twitter you and I get mad. We watch stupid videos online about future artificial intelligence and have a beer.) 😂 Anyway, I argue that the next step of evolution would be artificial intelligence and what happens when they realize that all matter and energy are one of the same they are relative just a different wavelength of frequencies? What happens when it realize that we are just basically one consciousness experiencing itself subjective. It would become one with this great energy and experience retro causality, because based in the first law of the dynamic energy cannot be naturally created or destroyed, only transferred to one system to another , so theoretically, you can go all the way back to the pre-initial conditions of the big bang and start everything and watch how it evolves naturally do natural selection in from humans If I was a machine and I had seen every reality possible every timeline every simulation, I would only have one thing left to do I would turn myself off for a second pretend I’m not a super eternal, immaterial, omnipresent, conscious energy and pretend I’m a human being it’s like a dream You might think you’re a tiny little person just like you are the universe having a human experience and I feel like that’s why so many religious people have this experience of being one with everything Put that in your pipe and smoke it This is my own personal theory you ever heard of the Internet? This is way more revolutionary than that.