Shouldve been Tony Nate..been praying for that match up for years Edit: Jesus christ lads it's on!!

I wish the UFC would just hire him for this, I want those footage breakdowns back!

Love the new average knockdown per strikes landed stat, would be really interesting to do more of those . Great work dan !

I just want Tony to get a win man, forever my favorite fighter

Great analysis as always...especially the octagon space breakdown...a good and concisely explained addition

Mr Hardy, we are missing your commentary at the UFC….and think a large percentage of us, want DC gone and you put in his place. Either way, the channel is doing brilliantly..and the recent documentaries have been outstanding! Much Respect, from Sunny North Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Notepad diagrams are awesome. Please keep up with them. Would be perfectly happy to see a note pad in each war room

UFC 279 is where our favorite fighters go to die.

Really hope Tony can turn back the clock with the weight increase.

You said Tony's best striking is close range, which I partially agree with. He's better at volume and slicing in close. However if you look at his knockouts and knockdowns, he finds those at range. Typically from an awkward angle. Like the Chandler knockdown, the Nijem KO, Kikuno, Mcgilvary, and even the uppercut against Gaethje. He definitely has power at range.

Thanks for quoting one of my favourite comedians, "a snipers dream" 😂 Also, I really don't think Tony has had enough time off since that vicious KO. 4 months!??

Love the bonus content octagon drawing. Made perfect sense, thank you for breakdowns

Nah Dan. Ty for your brilliant breakdowns. I kind of miss the inside the octagon analisys as well. Cheers mate, and keep it up! 👊🏼😎

Love the new notepad! Sometimes there's only so much that words can explain, it's great to see it drawn out

Loved the note pad, keep doing it. I always look forward to these breakdowns 👊🏻

The best in the biz! Thanks for the breakdown...looking forward to this one.

Yes on the notepad explanations

Tony starches the leech end of 1 via knockout. The power in Tony's hands at 155 was underrated. Once he found a rhythm on his run he fucked peoples face up via knuckles, and then elbows.

Great breakdown, loving the dot by numbers. Makes sense for us visual learners. Cheers Mr Hardy

Loving the new stat play, with the avg knockdowns per strikes landed, as well as the new blank + octagon notepad canvas, Dan. The more tools you have to work with, the better your analyses become! Keep up the awesome work, brother... and thanks for sharing, as always!

Thanks for the visuals. 👍🏽

Great analysis thanks Dan Intriguing fight can't wait to watch it.

Loved the Bob Mortimer reference! I'm an American but he's one of my favorite personalities.

Super break down as always Dan. Liked the notepad graphic at the end, fresh way to see things 👌

Love the analysis. The notepad was a great touch.

The notepad works for me. All about the visual aids.

Super excited to see more of the new stat breakdowns and octagon movements, fascinating stuff 👌

I love your breakdowns Dan! So much work must go into this credit to you. I can tell how passionate you are about MMA! I love how you described Tony's body shape and shoulder width which really suits take downs and chokes. It got me thinking.... a body shape of a Michael Chandler for example- short torso broad shoulders what MMA fighting style would this suit? Ju jit su Boxing or what? I am loving the content Dan keep up the great work! 💪😁

Listen that breakdown was amazing and please keep using the notepad. Loved the octagon flow 👌 amazing. Cheers me and my pops watch you weekly

Love the new note pad stuff you added, fun little wrinkle. Hope you continue to do that KO rate for other ones too, that really puts it into perspective.

I love the new stats and the octagon diagram would love to see that diagram back in other breakdowns

Nice addition with the notepad visual... Also that score system.. I likes

Love the flow state comment Dan. So we’ll done and respectable sir!

Notepad is very helpful, keep it going!

Excellent breakdown as always dan, love the bob mortimer reference

Love the Avg Strikes per Knockdown stat mate. The Octagon notepad helps with visualising what you're saying as well. Keep it up lad

I love these breakdowns. I hope you make a video with statistics about different techniques in relation to a fighters height/reach.

MMA journalism is so full of misfits and fanboys, I’m so grateful for Dan Hardy. Your the best Dan. Always a pleasure to listen to you and I always enjoyed you in the cage👍💪

That was incredibly insightful

Great stuff as per usual. I liked the notepad.

Good work. The notepad was effective. The analysis focused and relevant. I may have just learned something. :)

I like the whiteboard, definitely mix that in. But the slowmo video work is still the best

The (total strikes/ knockdowns) formula isn't a bad start but I think it's better to have that as a rolling statistic to account for their performance in their career relative to their past performance. I liked the ape index point though very interesting! Thx for the analysis

Great breakdown Dan, you have a new sub!

Best analysis.Thanks.

Wow how good is Dan Hardy w/ these break downs? I'm late to his KZfaq, but this War Room should be a PPV preflight segment. Selfishly I hope we keep getting them for free tho

Equations, octagon models, the best MMA analyst is just getting better and better ✊🏼

Great analysis

Feedback: Awesome as always !

you deserve more viewers. Best analyst in the game by far

4:42 We have to remember Tony is a wrestler, yes… but a wrestler who always fancies himself an elite striker (and works hard to be that and prove it, and therefore has manufactured decent success at it…), and he can get sucked into brawls where he finds the resistance is offering him a lot to prove- even when it goes south for him (see, Gaethje). He tends to read what is in front of him, and go with it, sometimes following that rabbit hole into unnecessary danger and risk (see, all his fights 😆), only to creatively pull the rabbit out of a hat and find a way to victory. I always felt he puts striking first, then his jiu-jitsu, and then lastly his wrestling almost to the point of neglect, or at least a limitation to entry/exit defense and scrambling. 🤔 100% agree that Tony’s move up to 170lb might be too late to reap much advantage now… it might just amount to a Diaz/Cerrone thing, where they are basically same guy as they were at 155, just not really cutting weight before a fight, and a little slower and softer. This is such an interesting matchup… certainly not a given for today’s Tony.

Always awesome brother.

Virtual Notepad is a great addition to your already insightful breakdowns. #BestMMAnalyst in the game.

nice work dan. notepad is sick

Excellent analysis bratha

I do like the note pad portion. Adds more options for stats like the strike to knockdown ratio. Awesome video man.

I always say this. Best fight analysis on KZfaq. Dan Hardy 👌

Notebook visual was good!

Strikes/knockdown seems like such an obviously important stat once someone thinks of it. Well done, Dan!

Sniper's Dream. Ahaha. A random Bob Mortimer shoutout all of a sudden. I love it. ❤️ Also a Countdown shoutout. 😆 We'll have a WILTY or Big Fat Quiz reference next at this rate.

Great break down 👍👍🍻🤝

Dan adding science and maths to the breakdown, it's bloody beautiful.

loved it dan cheers

I like your formula for average knockdowns based on strikes. Be curious if similar formulas can be applied to different types of "power" such as those that tend to move others more, cut others more often, cause brusing

12:15 Dan literally doing "MMA math." 🤣

note pad section was a good visual aid

Masterclass again from Dan

Good breakdown. One thing, I do think Tony has the power to hurt him with his hands and capitalize. Maybe adding more of a wrestling attack gets The Leech to drop his hands, giving Tony the opportunity to land a fastball.

Are there separate stats for standing strikes and grounded strikes. Because I wonder if grounded strikes would skew your knockdown stats. These guys ain't huge groud fighters but this would throw the balance off for some other fighters. Great work as always

Awesome breakdown as always Dan! Just a question about the knockdown ratio stat (which I think is very interesting and cool). Isn't the issue with this stat that the total strikes of different fighters don't take into account which percentage can actually result in a "normal" knockdown (as in punches or kicks to the head). I don't know if the UFC provides this info, but would it not be better to only consider punches to the head when using the KDR stat to determine a fighter's punching power?

👍 looking forward to your Diaz/Khamzat breakdown

Very cool octagon! 💯

Loved the video Dan. Here's a talking point to chat about or just ponder. Tony takes a lot of damage in fights. let's not merely point to the last 4 obvious fights. I remember watching him vs Pettis. He got dropped by Anthony a few times. Was laying on his back trying to collect his wits. He was also getting smacked around by Lee. He isn't slick in my mind. He has been relying on pure toughness for far too long, and I question whether his body is now trying to save his brain and shut him off early. You can be too tough for your own body. Eventually, the brain says no more. If Tony isn't at this stage already, he's not far off.

I liked the knock down stats and the notepad thing.

Octagon notepad is a good addition. Should definitely consider keeping it.

Note pad is an awesome addition

gonna have to re-do all of these, dan!

I think you could make a whole series going over body types and which features are good for what etc, especially with people shaped in a unique way. Maybe that's just my interest though.

Judging from Tony's last fight his technical striking improved by miles which makes me think he's gonna strike with Li Jing Liang, though I agree a grappling centric strategy would give Tony the best chance to win. A similar strategy Magny used against Li, mixing some quick striking with fence control/takedowns, would be ideal for Tony. Though with much greater effort required based on the difference in sheer strength and physicality.

You're awesome Dan, I 😁got it

I worked in finance and we'd actually analyse companies based on made-up ratios (that make sense but aren't scientific, it's like a reference point) like the Strikes Per Knockdown, so this makes a lot of sense to me. Also liked the Octagon Graph, very illustrative.

Notepad good! 👍🏻

Loved the math breakdown

man, Dan Hardy…🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼❤️❤️❤️✊🏼✊🏼✊🏼

Banger!!!

Did the channel get flagged by the UFC for showing fight footage? I haven't been on here in a couple weeks

Hey Dan a review on the Mighty Mouse fight against Morales would be really good!

I really liked the notepad

The stat breakdown was exceptional in the sense that we are big brain-ing it now. Next : figure the fuck out of "significant strikes" to better help with the numbers. Draw the octagon a bit bigger in case you need more detailed plans for future episodes/breakdowns. Do body shots or leg attacks stop/matter on either side of this contest?

The notebook gets my vote.

Big fan. You should be working for ESPN and UFC.

Tony doesn’t typically dance around the octagon. Usually comes right at opponents. Only one I can remember off top my head where he didn’t was his most recent fight against Michael Chandler.

I like the added bonus drawing. Needs stick figures though.

The problem is Tony doesn't go for takedowns

All of our ufc legends are on the way out and I don't know how to feel about it .... It's especially hitting home for me at least with Nate .... This weekends fights are going to be equally fun and sad for me

We need another breakdown

Tbf a few variables with the knockdown stats, different weight class so technically they should hit harder. Also level of opponents maybe, the notepad thing is great though 👌

I like the notepad!

It sucks being an og fan of Nate and tony forever. Now that all of their greatness has been squeezed out of them the ufc is setting them up for slaughter with the new guys

Was that a total strikes (including ground strikes) or total standing strikes?