The thing is, Lib Dem to Labour already happened. The main reason why Labour had a such disproportionate result, was due to extreme tactical voting in many constituencies so only the left-leaning candidate who had the most chance would win the seat

@@officialredactor whilst Lib Dem to Labour shift happened in key target seats, there were some strange results. North Somerset was a seat considered such a safe Tory seat that it was never a target and therefore the candidates were allowed to campaign openly. This is what happened: Labour 19K Tory 18K Lib Dem 7K Reform 5K Greens 3K In 2019 the Tory candidate had 32K votes and a 17K vote majority.

@@matthewsemple interesting, never seen that before

The issue is that is is hard to quantify people's actual preferences due to the first past the post system as the system will always play at least some factor in their decision making. Surprisingly few pollsters tend to ask how people would actually vote in a PR system and I would always advocate for a greater amount of study considering it is one of the biggest areas of contention surrounding our voting system

Thank you for the great enthusiasm 😀

There was 14 years of conservatieve rule

Are you stupid? Blair was power up until 2007. The Tories have been in power since 2010 up until now and you're blaming Blair?

Blair was literally the best PM we ever had

@@gladius1861 not really everything that's happening now all started with him, plus he is a war criminal

Blair left power in 2007, how did you come to that smooth brain conclusion?

You do realise they intend to rewrite out human rights, right? You seriously going to trust Farage with that?

Very, very unlikely. If Labour have a good time in office, and people see themselves as better off than they were in 2024, then there is simply no market for the short-term populism that Reform UK has ridden on in this election. Even if the current situation fails to improve, a sudden jump from 15% of the vote and 5 seats to a majority government would have to have all sorts of perfect factors to line up at the same time, and for Farage to have to make the party image clean, and not give the impression of a party full of racists, Islamaphobes and homophobes, which ended up slightly hurting Reform's polling numbers in the final week or two of the campaign.

No chance. They got less votes than the Tories, less than half Labour’s votes, and less than the combined Lib Dem+Green vote; let alone barely winning any seats. Brits are fans of the NHS and human rights, not Putin sympathisers.

God help us if Reform Ltd ever get near power. Trumpian.

If that happens, I can guarantee you that the UK will split up.