Is Hojlund actually worth it for Man Utd?

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Күн бұрын

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Rasmus Højlund is on the verge to a move to the Premier League, with Manchester United agreeing personal terms with the Danish striker.
After a long summer searching for a number 9, Erik ten Hag looks to have landed on the Atalanta forward who at just 20 years of age is one of Europe’s most exciting young talents.
One stumbling block however is the transfer fee - with the Italian club previously placing a €100 million price tag on the player. With 10 goals in 34 games last season, is he worth the massive fee?
Jon Mackenzie takes a look at the player and if he is the right solution to Man United’s goalscoring problems.
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Tifo loves football. We create In-depth tactical, historical and geopolitical breakdowns of the beautiful game.
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#MUFC #manchesterunited #transfers

Пікірлер: 664

@celtic69 11 ай бұрын

I can imagine the British media are salivating at the thought of Haaland vs Hojlund, the stories and headlines write themselves and it’s an incredibly lazy comparison so it suits them to a T

@docgraal485 11 ай бұрын

They are going to absolutely skin the boy alive

@BigPurp9 11 ай бұрын

Honestly it’s why I hope we sign him and an experienced cheaper striker like Taremi and ease him in. Nothing the media love more than setting a big United signing up to fail

@OllieWales 11 ай бұрын

As a United fan, even if he ends up doing wonders for us, hoijland will never be half the player haaland is. Would be a silly comparison for any news outlet to make imo but when did that ever stop them haha

@msfss7312 11 ай бұрын

@@OllieWales100%. Better than Lakaka he will and that will be enough 😂

@pranavkandpal9217 11 ай бұрын

To a j

@ohimats 11 ай бұрын

Love the explanation of the financial aspect of the game. Please keep them coming !!!

@TheMehtab87 11 ай бұрын

100% agree.

@fardeensiddiki7957 11 ай бұрын

Pounds

@ronanfitzpatrick1261 11 ай бұрын

@@fardeensiddiki7957😂 I'd have just stuck with "quid" in Jons position

@willrea9 11 ай бұрын

Agreed but the guesstimate figures were way off when the info is already out there

@kennyobrienaiti 11 ай бұрын

Except it was wrong. No allowance for resale value

@willyum3920 11 ай бұрын

This is either brilliantly explained or brilliantly edited. Perhaps both. Whatever, it's superb.

@celtic69 11 ай бұрын

A little from column A, a little from column B

@Mr.Apex99 11 ай бұрын

Just the analysis I've been looking for

@nif3869 11 ай бұрын

Been waiting

@brocktona2 11 ай бұрын

So much waffle

@vestnivdrom6311 11 ай бұрын

@@brocktona2idk all the stats and diagrams are brilliant. i also love how they did comparisons

@saqib7965 11 ай бұрын

@@vestnivdrom6311nothing I didn't know tbf.

@Tom-qb1rj 11 ай бұрын

I mean he spent half the video talking about how transfers work rather than any actual analysis

@asparagusbrown 11 ай бұрын

This is a perfect explanation of why upfront fees, which are always huge numbers now, aren't everything. I remember the Nunez vs Haaland comparison last year and it's a bit unfair because I bet Nunez is paid like a young exciting player who could make it big, not a player who's already world class like Haaland is and that changes the picture entirely. Thanks for this!

@mattiasaffi6112 11 ай бұрын

Yes! Honestly this should be the standard when it comes to cost analysis in football, but it clearly doesn't sell as much as attaching a huge price tag to a player

@dreameroldsoul 11 ай бұрын

Haland was cheap cause he has buyout clause… he would’ve easily cost 150 mil if Mancity paid the actual value price

@SammyOmari254 11 ай бұрын

But Nunez looked promising coz he had scored many goals for benfica that is why they were comparing him and Haaland

@asparagusbrown 11 ай бұрын

@@dreameroldsoul exactly, but he's probably the more expensive player!

@asparagusbrown 11 ай бұрын

@@SammyOmari254 yeah absolutely, also because Liverpool had challenged City so closely the season prior. It's not that there's no reasons to be excited, elated, or disappointed with a transfer, but transfer fee isn't always the best metric for those feelings.

@EcOrdinary 11 ай бұрын

THANK YOU for actually explaining the economics. I'm so tired of people saying that Haaland only cost City £50M or that it would be insane to pay £50M for Hojlund. That's just one part of a much more complex calculation. We need much more of this kind of content.

@billinglumbalumba 11 ай бұрын

City also paid the agent fee not only the release clause

@Jeff-fe9gn 11 ай бұрын

@@billinglumbalumba City paid over 100 million for Haaland. SOme money went to Halaand while some went to his agent. This was to make him not go anywhere else and wait for City next year. Also for negotiating the release clause

@HumanBeingsRThinkingBeings 11 ай бұрын

Utd break Transfer Records - Cooking City break Football Records - Cheating?

@gregoryboatswain1605 11 ай бұрын

@@HumanBeingsRThinkingBeingsYou understand both of these things can be true at the same time, surely?

@AshBashSneakers 11 ай бұрын

For real.. the amount of money he’s on as well.. plus the off the books money

@FootyViews 11 ай бұрын

I didn't even see Haaland on that graph until he pointed to him 😭 the guy is a machine

@Tm4k10 11 ай бұрын

Hojlund’s raw talent with the coaching of Benni Mcarthy might just turn into something good

@sukatz 11 ай бұрын

Yes sure or not🤷🏻‍♂️

@jbri1 11 ай бұрын

'With the coaching of Benni McCarthy' 😂

@muhdmat8454 11 ай бұрын

@@jbri1kid, you don't know how great this guy 20 years back

@landon7045 11 ай бұрын

@@jbri1He’s one of the main reason Rashford’s finishing improved this season as apposed to the last. He’s been quoted saying so.

@ArunaUtd 11 ай бұрын

@@jbri1 Casual alert

@arjunohri6600 11 ай бұрын

One of the most beautifully broken down videos of a transfer I have ever seen. From xG to finances to long term to play style everything explained so well. I am more educated about the game today for FREE ! Thank you team. ❤

@robovac3557 11 ай бұрын

You must be new here.

@hveisel 11 ай бұрын

Something the stats doesn't show is his elite off-ball movement in the opposition box. A lot of his goals come when his marker stops paying attention to him for just a second, and then he'll completely disappear from his marker and show up at the end of a cross or pass. I may only be 23, but I've never seen anyone with such efficient movement in the box on my national team before!

@Micheal_10185 11 ай бұрын

Cavani

@S.pilgrim 11 ай бұрын

Cavani doesn’t play for Denmark, or were you just suggesting that he reminds you of him and not replying to OPs national team point? Apologies if so

@wiseonwords 10 ай бұрын

@@Micheal_10185 - He said, "on my national team"...

@BenjaminKeller 11 ай бұрын

One of Jons best videos. Normally not a big fan but the cost and value analysis is very interesting

@MGMHargreaves 11 ай бұрын

One of the best IRL videos of all time. Really good "non-standard" analysis.

@richardharris5336 11 ай бұрын

Great analysis! Something you didn't quite compare (but suggested so), was the value difference in signing a 20 year old vs a 24/25 year old. If he has some success, you'd expect a new contract and a stay of 7/8 years, at least (although it can obviously all go horrible wrong 😅). If you buy a older player the fee/salary really needs to perform immediately, whereas the signing him on a new contract when he's 24/25, you're getting even more value. All hypothetical crap of course. At this point I'd definitely want Hojlund at Man United. Obviously there has been a bit of a recruitment issue in that area, re Ronaldo but a lot relating to Greenwood as well. We've ended up with 1 player who can actually play that role, and he's mostly injured. Saw Sancho play a deep forward in pre season, made me curious if that's something he might try this year...

@zimcoder 11 ай бұрын

Comparing age here will be a stretch, Osimhen is only 24 and already playing at a world-class level.

@shaunakkulhalli 11 ай бұрын

@@zimcoderYes but osimhen also moved from Lille to Napoli for about 70 Mil 3 years ago when he was a similar age. He is now giving you returns!’

@frankreynolds9930 10 ай бұрын

It only works if he fulfills his potential. Looking at past record with expensive young signings, he most probably won't.

@oscartjerrild9689 11 ай бұрын

I think his appearances for the Danish national team proves that he can be very effective as a focal point against a low block

@elijahojo1286 11 ай бұрын

could eat teams like Athletic Madrid and Real Madrid for lunch in the UCL

@oscartjerrild9689 11 ай бұрын

@@elijahojo1286 not so sure about that was more thinking about the likes of Luton and Nottingham forrest in the PL😅

@elijahojo1286 11 ай бұрын

@@oscartjerrild9689 😆😂 but seriously, if the guy becomes well refined, he could do serious damage to world class low block teams

@mukwesamwanza1511 11 ай бұрын

Having a striker is better than having no striker. That's man utd in a nut shell. Anyone could have an impact, even an ighalo or Aboubakar with consistent game play can score 12+ league goals. With Mudryk going for 100, it makes Holjilund for that amount seem fair, even when its a robbery itself.

@ajuzumaki73 11 ай бұрын

Never have I ever watched the whole video with such seriousness in detail, without a single skip that is! I hope we get Hojlund around 65m with add-ons included.

@CJ_Yo_ 11 ай бұрын

Very good overview of the value of a player to a team off the pitch, without getting too bogged down in variables.

@ItsJesssee 11 ай бұрын

I’ve been waiting so long for this but surely he has to be better than Weghorst ?

@vercettii 11 ай бұрын

But also significantly more expensive

@rameezm23 11 ай бұрын

Not really 70 mn, United will be paying United tax.

@SamChiang11 11 ай бұрын

Big up for your detail analysis and comparison on why signing Hojlund makes more sense for United in terms of how much it would cost United in the long run. One thing to add is that Hojlund has the potential to grow from his role, where else Osimhen is a finish product which may unnecessarily fit Ten Hag style of play.

@ItsJesssee 11 ай бұрын

I think United need two strikers in my opinion Martial needs to be moved on to Turkey or Saudi whatever,we need 2 capable strikers in the team

@ianomondi3152 11 ай бұрын

martial probaby leaves on a free next season, but ideally another striker would be sufficient

@CoconutJewce 11 ай бұрын

I know it won't happen this window, but I'd love a Kolo Muani and Hojlund (or even Ramos) pairing. Kolo Muani is a better Martial and Hojlund is more of a classic 9. I think it'd be a good combo to aid in versatility.

@liam5382 11 ай бұрын

I think they might go for an experienced striker later in the window.

@joseph20yearsago61 11 ай бұрын

Hojland and Greenwood

@williamsapalosapalo5499 11 ай бұрын

We already got Rashford.

@kbsutton3 11 ай бұрын

Incredible work. There is no substitute for Tifo’s analysis

@hanif-pl5hd 11 ай бұрын

60m for him is ok, as long as base fee is low like 40-45m, with large difficult addons.

@thatthotho 11 ай бұрын

Jon, I really like that you always take time to explain the concepts you include in your analysis. Thanks for the content!

@wade9645 10 ай бұрын

Been a while since I checked in on these guys, analysis gets better and better.

@williamekstrompaulsson5982 11 ай бұрын

I think that you are getting this wrong, Man United shouldn't sign a striker who constantly gets in behind and takes many shots because that is what Marcus Rashford does for the team. They should instead sign a striker like Hojlund or Kolo Muani who is better at linking up play and combining with the other forward players and still pops up with around 15 goals in a 38 game season. The ideal option would have of course been Kane who can be amazing at dropping deep and linking play and still score around 30 goals in all competitions.

@eskayyy8833 11 ай бұрын

So they shouldn’t sign hojlund but instead sign hojlund?

@PS-ro8er 11 ай бұрын

Nope, we need a strong box prescence and great movement

@UtdTill1Die902 11 ай бұрын

So confusing

@k.m9900 11 ай бұрын

@PS-ro8er which hojlund has and can further develop, watch him play for Denmark 🇩🇰

@NYX_8 11 ай бұрын

We could just sign another LW and make Rashford a ST.

@Anonymous-je6tc 11 ай бұрын

If united is signing him, i wish good luck to Hojlund.

@Brizyy 11 ай бұрын

5:23 i was like why isnt håland in this graph? Then he points to him and i realise he is just way up in the corner xD Awesome video btw, i have not seen Højlund play before and it is kinda difficult making my mind up about a player by wathcing compilations on youtube. If he comes to United it will be exciting to see if he can unlock his potential. I worry people will expect way too much of him tho, he is still very young and will probably need time to develop, hopefully he can handle the pressure.

@chriissmattear 11 ай бұрын

Incredible analysis! Easily the best football program on any platform, so informative and doesn't take itself super serious, keep up the good work

@ronanfitzpatrick1261 11 ай бұрын

Been hoping we'd get Jons take on Hojlund. Delighted with this video. Absolutely brilliant

@Konggaang 11 ай бұрын

I was fixed on the screen for a full 15 mins. Great analysis, especially for those interested in the finer points of football. Thank you.

@danielmerriman8066 11 ай бұрын

Really fantastic analysis here from Tifo. There's so much tedious "narrative" about the transfer fees of players, particularly from pundits and highly opinionated people in comments threads, that completely ignores the underlying business logic that goes into deciding whether a player is "worth it" or not.

@akeembundu-kamara5786 11 ай бұрын

Very very well done. Explained incredibly.

@FlameDragon72 11 ай бұрын

Excellent analysis and video as always. Really great especially to see a breakdown of the financial realities of signing Hojlund vs Osimhen, outside of just the base transfer fee.

@k.m9900 11 ай бұрын

I hate it whne people compare him to Haaland who is predominately a world class poacher to a player who is still developing as an all-round 9 that is still in his early phase of development. Its just lazy and sounds like something a sensationalist 12y/o would do.

@BlueWoWTaylan 11 ай бұрын

I really liked the economic graphs and how it would work with amortization. It puts things into perspective more than just Goal stats. Because players can be valuable in other aspects.

@rupeoverlay3153 11 ай бұрын

Sadly Atalanta are actually asking 86m. I’d also add that people don’t understand amortisation. Newspapers and punters would make the money a big deal. They’d see a young kid come for big bucks and he’d have to be a tough cookie to ride out that pressure.

@hrishabh.sanghvi 11 ай бұрын

One of the best in depth analysis of the business side of football... Great video! 👍

@ukwuteyinoreneojo4159 11 ай бұрын

Nice video you added okocha's Jersey Thank you

@85NickT 11 ай бұрын

It's possible that United might have finally learnt that buying players and immediately having them on huge wages isn't a great idea because if they don't work out, you can't get rid of them.

@KalK-ym7cd 11 ай бұрын

A monkey could have worked that out in 2014. Why it took 9 years, is a total head scratch.

@dumebiokosa5678 11 ай бұрын

@@KalK-ym7cd😂😂😂😂😂😂

@ryan_lmao 10 ай бұрын

@@KalK-ym7cd because a monkey is smarter than ed woodward?

@nwosuugochukwu6705 11 ай бұрын

Very pleased with the analysis. Please keep more of this contents coming. Thank you

@DrWei1111 11 ай бұрын

Top quality analysis on a top quality prospect and under the mentorship of Ten Hag with the added bonus of the pressure of being a big money signing he could go on to be a real world beater! Fantastic bit of business as well as management, and he hasn't even signed yet! 🔥

@advaitchabukswar4163 11 ай бұрын

This is an amazing video. Never seen anyone else going in-depth like this.

@bulelanibotman 11 ай бұрын

this breakdown is what i appreciate about tifo irl, i love this channel. has the channel ever considered doing a FPL league?

@M4Maroon 11 ай бұрын

Back to this video to say thank you guys for the great content! So much quality and research! 🎉👌

@kelvincarchy1151 11 ай бұрын

This is an amazing analysis... Well researched and delivered in a very understandable way.. kudos bro

@jaygee850 11 ай бұрын

Bloody hell. I understood all of that. Thank you. Great analysis !!!

@Danny_ebiye 11 ай бұрын

God..i almost didnt finish this beauty of a video

@kinsguitar7433 11 ай бұрын

This type of transfer analysis video is gold! Please come them coming!

@shaungarlick4448 11 ай бұрын

Onana cost £44 million 5 year contract so divide 44 by 5 is £8.8 million a year with wages of £100,000 per week so £5.2 million a year so Onana will cost £14 million a year. De Gea wages were £19.5 million per year so we are saving £5.5 million a year on Onana.

@shaungarlick4448 11 ай бұрын

So signing Onana and Hojlund will only cost Manchester United around £11-12 million a year with the deduction of De Gea wages.

@wilcoxtam810 11 ай бұрын

Every once in a while Tifo drops a great analysis video.

@mrartdeco 11 ай бұрын

I know he is an amazing player but all this “next Haaland” thing can drop his mentality real fast. Haaland is still young. Hojlund is still young. Each needs to carve their own legacy

@user-sd4kj3ei6x 11 ай бұрын

Super informative video, well done John!

@dezmondsunflowerviii8396 11 ай бұрын

I love these breakdowns. Comparing the wages and cost of Hojlund and Osumin 2as really cool

@dragonwizard0d 11 ай бұрын

Brilliant explanation in how clubs think about recruiting players and impacts to finances!

@tejasvinsingh6788 11 ай бұрын

Excellent video. Insights into the commerial aspects of the club is amazing. Thanks a lot.

@diskjokey1993 10 ай бұрын

Definitely liked your analysis. The David De Gea analysis was great. Also, Manchester United could have activated the optional final year in his contract and they initially made provision in their books regarding his salary. The fact that they didn`t sign the contract saved Manchester United around 20M (375 x 52) which was re-injected in this transfer market.

@advaithsurya4039 11 ай бұрын

What a fantastic video. Really detailed and in-depth analysis on the economics of football.

@christoffelgoosen4568 11 ай бұрын

This was brilliant. Hats off to John and Tifo!!

@ryanblease 11 ай бұрын

Fascinating way to look at transfers 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼 brilliant video❤

@PierreMyre 11 ай бұрын

Super interesting, but not sure I completely agree on the financials. DeGea's release does mean that the money can be spread to other players (FFP and budget). This needs to account for: Rashford's new contact increase, Onana's transfer+pay, Mount's... etc... Of course there should be an increase in revenue this year (CL vs Europa), so this helps. This does point that ManU needs to sell a bit more players. And they have sold/released a few other players: Jones, Bailey, Tuanzebe, Teles (no pullback's Saudi League!!!), but a bit more need to leave. ManU have lost money since the pandemic, if I remember (yeah, yeah, F the Glazers).

@gazthebomb 11 ай бұрын

One of the vest Tifo videos in a while. Loved it!

@samde9922 11 ай бұрын

Exactly the video ive been looking for thank you tifo! Always spot on with the analysis

@beckhameto 11 ай бұрын

Ahhhhh new favorite Tifo video!

@diy0rg0 11 ай бұрын

TBH I believe the best option for MU is a year long loan with buy option. Money seems to be short, no sales yet, so a buy will take some time and ETH could use that time in pre season. Also it'd be better to see how he does in EPL football before paying 60M+

@CraigPriestley 11 ай бұрын

This has given me much more hope about Hojlund doing ok at United :)

@sevsuk2011 10 ай бұрын

Great video, with a simple ‘detailed’ explanation. Your point is made that much better, when the glazers are throttling the transfer fund this summer, with the proposed sale of the club.

@adzsnazztana 11 ай бұрын

This was top-notch analysis and so easy to follow.

@meseretmengistu6492 11 ай бұрын

Thank you a lot for your thorough analysis

@Pothers18 11 ай бұрын

Outstanding explanation of value. Using Champion's League prize money to contextualise transfer fees was illuminating.

@claywandera2486 11 ай бұрын

great insight both on the field and economically. i would also thing scamacca would do the same for man utd if they thought of getting him

@alexandermanonpolanco4038 11 ай бұрын

Fantastic content and amazing analytics and insight. I'm ok with Højlund now😅, initially i wasn't because of the enormous fee for his delivery last year. But i see the logic in this and the risk analysis for Manchester United makes total sense. Kane or Osimhen would be too expensive, even though Kane would certainly guarantee the goals and the price money

@AbhimanyuKharote 11 ай бұрын

Superb analysis. Top shelf stuff

@milosnedeljokvic 11 ай бұрын

What an awesome video and explanation on point. Great job!

@sarakeem.213 11 ай бұрын

I’ve been waiting for this mate…..👌🏼🤝🏼

@JohnMason. 11 ай бұрын

Fantastic valuation explanation!

@edmanning274 11 ай бұрын

Great video, a great stat to add would be what each signing would represent in terms of their allowable spend according to FFP and their expected revenue. ALSO, can you please do EXACTLY this video, but explaining how Tottenham could be financially better off letting Kane leave for free next summer vs selling him for £80m this summer (via an improved finish vs a realistic replacement)?

@jaskiratuppal6935 11 ай бұрын

Realistic answer: Let him go abroad for 100 mil. Doesn't need to be complex. Postecoglu even if he was as good as Pep wouldn't be able to guarantee top 4 with the state of the club. Meaning Tottenham still lose out on champions league money. Infact you guys could sell Kane, get Hojlund and let the team develop under Ange. The financial analysis has been done for you here itself.

@ayandasokhela4617 11 ай бұрын

Brilliant video this. I absolutely enjoyed it.

@haritpk 11 ай бұрын

This was actually a very good video. Helped with the disappointment I had around this years sensible transfer video!

@eucherenkov 11 ай бұрын

You are such a brilliant analyst, it's crazy you're not working for some big club. You've also improved immensely in your presentation style and developed into a fantastic "explainer".

@Wrioncnkiye 11 ай бұрын

Excellent analysis!

@lucajohn4485 11 ай бұрын

What an unbelievably well articulated video👏👏

@rdza85 11 ай бұрын

Excellent explanation, thanks Tifo!

@rahulbhatnagar4968 11 ай бұрын

Fantastic analysis, there. Thank you!

@coleademide6555 11 ай бұрын

Beautiful piece of work

@JoeyFucktwice 11 ай бұрын

So in conclusion Hojlund is better than no striker. I'm still not convinced, i don't see why others are sold on Hojlund.

@wilberforce1991 11 ай бұрын

Fantastic video, thanks for sharing 👍

@davespace 11 ай бұрын

Brilliant analysis! Need to show this to the guys in my office!

@ranabirmitra 11 ай бұрын

If super thanks was enabled for this video, I for sure would be paying a lot of money just for this video - absolutely FANTASTIC analysis by Jon Mackenzie ❤🙌

@soulsqueezer4022 11 ай бұрын

Great video John! really enjoyed it :) I think Hojlund is a better fit than Osimhen for United, might even have higher upside!

@WanderingPropeller 11 ай бұрын

Good video, Jon!

@sarkis_in_a_state 11 ай бұрын

More of this please

@sreekumarsandy 11 ай бұрын

Brilliant break up Joe, your videos are insightful as usual . It's madness that the club would be be playing approximately 60m for him even with the low wage when there is no guarantee of goals and that's the only marker in this conversation. Evan fergusson probably would be a better bet

@yohhanhendrix 11 ай бұрын

Brilliant, both tactics and financial analysis Thank you

@stephenchuks4212 10 ай бұрын

Thank you for honouring Jay Jay Okocha on your wall..... Representing Naija always 💯

@appearoffline 11 ай бұрын

Definitely not worth over 50m-not yet. We will be gambling by buying an unproven striker for that kind of price. We will need another striker who will score 20+ goals if we buy him. Maybe we should loan Ivan Toney in January, if possible.