Incredible 245.2% Gains On TSLA Swing Trading! New Tradytics Dealer Positioning Dashboard

  Рет қаралды 5,468

Fatty Trades

Fatty Trades

Күн бұрын

In this video I discuss the new Tradytics Dealer Positioning Dashboard features that include momentum as well as built in backtests. I specifically review $TSLA, $MSFT & $GOOGL to demonstrate the astonishing returns this strategy gives, particularly on $TSLA.
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Пікірлер: 44
@craigcolbourn8351
@craigcolbourn8351 Жыл бұрын
Good catch, finding patterns with the Greeks and dealer activity.👍🏻
@alyfantis
@alyfantis Жыл бұрын
​ @Fatty Trades Thanks Again for putting out another video on Dealer Greeks Since a few things have been updated! Appreciate your time in explaining things.
@sedul2006
@sedul2006 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for clear explanation
@BelieveTheHype777
@BelieveTheHype777 Жыл бұрын
Very good video, thanks for sharing!
@LivelyFL
@LivelyFL Жыл бұрын
Great content. I had to watch the video twice.
@Zefen77
@Zefen77 Жыл бұрын
Thats nice content !
@micahthompson3762
@micahthompson3762 6 ай бұрын
As a career trader, I appreciate your content.
@poiuy0910
@poiuy0910 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for all the information and for your time on this…how long have been following this strategy and can you please let us know if you have made any profits using this strategy…
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
This is a new feature that I’ve been exploring so I only have the backtests to show for it however on my longer term accounts (& to help inform my day trades) I have been basing SPX options selling off of delta correlations which has helped a lot but it’s not the same thing as this new find.
@rebelracellc
@rebelracellc Жыл бұрын
good video! in the video, only delta is selected. what if we also chose gamma, vanna, charm and there are big green bars? Does that still means dealers are long and institutions are short? Its kind of like the DMD, we short when we see a green bar?
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
Total gamma, vanna and charm mean different things when they are negative and positive. For instance, if the total gamma is negative, it usually indicates periods of extreme volatility. While those are useful for correlations which I discuss in my other dealer positioning dashboard video, they are more useful when looking at individual strikes for gamma and vanna and things like dealers market diary for charm
@TeslaTheta
@TeslaTheta Жыл бұрын
Great find! I’m a Tradytics member/subscriber. Is there any way to set an alert for the crossover from negative to positive dealer positioning so we can know when to re-position our TSLA shares?
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
I don’t think so as of yet but I believe they plan to add that feature soon which would be the icing on the cake!
@alyfantis
@alyfantis Жыл бұрын
@@FattyTrades That would be awesome!!!! Another tool in the toolbelt. Share a tweet when you see it come out so we don't miss it!!!
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
Will do!
@isaacburford
@isaacburford Жыл бұрын
when using the delta, at what point do you think about entering a position. As soon as momentum shifts direction? or do you wait for some sort of confirmation that we are moving in the direction you want to see?
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
I always pair it with ICT price action concepts. I’ll make a video about a couple setups soon I look for with this stuff that can work on the time frame of your choice. For example, I had posted on Twitter how SPY’s dealer positioning as of Wednesday night looked primed for a bearish drop going into the PPI catalyst on Thursday. ES futures that morning formed this exact setup that I missed after sweeps to the short side prior to PPI. Then once market opened, all those imbalances that were left behind pre market were now the targets after the NY open & I was able to capitalize after the ES NY open, then rinsed and repeated for the afternoon on NQ. This usually happens 2-4 times a day & all you need is one. I like Vanna with VIX & charm for overall sentiment then SPY/SPX gamma levels are referenced, even though I trade ES, since the largest GEX levels are typically reversal points for this setup. 1. Liquidity get taken (run of buy/sell stops). 2. Displacement clearing out a old low/high in the opposite direction (FVG with CHoCH). 3. Plot PDA with fibs for latest swing structure. 4. Pullback into OB/BB or FVG (4m time frame or lower) - compare correlated assets for extra confirmation (ES/NQ/YM) 5. Pyramid entires in premium or discount zone using new FVG’s/OB’s 6. Seek volume imbalance, voids, weekly/daily gaps, previous highs/lows, etc. as target.
@Macyver180
@Macyver180 Жыл бұрын
Hey Kev, check out MARA for the same 15DM setting. 350%. Also, maybe you could wrap your head around when the Deltas switch, think it has any correlation with Gamma/Vanna level changes?
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
Great find! 350% on 15day momentum is epic. Thanks for calling this out. As far as gamma/vanna correlation is concerned, it simply means that there will likely be more significant areas of interest in the form of positive/negative vanna/gamma but we still have to view the GEX/VEX to figure out where and the exact dealer impact at certain strikes. The reason is because the more delta hedging there is, the more those same deltas need to be hedged/de-hedged as they change due to gamma, vanna and charm.
@aditya86c
@aditya86c Жыл бұрын
holy moly thats insane bro
@jorgefortes4659
@jorgefortes4659 8 ай бұрын
Hi! The link for the Tradytics Discount doesn't work (won't show up). I would really appretiate if you update it!
@sedul2006
@sedul2006 Жыл бұрын
I take it that this would be most effective on the liquid mega cap stocks with lots of option activity. What are good barometers (Option Volume, Market Cap, Avg. Volume), and their threshold to determine whether it is appropriate for looking at the Dealer Greeks for analysis? How about this for Market Indexes ETFs (SPY,QQQ) and Sector Indexes ETFS (SMH, XLC, XLY, XBI) for example? Should it be used or there is too much hedging?
@sedul2006
@sedul2006 Жыл бұрын
Nm, you answered the last question
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
It seems to be most effective on any assets with the most options activity. You can use the options and stock options pages on Tradytics that show the market as a whole to get an idea of which assets are getting the most contracts. As far as the second question is concerned, the overall correlations are seem to be more effective than the dealer positioning itself. The exception being when you look at gamma and vanna on specific strikes to see where their hedging requirements really take effect.
@31wolram
@31wolram Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the information, Quick question sort of related but not @fattytrades, When dealers are long this means that retail/large institution/hedge funds are short for Dealers Greek Build up and Dealer OI icons on Tradytics- my question is for netflow, whether net flow for tesla or netflow for Apple or any stock etc... when there is more call premiums on netflow, are those premiums specifically from retail/large institution/hedgefunds that are buying premiums on net flow like they are on Dealers Greak Build up and Dealer OI or is the Netflow being derived from algo flow just taking the results of Live options flow and plugging it into Net flow? or another question- whats the difference between netflow and algo flow?
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
When looking at net flow it’s likely showing retail or institutional buying, since dealers are the one providing the liquidity/options contracts for purchase. Since it’s measuring OPRA data it’s showing the opening of those contracts and closing. They are typically purchased from dealers, however there is some speculation that dealers have started using 0 DTE contacts to hedge their requirements in certain cases but the general assumption is that it’s largely institutional speculation or hedging, not dealer hedging since they make money from the exchanges/brokers to sell those contacts. AlgoFlow simply combines net calls and puts and shows the net impact of the two. AlgoFlow came first then Tradytics decided to break out calls/puts which is now shown as netflow.
@31wolram
@31wolram Жыл бұрын
@@FattyTrades Thanks for the explanation and reply. but is this always the case with algoflow vs Netflow-for example if you go on flowline now for NFLX and select either the 1 day flow with 7 day expiration or 1 day flow with 15day expiration for NFlx, the netflow looks bullish while the Algoflow icon within the net flow has a red circle dot/icon indicating bearish- is there any reason you can think of why there would be a difference between the two?( algoflow being bearish and net flow looking bullish and both not in the same direction?)
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
@@31wolram if look at the Y axis on the right and look at both put amounts and call amounts, AlgoFlow should just be showing the net difference of these two along the way. In some cases calls might look greater than puts in net flow but if calls are declining and puts are increasing, AlgoFlow will reflect the net difference as bearish for example. It’s just another way of viewing the same data. I just checked the 1 day, 7 DTE and 15 DTE AlgoFlow and net flow example on NFLX & they look the same to me with call premiums being higher but NFLX price plummeting.
@31wolram
@31wolram Жыл бұрын
@@FattyTrades thanks for the explanations, dedication and always replying. Much Appreciated
@TeslaTheta
@TeslaTheta Жыл бұрын
What is the significance between 5-day and 15-day (or 20, 30, 60) on the momentum drop down, how do you/we use the various days for insight. Is it just for backtesting or instructive for the present too?
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
The momentum is calculated by subtracting current day by whatever day you select in that momentum value. For some assets it’ll lead to better returns, sometimes the default 15 day is best, other times 5 days or 30 days could be better. Thankfully the back tester is built in to quickly compare but any asset you review, I recommend trying all of them and see how it impacts the returns on that particular asset. As you saw with Microsoft, 15day momentum outperformed raw delta’s flipping but that’s not always the case, from what I’ve seen it changes dramatically from asset to asset.
@TeslaTheta
@TeslaTheta Жыл бұрын
@@FattyTrades for forward-looking does the days matter. Can we use percent of return from back testing to inform what days to use for forward-looking?
@TeslaTheta
@TeslaTheta Жыл бұрын
Does Dealer Delta Positioning miss macro triggers (black Swan, Elon selling again, etc.) or will it always show up first in Delta positioning giving us warning to go to cash if share price is rapidly falling?
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
It logs everything in 30 minute increments from the dealer perspective. So if something like happens you would see the dealer positioning rapidly shift and then you could adjust. I believe Tradytics is adding alerts to the feature soon too.
@TeslaTheta
@TeslaTheta Жыл бұрын
@@FattyTrades Thank you ❤️
@jrtonyday
@jrtonyday Жыл бұрын
Is it possible to adjust the backtest period?
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
No that’s as far back as the data goes on the platform.
@sedul2006
@sedul2006 Жыл бұрын
In some cases Momentum 15 days is better than Raw, and vice versa. I'm suspecting it has to do with how the stock behaves. higher beta -> raw (faster swing in/out) lower beta -> momentum Just a guess.
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
True I’m not quite sure what it would be. It could also be how heavily dealers are involved in that asset. Some are more “manipulated” than others. Was actually surprised to see the weak impact dealer deltas had on MSFT compared to other S&P top assets.
@Sammy-yx8pe
@Sammy-yx8pe Жыл бұрын
Matrix is even better check it on TSLA
@holyearth
@holyearth Жыл бұрын
Doesn't work anymore?
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades 11 ай бұрын
I plan to revisit the list soon but these are the best ones I had found. Can you fill me in on your experience with which ones weren't working? twitter.com/Fatty_Trades/status/1622641879668891648
@metroplex3k
@metroplex3k Жыл бұрын
So at the end of the day, it’s a crapshoot. Tesla may be different this year, and Microsoft as well…..
@FattyTrades
@FattyTrades Жыл бұрын
Yeah MSFT doesn’t seem to have the same response to Dealer activity like many others. Here’s all the plays I’m currently tracking with great correlations. I’m with you on TSLA, it’s basically it’s own beast… twitter.com/fatty_trades/status/1622641879668891648?s=46&t=xl7PSgsoyAifVJQH6gAvZg I’ve been selling puts very heavily on UVXY since I noticed the correlation and the momentum change. It’s been very good these past two weeks and I’m feeling good about it. Def use this stuff for share buying/selling or options selling, wouldn’t recommend doing it any other way.
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