Ray Dalio: Are We Facing A Stock Market Bubble in 2024?

Рет қаралды 109,180

Күн бұрын

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Ray Dalio (of Bridgewater Associates) has recently released a new memo, discussing the stats behind whether we are currently in a stock market bubble? Furthermore, he breaks down the 'Magnificent-7' (Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google) to examine whether investors are getting a little bit too speculative in current economic conditions.
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★ ★ CONTENTS ★ ★
0:00 Ray Dalio's Bubble Gauge
3:30 Are the Magnificent-7 in a Bubble?
6:30 Current Market Overvaluation
7:30 Is the Market Unsustainable?
9:20 Speculation in the Market
12:20 Leverage in the Market
13:30 Investment in the Future?
My Podcast: / theyounginvestorspodcast
Brandon van der Kolk is authorised to provide general financial product advice in Australia and is an Authorised Representative (Number 1305795) of Guideway Financial Services Pty Ltd, AFSL Number 420367. Any advice is general & does not consider your financial situation, needs or objectives so consider whether it's appropriate for you. Read Brandon's Financial Services Guide available from guideway.com.au/NewMoney.pdf. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future investment returns.
Contact email: hello@newmoney.contact
Note: I do not have the ability to answer all emails, but know that each email is read. If enquiring about sponsorship, New Money is currently only seeking sponsorship from established brands.

Пікірлер: 262

@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

Sign up to Alpha Picks to get access to their full data-driven portfolio, plus receive two screened stock ideas each month. Use my link to score $50 off! www.sahg6dtr.com/J6SQHS/J8P3N/

@MattSkibz 3 ай бұрын

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@ghosthdel3098 3 ай бұрын

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@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

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@Riggsnic_co 27 күн бұрын

I believe investors should focus on under-the-radar stocks, especially given the present rollercoaster nature of the stock market. 35% of my $270,000 portfolio consists of collapsing stocks that were previously respected, and I don't know where to go from here.

@Jamessmith-12 27 күн бұрын

To tackle investment risks, the safest approach is to diversify across various asset classes, such as bonds, real estate, and international stocks, to minimize the impact of a market meltdown. Seeking expert guidance is essential.

@JacquelinePerrira 27 күн бұрын

The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment.

@kevinmarten 27 күн бұрын

please who is the consultant that assist you with your investment and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?

@JacquelinePerrira 27 күн бұрын

'Carol Vivian Constable, a highly respected figure in her field. I suggest delving deeper into her credentials, as she possesses extensive experience and serves as a valuable resource for individuals seeking guidance in navigating the financial market.

@kevinmarten 27 күн бұрын

She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.

@ElizabethKing-qu2ob Ай бұрын

I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.

@GarridoLuis545 Ай бұрын

I agree that there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience

@annaj.osorio Ай бұрын

A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850K

@CharlotteLangley-sn6hi Ай бұрын

This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation

@annaj.osorio Ай бұрын

Viviana Marisa Coelho is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. By looking her up online, you can quickly verify her level of experience. She is well knowledgeable about financial markets.

@Selenastafan Ай бұрын

She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.

@victoriaabott 2 ай бұрын

I don't know much about that, however, I foresee a recession lasting 2-3 years, and if inflation continues to surge, the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates soon. Inflation is causing various issues worldwide, such as food shortages, scarcities of diesel and heating fuel, and significant spikes in housing prices, leading to a potential financial market crash. This global downturn could have long-lasting repercussions. Given the current inflation rate of approximately 9%, my main worry is how to optimize my savings and retirement fund, which has remained stagnant at around $300,000, yielding almost no gains for quite some time.

@GaryNicka 2 ай бұрын

Numerous opportunities exist to achieve substantial profits at present, but executing high-volume and nearly flawless trades requires the expertise of real-time professionals with an ISDA Agreement. This agreement allows investors to participate in sophisticated trades, exclusive to seasoned individuals, and unavailable to amateurs. Attempting to be a high-stakes trader without an ISDA is akin to trying to win the Indy 500 riding a llama.

@Owenra 2 ай бұрын

A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.

@kurtKking 2 ай бұрын

Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one.

@Owenra 2 ай бұрын

Her name is. 'MICHELE KATHERINE SINGH’. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

@kurtKking 2 ай бұрын

I just curiously searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. Thank you

@andersonedward787 2 ай бұрын

I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement of about $150k. I want to know: Do I keep contributing to my portfolio in these unstable markets, or do I look into alternative sectors?

@yeslahykcim 2 ай бұрын

the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.

@Jadechurch-ql3do 2 ай бұрын

Even with the right strategies and appropriate assets, investment returns can differ among investors. Recognizing the vital role of experience in investment success is crucial. Personally, I understood this significance and sought guidance from a market analyst, significantly growing my account to nearly a million. Strategically withdrawing profits just before the market correction, I'm now seizing buying opportunities once again.

@Tonyham198 2 ай бұрын

Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one

@Jadechurch-ql3do 2 ай бұрын

Laila artine kassardjian' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment

@BerryRyan-gl3sm 2 ай бұрын

Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

@williamyejun8508 2 ай бұрын

Purchasing a stock may seem straightforward, but selecting the correct stock without a proven strategy can be exceedingly challenging. I've been working on expanding my $210K portfolio for a while, and my primary obstacle is the lack of clear entry and exit strategies. Any advice on this matter would be greatly appreciated.

@jameswood9772 2 ай бұрын

the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.

@williamyejun8508 2 ай бұрын

Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one

@williamyejun8508 2 ай бұрын

Thank you for sharing, I must say, Sharon appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive. I reached out and scheduled a call

@Jaymilnere 3 ай бұрын

I'm a 52yrs Director in a Tech company and I consider myself a high income earner at $350,000 per annum, I have a retirement account but i still want to explore opportunities for short term gains before i start working less in few years.

@Angelavaldess 3 ай бұрын

In my opinion, IRA is a valuable strategy for retirement planning, providing growth and tax advantages. While the market is promising, expert guidance is essential for portfolio management.

@hullbruce 3 ай бұрын

@@Angelavaldess A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I once needed a good boost to stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. Who has helped grow my reserve from $275k to $850k.

@hullbruce 3 ай бұрын

A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I once needed a good boost to stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. Who has helped grow my reserve from $275k to $850k.

@hullbruce 3 ай бұрын

@@Angelavaldess Yes. It is very easy to buy in on trending stocks but the problem is knowing when to sell or hold, which is why a coach is important. I've been in touch with one for about a year now and although I was initially skeptical about it, I will say I've made more progress within a year generating 6figure profit

@hullbruce 3 ай бұрын

I stopped listening and taking financial advise from these KZfaqrs, because at the end of the day, I end up with a bunch of confusing stocks without knowing when to take profit, In reality, all I needed was professional advice to take advantage and make profits.

@VigneshRishab 3 ай бұрын

Honestly, this concerns me and has left me uneasy. Especially this potential depression, no more a recession. I'm unsure about my $130K account strategy, considering the uncertainty of this whole recession mostly.

@GaryNicka 3 ай бұрын

If you lack knowledge about market investing tactics, get advice from a financial counselor.

@victoriaabott 3 ай бұрын

@MickyGlover 3 ай бұрын

How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?

@victoriaabott 3 ай бұрын

@@MickyGlover Her name is 'Mary Kaliope Braun ’. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

@MickyGlover 3 ай бұрын

Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up after scrolling a bit. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her. Once again many thanks

@RickWatson-xu6gw 3 ай бұрын

Market highs can sometimes be followed by corrections, but predicting the timing and extent of it is challenging. I've heard some analysts talk about a 'massive' correction. It makes me wonder if it's time to adjust my $2M portfolios or maybe even consider some defensive investments.

@judynewsom1902 3 ай бұрын

Accurate asset allocation is crucial, and some individuals use hedging strategies or allocate part of their portfOlio to defensive assets for market downturns. Expert guidance is vital for achieving this. This approach has helped me stay finan-cially secure for over five years, yielding nearly $1 million in returns on invest-ments.

@Theresaa12 3 ай бұрын

Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one

@judynewsom1902 3 ай бұрын

She goes by ‘’Sharon Lynne Hart” I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.

@A_francis 3 ай бұрын

@blacktopimages 3 ай бұрын

I just started investing 2 months ago. And Murphys law tell me that yes, we are in a bubble, for no other reason than I started doing it.

@giovannifrrri5495 3 ай бұрын

😂😂😂

@jameswood9772 3 ай бұрын

I've heard that index funds and ETFs provide diversified stock market exposure while spreading risk. I have over $670K in savings; What's the most effective strategy to allocate funds in my portfolio and generate profits? Please I need a little guidance...

@williamyejun8508 3 ай бұрын

Yes, there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy situation, but such execution is usually carried out by an investment specialist

@jameswood9772 3 ай бұрын

I could really use their advice. Who is the advsor?

@jameswood9772 3 ай бұрын

Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

@vladimirtodorov6731 2 ай бұрын

@@checkforme234 SCAMMMM

@vladimirtodorov6731 2 ай бұрын

@@jameswood9772 bro thatt's a scam.

@fredm1 3 ай бұрын

Just coming from a post where a very young man claims he makes about 10k weekly from his investments and now this? In this 2024? Do people actually make this much from this current market or is this some sort of ponzi scheme?

@debwes1 3 ай бұрын

Yes, a lot of money can be made in this market by those who have greater experience than others or who employ professionals, such as hedge funds or FAs

@josephbush 3 ай бұрын

Facts! The expertise part is very true. Here, they make it sound like it's so easy and basic. It's some sort of skilled gambling and I found out the wrong way. Had to eventually settle for using an FA and though I'm not netting a million, considering how I started out, I make more than enough $$

@aureliobjm 3 ай бұрын

@josephbush May I know the name of the advsor who has been assisting you, please?

@aureliobjm 3 ай бұрын

Thanks for this. Found her and looked through her credentials before contacting her. Once again many thanks.

@iiiiiiiiii_o_O 3 ай бұрын

Hi fellow human, we’re rare in this comment section

@anitabenny6173 3 ай бұрын

After experimenting with stocks since late 2021, I've shifted to 100% S&P 500. Still regretting not doing so from the start. Now i am Considering a return to individual stocks in 2024, but uncertain about safely investing close to 300k in the market.

@anitabenny6173 3 ай бұрын

@Richardklaine 3 ай бұрын

Everyone needs a Margin of Safety in their portfolios and just remember, It's time in the market versus timing the market.

@billybarry6376 3 ай бұрын

De-risk your portfolios, shore up your core holdings, and take some profits while balancing your portfolio allocations. I’d also suggest you go with a managed portfolio, but even those don’t perform so well, so it’s best you reach out to a proper fiduciary

@adenijioyebode9556 3 ай бұрын

this is all new to me, where do I find a fiduciary, can you recommend any?

@anitabenny6173 3 ай бұрын

I will leave his info below this comment, but you can gooogle more about him

@mrtony1985 3 ай бұрын

Great video as always. Appreciate the awesome content!

@ChrisBre 3 ай бұрын

Such a good video, well done!

@piknik8230 3 ай бұрын

Great quality video as always!❤

@jasongrover6834 3 ай бұрын

Nicely done.

@deng3728 3 ай бұрын

Hi Brandon, have you ever considered opening up your own investment portfolio or at least part of it

@lesleyjohnson8488 3 ай бұрын

Okay, I can see Ray has some insight into the lack of frothiness in the stock market directly, but is he seeing the moving pieces behind the scenes? Construction on new homes has ground to a halt because of high interest rates. Raising interest rates is a blunt instrument, and in using it, it has unintended consequences- such as the fact that the paucity of new builds has driven home prices up in a medium interest rate environment. Add to this that in the U.S. a buyer can lock in a low rate and hunker down until rates decrease. Rental prices are stubbornly high and bear no relationship to the average working wage. These pressures will likely push us into recession without the stock market being the precipitous event. Ray seems to be getting more narrow in his perspective on these tertiary factors.

@nedkelly2677 3 ай бұрын

Very educative. Ray Dalio analysis seems to square with Morningstar valuation of the magnificent, seven.

@SirBrassknuckles 3 ай бұрын

How can they be the pick and shovel when amat provides the manufacturing equipment to tsmc and tsmc provides chips to nvidia? Just a thought…

@Slide61 3 ай бұрын

It would be interesting to plot total personal debt or credit card balances against Dalios metric. There needs to be some measure of the consumer given the US is a debt and consumer based economy.

@thelitmedallion 3 ай бұрын

Correct. The market is disconnected. Why? Powell is not doing his job. stagflation.

@gerardwalsh5656 3 ай бұрын

Great analysis

@doublecrunch 3 ай бұрын

Have you thought about doing a video on the Sahm rule?

@willgale7187 3 ай бұрын

love this account, upload more frequently, looking for some high value stocks to buy into with these dips

@ellinorpettersson 3 ай бұрын

Great video!

@alexandergoldenberg2799 3 ай бұрын

Personally, I find this to be one of the best videos you have made. Was very helpful

@gordongekko2781 3 ай бұрын

That's because Ray Dalio (the most successful trader over the past 40 years) did most of the work.

@thetjt 3 ай бұрын

@@gordongekko2781 Although based on flawed reasoning & backward predicting model... Flawed reasoning as in trusting analyst expectations... same analysts who have always had similar rosy expectations during a bubble.

@gordongekko2781 3 ай бұрын

@@thetjt I don't disagree. I would consider Dalio's analysis to be the opinion of a great trader, and therefore having some validity (because he has proven himself over time). However, I have other market valuation metrics that I prefer that are unbiased and less subjective.

@JossWaddy 3 ай бұрын

As far as I can tell, as long as we don't have a big fed rate cut all we'll see is plenty of cappuccino foam without an out and out bubble. Interesting analysis though. Pair it with your next video about Infrastructure, and we're fine for now. Thanks for the vid.

@vladbulauchyk4287 3 ай бұрын

Very interesting video

@lukeduncan2927 3 ай бұрын

I watch a lot of economic content on KZfaq. Your videos are always succinct, great quality and explained well. Thank you!

@andrewgillespie472 3 ай бұрын

Does this leverage metric consider options as well which have exploded in popularity

@treedoor 3 ай бұрын

It feels like the market is more distorted now than anything. Inflation causes asset prices to rise which makes stocks go up. Inflation also prompts companies to increase their prices which on the surface level looks like an increase in revenues and profits. Inflation also prompts the FED to increase interest rates which de-incentivizes taking on cheap debt which results in investors (and the companies themselves) incurring less debt to buy stocks. However, we are in a weird situation where 70-80% of the population thinks the economy is bad and rightfully so. Full time employment is down year-over-year, real wages are down, household debt has gone up immensely... and yet the stock market is also at a record high. We don't see a widespread "bullish" sentiment because most individual investors no longer have the extra income to invest. It may come to be that Ray Dalio's bubble gauge only works during "normal" market conditions. The last 3 years have been anything but normal, and regular people are finding it increasingly difficult to hold on.

@Christineperkins-uw8ow 3 ай бұрын

I suggest buying the new tesla innovation shares at this point as they are relatively cheap and are sure to yield dividends long-term

@CaptainCaveman1170 3 ай бұрын

I agree, everyone is thinking 2000 and 2008, but we need to look at the huge stock market unwind of 1974...it was not caused by excessively bubbly stocks, but rather by the fact that an exogenous event (oil shock and inflation) made everyone "effectively" poorer in a short amount of time. I see way more similarities to that event than to the unhinged euphoric bubbles of 2000 and 2008. Although there are definitely shades of those as well.

@make6766 2 ай бұрын

Mate, are you watching the space race atm? I love your posts, just looking at the future!

@nunuknowstheway6710 3 ай бұрын

One of your super investor videos gave me the idea to invest £5k into META, I just sold that position for £15k allowing me to put down a deposit on a house amongst some other investments I sold. If you read this I just want to say thank you!

@karenwilliams9653 3 ай бұрын

Markets look like 2015-16. Probably going back to all time highs, but will probably go sideways until fed signals rate cut, Recently sold 25% of my portfolio comprising of plummeting stocks that were recommended by certain financial KZfaqrs, quite devastating!

@TonyRiley-qb7sw 3 ай бұрын

not their fault, the stock market seems to be more of a casino for gamblers now than a place for investors. even if you were averaging down on ailing companies, its your duty to properly research, buying the dip does not guarantee a rebound

@Dudleygang 3 ай бұрын

I mean I really enjoyed Dalio's "Principles for Dealing With the Changing World Order", but my man's been on a bearish rampage now for some time. He's giving off Kiyosaki vibes. It's like he WANTS the markets to go down, US to default, USD to go to 0, just so he can be right.

@larrygerry985 3 ай бұрын

Outside the mag 7, most stock have not recovered and are undervalued

@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

It's crazy how much the market is held up by the Mag-7.

@stonie3216 3 ай бұрын

facts. tbh as someone who mainly holds S&P it could honestly continue to go up. or at least stagnate cus if the mag 7 go down and the rest go up, depending on how much, it could allow the S&P to keep rising or at least stay flat, not necessarily a 30% drop or smtg

@jaxteller6433 3 ай бұрын

@@NewMoneyKZfaqfun fact over the last 3 years, 129 companies out of the S&P 500 have outperformed the S&P 500

@thetjt 3 ай бұрын

Nope. Pretty much all are in red P/E ranges if you look at SP500 heat map. These sort of valuations don't usually mean good things for the future... average with current CAPE ratio is around 4% p.a. for the next decade.

@girlsboy66 3 ай бұрын

Props for Prometheus giving stock lessons.

@TheDailydubstepfeed 3 ай бұрын

great video, have you considered looking at the money being withdrawn from China's economy and it's downturn and how investors are likely bringing that into US stocks? Ray covered the ratio of institutional investors vs retail but does this need to be looked at further?

@thetjt 3 ай бұрын

All money that will be drawn from Chinese stocks has been drawn already. Cheap China stockmarket is now on its way up, and overpriced US stocks are on their way down...

@The.Hidden.Investor 3 ай бұрын

I agree with Ray and Brandon’s opinion. The Mag 7 is trending upwards yes but it’s definitely not in bubble territory yet and there are still some companies there trading at a PE below the SPY

@ritzenhauf 3 ай бұрын

my question is: do we have to be in an obvious bubble-by his or another definition-in order to feel the pop?

@dennisb7930 3 ай бұрын

No bubble but a correction is in play how much we will see

@Danarcis 3 ай бұрын

Is frothy more or less than somewhat frothy?

@Joesmith_138 3 ай бұрын

@WallSt-o1q 3 ай бұрын

frothy ai frothy ai frothy ai

@FaithAndrada-xo9ou Ай бұрын

Success depends on the actions or steps you take to achieve it. Building wealth involves developing good habits like regularly putting money away in intervals for solid investments. Financial management is a crucial topic that most tend to shy away from, and ends up haunting them in the near future.., I pray that anyone who reads this will be successful in life

@Raymondcraw1967RaymondCrawley Ай бұрын

Starting early is simply the best way of getting ahead to build wealth , investing remains a priority . I learnt from my last year's experience , I am able to build a suitable life because I invested early ahead this time .

@AndersonFair-cy2bb Ай бұрын

How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?

@AndersonFair-cy2bb Ай бұрын

I appreciate it. After searching her name online and reviewing her credentials, I'm quite impressed. I've contacted her as I could use all the help I can get. A call has been scheduled.

@OnyedikachiKing-bk6od Ай бұрын

Fear is the greatest enemy of a Man, ever since I invested with Whitney Kay Stacy, things are now going well with me.

@KcZyro Ай бұрын

She is trusted and reliable.

@todd8856 3 ай бұрын

We are NOT in normal times. Dollar crushing other currencies but also going down in terms of gold. Markets (prices of businesses) will also go up due to the dollar losing unseen value towards gold.

@christopherpaul5 2 ай бұрын

My portfolio for the past 30 years has always been self managed and I own 3 shares of Berkshire Hathaway Class A stock (BRK:A) which I bought in at about $17,000 during the mid 90s, I’m currently liquidating some of these positions to incoporate new Gen. Stocks, but am I better off re-investing into Gold as it seems stocks are a little too unstable right now.

@MarkGrimm8 2 ай бұрын

Invest in real estate, ETFs and high-yield savings account.

@carolpaige2 2 ай бұрын

Just buy Gold and protect your assets, the stock market is a rollercoaster.

@KevinClarke9 2 ай бұрын

The market is not necessarily a rollercoaster if you know your way around the market, there are various opportunities in the present market to accrue good profit, If you are not too savvy with the market, just buy and hold on strong companies with good earnings, or consult with advisors on ETFs and actively managed funds.

@Johnlarry12 2 ай бұрын

True, A lot of folks downplay the role of professionals until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple of summers back after my lengthy financial setback, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of due diligence who helped a lot to grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation to over half a million dollars.

@htonmusic 3 ай бұрын

those criteria sound like the australian hosuing market!

@davidbenett1 3 ай бұрын

“Rich people acquire assets. The poor and middle class acquire liabilities that they think are assets.” - Robert Kiyosaki

@Daniel-ld3zi 3 ай бұрын

I'm surprised your average homeowner is lasting this long. I had a $400 increase per month for my property tax / insurance. Given the credit card and savings data, this % increase should be putting people over...

@sakisora 3 ай бұрын

We are in a bubble on the verge of breaking

@TriSamples 3 ай бұрын

We live in unique times. Personal debt is an iceberg waiting to hit. But investors are clued up and expecting a crash which in turn prevents a crash, this keeps extending and pushing back the correction. I honestly believe we are over due a crash by about 5 years at this point and that date cannot be pushed back much more. The market has been flat bar the 7, toxic debt is right there waiting for stagflation to stop and a recession will hit hard.

@jahejsa 3 ай бұрын

Maybe honestly, We are seeling at history market high, no ?

@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

Yeah, you're right - markets are very close to all time highs.

@thetjt 3 ай бұрын

@@NewMoneyKZfaq This time it's different.

@johnnydepo 2 ай бұрын

This is misleading evaluation as the current graph/guage is as of 2-3 weeks ago. When the bubbles occurred they were referring a full year. So when the bubble burst in 1-2 months, it’s too late. This isn’t a projection graph, it’s a current condition graph.

@piyush7700 3 ай бұрын

ah shit, here we go again!

@TeslaEVolution 3 ай бұрын

So in SHORT, this video could've been 20 seconds, the Answer is SOMEWHAT, we're in kind of in bubble - but more importantly The US bond markets are in trouble which is WAY more important and dangerous.

@cgf9875 3 ай бұрын

Recession already started from Start of April, check out the Gold price, SP500, NASDAQ prices. Only reason deny this is you want someone to buy in 😂

@ChippiesBR 3 ай бұрын

Take a shot everyone he says Frothy. 😂

@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

hahaha I passed out around the 2:00 mark

@TheKarldav 3 ай бұрын

Buy signal! The dalio indicator is out

@nathankurz 3 ай бұрын

It’s overvalued. Geopolitics, climate change, and additional swans of all colors, are not accounted for. These companies are being valued without risk.

@Salman-vz1gd 3 ай бұрын

Who else noticed the wardrobe change mid-video?

@joel-gf7gh 3 ай бұрын

buy the dip

@scottamolinari 3 ай бұрын

"Broad excitement around AI". This is called the "hype phase".

@SkankHuntForty2 3 ай бұрын

The Mag 7 is more like the Dirty 6. Tesla is dropping off a cliff. And if Nvidia gets even mild diarrhea, the remaining 5 (as well as the entire SP500) go straight down.

@Christineperkins-uw8ow 3 ай бұрын

This is a window to get as much of the latest tesla innovation shares as possible considering the dip

@SkankHuntForty2 3 ай бұрын

@@Christineperkins-uw8ow Dunno about TSLA. The stock is wild. It's based largely on Elon Musk instead of the company's balance sheet. He used Tesla money to acquire Twitter (for some odd reason) and to fund his interest to colonize mars. Then he's got the Boring project that he's still working on. He's also making bets on Bitcoin using Tesla money, which he's placing on the balance sheet as profits. I think too much of the stock value is on Elon as opposed to the EV product. That's just my 2 cents.

@hughjackson218 3 ай бұрын

Ray Dalio has been calling for a market crash for years. He has no idea... Nobody can predict the market. DCA into indexes and buy undervalued wonderful businesses, no matter the market condition.

@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

I'm not sure Ray is necessarily making a market prediction with his bubble gauge, I just think he likes an objective way to measure how current market conditions shape up vs prior bubbles. Having said that, you're right in that nobody can predict them, and dollar-cost averaging has long been a wise strategy to generate long-term returns through all market conditions.

@doublebarreltech4984 3 ай бұрын

I bet youre in some ETF subreddit.

@thetjt 3 ай бұрын

@@NewMoneyKZfaq You call that objective? He trusts analysts' claims that rosy expectations are based on reality... when did analysts not have similar expectations during a bubble... Isn't it like a prerequisite for bubbles to form in first place...

@hughjackson218 3 ай бұрын

@@NewMoneyKZfaq Fair enough mate! I'd say my stance on Dalio has been formulated over previous years with his dooms-day rhetoric. But agreed, in this video he makes more objective points.

@hughjackson218 3 ай бұрын

@@doublebarreltech4984 I'm a big believer in the investing philosophies of Phil Town, Buffett and Munger. I'll DCA into indexes when I don't see value investing opportunities ✌

@ryanfisher1454 3 ай бұрын

i feel cars, credit card debt, commercial real estate, and unaffordable homes will be an impact on us. China is very unstable right now and if they go down the world will feel it. inflation is going in the wrong direction which is prolonging the hurt and leading to increases on prices for virtually everything. I see the dominoes falling. It may not be in the stock market yet, but it will be felt. I suspect smaller banks will start collapsing soon.

@jingnanyi 3 ай бұрын

Regardless if AI will make money or not, NVIDIA is making buckets load of money because other companies feel they need to buy chips to build their AI capabilities. So really NVIDIA is the shovel seller in a gold rush. It's making real profit right now while others are still finding ways to use AI to make money.

@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

I agree, it's remarkable how much the shares have appreciated, but they certainly do have the growth to match.

@clarencelam1765 3 ай бұрын

watch out for Cerebras as it IPOs

@thetjt 3 ай бұрын

Dalio's logic here is quite flawed... I mean was there ever a bubble which wasn't based on optimistic analyst expectations...

@papapickett7267 3 ай бұрын

I have no personal issue with Ray Dalio. Objectively speaking, flip a coin when this man makes an assessment as to whether he is right or wrong. If I had bet against his takes most of the time, Id have come out ahead. One of the least accurate well known investors of our time.

@jansehnal177 3 ай бұрын

On the other hand. Warren Buffett's stock indicator shows that the market as a whole is now very overvalued. Another thing is the interest rate. The stock market has a P/E of 28, which means a return of 3.5% without growth. Usually, the index return is higher than the interest rate. So even from this point of view, there could be a correction in the future. Why would I hold the market at 3.5% with downside risk when I can hold cash at 5+% with no downside risk?

@_Island_Boy 3 ай бұрын

it really doesn't matter if the market crash if you have a 10 - 20 year trajectory. lol But these traders are going to get hammmeerrreddd in those discord rooms

@withoutwroeirs 3 ай бұрын

We’re not in a bubble, we’re in a full blown melt up.

@antych 3 ай бұрын

I think Nvidia is an amazing company, but it's priced to the Moon and will fall eventually. I took my profits and put more money into Intel that's trading at 1/13 of Nvidia's valuation. With 5+ year horizon I think I'm a lot more likely to double my money there, while Nvidia would have to hit $4T which is ridiculous. I'm also buying s&p 500 equal weight etf to dodge the AI bubble when it bursts, although Google and Meta should be fine.

@therealallanjohnson 25 күн бұрын

Buuuut his chart only gets up to about 60% for the 2008 runup. I wouldn't put a lot of stock (pun intended) in a chart that doesn't see a bibble in 2005-2007.

@kevinp5119 3 ай бұрын

PE 100 isn't a bubble? I'll check back in 5 years

@nickwhite7891 3 ай бұрын

Definitely in a bubble. If you don't think so, you're exit liquidity for Dalio and his buddies.

@Christineperkins-uw8ow 3 ай бұрын

This is a window to get as much of the latest tesla innovation shares as possible considering the dip

@austinbar Ай бұрын

Strong BUY. Still early innings. NVIDIA is the dominant leader in AI and the preferred technology partner globally. Even w new competition on the horizon, NVIDIA is far ahead of the competition. 85% market share. 76% margin. Unrivaled demand for new Blackwell chip. Demand far exceeds production for Blackwell through to 2025 and beyond. No competitor has anything close to Blackwell. And forward P/E is about 33 (cheap for a high growth stock). Buy this stock and wait. You will be rewarded.

@rogerwheelers4322 Ай бұрын

Problem is that NVDA is addicted to the datacenter, their mobile offerings are terrible. Inference needs to happen at the edge (mobile) and training will not have the same amount of demand as time goes on. NVDA is a major bet on aggregation of resources (compute) but this is cyclical as we have seen dozens of major shifts in this industry. Remember when Citrix aggregated desktops with VDI and then it imploded because VDI has a problem with latency? AI Inference in the datacenter has the same problem with latency. AAPL and Samsung are the best buys for AI now that we are transitioning from training to inference. If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now its best you seek a pro who knows about the financial markets. Cheers and good luck!

@daanw6270 2 ай бұрын

Nvidia to $1k 🚀🚀🚀

@kjing8109 3 ай бұрын

Correct me if im wrong, but you've made videos suggesting we cannot time the market and that there's really no value in trying to predict macroeconomics. Yet here you are discussing whether or not we are in a bubble. Seems a bit circular

@rorythompson864 3 ай бұрын

Maybe if u post 1 more video ontop of the 100 u already have about the upcoming depression it will actually happen

@jimboford9504 Ай бұрын

Why is the comment section flooded w robots suggesting personal advisors?

@jlrob85 3 ай бұрын

lol how’s that post Covid crash that was going to be the biggest ever coming along? Broken clock

@lujomo 3 ай бұрын

Love your videos mate, but are we just going to pretend Ray isn't cooked? Barely take him seriously after reading The Fund.

@fibiwang1 3 ай бұрын

Does Blackstone qualify as a bubble?

@Martin-kc1xj 3 ай бұрын

That's it, I'm coining the terms "Bikini comments" and "Porn compliments". It's the new spam in town.

@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

Uh, I know. They are SO annoying. I’ve already deleted like 10 off this video too. We call them p*rnbots haha. Crazy that this type of spam actually works.

@Varun2799 3 ай бұрын

You should make some video on indian stock market. Might be interesting to the viewers of this channel

@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

I do actually have around 6% Indian viewership! Hello to all my Indian followers! (sorry about the World Cup final)

@davegrohl2532 3 ай бұрын

100% agree, even as an european investor im thinking about investing in Nifty50 for a while as a diversification.

@yanelysgreen 3 ай бұрын

Dude nobody cares, Australia is cool and America is the greatest.

@otisdubey 3 ай бұрын

@@yanelysgreen go away boy..

@wafflemonkeyyy 3 ай бұрын

Where do you invest in the Indian market

@KevinEvans-mq4ob 3 ай бұрын

As an investing enthusiast, I often wonder how top level investors are able to become millionaires off investing. . I’ve been sitting on over $545K equity from a home sale and I’m not sure where to go from here, is it a good time to buy into stocks or do I wait for another opportunity?.

@JanAlston-kd6yl 3 ай бұрын

Just because there are opportunities in the market doesn’t mean you should go in blindly. To understand the potential factors that contribute to your financial growth, I'll advise you to seek the help of a professional.

@MiaDavis001 3 ай бұрын

Investment results might vary from investor to investor, even with the best strategy and suitable assets. Acknowledging experience's crucial role in investment success is essential. I realized this importance for myself and consulted a market analyst, which helped me build my account to around a million. Having carefully withdrew my profits before to the market downturn, I'm now taking advantage of buying possibilities once more.

@lukefisherDD 3 ай бұрын

Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one

@MiaDavis001 3 ай бұрын

You could research any number of independent advisors available. However, I have been collaborating with NYCOLE CHRISTINA VANNATA for about four years, and we have a great working relationship. If she meets your standards for discretion, you can move forward with her. I support her.

@eliseduffyfxx 3 ай бұрын

I appreciate this tip. Your handler was simple to locate and appears to be extremely capable and adaptable. We scheduled a phone conversation.

@pancakes4140 3 ай бұрын

These financial youtubers have more spam than an Asian doomsday prepper

@georgeyao436 3 ай бұрын

Economic bubble financial crash. Gold to $10000.

@henry3016 3 ай бұрын

He said the 2020 would be a terrible year and those who listened to him lost money by not being in the market or by not being buying asset in 2020. He’s just a scaremonger.

@Bomberboybrad 3 ай бұрын

Yes yes yes Henry. I’m with you. Your thoughts are mine exactly. While this channel preaches information it is undoubtedly drawing on the fear of new investors, as evidenced from the 2020 period. Spot on. Use a channel like The Compound to get fantastic insights about facts and statistics about all the current latest trends. This channel will still be negative and fearful forever.

@Christineperkins-uw8ow 3 ай бұрын

Exactly. Personally, I believe this is a window to get as much of the latest tesla innovation shares as possible considering the dip

@kurtdietz3902 3 ай бұрын

Yes, 2020 was a good year to buy....especially oil stocks. Wish I would have backed up the truck. 😢

@henrikhkarpynskyi8712 3 ай бұрын

2020 was a terrible year. We lost a lot of people.

@HMangat7 3 ай бұрын

I wonder how that will play out over the next 5 years though. There have definitely been 20+ year periods where bonds or other assets have outperformed the stock market

@90sNihilist 2 ай бұрын

The sheer number of bots in the comments is staggering and aggravating.

@titchglover2601 3 ай бұрын

is that a hat or is that your real hair? I thought Ray would be speaking. missleading

@liammullan2197 3 ай бұрын

Dalio's funds' returns have been rubbish over time, including volatility. If you want similar performance put 1/3 of your money into a market tracker and put the other 2/3rds under your mattress.

@Christineperkins-uw8ow 3 ай бұрын

I suggest buying the new tesla innovation shares at this point as they are relatively cheap and are sure to yield long-term profits

@bretthixson8264 3 ай бұрын

I had to stop the video when I heard Frothy said too many times…

@NewMoneyYouTube 3 ай бұрын

😂

@canada-social2629 3 ай бұрын

Whole analysis is missing Bitcoin bull run analysis...which is strange and fishy....and when something convinently ignore such important thing, credibility of whole theory is gone!!

@cyberryderfx7577 3 ай бұрын

1mio KZfaqrs are bubbling around about a bubble atm. Feeling bubbled at. Can’t hear it anymore 🤪🤪🤪🤡🤡🤡

@goldeneastgun 3 ай бұрын

Both Apple and Tesla are in trouble.

@valboolin3538 2 ай бұрын

Bollar

@grigor1342 3 ай бұрын

Some of us are old enough to recognize the 3 types of lies in this world: Lies, damned lies and statistics 😊. I'm not going to lose any sleep over Ray Dalios statistics 😅